Contents Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 5 Overview and Purpose ............................................................................................................. 5 Programme Commissioning and Formulation ........................................................................ 6 Northern Ireland Housing Requirements ................................................................................ 6 Context .................................................................................................................................. 6 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) .......................................................................... 6 Social Housing Need & Strategic Guideline Requirements ................................................ 8 Affordability - Intermediate Housing and Demand ........................................................... 14 Individual Local Government Analysis ............................................................................... 16 Antrim and Newtownabbey ................................................................................................... 19 Context ................................................................................................................................ 19 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ........................................................................ 20 Social Housing Need and Strategic Guideline Requirements........................................... 22 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................... 26 Antrim and Newtownabbey Supporting Data .................................................................. 28 Ards & North Down ................................................................................................................ 29 Context ................................................................................................................................ 29 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ........................................................................ 30 Social Housing Need and Strategic Guidelines Requirements ......................................... 32 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................... 38 Ards & North Down Supporting Data ............................................................................... 40 Armagh City, Banbridge & Craigavon Borough ..................................................................... 43 Context ................................................................................................................................ 43 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ........................................................................44 Social Housing Need and Strategic Guidelines Requirements ........................................ 46 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................... 53 Armagh City, Banbridge & Craigavon Borough Supporting Data .................................... 54 Belfast ...................................................................................................................................... 57 Context ................................................................................................................................ 57 Housing Market Analysis (cross-tenure) ........................................................................... 58 Social Housing Need and Strategic Guidelines Requirements ......................................... 59 2 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand.................................................................................. 64 Belfast Supporting Data .................................................................................................... 66 Causeway Coast & Glens ....................................................................................................... 68 Context ............................................................................................................................... 68 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ....................................................................... 69 Social Housing Need ........................................................................................................... 70 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................... 75 Causeway Supporting Data ................................................................................................ 76 Derry City & Strabane ............................................................................................................. 78 Context ................................................................................................................................ 78 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ........................................................................ 79 Social Housing Need .......................................................................................................... 80 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................... 85 Derry City & Strabane Supporting Data ............................................................................ 86 Fermanagh & Omagh .............................................................................................................. 87 Context ................................................................................................................................ 87 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ....................................................................... 88 Social Housing Need .......................................................................................................... 90 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand.................................................................................. 96 Fermanagh & Omagh Supporting Data ............................................................................. 97 Lisburn and Castlereagh City ................................................................................................. 99 Context ............................................................................................................................... 99 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ...................................................................... 100 Social Housing Need .......................................................................................................... 101 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................. 105 Lisburn & Castlereagh City Supporting Data ................................................................... 107 Mid Ulster .............................................................................................................................. 109 Context .............................................................................................................................. 109 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ....................................................................... 110 Social Housing Need .......................................................................................................... 112 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand.................................................................................. 118 Mid Ulster Supporting Data .............................................................................................. 119 3 Mid and East Antrim .............................................................................................................. 122 Context ............................................................................................................................... 122 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ....................................................................... 123 Social Housing Need and Strategic Guidelines................................................................ 124 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand................................................................................. 129 Mid and East Antrim Supporting Data ............................................................................. 130 Newry, Mourne and Down ................................................................................................... 109 Context ............................................................................................................................... 131 Housing Market Analysis (across tenures) ....................................................................... 132 Social Housing Need ......................................................................................................... 134 Intermediate (Affordable) Demand.................................................................................. 141 Newry, Mourne and Down Supporting Data .................................................................. 143 4 Introduction This has been an unprecedented year for the Housing Executive with the COVID-19 outbreak making it necessary for us to make changes to the way services were delivered to ensure the safety of customers and staff. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, all activities were suspended in late March with