2030 Committee Texas Transportation Needs Report February 2009 2030 Committee Members C. Michael Walton (Chair) The Honorable Ed Emmett Ernest Cockrell Centennial Chair in Harris County Judge Engineering Houston The University of Texas at Austin Austin Tom Johnson Executive Vice President David Marcus (Vice Chair) Associated General Contractors of Texas Managing Partner Austin Marcus, Fairall, Bristol + Co., LLP El Paso David Laney Attorney at Law Ken Allen Dallas Senior Vice President Supply Chain and Logistics Cullen Looney HEB Attorney at Law San Antonio Edinburg Ruben Bonilla, Jr. Drayton McLane, Jr. Chairman Chairman, McLane Group Port of Corpus Christi Commission Temple Corpus Christi Roger Nober Drew Crutcher Executive Vice President, Law and President Secretary Landgraf, Crutcher and Associates, Inc. Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation Odessa Fort Worth Gary Thomas President and Executive Director Dallas Area Rapid Transit Dallas Page i Table of Contents List of Exhibits ............................................................................................................................ vii Acknowledgments ..........................................................................................................................x Introduction ....................................................................................................................................1 About the 2030 Committee ........................................................................................................1 2030 Report Context ..................................................................................................................1 Historical Perspective ......................................................................................................... 2 Texas Transportation Today ............................................................................................... 2 Report Scope ....................................................................................................................... 3 Difficult Decisions Ahead................................................................................................... 4 Results of Public Input ...............................................................................................................4 Sources .......................................................................................................................................6 Pavement Maintenance .................................................................................................................7 Introduction ................................................................................................................................7 Current Conditions .....................................................................................................................8 Analysis of Existing On-System Mileage ..................................................................................8 Analysis of Added Capacity Mileage ................................................................................. 9 Scope of This Study ............................................................................................................ 9 The TxDOT On-System Highway Network ..............................................................................9 Treatment Costs .......................................................................................................................11 Comparison with Peer States ...................................................................................................12 Routine Maintenance Expenditures .........................................................................................12 Estimated Preventive Maintenance & Rehabilitation (M&R) Needs ............................... 14 Conclusions ..............................................................................................................................19 Committee Recommendations: ................................................................................................19 Sources .....................................................................................................................................20 Bridge Maintenance .....................................................................................................................21 Introduction and Bridge Data Sources .....................................................................................21 Current Conditions ...................................................................................................................21 Texas and Nationwide Bridge Statistics ..................................................................................22 Status of Texas Bridges ...........................................................................................................23 Texas Bridge Expenditures ......................................................................................................25 Eligibility for Federal Funds ....................................................................................................26 Forecasting Texas Bridge Needs .............................................................................................27 Current Rehabilitation and Replacement Unit Costs ........................................................ 27 Technical Analysis ...................................................................................................................28 Current Bridge Replacement Costs ................................................................................... 28 Page iii Bridge Replacement Costs through 2030 ......................................................................... 29 Mobility-Generated Bridges ............................................................................................. 31 Costs of Inspection for Existing and Mobility-Generated Bridges ................................... 32 Costs of Maintenance for Existing and Mobility-Generated Bridges ............................... 33 Special and Large Bridges ................................................................................................ 36 Cost Summaries for Texas Bridge Needs through 2030 ..........................................................36 Conclusions ..............................................................................................................................37 Committee Recommendations .................................................................................................38 Urban Mobility .............................................................................................................................39 Introduction ..............................................................................................................................39 Organization of This Chapter............................................................................................ 40 Current Conditions ...................................................................................................................40 The Mobility Scenarios ............................................................................................................41 Scenario Descriptions ....................................................................................................... 42 How Are Solutions Implemented Over the Next 22 Years? ....................................................42 Benefits Resulting from Mobility Improvements ....................................................................45 Direct Benefits to Texans.................................................................................................. 45 Indirect Personal Benefits to Texans ................................................................................ 45 Economic Value of Mobility Investments to Texas Businesses ....................................... 45 What Will the Improvements Cost? .................................................................................. 46 Mobility Results from Investment Scenarios ...........................................................................47 Key Findings for Each Scenario ..............................................................................................48 Comparing the Benefits and Costs .................................................................................... 49 Potential Reductions in Both Total Implementation Costs and the State’s Share of Those Costs ....................................................................................................................... 49 What Mobility Goal is the Right One? ............................................................................. 51 What’s Next? ...........................................................................................................................53 Committee Recommendations .................................................................................................53 Rural Mobility and Safety ...........................................................................................................54 Introduction ..............................................................................................................................54 The Rural Transportation Challenge ........................................................................................54 Current Conditions ...................................................................................................................54
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