Copyright 2014 City of Dubuque Special Session - Top # 1. ITEM TITLE: 5: 15 PM - WORK SESSION - Inclusive Dubuque SUMMARY: SUGGESTED DISPOSITION: ATTACHMENTS: Description Type Dubuque Region Skills Gap Analysis Supporting Documentation I D General Overview Supporting Documentation ID Equity Assessment Flyer Supporting Documentation Inclusive Dubuque Power Point Supporting Documentation J Skills Ready Dubuque Region Skills Gap Analysis November 2014 SSMART OLUTIONSGROUP Skills Ready Background PURPOSE The purpose of the Skills Ready Gap Analysis is to provide economic developers, workforce developers, and educators with information on projected workforce shortages ( gaps) and to identify potential strate- gies to mitigate these shortages. Dubuque Region The Dubuque Region consists of seven counties: Clayton County, IA Delaware County, IA Dubuque, lA Jackson County, lA Jones County, IA Jo Davies County, IL Grant County, WI DATA The data used in this report are from the 2014 3nd quarter data release from Economic Modeling Specialists Intl. ( EMSI), a leading provider of historical databases of economic, industry, occupation, demographic, and education completion data. EMSI' s primary data sources for this skills gap analy- sis are the Bureau of Labor and the National Center for Education Statistics' Integrated Postsecond- ary Education Data System ( IPEDS). The data in this report includes: 2014 Jobs - The number of jobs for both employees and the self- employed Earnings per Worker- Wages, salaries, overtime, and bonuses Job Growth - The change in the number of jobs from 2014 to 2024 Replacements - The number of jobs where a worker left the occupation to retire, change oc- cupations, relocate outside the labor market, or other reasons Openings - The number of workers needed for Job Growth and Replacements Completions - The number of students that completed degree, certificate, and diploma pro- grams at postsecondary institutions in the labor marker Skill Gaps - The number of Completions minus the number of Openings IPEDS is the source of the Completion data shown in this report. Since IPEDS reports the comple- tions for all of the Northeast Iowa Community College ( NICC) campuses as NICC- Calmar, the IPEDS data does not show NICC' s completions in Peosta, Dubuque, and other locations in the Dubuque Region. Therefore, NICC has provided the completion date for their Dubuque Region loca- tions for inclusion in this report. SMART 2 OLUTIONSRoup Labor Market Overview Employment Dubuque Region Labor 180,000 l 201479 Dubuque Region 5. 8% 1 11.3% 160,000 Iowa 6. 1% 12. 2% United States 4. 5% 16. 2% 140, 000 120, 000 Working Age Population Growth 100, 000 1004-14 04' 05' 06' 07' 08' 09' 10' 11' 12' 13' 14' 15' 16' 17' 18' 19' 20' 21' 22' 23' 24 Dubuque Region 2. 1% ( 3. 9%) Employment — Working Age Pop. Iowa 5. 1% ( 1. 9%) United States 9. 0% 1. 3% Unemployment Rate- Aug. 2014 s. 1% 5. 7% Earnings per Worker 4. 3% 4. 4% 4. 3% 4. 1% Dubuque Region 37% 3. 3 State of Iowa United States Delaware Dubuque Clayton Jones Jackson Grant Jo Davies U. S. Employment in the seven- county Dubuque Region is projected by EMSI to grow by 11. 3% over the next ten years, which is at a rate somewhat below the projected growth for the State of Iowa and the Nation The Region' s Working Age Population ( ages 20 to 69) is projected to decline by nearly- 4% over the next ten years while Iowa is projected to decline at a lower rate and the U. S. is projected to have modest growth The Unemployment Rate in the Region' s seven counties are well below the U. S. rate The median Earnings per Worker in the Dubuque Region is 10. 5% below the Earnings for Iowa and 24. 9% below the U. S. Earnings The projected increase in Employment and the decrease in Working Age Population will yield increasing workforce shortages in the Region over the next 10 years Finding jobs for the Region' s unemployed will not greatly reduce the upcoming job shortages Relatively low Earnings will make it challenging to retain some of the Region' s workforce as well as making it challenging to attract needed workers to the Region 3 SOLUTIONSGROUP Occupations Top 50 High Pay Occupations with Skill Gaps The following exhibit shows the 50 occupations, which have earnings of$ 17. 00 per hour or more, with the highest number of skill gaps over the next ten years The Skill Gaps data shown is the total over the next ten years The Completions data shows the number of degrees and certificates that were awarded in 2013 and, as stated previously in this report, may not include all the degrees and certificates that were awarded this data should be reviewed for accuracy by the postsecondary institutions in the Dubuque Region These 50 occupations represent a wide range of industries Projections 2014- 2024 53- 3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 2, 581 $ 17. 