September 11, 2018 Page 1 of 101 C 15 - CW Info September 11, 2018 Page 2 of 101 C 15 - CW Info FOCUS ON RURAL ONTARIO 2017 FACT SHEET SERIES September 11, 2018 Page 3 of 101 C 15 - CW Info September 11, 2018 Page 4 of 101 C 15 - CW Info on Rural Ontario The Rural Ontario Institute (ROI) is a non-profit organization committed to developing leaders and facilitating collaboration on issues and opportunities facing rural and northern Ontario. This edition of Focus on Rural Ontario Fact Sheet Series includes 30 fact sheets on various socio-economic themes, with new added features such as maps and downloadable spreadsheets which include ranked data for all census subdivisions (CSD) in the province. The following themes are included: • Selected Demographics • Housing • Income Levels • Income Sources. Each theme has several Fact Sheets at census division (CD) and census subdivision level of geography and downloadable data for every jurisdiction in the province. Fact Sheets are on the Rural Ontario website at: www.ruralontarioinstitute.ca/knowledge-centre/focus-on-rural-ontario Your feedback is important to us. Please keep us posted on how you are using these Fact Sheets by emailing us at [email protected]. We look forward to hearing from you. September 11, 2018 Page 5 of 101 C 15 - CW Info on Rural Ontario Author Acknowledgement Ray Bollman Former chief of Statistics Canada Rural Research Group Former editor of the Rural and Small Town Canada Analysis Bulletins Other Contributors The maps were provided by the Rural Policy Branch, in the Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs. This information is included with the understanding that it is not guaranteed to be accurate, correct or complete and conclusions drawn from such information are the responsibility of the user. The Rural Ontario Institute acknowledges the Ontario Ministry of Agriculture and Food and Rural Affairs for their financial support of this project. September 11, 2018 Page 6 of 101 C 15 - CW Info Table of Contents SELECTED DEMOGRAPHICS 1 Children under 15 by census division 3 Children under 15 by census subdivision 7 Children under 15: Change by census division 9 Children under 15: Change by census subdivision 13 Children in lone-parent families by census division 15 Children in lone-parent families by census subdivision 19 Children in lone-parent families: Change by census division 21 Children in lone-parent families: Change by census subdivision 25 Seniors 80 years and over: Change by census division 27 Seniors 80 years and over: Change by census subdivision HOUSING 31 Dwellings needing major repairs by census division 33 Dwellings needing major repairs by census subdivision 37 Dwellings without suitable bedrooms by census division 39 Dwellings without suitable bedrooms by census subdivision 43 Dwellings needing repairs or lacking bedrooms by census division 45 Dwellings needing repairs or lacking bedrooms by census subdivision INCOME: LEVELS 49 Average income by census division 51 Average income by census subdivision 55 Population in low income by census division 57 Population in low income by census subdivision 61 Children in low income by census division 63 Children in low income by census subdivision 67 Seniors in low income by census division 69 Seniors in low income by census subdivision INCOME: SOURCES 73 Percent with employment income by census division 75 Percent with employment income by census subdivision 79 Percent with Employment Insurance regular benefits by census division 81 Percent with Employment Insurance regular benefits by census subdivision 85 Percent with Social Assistance by census division 87 Percent with Social Assistance by census subdivision 91 Expanded Excel Tables September 11, 2018 Page 7 of 101 C 15 - CW Info September 11, 2018 Page 8 of 101 C 15 - CW Info on Rural Ontario i Children under 15 years by census division Vol. 5, No. 1, 2018 Highlights • Census divisions within each type of geographic group (metro, partially non-metro and non- metro census divisions) show a range above and below the provincial average in terms of the proportion of children in the population. • While non-metro census divisions in 2016 have a wide range in the share of the population that was under 15 years of age, there are more below the provincial average than above. • Among non-metro census divisions, the range from top to bottom is wider than in any other type of geography – ranging from a low of 9.5% in the Haliburton census division to a high of 22% in the Kenora census division. Why look at children under 15 years? share were: Haliburton (9.5%), Prince Edward Demography matters. Demographic patterns drive (11.6%) and Muskoka (12.6%). the demand for both physical infrastructure and social programs and services. Areas with a greater Discussion population in a given age group should focus their The wide