China’s Walt Disney Syriza hits the ground running, backwards Teachers can be a class act Arctic life comes out of the freezer FEBRUARY 14TH–20TH 2015 Economist.com How to write a bestseller Putin’s war on the West Contents The Economist February 14th 2015 3 6 The world this week Asia 35 Indian politics Leaders A new opposition 9 View from the Kremlin 36 Politics in Australia Putin’s war on the West Abbott survives, just 10 Global imbalances 36 American forces in Japan American shopper Trouble at the bases 11 Greece and the euro 37 Vietnam’s migrant Hitting the ground labourers running—backwards Working abroad Venezuela Mismanagement, 11 Teacher recruitment 37 Animals in Vietnam corruption and the oil slump Those who can Pet soup are fraying Hugo Chavez’s 12 China’s army 38 Banyan Malaysia’s dark side regime, page 31 On the cover Lifting the veil It is time to recognise the gravity of the Russian threat, Letters China and to muster the resolve to 14 On meritocracy, Aquinas, 39 Military corruption counter it: leader, page 9. suicide, state pensions, Cleaning up Russia’s aggressions in cancer, Greece, hyenas, 40 Film Ukraine are part of a broader, cannabis Unusual talent and more dangerous, confrontation with the West, 40 China’s economy pages 19-22. Who backs Putin, Briefing The new-year effect and why, page 21. The film 19 What Russia wants that has outraged Russia, From cold war to hot war Middle East and Africa page 73. Britain’s strategic 41 Arab media ambition has fallen even 21 Russia’s European friends The People’s Liberation Army Flowering, then withering lower than its defence budget, In the Kremlin’s pocket Xi Jinping is bringing a corrupt page 49. How businesses 42 Israeli politics army to heel. Now he must Battling in print linked to blacklisted oligarchs United States make it behave responsibly: avoid Western sanctions, 23 Private schools 42 Palestine’s cuisine leader, page 12. Rooting out page 59. Europe worries Pro-choice Republicans The king of cauliflowers corruption is only the start of about warm Hungarian- 43 South African tourism attempts to modernise the Russian ties, page 47 24 Cigarette smuggling PLA, page 39 Nannies v Al Capone Killing the golden goose 24 The economy 43 Chad and Senegal The Economist online At last, a proper recovery A pan-African trial, at last Daily analysis and opinion to 26 Farm subsidies 44 Nigeria supplement the print edition, plus Milking taxpayers Counting votes before they are cast audio and video, and a daily chart 28 Presidential power Economist.com A law for limited war E-mail: newsletters and 29 Gay marriage Europe mobile edition Now in Alabama 45 The German economy Economist.com/email 29 Bondage at the box office Not enough investment Print edition: available online by All tied up in the Bible belt 46 Turkey and its Kurds 7pm London time each Thursday Dreams of self-rule Economist.com/print 30 Lexington David Axelrod meets reality 47 Hungary and Russia Teachers How to turn teaching Audio edition: available online Viktor and Vladimir into a job that attracts to download each Friday high-flyers: leader, page 11. Economist.com/audioedition The Americas 47 The DSK trial Bad days in Lille Programmes that place the 31 Venezuela best graduates in poor schools The revolution at bay 48 Charlemagne are spreading around the Frans Timmermans, world. They show what it takes 33 Bello Europe’s Dr No Whose oil in Brazil? to make a difference, page 53. Volume 414 Number 8925 34 Colombian flower growers Why are countries failing so Peso power badly at teaching English? Published since September 1843 Page 54. In America Republicans to take part in "a severe contest between 34 Electoral reform in Chile intelligence, which presses forward, and are resurgent, so school an unworthy, timid ignorance obstructing Tie breaker vouchers are back, page 23 our progress." Editorial offices in London and also: Atlanta, Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo, Chicago, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, Lima, Los Angeles, Mexico City, Moscow, New Delhi, New York, Paris, San Francisco, São Paulo, Singapore, Tokyo, Washington DC 1 Contents continues overleaf 4 Contents The Economist February 14th 2015 Britain Science and technology 49 Foreign policy 69 The Arctic Ocean Muscle memory Awakening 50 Tax evasion 70 Satellites Hiding Sir’s Black Cash Tough old birds 52 Bagehot 71 Oceanography The Milibandwagon Acid test for the high seas 71 The evolution of violins International Making sweet music 53 Teacher recruitment 72 Holographic movies China’s Walt Disney The Arctic Ocean Earth’s High-flyers in the The end of a tunnel The country’s biggest property northernmost sea is stirring. classroom tycoon wants to become an The consequences are both entertainment colossus, 54 Teaching English Books and arts good and bad, page 69. The