Revised North Whiteley Business Case On behalf of The North Whiteley Consortium Project Ref: 16659 | Rev: 01 | Date: 30 March 2016 Office Address: 3rd Floor, Exchange Place 3, 3 Semple Street, Edinburgh EH3 8BL T: 0131 297 7010 E: [email protected] Whiteley Way Business Case North Whiteley Document Control Sheet Project Name: North Whiteley Project Ref: 16659 Report Title: North Whiteley Business Case Doc Ref: Version 2 Date: 30 March 2016 Name Position Signature Date Director of Prepared by: Paul McCartney 22/12/2015 Economics Reviewed by: Tony Russell Partner 23/12/2015 Approved by: Tony Russell Partner 23/12/2015 For and on behalf of Peter Brett Associates LLP Revision Date Description Prepared Reviewed Approved Take on board comments from 01 30/03/2016 PMc TR TR AECOM 02 03 Peter Brett Associates LLP disclaims any responsibility to the Client and others in respect of any matters outside the scope of this report. This report has been prepared with reasonable skill, care and diligence within the terms of the Contract with the Client and generally in accordance with the appropriate ACE Agreement and taking account of the manpower, resources, investigations and testing devoted to it by agreement with the Client. This report is confidential to the Client and Peter Brett Associates LLP accepts no responsibility of whatsoever nature to third parties to whom this report or any part thereof is made known. Any such party relies upon the report at their own risk. © Peter Brett Associates LLP 2015 ii Whiteley Way Business Case North Whiteley Contents 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Background ................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Scheme Description ...................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Process of Engagement ................................................................................................ 4 1.4 Resolution of Grant Consent ......................................................................................... 5 2 Strategic Case ............................................................................................................................. 6 2.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 6 2.2 Setting the Scene .......................................................................................................... 7 2.3 North Whiteley Development Description and Rationale .............................................. 9 2.4 Current Transport Situation ......................................................................................... 13 2.5 Highway Impact and Mitigation ................................................................................... 19 2.6 Sustainable Transport Strategy ................................................................................... 24 2.7 Travel Plan .................................................................................................................. 38 2.8 Benefits of Delivering North Whiteley .......................................................................... 40 2.9 Fit with Policy Objectives ............................................................................................. 42 2.10 Conclusions ................................................................................................................. 58 3 Economic Case .......................................................................................................................... 60 3.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 60 3.2 Model Used ................................................................................................................. 60 3.3 Economic Case Results / Findings .............................................................................. 63 4 Financial Case ........................................................................................................................... 70 4.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 70 4.2 Costs ........................................................................................................................... 70 4.3 Funding Arrangements ................................................................................................ 74 4.4 Robustness of Costs ................................................................................................... 75 4.5 Risk Management Strategy ......................................................................................... 75 5 Commercial Case ...................................................................................................................... 79 5.1 Commercial Viability .................................................................................................... 79 5.2 Proposed Procurement Strategy for Design and Construction ................................... 79 5.3 Contract Management ................................................................................................. 79 5.4 Risk Management Strategy ......................................................................................... 80 6 Management Case ..................................................................................................................... 81 6.1 Project Management ................................................................................................... 81 6.2 Project Plan ................................................................................................................. 81 6.3 Risk Management........................................................................................................ 81 6.4 Monitoring and Evaluation ........................................................................................... 82 7 Appendix A – Phasing of Highway Development .................................................................. 84 7.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................... 84 iii Whiteley Way Business Case North Whiteley Figures Figure 1.1 North Whiteley Strategic Road and Highways Improvements Initial and Revised Options ... 2 Figure 1.2 Winchester District Location Map........................................................................................... 3 Figure 2.1 Map of North Whiteley development .................................................................................... 11 Figure 2.2 North Whiteley Strategic Road and Highway Improvement Original and Revised Options. 20 Figure 3.1 SRTM Modelled Area Definitions ......................................................................................... 61 Figure 3.2 The elements of the Sub Regional Transport Model ........................................................... 62 Figure 3.3 The SRTM and the Interaction of the Various Models ......................................................... 63 Figure A1: Completed Highway works May 2017 ................................................................................. 85 Figure A2: Completed Highway Works May 2018 ................................................................................ 86 Figure A3: Completed Highway Works May 2019 ................................................................................ 87 Tables Table 2.1 Phasing of Housing Units in North Whiteley ......................................................................... 12 Table 2.2: Existing Public Bus Services in Whiteley and Burridge........................................................ 15 Table 2.3 Existing Rail Services – Swanwick Station ........................................................................... 16 Table 2.4: Existing Rail Services – Botley Station ................................................................................ 17 Table 2.5: 2026 Base + Development (with mitigation) Total Traffic Flow ............................................ 23 Table 2.6 M27 Junction 9 2026 Base + Development (with mitigation) Model Results ........................ 24 Table 2.7 Phase 2 Bus Service Package .............................................................................................. 29 Table 2.8 Phase 3 Bus Service Package .............................................................................................. 30 Table 2.9 Phase 4 Bus Service Package .............................................................................................. 31 Table 2.10 Transport Requirement for Primary-age pupils ................................................................... 31 Table 2.11 Winchester District Council’s Residential Vehicle Parking Standards ................................ 33 Table 2.12 Proposed Residential Mix and Associated Vehicle Parking ................................................ 34 Table 2.13 Winchester District Council’s Residential Cycle Parking Standards ................................... 34 Table 2.14 Proposed Residential Mix and Associated Cycle Parking .................................................. 35 Table 2.15 On-site school parking standards .......................................................................................