Study on Orient / East-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor 2nd Phase Final Report December 2017 Transport Study on Orient / East-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 2nd Phase, Draft Final Report Table of content Table of content ................................................................................................ 1 Figures ............................................................................................................. 3 Tables .............................................................................................................. 4 Abstract ........................................................................................................... 5 Declaration by the Consultant ............................................................................. 5 Disclaimer ........................................................................................................ 5 Information on current version ............................................................................ 6 Abbreviations .................................................................................................... 7 1 Information on the Study .............................................................................. 8 1.1 Background and objective ...................................................................... 8 1.2 Consortium information .......................................................................... 9 1.3 Outline ................................................................................................10 2 Summary of the Study.................................................................................11 2.1 Characteristics of the Corridor ................................................................11 2.2 Traffic demand and forecast ..................................................................11 2.3 Compliance with the technical infrastructure requirements ........................13 2.4 Accomplished actions on the OEM Corridor ..............................................15 2.5 Current and Future Corridor Infrastructure Compliance – challenges and need for action ......................................................................................................16 2.6 Administrative and operational barriers ...................................................19 2.7 Urban Nodes Analysis ...........................................................................21 2.8 Innovation and environmental impact .....................................................22 2.9 Potential market uptake of IWT / Modal Shift ...........................................23 2.10 Overall investment analysis ...................................................................24 2.11 Estimation of socio-economic impact of the Corridor .................................26 3 Conclusions and key aspects from the analysis ...............................................27 3.1 Compliance with the technical infrastructure parameters of the TEN-T guidelines - 2016 ...........................................................................................28 3.2 Accomplished projects ..........................................................................32 3.3 Demand for the Corridor .......................................................................33 3.4 The identified projects to be realised by 2030 ..........................................38 3.5 Future challenges on the OEM Corridor ...................................................40 3.6 Administrative and operational barriers ...................................................57 3.7 Urban nodes ........................................................................................60 3.8 Wider elements of the Work Plan ............................................................62 3.9 Infrastructure investments and funding ...................................................68 3.10 Impact to jobs and growth ....................................................................73 3.11 Pilot initiative - the Rail Border Two Hour Goal .........................................74 4 Inland Water Transport: Potential market uptake ............................................75 4.1 Objective.............................................................................................75 4.2 Competitive analysis .............................................................................75 4.3 Potential intermodal transport vs. direct trucking .....................................77 4.4 Regulatory restrictions ..........................................................................81 5 Rail: Reducing barriers in Corridor-wide rail operation .....................................82 5.1 Cooperation with Rail Freight Corridor .....................................................82 5.2 Pilot initiative – the Rail Border Two Hour Goal.........................................85 5.3 Proposed actions for achieving the Two-hour goal ....................................87 6 Clustering of Corridor projects ......................................................................92 6.1 Key objective criteria to cluster investments ............................................92 6.2 Assessment of Project relevance ............................................................92 6.3 Assessment of Project maturity ..............................................................95 6.4 Calculation ..........................................................................................96 6.5 Results ................................................................................................97 7 Jobs & Growth Analysis for Corridor projects ................................................ 102 7.1 Multiplier-based growth and jobs analysis .............................................. 102 7.2 Direct Jobs Analysis ............................................................................ 104 December 2017 2 Study on Orient / East-Med TEN-T Core Network Corridor, 2nd Phase, Draft Final Report 8 Summary of actions already accomplished ................................................... 108 8.1 Progress of Corridor Development ........................................................ 108 8.2 Accomplished rail projects ................................................................... 109 8.3 Accomplished IWW projects ................................................................. 110 8.4 Accomplished maritime projects ........................................................... 111 8.5 Accomplished road projects ................................................................. 111 8.6 Accomplished RRT projects .................................................................. 112 8.7 Accomplished airport projects .............................................................. 113 8.8 Selection of accomplished projects with highest contribution to KPI .......... 113 9 Acknowledgement ..................................................................................... 115 10 Appendix .............................................................................................. 115 Figures Figure 1: OEM Corridor Alignment ..................................................................11 Figure 2: OEM project list in terms of modal categories and total cost in million € .25 Figure 3: OEM project list and number of projects per MS ..................................25 Figure 4: Number of projects per Member State and overlaps ............................39 Figure 5: OEM rail compliance map for 2030 ...................................................42 Figure 6: Compliance Map 2030 of the OEM IWW network .................................48 Figure 7: Compliance Map 2030 of the OEM IWW network with respect to reduced draught standard ............................................................................49 Figure 8: Compliance Map 2030 of the OEM motorway / express road network ....54 Figure 9: Road – Compliance Map of IRU registered commercial parking areas .....60 Figure 10: Forecasted freight modal share for 2030 scenarios ..............................64 Figure 11: Freight (bln tonnes-km) per mode of transport ...................................65 Figure 12: Passengers (bln pkm) per mode of transport ......................................65 Figure 13: Emissions from freight and passenger transport (mln tonnes CO2 equivalent) ....................................................................................66 Figure 14: Climate Change Main Risks per OEM country ......................................67 Figure 15: Analysis of the funding and financing sources .....................................68 Figure 15: Financial Sustainability of OEM projects .............................................69 Figure 17: Overview scope market potential continental container market (NUTS-3 regions) .........................................................................................76 Figure 18: Handling costs in IWT ......................................................................78 Figure 19: Project relevance indicator per cluster ...............................................94 Figure 20: Project mapping calculation ..............................................................97 Figure 21: Number of OEM CNC projects per overall score ...................................97 Figure 22: Number of OEM CNC projects: score per transport mode .....................98 Figure 23: Number of OEM CNC projects: overall maturity scoring........................98 Figure 24: Number of OEM CNC projects: