ELECTION 2008 - PRE-FRENCH DEBATE Detailed Tables ELECTION 2008 PRE-FRENCH DEBATE 1. Who do you think will WIN tonight's leaders' debate? ___________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D - E/F/G * small base REGION GENDER AGE TOTAL Quebec ROC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ A B C D E F G Base: All respondents Unweighted Base 809 705 104 363 446 251 314 244 Weighted Base 809 692 117* 377 432 246 313 249 Stephen Harper, leader of the 226 204 22 105 121 75 87 64 Conservative Party 28% 29% 19% 28% 28% 31% 28% 26% B Stephane Dion, leader of the Liberal Party 117 88 28 45 72 38 35 43 14% 13% 24% 12% 17% 15% 11% 17% A F Jack Layton, leader of the New Democratic 104 78 26 50 54 40 46 19 Party (NDP) 13% 11% 23% 13% 12% 16% 15% 8% A G G Gilles Duceppe, leader of the Bloc 226 210 17 120 106 57 96 74 Quebecois 28% 30% 14% 32% 25% 23% 31% 30% B D Elizabeth May, leader of the Green Party 6 1 5 0 6 2 2 2 1% 0 4% - 1% 1% 1% 1% A C Don't know/Refused 129 111 18 57 72 35 46 48 16% 16% 16% 15% 17% 14% 15% 19% Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs October 1, 2008 i FINAL DATA Filename: FRENCHPRE1.DOC ELECTION 2008 - PRE-FRENCH DEBATE Detailed Tables ELECTION 2008 PRE-FRENCH DEBATE 2. Which party leader do you think offers the BEST IDEAS AND POLICIES? Is it Stephen Harper, Stephane Dion, Jack Layton, Gilles Duceppe or Elizabeth May? ___________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D - E/F/G * small base REGION GENDER AGE TOTAL Quebec ROC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ A B C D E F G Base: All respondents Unweighted Base 809 705 104 363 446 251 314 244 Weighted Base 809 692 117* 377 432 246 313 249 Stephen Harper 175 161 14 99 76 41 70 64 22% 23% 12% 26% 18% 17% 22% 26% B D E Stephane Dion 213 167 46 94 119 63 71 78 26% 24% 39% 25% 28% 26% 23% 31% A F Jack Layton 195 161 35 96 100 66 74 56 24% 23% 30% 25% 23% 27% 23% 22% Gilles Duceppe 128 125 3 51 76 43 54 31 16% 18% 2% 14% 18% 17% 17% 13% B Elizabeth May 19 13 6 8 11 9 8 2 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% A G Don't know/Refused 79 65 14 29 50 24 37 18 10% 9% 12% 8% 12% 10% 12% 7% Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs October 1, 2008 1 FINAL DATA Filename: FRENCHPRE1.DOC ELECTION 2008 - PRE-FRENCH DEBATE Detailed Tables ELECTION 2008 PRE-FRENCH DEBATE 3. Which party leader do you think SOUNDS AND ACTS the most like a Prime Minister? Is it Stephen Harper, Stephane Dion, Jack Layton, Gilles Duceppe or Elizabeth May? ___________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D - E/F/G * small base REGION GENDER AGE TOTAL Quebec ROC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ A B C D E F G Base: All respondents Unweighted Base 809 705 104 363 446 251 314 244 Weighted Base 809 692 117* 377 432 246 313 249 Stephen Harper 366 329 38 188 178 104 136 126 45% 48% 32% 50% 41% 42% 43% 50% B D Stephane Dion 125 96 29 51 75 34 45 46 15% 14% 25% 13% 17% 14% 14% 18% A Jack Layton 133 105 28 66 68 45 51 38 16% 15% 24% 17% 16% 18% 16% 15% A Gilles Duceppe 108 98 10 39 69 37 44 27 13% 14% 8% 10% 16% 15% 14% 11% C Elizabeth May 6 4 2 3 3 5 1 0 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0 - G Don't know/Refused 70 60 10 31 39 21 36 13 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 8% 12% 5% G Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs October 1, 2008 2 FINAL DATA Filename: FRENCHPRE1.DOC ELECTION 2008 - PRE-FRENCH DEBATE Detailed Tables ELECTION 2008 PRE-FRENCH DEBATE 4. Forgetting about their policies for a moment, which party leader do you find to be the most LIKEABLE? That is, the person you'd most like to go out for a beer or coffee with -- Is it Stephen Harper, Stephane Dion, Jack Layton, Gilles Duceppe or Elizabeth May? ___________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D - E/F/G * small base REGION GENDER AGE TOTAL Quebec ROC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ A B C D E F G Base: All respondents Unweighted Base 809 705 104 363 446 251 314 244 Weighted Base 809 692 117* 377 432 246 313 249 Stephen Harper 68 60 8 36 32 13 28 27 8% 9% 7% 9% 7% 5% 9% 11% E Stephane Dion 72 50 22 28 44 23 22 27 9% 7% 19% 7% 10% 9% 7% 11% A Jack Layton 466 405 61 238 228 144 190 132 58% 59% 52% 63% 53% 58% 61% 53% D Gilles Duceppe 140 131 8 58 81 42 51 47 17% 19% 7% 15% 19% 17% 16% 19% B Elizabeth May 28 16 12 9 19 11 10 7 3% 2% 10% 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% A Don't know/Refused 35 29 6 8 27 14 12 10 4% 4% 5% 2% 6% 6% 4% 4% C Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs October 1, 2008 3 FINAL DATA Filename: FRENCHPRE1.DOC ELECTION 2008 - PRE-FRENCH DEBATE Detailed Tables ELECTION 2008 PRE-FRENCH DEBATE 5. Which party leader do you think is the MOST VISUALLY ATTRACTIVE? Is it Stephen Harper, Stephane Dion, Jack Layton, Gilles Duceppe or Elizabeth May? ___________________________________________________________________ Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B - C/D - E/F/G * small base REGION GENDER AGE TOTAL Quebec ROC Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ A B C D E F G Base: All respondents Unweighted Base 809 705 104 363 446 251 314 244 Weighted Base 809 692 117* 377 432 246 313 249 Stephen Harper 162 143 19 60 102 36 65 62 20% 21% 16% 16% 24% 15% 21% 25% C E Stephane Dion 46 40 6 21 25 24 11 11 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 10% 3% 5% FG Jack Layton 328 273 54 165 162 81 138 108 40% 39% 46% 44% 38% 33% 44% 43% E E Gilles Duceppe 165 154 11 71 93 62 57 46 20% 22% 9% 19% 22% 25% 18% 19% B Elizabeth May 39 29 10 27 12 17 18 5 5% 4% 8% 7% 3% 7% 6% 2% D G G Don't know/Refused 69 52 17 32 37 27 25 17 9% 8% 14% 8% 9% 11% 8% 7% A Ipsos-Reid Public Affairs October 1, 2008 4 FINAL DATA Filename: FRENCHPRE1.DOC .