Rehabilitation of the Parma Airport. prepared by Arif Huseynov (Matricola 1873471) under the guidance of Professor Maria Vittoria Corazza Italy, 2021 Table of Contents. Introduction. ..................................................................................................................................................... 6 Step 1. OD Matrix and Time Thresholds...................................................................................................... 7 Step 2 Demand analysis. ............................................................................................................................... 14 Provincial demand ..................................................................................................................................... 14 Regional demand. ....................................................................................................................................... 29 Step 3. Service configuration. ....................................................................................................................... 30 Point-to-point.............................................................................................................................................. 32 Scenario 1. ............................................................................................................................................... 32 Scenario 2. ............................................................................................................................................... 34 Scenario 3. ............................................................................................................................................... 36 Point-to-point adapted. .............................................................................................................................. 38 Scenario 1. ............................................................................................................................................... 38 Scenario 2. ............................................................................................................................................... 40 Scenario 3. ............................................................................................................................................... 42 Hub & spoke. .............................................................................................................................................. 44 Scenario 1. ............................................................................................................................................... 44 Scenario 2. ............................................................................................................................................... 46 Scenario 3. ............................................................................................................................................... 48 General comparison of service configuration attributes. ....................................................................... 50 “Partly shifted demand” situation. ........................................................................................................... 52 Point-to-point adapted, 3rd scenario. .................................................................................................... 52 Hub & Spoke, 3rd scenario. ................................................................................................................... 54 Airport allocation. ...................................................................................................................................... 56 Step 4. Airport capacity. ................................................................................................................................ 58 Conclusion. ..................................................................................................................................................... 63 2 Figures. Figure 1. Annual passenger traffic at PMF airport. ..................................................................................... 6 Figure 2. Accessibility of Parma airport. ..................................................................................................... 11 Figure 3. Accessibility of Bologna airport. .................................................................................................. 11 Figure 4. Accessibility of Verona airport. .................................................................................................... 12 Figure 5. Accessibility of Pisa airport. ......................................................................................................... 12 Figure 6. Accessibility of Milan airport. ...................................................................................................... 13 Figure 7. Accessibility of Venice airport. ..................................................................................................... 13 Figure 8. Berceto population in 26-65 age range growth trend and expected value for 2031. ............... 19 Figure 9. Berceto population in over 65 age range growth trend and expected value for 2031. ............ 19 Figure 10. Airports allocation and demand patterns. ................................................................................ 30 Figure 11. Direct services within different service configuration.............................................................. 50 3 Tables. Table 1. Distances Matrix................................................................................................................................ 8 Table 2. Travel Time matrix (in minutes) ..................................................................................................... 9 Table 3.Time Thresholds for OD matrix ..................................................................................................... 10 Table 4. Population data and some useful indicators. ................................................................................ 15 Table 5. Demand prediction based on previous years data. ...................................................................... 20 Table 6. Demand generation scenarios for Air Transport ......................................................................... 21 Table 7. Demand, generated by each municipality in different scenarios. ............................................... 22 Table 8. Surface access costs per hour for two class of users: traveling in working and non-working times. Table divided on the current and future scenario. ......................................................................... 23 Table 9. Results for demand for the Parma Airport from Province of Parma, pax/year . ..................... 25 Table 10. Demand for all airports from the Province of Parma, 1st Scenario (pax/year). ...................... 26 Table 11. Demand for all airports from the Province of Parma, 2nd Scenario (pax/year). ..................... 27 Table 12. Demand for all airports from the Province of Parma, 3rd Scenario (pax/year). ..................... 28 Table 13. Final total regional demand for all scenarios for the Parma Airport (pax/year).................... 29 Table 14. P2P. Demand patterns for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd scenario.............................................................. 31 Table 15. P2P. Demand distribution according to the given patterns, 1st scenario. ............................... 32 Table 16. P2P. Supply generated for each pattern type, 1st scenario. ....................................................... 32 Table 17. P2P. Frequency, service and supply matrices for the 1st Scenario. .......................................... 33 Table 18. P2P. Demand distribution according to the given patterns, 2nd scenario. ............................... 34 Table 19. P2P. Supply generated for each pattern type, 2nd scenario. ...................................................... 34 Table 20. P2P. Frequency, service and supply matrices for the 2nd Scenario. ......................................... 35 Table 21. P2P. Demand distribution according to the given patterns, 3rd scenario. ............................... 36 Table 22. P2P. Supply generated for each pattern type, 3rd scenario. ...................................................... 36 Table 23. P2P. Frequency, service and supply matrices for the 3rd Scenario. ......................................... 37 Table 24. P2P adapted. Demand distribution according to the given patterns, 1st scenario. ................. 38 Table 25. P2P adapted. Supply generated for each pattern type, 1st scenario. ........................................ 38 Table 26. P2P adapted. Frequency, service and supply matrices for the 1st Scenario. ........................... 39 Table 27. P2P adapted. Demand distribution according to the given patterns, 2nd scenario. ................ 40 Table 28. P2P adapted. Supply generated for each pattern type, 2nd scenario. ....................................... 40 Table 29. P2P adapted. Frequency, service and supply matrices for the 2nd Scenario. ........................... 41 Table 30. P2P adapted. Demand distribution according to the given patterns, 3rd scenario. ................. 42 Table 31. P2P adapted. Supply generated for each pattern type, 3rd scenario. ....................................... 42 Table 32. P2P adapted. Frequency, service and supply matrices for the 3rd Scenario. ........................... 43