page 55 The mute leading the mute 73 ”Leviathan” latest XPRIZE is for a better Russia’s Book of Job way of monitoring the ocean’s Business 74 The origins of money acidity, page 71 55 Dalian Wanda Means of exchange It’s a Wanda-ful life 74 T.S. Eliot Subscription service 58 Fashion designers Time present and time past For our latest subscription offers, visit Strutting their stuff 75 T.E. Lawrence Economist.com/offers For subscription service, please contact by 58 Crowdfunding Enigmatic mystery telephone, fax, web or mail at the details The stars are the limit 76 Love songs provided below: Telephone: 1 800 456 6086 (from outside 59 Sanctions against Russia My funny Valentine the US and Canada, 1 636 449 5702) Facsimile: 1 866 856 8075 (from outside Fancy footwork 76 Race in the theatre the US and Canada, 1 636 449 5703) 61 Schumpeter Grey area Web: Economistsubs.com Authorpreneurship E-mail: [email protected] Greece Unless Syriza changes Post: The Economist Subscription course, Greece is heading out 84 Economic and financial Services, P.O. Box 46978, indicators St. Louis, MO 63146-6978, USA of the euro: leader, page 11. Finance and economics Subscription for 1 year (51 issues) Statistics on 42 Greece’s government must 63 The Greek crisis United States US$160 economies, plus a closer satisfy its voters as well as its Smoking out firebrands Canada CN$165 creditors, page 63 look at defence spending Latin America US$338 64 Buttonwood Hot property Obituary 65 Private equity and energy Principal commercial offices: Refilling the pipeline 86 Richard von Weizsäcker 25 St James’s Street, London sw1a 1hg Germany’s liberator Tel: 020 7830 7000 66 India’s economy Rue de l’Athénée 32 On the dragon’s tail 1206 Geneva, Switzerland 66 Zimbabwe’s economy Tel: 4122 566 2470 Nothing for money 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10017 67 American wealth Tel: 1212 5410500 management 60/F Central Plaza 18 Harbour Road, Wanchai, Hong Kong Survival of the least fit Tel: 852 2585 3888 67 Inequality in Japan Other commercial offices: How to publish a bestseller The secure v the poor Chicago, Dubai, Frankfurt, Los Angeles, To succeed these days, authors 68 Free exchange Paris, San Francisco and Singapore must be more businesslike The problem with than ever: Schumpeter, page 61 price-match guarantees PEFC certified This copy of The Economist is printed on paper sourced from sustainably managed forests certified to PEFC PEFC/29-31-58 www.pefc.org © 2015 The Economist Newspaper Limited. All rights reserved. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of The Economist Newspaper Limited. The Economist (ISSN 0013-0613) is published every week, except for a year-end double issue, by The Economist Newspaper Limited, 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, N Y 10017. The Economist is a registered trademark of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Periodicals postage paid at New York, NY and additional mailing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes to The Economist, P.O. Box 46978, St. Louis , MO. 63146-6978, USA. Canada Post publications mail (Canadian distribution) sales agreement no. 40012331. Return undeliverable Canadian addresses to The Economist, PO Box 7258 STN A, Toronto, ON M5W 1X9. GST R123236267. Printed by Quad/Graphics, Saratoga Springs, NY 12866 6 The world this week The Economist February 14th 2015 out sentences to 44 other mem- Martelly, has ruled by decree licences; others refused. The Politics bers ofthe group, which was since January, when parlia- US Supreme Court is expected called Sharia4Belgium. ment was dissolved. to issue a definitive ruling on gay marriage in June. An insecure democracy At least three people were Nigeria’s electoral commis- killed and ten wounded in a The new Republican governor sion, an independent body, gas explosion on a drilling rig ofIllinois, Bruce Rauner, postponed forsix weeks presi- operated by Petrobras, Brazil’s started to curb the power of dential elections that were due state-controlled oil giant. The public-sector unions. He to take place on February14th, disaster adds to Petrobras’s ordered the state to stop auto- throwing the country into a troubles. It recently lost its matically collecting union period ofuncertainty. The chiefexecutive, amid a rum- dues from public employees commission delayed the vote bling multi-billion-dollar who do not want to join after the police and army said bribery scandal. unions. The unions say they they could not secure polling are entitled to this cash A summit on Ukraine in stations in the north ofNigeria Venezuela’s government took because non-members benefit Minsk, the capital ofBelarus, while also battling Boko over a private supermarket from their collective-bargain- between the leaders ofFrance, Haram, a jihadist group that chain and arrested its boss.