Appendix D.2 Transportation Technical Report BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON, D.C. SUPERCONDUCTING MAGLEV PROJECT DRAFT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT STATEMENT AND SECTION 4(f) EVALUATION Appendix D.2 Transportation Technical Report Table of Contents Appendix D.2A Transportation ................................................................................................ A-1 D.2A.1 Transportation Components of Current, Future No-Build, and Future .......................... Build Conditions ...................................................................................................... A-1 D.2A.2 Transportation Network Component: SCMAGLEV - Future Build Condition ............ A-2 D.2A.3 Transportation Network Component: MARC Commuter Rail Current ........................... Condition Service Characteristics ............................................................................ A-5 D.2A.4 Transportation Network Component: Local Transit Systems within Affected Environment ......................................................................................................... A.4-9 D.2A.5 Transportation Network Component: Project Area Roadway Network ............... A.5-17 D.2A.6 Transportation Network Component: Station Area Street Network - ............................. Baltimore Camden Yards Alternative .................................................................. A.6-27 D.2A.7 Transportation Network Component: Station Area Street Network - ............................. Baltimore Cherry Hill Alternative ......................................................................... A.7-29 D.2A.8 Transportation Network Component: Mount Vernon East Station Area ........................ Street Network ................................................................................................... A.8-32 D.2A.9 Transportation Network Component: Roadway Network around Train ......................... Maintenance Facility (TMF) Alternatives............................................................. A.9-37 D.2A.10 Transportation Network Component: Required Roadway Realignments .................... (Horizontal and Vertical) Resulting from SCMAGLEV Alignment and .......................... Facilities ........................................................................................................... A.10-40 D.2A.11 Transportation Network Component: Access Summary to BWI Marshall ................... Airport .............................................................................................................. A.11-41 D.2A.12 Transportation Network Component: Station Area Parking Current and ..................... Future Conditions .................................................................................................. A-44 D.2A.13 SCMAGLEV Station Area Pedestrian Networks – Current Conditions and ................. Backup Data ......................................................................................................... A-44 D.2A.14 SCMAGLEV Station Area Pick Up and Drop Off Operations – Current ...................... Conditions and Backup Data ................................................................................. A-49 D.2A.15 Construction Period Impacts - Truck Delivery Access and Departure Routes ............ to SCMAGLEV Construction Sites......................................................................... A-52 D.2A.16 Construction Period Activity - Impacts to Transit Operations Due to .......................... Construction Activity .............................................................................................. A-92 D.2A.17 Construction Period Activity - Impacts to Traffic Operations and Parking Due ............ to Construction Activity .......................................................................................... A-95 D.2A.18 Technical Analysis Methodology Introduction ..................................................... A-99 Appendix D.2B Ridership Forecasting – Ridership Forecasting Development Process ...... B-104 D.2B.1 Data Collection ..................................................................................................... B-104 D.2B.2 Trip Table Development........................................................................................ B-104 D.2B.3 Primary Market Research ...................................................................................... B-105 Draft Environmental Impact Statement and Section 4(f) Evaluation TOC-i Appendix D.2 Transportation Technical Report D.2B.4 SCMAGLEV Ridership Forecasts ....................................................................... B-105 Appendix D.2C Ridership Forecasting – Travel Demand Model .......................................... C-105 D.2C.1 Time periods........................................................................................................ C-106 D.2C.2 Annual Ridership Estimates ................................................................................. C-106 D.2C.3 Project Study Area ............................................................................................... C-106 D.2C.4 Current Level of Intercity Trips ............................................................................ C-106 D.2C.5 Trip Volume Growth ............................................................................................. C-106 D.2C.6 Discrete Choice Analysis ...................................................................................... C-107 D.2C.7 Mode Choice Model............................................................................................. C-107 D.2C.8 Implied Value of Time .......................................................................................... C-107 Appendix D.2D Ridership Forecasting – Data Sources and Results .................................... D-107 D.2D.1 Fare Assumptions................................................................................................ D-107 D.2D.2 Data Outputs ....................................................................................................... D-109 Appendix D.2E Pedestrian Access Methodology ................................................................. E-110 D.2E.1 Process Steps ..................................................................................................... E-110 D.2E.2 Future Traffic Conditions: Build vs. No-Build Methodology................................. E-115 D.2E.3 Construction Period Traffic Impacts ................................................................... E-119 LIST OF TABLES Table D.2-1: SCMAGLEV Trains Per Hour and Hourly Capacity, by Direction ........................ A-2 Table D.2-2: Forecasted Total Daily Boardings by SCMAGLEV Station – Horizon ...................... Year 2045 ........................................................................................................ A-3 Table D.2-3: Forecasted Changes in Vehicle Miles Traveled within the Affected ........................ Environment for the Years 2030 and 2045, by Baltimore Station ......................... Alternative (Build vs. No-Build) ......................................................................... A-3 Table D.2-4: Forecasted Changes in Rail Passenger Miles Traveled within the Affected Environment for the Years 2030 and 2045, by Baltimore Station Alternative ........ (Build vs. No Build) .......................................................................................... A-4 Table D.2-5: Forecasted Changes in Bus Passenger Miles Traveled within the Affected Environment for the Years 2030 and 2045, by Baltimore Station ......................... Alternative (Build vs. No Build) ......................................................................... A-4 Table D.2-6: Forecasted Aggregate Hours of Travel Time Savings within the Affected Environment for Years 2030 and 2045, by Baltimore Station Scenario ................ (Build vs. No Build) .......................................................................................... A-5 Table D.2-7: MARC Penn Line Service Frequencies by Time of Day and Direction .............. A-7 Table D.2-8: MARC Penn Line Station Stops ....................................................................... A-7 Table D.2-9: MARC Penn Line Trip Times by Time of Day and Direction: Baltimore ................ Penn Station to Washington Union Station....................................................... A-8 Draft Environmental Impact Statement and Section 4(f) Evaluation TOC-ii Appendix D.2 Transportation Technical Report Table D.2-10: MARC Camden Line Service Frequencies by Time of Day and Direction ......... A-8 Table D.2-11: MARC Camden Line Station Stops ................................................................ A.3-9 Table D.2-12: ARC Camden Line Trip Times by Time of Day and Direction ......................... A.3-9 Table D.2-13: MDOT MTA Commuter Bus Service from Howard County ........................... A.4-16 Table D.2-14: WMATA Metrobus Local Service in Vicinity of Proposed Mount Vernon ............... East SCMAGLEV Station ............................................................................ A.4-17 Table D.2-15: Regional Roadway Network Daily Volumes by Key Roadway Link (both directions) – By Alternative and Year – Cherry Hill Baltimore Station ................... Scenario ..................................................................................................... A.5-25 Table D.2-16: Regional Roadway Network Daily Volumes by Key Roadway Link (both directions)