DUGOROČNI PLAN RAZVOJA PRENOSNE MREŽE 2017 - 2026. KNJIGA I Novembar 2016. “Elektroprenos Bosne i Hercegovine” a.d. Banja Luka IB: 402369530009 Korisničke banke i brojevi računa 78000 Banja Luka, Marije Bursać 7a, MB: 11001416 UniCredit Bank a.d. B. Luka 5510010003400849 Tel. +387 51 246 500, Fax: +387 51 246 550 BR: 08-50.3.-01-4/06 Raiffeisen Bank 1610450028020039 Operativna područja: Ministarstvo pravde BiH Sberbank a.d. 5672411000000702 Banja Luka, Sarajevo, Mostar i Tuzla Sarajevo Nova Banka a.d. 5550070151342858 NLB Banka 1320102011989379 SADRŽAJ: KNJIGA I 1. UVOD ............................................................................................................................................................ 6 2. SADRŽAJ DUGOROČNOG PLANA RAZVOJA PRENOSNE MREŽE .............................................. 8 3. KARAKTERISTIKE EES BiH ................................................................................................................... 9 3.1. Prenosna mreža BiH ............................................................................................................................... 9 3.1.1. Operativno područje Banja Luka ......................................................................................................... 10 3.1.2. Operativno područje Mostar ................................................................................................................. 10 3.1.3. Operativno područje Sarajevo .............................................................................................................. 11 3.1.4. Operativno područje Tuzla ................................................................................................................... 12 3.2. Proizvodnja i potrošnja električne energije .......................................................................................... 13 4. KRITERIJI PLANIRANJA ...................................................................................................................... 17 4.1. Principi za izradu Dugoročnog plana razvoja prenosne mreže ............................................................ 17 4.2. Kriteriji za izradu Dugoročnog plana razvoja prenosne mreže ............................................................ 17 5. ULAZNI PODACI ...................................................................................................................................... 22 5.1. Indikativni plan razvoja proizvodnje .................................................................................................... 22 5.1.1. Novi proizvodni objekti ....................................................................................................................... 22 5.1.2. Prognoza potrošnje ............................................................................................................................... 23 5.2. Faktor mjesečnog opterećenja, vrijeme iskorištenja maksimalnog mjesečnog .................................... 24 opterećenja i srednje mjesečno opterećenje ......................................................................................... 24 5.3. Podaci dostavljeni od elektroprivreda u BiH i JP „Komunalno Brčko” d.o.o. Brčko .......................... 25 distrikta BiH ......................................................................................................................................... 25 6. GUBICI U PRENOSNOJ MREŽI ............................................................................................................ 28 7. STATISTIKA KVAROVA I VRIJEME ZASTOJA ZBOG KVAROVA I ODRŽAVANJA DALEKOVODA I MREŽNIH TRANSFORMATORA ......................................................................... 30 8. MODEL ZA ANALIZE ELEKTROENERGETSKOG SISTEMA BiH ............................................... 32 8.1. Ulazni podaci za model ........................................................................................................................ 34 8.1.1. Odobreni Planovi investicija ................................................................................................................ 34 8.1.2. Radijalno napojene TS 110/x kV ......................................................................................................... 36 8.1.3. Krute veze ............................................................................................................................................ 37 8.1.4. Objekti van funkcije ............................................................................................................................. 38 8.1.5. Rekonstrukcije dalekovoda .................................................................................................................. 38 8.1.6. Novi proizvodni/potrošački objekti ...................................................................................................... 39 8.1.6.1. MHE Dub ....................................................................................................................................... 39 8.1.6.2. HE Mrsovo ..................................................................................................................................... 40 8.1.6.3. VE Trusina ..................................................................................................................................... 41 8.1.6.4. VE Podveležje ................................................................................................................................ 41 8.1.6.5. HE Ulog .......................................................................................................................................... 42 8.1.6.6. Blok 7 u TE Tuzla .......................................................................................................................... 43 8.1.6.7. TE Ugljevik 3 – blok 3 i 4 .............................................................................................................. 43 8.1.6.8. TE Banovići .................................................................................................................................... 44 8.1.6.9. HE Dabar ........................................................................................................................................ 44 8.1.6.10. HE Vranduk .................................................................................................................................... 45 8.1.6.11. TE – TO KTG Zenica ..................................................................................................................... 46 8.1.6.12. HE Ustikolina ................................................................................................................................. 46 8.1.6.13. Blok 8 u TE Kakanj ........................................................................................................................ 47 8.1.7. Novi interkonektivni vodovi ................................................................................................................ 48 8.1.8. Nove TS 110/x kV ............................................................................................................................... 51 8.1.8.1. TS 110/35/10(20) kV Živinice (2019. godina) ............................................................................... 52 8.1.8.2. TS 110/35/10(20) kV Široki Brijeg 2 (2020. godina) ..................................................................... 53 8.1.8.3. TS 110/35/10(20) kV Lukavac 2 (2020. godina) ............................................................................ 53 8.1.8.4. TS 110/35/10/6 kV Tušanj (2021. godina) ..................................................................................... 54 8.1.8.5. TS 110/35/10 kV Bijeljina 5 (2023. godina) .................................................................................. 55 8.1.8.6. TS 110/10(20) kV Ljubuški 2 (2025. godina) ................................................................................ 56 8.1.8.7. TS 110/20(10) kV Zenica 5 (2025. godina) .................................................................................... 56 8.1.8.8. TS 110/10(20) kV Doboj Istok (2026. godina) ............................................................................... 57 8.1.8.9. Ugradnja transformacije 110/20 kV u TS Prijedor 2 (2026. godina) .............................................. 57 9. ANALIZA TOKOVA SNAGA I NAPONSKIH PRILIKA ..................................................................... 58 9.1. Analiza za 2017. godinu ....................................................................................................................... 58 2/102 9.2. Analiza za 2021. godinu ....................................................................................................................... 60 9.3. Analiza za 2026. godinu ....................................................................................................................... 64 9.4. Režim minimalnih opterećenja ............................................................................................................. 65 9.4.1. Analiza za 2017. godinu ....................................................................................................................... 68 9.4.2. Analiza za 2021. godinu ....................................................................................................................... 69 9.4.3. Analiza za 2026. godinu ......................................................................................................................