Final Report Terminal Evaluation – Implementing Urgent Adaptation Priorities through Strengthened Decentralized and National Development Plans- ADAPT PLAN GEF Project ID: 5015 UNDP Project ID: 4958 Country: Malawi Region: Africa Focal Areas: Climate Change GEF Agency: United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Executing Agencies: Ministry of Natural Resources Energy and Mining Consultant Chaudhry Inayatullah with support of Ms. Wezzie Mtumbuka, Economist, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning & Development Terminal Evaluation, September - November 2019 Consultant Implementing Urgent Adaptation Priorities through Strengthened Decentralized Dr. Chaudhry Inayatullah and National Development Plans ADAPT PLAN UNDP PIMS ID: 4958; GEF Project ID: 5015 i OPENING PAGE PROJECT DETAILS: Project Name: Implementing Urgent Adaptation Priorities through Strengthened Decentralized and National Development Plan [ADAPT PLAN] Project ID: UNDP [PIMS #]: 4958 GEF Project ID: 5015 ATLAS Award ID 00081840 Project ID: 00090986 Country: Malawi Region: Africa Focal Area: Climate Change (GEF-5) Strategic Programs: Objective 1: “Reduce vulnerability to the adverse impacts of climate change, including variability, at the local, national, regional and global level” Objective 2: “Increase adaptive capacity to respond to the impacts of climate change, including variability, at the local, national, regional and global level” Funding Source: GEF Trust Fund, UNDP, Government, and Community Contribution Implementing Agency: United Nations Development Programme Implementation Modality: National Implementation Modality (NIM) Executing Agencies: Ministry of Natural Resources, Energy and Mining; Environmental Affairs Department Other Executing Partners Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning, and Development; Nkhata Bay, Ntcheu and Zomba District Councils; Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation & Water Development, Ministry of Local Government & Rural Development PROJECT TIMELINES Received by GEFF 1 August 2012 Concept Approved 23 August 2012 PIF Approval Date 21 March 2014 CEO Endorsement 23 October 2014 Project Document Signature Date 19 December 2014 Project Start Date 19 December 2014 Date Project Manager Hired 1 September 2015, 2nd Manager hired on 1 September 2016 Inception Workshop Date 18-19 May 2015 MTR Completion Date November 7, 2017 MTR Consultant Maria Onestini Terminal Evaluation September – November 2019 Planned Closing Date 31 December 2019 FINANCIALS At the time of Project Approval (US $) At End of Project (US $) Project Preparation Grant 15,500 GEF Project Grant (1) 4,500,000 4,499,230 Co-financing Total(2)=(3+4+5) 4,161,341 6,647,552 GEF Agency Fees 855,000 Government Co-financing (3) 5,180,939 Other identified at Formulation 2,400,000 UNDP TRAC (4) 0 864,968 Community contribution (5) 0 601,645 Total Cost (1+2) USD 11,061,341 11,146,982 Exchange Rate: I US $ = MWK 750 ii | P a g e Terminal Evaluation, September - November 2019 Consultant Implementing Urgent Adaptation Priorities through Strengthened Decentralized Dr. Chaudhry Inayatullah and National Development Plans ADAPT PLAN UNDP PIMS ID: 4958; GEF Project ID: 5015 Acknowledgment The consultant would like to acknowledge the information, interviews, feedback, and support provided by the stakeholders of the ADAPT PLAN Project, including the Project Team at the Project Management Unit, in particular, Ms. Ms. Shamiso Najira, Deputy Director and GEF Focal Person, Mr. Yusuf Mkungula, Project Manager, officials of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Environment and Mining, Environment Affairs Division, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development, Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development, and the District Councils of Ntcheu, Zomba and Nkhata Bay and local communities. The consultant expresses gratefulness for the facilitation and the contributions by the UNDP Country Office, in particular, Mr. Andrew Spezowka, Ms. Heather Maseko, Mr. Nyrienda Sothini, Ben Twinimugiswa as well as the UNDP/GEF Regional Technical Advisor. Special thanks are due to Ms. Wezzie Mtumbuka, Economist, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development, for her valuable contributions during the field visits and conducting Key Informant Interviews. Degraded mountain in Zomba (not project site) Rehabilitated mountain in Muhiriri Village, TA adjacent to the project site M’Biza, Zomba Farmers at Irrigation Scheme at Nanyere Village, TA We will never give up....... Mwambo, Zomba Tomato and maize grower at Nanyere Village, Zomba iii | P a g e Terminal Evaluation, September - November 2019 Consultant Implementing Urgent Adaptation Priorities through Strengthened Decentralized Dr. Chaudhry Inayatullah and National Development Plans ADAPT PLAN UNDP PIMS ID: 4958; GEF Project ID: 5015 Table of Contents i OPENING PAGE ..................................................................................................................................................... ii Acknowledgment ................................................................................................................................................... iii ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................................ vi Iii ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATION ..................................................................................................................... xvii 1.1. Purpose of Terminal Evaluation and Objectives ................................................................................... 1 1.2. Scope and Methodology ....................................................................................................................... 1 1.3. TE Approach .......................................................................................................................................... 1 1.4. Data sources and collection methods ................................................................................................... 1 1.5. Structure of the Terminal Evaluation Report ........................................................................................ 3 1.6. Rating Scales ......................................................................................................................................... 3 1.7. Ethics/Seeking Informed Consent ......................................................................................................... 3 1.8. Audit Trail .............................................................................................................................................. 3 1.9. Limitations ............................................................................................................................................. 3 2. PROJECT DESCRIPTION AND DEVELOPMENT CONTEXT ................................................................................. 3 2.1 Project Start and Duration .................................................................................................................... 3 2.2 Problem that the Project Sought to Address ........................................................................................ 4 2.3 Immediate and Development Objectives of the Project ....................................................................... 6 2.4 Baseline Indicators Established ............................................................................................................. 7 2.5 Main Stakeholders ................................................................................................................................ 8 2.6 Expected Results ................................................................................................................................. 10 3. FINDINGS...................................................................................................................................................... 10 3.1 Project Design / Formulation ...................................................................................................................... 10 3.1.1 Analysis of LFA/Results Framework ......................................................................................................... 10 3.1.2 Risks and Assumptions............................................................................................................................. 12 3.1.3 Lessons from Other Relevant Projects ..................................................................................................... 14 3.1.4 Planned Stakeholders Participation ......................................................................................................... 14 3.1.5 Replication Approach............................................................................................................................... 14 3.1.6 UNDP Comparative Advantage ................................................................................................................ 16 3.1.7 Linkages between Project and other Interventions within the Sector .................................................... 17 3.1.8. Management Arrangements .................................................................................................................. 18 3.2 Project Implementation .............................................................................................................................. 20 3.2.1 Adaptive Management ...........................................................................................................................