76 304 601 905 170 ( 735) 41- 4011 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and 1, 349 $ 27. 56 189 354 543 0 ( 543) Manufacturing, Except Technical and Sci- entific Products 41- 3021 Insurance Sales Agents 703 $ 24. 31 207 258 465 0 ( 465) 47- 2111 Electricians 736 $ 22. 72 200 206 406 20 ( 386) 49- 9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 611 $ 21. 58 123 234 357 0 ( 357) 51- 4011 Computer- Controlled Machine Tool Opera- 1, 444 $ 17. 78 245 578 823 530 ( 293) tors, Metal and Plastic & 51- 4041 Machinists* 43- 1011 First- Line Supervisors of Office and Admin- 649 $ 21. 39 141 126 267 10 ( 257) istrative Support Workers 47- 2031 Carpenters 1, 038 $ 17. 62 37 273 310 70 ( 240) 47- 2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construc- 468 $ 21. 60 87 149 236 0 ( 236) tion Equipment Operators 59- 9999 Military Occupations 910 $ 19. 90 ( 36) 268 232 0 ( 232) 51- 1011 First- Line Supervisors of Production and 721 $ 23. 27 42 171 213 0 ( 213) Operating Workers 51- 2022 Electrical and Electronic Equipment As- 475 $ 17. 30 ( 68) 263 195 0 ( 195) semblers 13- 1199 Business Operations Specialists, All Other 592 $ 22. 51 75 107 182 0 ( 182) 41- 3099 Sales Representatives, Services, All Other 314 $ 21. 79 86 94 180 0 ( 180) 41- 3031 Securities, Commodities, and Financial 266 $ 32. 67 45 107 152 0 ( 152) Services Sales Agents These two occupations are combined because the educational programs that prepare students for these occupations are identical. 4 SOLUTIONSGROUP Occupations with Skill Gaps - contfnued Projections 2014- 2024 Soc Occupation 7E arnings/ Job Replace- Open- 7Jobs workes/ rr t Gaps 49- 1011 First- Line Supervisors of Mechanics, In- 313 $ 26. 33 42 90 132 0 ( 132) stallers, and Repairers 13- 1031 Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investi- 185 $ 24. 79 48 73 121 0 ( 121) gators 43- 5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting 297 $ 17. 13 18 97 115 0 ( 115) Clerks 47- 2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 246 $ 17. 34 77 38 115 0 ( 115) 41- 4011 Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manu- 214 $ 34. 38 48 66 114 0 ( 114) facturing, Technical & Scientific Products 43- 5052 Postal Service Mail Carriers 303 $ 22. 90 ( 68) 180 112 0 ( 112) 23- 1011 Lawyers 267 $ 36. 27 19 92 111 0 ( 111) 29- 1051 Pharmacists 230 $ 51. 10 44 66 110 0 ( 110) 51- 5112 Printing Press Operators 283 $ 17. 75 ( 43) 153 110 0 ( 110) 47- 2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 193 $ 20. 38 81 28 109 0 ( 109) 29- 9021 Dental Hygienists 172 $ 31. 33 52 49 101 0 ( 101) 13- 1071 Human Resources Specialists 260 $ 23. 76 37 59 96 0 ( 96) 49- 3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel En- 265 $ 18. 64 31 62 93 0 ( 93) gine Specialists 29- 1131 Veterinarians 144 $ 40. 43 8 81 89 0 ( 89) 33- 3012 Correctional Officers and Jailers 261 $ 21. 26 3 86 89 0 ( 89) 29- 1021 Dentists, General 96 $ 93. 11 11 62 73 0 ( 73) 53- 1021 First- Line Supervisors of Helpers, Labor- 140 $ 21. 39 24 46 70 0 ( 70) ers, and Material Movers, Hand 11- 9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 235 $ 34. 52 45 64 109 40 ( 69) 41- 3011 Advertising Sales Agents 114 $ 23. 53 7 61 68 0 ( 68) 41- 1012 First- Line Supervisors of Non- Retail Sales 227 $ 25. 20 13 54 67 0 ( 67) Workers 53- 1031 First- Line Supervisors of Transportation & 145 $ 20. 89 24 42 66 0 ( 66) Material- Moving Machine & Vehicle Opera- tors 11- 9141 Property, Real Estate, and Community As- 136 $ 18. 83 12 51 63 0 ( 63) sociation Managers 13- 1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Re- 174 $ 24. 29 20 42 62 0 ( 62) tail, and Farm Products 47- 4051 Highway Maintenance Workers 219 $ 18. 07 14 47 61 0 ( 61) 29- 1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 146 $ 109. 25 15 43 58 0 ( 58) s SOLUTIONSGROUP Occupations with Skill Gaps - continued Projections 2014- 2024 Earnings/ 51- 9023 Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, 101 $ 17. 84 7 51 58 0 58) Operators, and Tenders 51- 8031 Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant 113 $ 18. 71 9 47 56 0 56) and System Operators 21- 1014 Mental Health Counselors 101 $ 18. 28 14 42 56 0 56) 23- 2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 153 $ 19. 17 21 32 53 0 53) 43- 5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and 105 $ 18. 05 22 31 53 0 53) Ambulance 13- 1151 Training and Development Specialists 128 $ 23. 31 27 26 53 0 53) 21- 1022 Healthcare Social Workers 115 $ 22. 31 25 28 53 0 53) 27- 3042 Technical Writers 91 $ 20. 67 7 45 52 0 52) 47- 2211 Sheet Metal Workers 139 $ 22. 50 11 38 49 0 49) 51- 9011 Chemical Equipment Operators and Ten- 55 $ 21.