ISSN 1821-1046 UDK 630 INSTITUTE OF FORESTRY INSTITUT ZA ŠUMARSTVO BELGRADE BEOGRAD SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY ODRŽIVO ŠUMARSTVO COLLECTION ZBORNIK RADOVA TOM 69-70 TOM 69-70 BELGRADE BEOGRAD 2014. ISSN 1821-1046 9 771821 104000 ISSN 1821-1046 UDK 630 INSTITUTE OF FORESTRY INSTITUT ZA ŠUMARSTVO BELGRADE BEOGRAD SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY ODRŽIVO ŠUMARSTVO COLLECTION ZBORNIK RADOVA TOM 69-70 TOM 69-70 BELGRADE BEOGRAD 2014. INSTITUTE OF FORESTRY INSTITUT ZA ŠUMARSTVO BELGRADE BEOGRAD PROCEEDINGS ZBORNIK RADOVA · Publisher Izdavač Institute of Forestry Institut za šumarstvo Belgrade, Serbia Beograd, Srbija · For Publisher Za izdavača Ljubinko Rakonjac, Ph.D. Dr Ljubinko Rakonjac · Editorial Board Redakcioni odbor Snežana Rajković, Ph.D. Dr Snežana Rajković Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Dragana Dražić, Ph.D. Dr Dragana Dražić Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Ljubinko Rakonjac, Ph.D. Dr Ljubinko Rakonjac Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Mara Tabaković-Tošić, Ph.D. Dr Mara Tabaković-Tošić Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Radovan Nevenić, Ph.D. Dr Radovan Nevenić Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Mihailo Ratknić, Ph.D. Dr Mihailo Ratknić Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Zoran Miletić, Ph.D. Dr Zoran Miletić Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Milorad Veselinović, Ph.D. Dr Milorad Veselinović Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Biljana Nikolić, Ph.D. Dr Biljana Nikolić Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Vera Lavadinović, Ph.D. Dr Vera Lavadinović Institute of Forestry, Belgrade Institut za šumarstvo, Beograd Assoc. Prof. Iantcho Naidenov, Ph.D Assoc. Prof. Dr Iantcho Naidenov Bulgaria Bugarska Prof. Nikola Hristovski, Ph.D. Prof. Dr Nikola Hristovski Macedonia Makedonija Dr Kalliopi Radoglou, Ph.D. Dr Kalliopi Radoglou Greece Grčka · Chief Editor Glavni i odgovorni urednik Snežana Rajković, Ph.D. Dr Snežana Rajković · Technical Editor and Layout Tehnički urednik i prelom teksta Tatjana Ćirković-Mitrović, Ph.D. Dr Tatjana Ćirković-Mitrović · Secretary Sekretar Zbornika Tatjana Ćirković-Mitrović, Ph.D. Dr Tatjana Ćirković-Mitrović · Printed in Tiraž 100 copies 100 primeraka · Printed by Štampa Black and White Black and White Beograd Beograd All rights reserved. No part of this publication might be reproduced by any means: electronic, mechanical, copying or otherwise, without prior written permission of the publisher. Belgrade, 2014 Preuzimanje članaka ili pojedinih delova ove publikacije u bilo kom obliku nije dozvoljeno bez odobrenja Beograd, 2014 Cover Page: Author of the Photos Tatjana Ćirković-Mitrović, Ph.D. Naslovna strana: Autor fotografije dr Tatjana Ćirković-Mitrović CIP - Каталогизација у публикацији Народна библиотека Србије, Београд 630 SUSTAINABLE Forestry : collection = Održivo šumarstvo = zbornik radova / chief editor = glavni i odgovorni urednik Snežana Rajković. - 2008, T. 57/58- . - Belgrade (Kneza Višeslava 3) : Institute of forestry, 2008- (Beograd : Black and White). - 24 cm Godišnje. - Je nastavak: Zbornik radova - Institut za šumarstvo = ISSN 0354-1894 ISSN 1821-1046 = Sustainable Forestry COBISS.SR-ID 157148172 CONTENT SADRŽAJ TOM 69-70 Ljiljana BRAŠANAC-BOSANAC THE CLIMATE CHANGE – STRATEGIES AND LEGISLATION IN SERBIA 7 Milorad VESELINOVIĆ Suzana MITROVIĆ, Zlatan RADULOVIĆ, Dragana DRAŽIĆ, Nevena ČULE, Dragica STANKOVIĆ, Snežana RAJKOVIĆ THE CONDITION OF AESCULUS HIPPOCASTANUM L. TREES IN THE AVENUES OF THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CITY OF OBRENOVAC 17 Vera LAVADINOVIĆ, Zoran MILETIĆ, Vukan LAVADINOVIĆ THE PHOSPHORUS ANALYZES IN NEEDLES OF CANADIAN DOUGLAS-FIR PROVENANCES 25 Vladan POPOVIĆ, Aleksandar LUČIĆ, Ljubinko RAKONJAC EFFECT OF CONTAINER TYPE ON GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT OF PEDUNCULATE OAK (Quercus robur L.) SEEDLINGS IN THE