range in the share of this demographic age attention on the infrastructure and program needs for group (i.e., the population under 15 years of age) these age groups. For example, children generate a implies that a differing share of the local requirement for physical infrastructure such as infrastructure budget would be focussed on children, schools and sports facilities and a requirement for both the expenditure for physical infrastructure and social investment in programs and services by investment, time and energy for social services and professionals such as teachers, pediatricians and programs for children. It also indicates, for example, sports coaches. why Ontario school boards in many rural regions are closing primary schools and consolidating high Findings schools. Overall, in Ontario in 2016, 16.4% of the population was under 15 years of age (see orange line in Figure An accompanying Fact Sheet1 shows the wider 1). variation in this demographic structure across census subdivisions within non-metro CDs. Among non-metro census divisions (CDs)1, there was a wide range in the intensity or share of the population that were children under 15 years of age. In 7 of 24 non-metro CDs, the share of the population under 15 years of age was at or above the Ontario average of 16.4%. The Kenora CD had the highest share of their population under 15 years of age (22% in 2016). The remaining 17 non-metro CDs had less than the Ontario average (16.4%) of their population under the age of 15 years. The three CDs with the lowest 1 Defined in “Rural Ontario’s Demography: Census Update 2016.” Focus on Rural Ontario (Guelph: Rural Ontario Institute, March) (http://www.ruralontarioinstitute.ca/focus-on-rural-ontario.aspx). 1 Focus on Rural Ontario | Children under 15 years by CD September 11, 2018 Page 9 of 101 C 15 - CW Info Figure 1 Ranking of census divisions by percent of population under 15 years of age, Ontario, 2016 ONTARIO AVERAGE Halton Peel York Brant Ottawa Hamilton M etro Greater Sudbury CDs Toronto Elgin Dufferin Durham Waterloo Wellington Prescott & Russell Essex Simcoe Middlesex Partially Hastings -non- Lennox & Addington metro Thunder Bay Niagara CDs Frontenac Peterborough Leeds & Grenville Sudbury Kenora Perth Oxford Rainy River Cochrane Huron Chatham-Kent Renfrew Manitoulin Haldimand-Norfolk Bruce Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry Lambton Timiskaming Lanark Non- Nipissing metro Grey CDs Algoma Northumberland Kawartha Lakes Parry Sound Muskoka Prince Edward Haliburton 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Percent of population under 15 years of age, 2016 Chart by Source: Statistics Canada. Census of Population, 2016, Table 98-400-X2016004. [email protected] Rural Ontario Institute gratefully acknowledges the work of Ray Bollman in preparing this edition of Focus on Rural Ontario. Questions on data sources can be directed to [email protected]. Any comments or discussions can be directed to [email protected]. i This is a companion to the Focus on Rural Ontario Fact Sheet entitled “Children under 15 years by census subdivision.” 2 Focus on Rural Ontario | Children under 15 years by CD September 11, 2018 Page 10 of 101 C 15 - CW Info on Rural Ontario Children under 15 years: Numbers by census subdivisioni Vol 5, No. 2, 2018 Highlights • In 2016, among census subdivisions (CSDs) within non-metro census divisions (CDs), the number of children under 15 years of age, as a percent of the total population, ranged from 2.9% to 42.1%. • Compared to the distribution of CSDs in partially-non-metro or metro CDs, there is a wider distribution of CSDs in non-metro CDs in terms of the percent of the population that are children (i.e., relatively more CSDs have a high share of children and relatively more CSDs have a low share of children). Why look at children under 15 years? CDs, there are more CSDs within non-metro CDs Demographic structure drives the demand for both with a few children and more CSDs with many physical and social infrastructure. The number of children (Table 2). In 2016, 17% of the CSDs had a children implies the need for specific infrastructure population with fewer than 12% being children (under (such as schools and sports facilities) and social 15 years) and 31% of the CSDs had over 20% of programming and services (such as those provided their population being children. by teachers, pediatricians and sports coaches). Discussion Findings A wide range in the share of children in the Table 1 displays the top 5 and bottom 5 census population of a community means there is a wide subdivisions1 (CSDs) in the metro and partially-non- range in the demand for infrastructure and social metro geography categories as sorted by percent of programming needed for children. population that is children. It also shows the top 10 and bottom 10 CSDs within non-metro Ontario.