A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Erdmann, Gero Working Paper Ethnicity, Voter Alignment and Political Party Affiliation – an African Case: Zambia GIGA Working Papers, No. 45 Provided in Cooperation with: GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies Suggested Citation: Erdmann, Gero (2007) : Ethnicity, Voter Alignment and Political Party Affiliation – an African Case: Zambia, GIGA Working Papers, No. 45, German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA), Hamburg This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/47807 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. 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Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu GIGA Research Programme: ¢ȱȱĜ¢ȱȱȱ¢ ___________________________ Ethnicity, Voter Alignment and ȱ¢ȱĜȱȮȱ an African Case: Zambia Gero Erdmann N° 45 March 2007 www.giga-hamburg.de/workingpapers ==./2,**1= =470.3,= &5*78= = ).9*)='>==*72&3=389.9:9*=4+=14'&1=&3)=7*&=9:).*8=2=*.'3.?8389.9:9=+37=14'&1*= :3)="*,.43&1*=9:).*3_= %-*=470.3,=&5*7=*7.*8=8*7;*8=94=).88*2.3&9*=9-*=7*8*&7(-=7*8:198=4+=<470=.3=574,7*88= 57.47=94=5:'1.(&9.43=94=*3(4:7&,*=9-*=*=(-&3,*=4+=.)*&8=&3)=&(&)*2.(=)*'&9*_=3=4'/*(9.;*= 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8(-&+9= ;43= *.3*7= *9-3.8(-*3= 7:55*= ?:7= &3)*7*3= :39*78(-.*)1.(-= 8.3)= :3)= ).*8= ;43= )*7= <4'.1.8.*7:3,=)*7=&9-3.?.9C9=&'-C3,9_=&.3*=&3)*7*=.89`=)&88`=<*33=8.(-=01*.3*7*=*9-3.8(-*= 7:55*3=4)*7=C39*7,7:55*3=2.9=0*.3*7=-&79*.=.)*39.+.?.*7*3`=*8=8(-<.*7.,=<.7)`=89&9.89.8(-= 8.,3.+.0&39*= :477*1&9.43*3= ?:= +.3)*3= := <&8= .3)*88*3= 34(-= 3.(-9= '*<*.89`= )&88= &9-3.?.9C9= 0*.3*=411*=85.*19_= Ethnicity, Voter Alignment and Political Party Affiliation – an African Case: Zambia Gero Erdmann Article Outline 1. Introduction 2. Voter Alignment and Ethnicity 3. Ethnicity, Party System and Voter Alignment in Zambia 4. Partisanship: Survey Data 5. Conclusion ‘… voters are not fools.’ (Valdimir O. Key, 1966) 1. Introduction1 Voting behaviour and political party alignment in Africa’s young multi-party regimes – whether democratic or hybrid – is an almost completely ignored research topic, although this is a classical field of political science. Voting behaviour is usually explained by socio- structural, socio-psychological, or rational choice models, at least for industrialised societies. For African societies voting is explained predominantly by factors such as ethnicity, per- sonal ties, and clientelism (Hyden and Leys 1972; Barkan 1979; Bratton and Van de Walle 1997; Van de Walle 2003; Mozzafar et al. 2003; 2005; Erdmann 2004; Posner 2005). Elsewhere we have modified the social structural model of Lipset and Rokkan (1967) to argue that that ethnicity provides the basic social cleavage for voting behaviour and the formation of parties 1 A first draft of the paper was prepared for the 2006 Annual Meeting of the African Studies Asso- ciation, San Francisco, CA, November 16-19, 2006, (Re) Thinking Africa and the World: Internal Reflections, External Responses’.