Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics Global and Regional Perspectives T. Volgy; R. Corbetta; K. Grant; R. Baird ISBN: 9780230119314 DOI: 10.1057/9780230119314 Palgrave Macmillan Please respect intellectual property rights This material is copyright and its use is restricted by our standard site license terms and conditions (see palgraveconnect.com/pc/info/terms_conditions.html). If you plan to copy, distribute or share in any format, including, for the avoidance of doubt, posting on websites, you need the express prior permission of Palgrave Macmillan. To request permission please contact [email protected]. Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics Copyright material from www.palgraveconnect.com - licensed to University of Groningen - PalgraveConnect - 2011-08-16 - PalgraveConnect of Groningen - licensed to University www.palgraveconnect.com material from Copyright 10.1057/9780230119314 - Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics, Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant and Ryan G. Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd i 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:58:50:58 PPMM Evolutionary Processes in World Politics Edited by William R. Thompson, Indiana University Published by Palgrave Macmillan: The Historical Evolution of World-Systems Edited by Christopher Chase-Dunn and E. N. Anderson (2005) Puzzles of the Democratic Peace: Theory, Geopolitics and the Transformation of World Politics By Karen Rasler and William R. 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Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd iiii 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:58:50:58 PPMM Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics Global and Regional Perspectives Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant, and Ryan G. Baird Copyright material from www.palgraveconnect.com - licensed to University of Groningen - PalgraveConnect - 2011-08-16 - PalgraveConnect of Groningen - licensed to University www.palgraveconnect.com material from Copyright 10.1057/9780230119314 - Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics, Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant and Ryan G. Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd iiiiii 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:58:50:58 PPMM MAJOR POWERS AND THE QUEST FOR STATUS IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS Copyright © Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant, and Ryan G. Baird, 2011. All rights reserved. First published in 2011 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN® in the United States—a division of St. Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Where this book is distributed in the UK, Europe and the rest of the world, this is by Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. Palgrave® and Macmillan® are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries. ISBN: 978–0–230–10464–8 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Major powers and the quest for status in international politics / edited by Thomas J. Volgy . [et al.]. p. cm.—(Evolutionary processes in world politics) ISBN 978–0–230–10464–8 (hardback) 1. Great powers. 2. International relations. 3. World politics—21st century. I. Volgy, Thomas J. JZ1310.M35 2011 327.1—dc22 2010049112 A catalogue record of the book is available from the British Library. Design by Newgen Imaging Systems (P) Ltd., Chennai, India. First edition: June 2011 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Printed in the United States of America. Copyright material from www.palgraveconnect.com - licensed to University of Groningen - PalgraveConnect - 2011-08-16 - PalgraveConnect of Groningen - licensed to University www.palgraveconnect.com material from Copyright 10.1057/9780230119314 - Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics, Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant and Ryan G. Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd iivv 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:58:50:58 PPMM CONTENTS List of Tables and Figures vii List of Contributors ix Preface xi Jack S. Levy One Major Power Status in International Politics 1 Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant, and Ryan G. Baird Two The United States as Global Leader, Global Power, and Status-Consistent Power? 27 William R. Thompson Three USSR/Russian Federation’s Major Power Status Inconsistencies 55 Maria Raquel Freire Four The Power and Politics of Recognition: Status in China’s Foreign Relations 77 Yong Deng Five French Power-Seeking and Overachievement 97 Bertrand Badie Six Japan as an Underachiever: Major Power Status in - 2011-08-16 - PalgraveConnect of Groningen - licensed to University www.palgraveconnect.com material from Copyright Climate Change Politics 115 Norichika Kanie Seven Identifying Regional Powers and Their Status 133 Kirssa Cline, Patrick Rhamey, Alexis Henshaw, Alesia Sedziaka, Aakriti Tandon, and Thomas J. Volgy 10.1057/9780230119314 - Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics, Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant and Ryan G. Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd v 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:58:50:58 PPMM vi Contents Eight Brazil: Major Power in the Making? 159 Monica Herz Nine India: A Major Power in the Making 181 Rajesh Basrur Ten Status and the Future of International Politics 203 Renato Corbetta, Thomas J. Volgy, Ryan G. Baird, and Keith A. Grant References 225 Index 237 Copyright material from www.palgraveconnect.com - licensed to University of Groningen - PalgraveConnect - 2011-08-16 - PalgraveConnect of Groningen - licensed to University www.palgraveconnect.com material from Copyright 10.1057/9780230119314 - Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics, Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant and Ryan G. Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd vvii 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:59:50:59 PPMM TABLES AND FIGURES Tables 1.1 COW Major Powers, 1945 to the Present 5 1.2 Major Power Measures and Status Consistency, Five- Year Intervals, 1951-2005 14 1.3 Major Power Status, COW and MPS Compared, 1951–2005 21 5.1 Factors Affecting France’s Overachievement Strategy 112 6.1 Result of the Principal Component Analysis 123 7.1 Regional Membership, Regional Powers, and Potential Regional Challengers 135 7.2 Criteria for Classifying Regional Powers and Regional Challengers 142 7.3 Military and Economic Opportunity, Regional Powers, and Challenger States, 1990– 2005 143 7.4 Willingness, Regional Powers, and Challenger States, 1990–2005 144 7.5 Regional and Global Status Attribution for Regional Powers and Challengers, 1990–2005 147 7.6 Summary of Findings for Opportunity, Willingness, and Status, 1990- 2005 149 7.7 Additional Regions, Regional Powers, Challengers, Isolated States, and Border States 152 7.8 Language Families and Scripts Used to Calculate the - 2011-08-16 - PalgraveConnect of Groningen - licensed to University www.palgraveconnect.com material from Copyright Linguistic Similarity Measure 154 9.1 South Asia’s Nonmilitary Power Indicators, 2000 and 2008 185 9.2 South Asia’s Military Balance, 2008 185 9.3 South Asian Neighbours, Trade with India as Percent of Total Trade, 1997 186 9.4 Military Indicators, India and Major Powers Compared, 2009 193 10.1057/9780230119314 - Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics, Edited by Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant and Ryan G. Baird 99780230104648_01_prexiv.indd780230104648_01_prexiv.indd vviiii 44/4/2011/4/2011 44:50:59:50:59 PPMM viii Tables and Figures 9.5 Selected Economic Indicators Comparing India with Major Powers, 2009 194 Figures 1.1 Gini index of the inequality of military expenditures in the international system (1816–2001) 2 1.2 Average Gini coefficients of GDP of the international system for five periods between 1821 and 2006 3 1.3 Conditions influencing community- based status attribution 8 1.4 Threshold Criteria for Inclusion in Major Power Status Club 16 1.5 US capabilities, foreign policy activity, and status measures (1950–2007) 17 1.6 Indian capabilities, foreign policy activity, and status measures (1950–2007) 18 1.7 USSR/Russian capabilities, foreign policy activity, and status measures (1950–2007) 19 2.1 US relative economic and global reach capability 41 2.2 British economic and global reach capability 42 2.3 French economic and global reach capability