NURSERY 33 Zoran MILETIĆ, Mara TABAKOVIĆ-TOŠIĆ, Snežana STAJIĆ, Zlatan RADULOVIĆ, Saša EREMIJA, Marija MILOSAVLJEVIĆ, Ivana ŽIVANOVIĆ CHEMICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF GYPSY MOTH LARVAE EXCREMENT AND THEIR POSSIBLE IMPACT ON SOIL PROPERTIES IN THE TOTAL DEFOLIATION PERIOD 41 Tatjana ĆIRKOVIĆ-MITROVIĆ THE EFFECT OF APPLICATION OF MICROBIOLOGICAL PREPARATION ON HEIGHT GROWTH DYNAMICS OF ONE- YEAR OLD SEEDLING OF BLACK WALNUTE (Juglans nigra L.) 47 Dragica STANKOVIĆ, Dragica VILOTIĆ, Vladan IVETIĆ, Djordje JOVIĆ, Dušan JOKANOVIĆ, Jovana DEVETAKOVIĆ THE STUDIES OF ZINC (Zn) CONCENTRATIONS IN WOODY AND HERBACEOUS PLANTS IN THE REGION OF BELGRADE 55 Goran ČEŠLJAR, Renata GAGIĆ SERDAR, Ilija ĐORĐEVIĆ, Zoran PODUŠKA, Tomislav STEFANOVIĆ, Svetlana BILIBAJKIĆ, Radovan NEVENIĆ ANALYSIS OF TYPES OF DAMAGES AT THE SAMPLE PLOTS OF LEVEL 1 IN 2013 AT THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA 63 Mara TABAKOVIĆ-TOŠIĆ, Marija MILOSAVLJEVIĆ, Nemanja SIMOVIĆ THE OUTBREAKS OF THE GYPSY MOTH IN THE FORESTS OF NATIONAL PARK ĐERDAP IN THE PERIOD FROM 1996 TO 2014 73 Miroslava MARKOVIĆ, Snežana RAJKOVIĆ, Radovan NEVENIĆ THE MOST FREQUENT AGENTS OF DAMAGES OF TREES AT THE SAMPLE PLOTS IN SERBIA 85 Svetlana BILIBAJKIĆ, Radovan NEVENIĆ Miroslava MARKOVIĆ, Goran ČEŠLJAR, Tomislav STEFANOVIĆ, Zoran PODUŠKA, Ilija ĐORĐEVIĆ, Renata GAGIĆ SERDAR INTENSIVE MONITORING ON THE LEVEL II SAMPLE PLOTS KOPAONIK, CRN VRH I MOKRA GORA IN 2014 95 Mihailo RATKNIĆ, Goran ĐORĐEVIĆ, Mileta BOJOVIĆ, Tatjana RATKNIĆ A METHOD FOR DETERMINING THE FOREST FIRE THREAT LEVEL 111 INSTITUTE OF FORESTRY • BELGRADE INSTITUT ZA ŠUMARSTVO • BEOGRAD SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY ODRŽIVO ŠUMARSTVO COLLECTION 69-70, 2014 ZBORNIK RADOVA 69-70, 2014 UDK 581.583+502.14(497.11)=111 Original scientific paper THE CLIMATE CHANGE – STRATEGIES AND LEGISLATION IN SERBIA Ljiljana BRAŠANAC-BOSANAC1 Abstract: Climate change is one of the most important subjects in 21st century. In fact, that is no longer just a question of environmental protection and ecological awareness, but along with it some other important themes are imposed: sustainability, economic growth, energy efficiency and energy security. Serbia is one of the countries of Southeastern Europe where climate change is evident, and its manifestations are more frequent and intense. As the consequences of climate change in Serbia in recent years the floods are more intense, landslides and erosion are more active, wind gusts are stronger, periods of drought are more frequent and longer and extreme climate events affect both urban as well as rural areas. In order to plan the sustainable development in areas vulnerable to climate change and, on the other hand, to reduce the effects of global warming and climate change in Serbia it is necessary to adopt and implement new strategies and laws, respecting the already adopted international conventions, declarations and strategies as well as national legislation. Key words: climate change, strategies, legislation, Serbia. KLIMATSKE PROMENE ‐ STRATEGIJE I ZAKONSKA REGULATIVA U SRBIJI Izvod: Klimatske promene predstavljaju jednu od ključnih tema u XXI veku. U suštini, one više nisu samo pitanje zaštite životne sredine i ekološke svesti, već se uz njih 1 Ph.D. Ljiljana Brašanac-Bosanac, Institute of Forestry, Kneza Viseslava 3, Belgrade, Serbia e-mail: [email protected] * The research is financed by the Ministry of Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia, Project TR 31070 “The development of technological procedures in forestry with a view to an optimum forest cover realisation“ (2011-2014). Translation: Dragana Popović 7 nameću i druge bitne teme: održivost, ekonomski rast, energetska efikasnost i energetska bezbednost. Srbija je jedna od zemalja Jugoistočne Evrope u kojoj su promene klime evidentne, a njihove manifestacije sve češće i intenzivnije. Kao posledica klimatskih promena, u Srbiji su poslednjih godina češće i intenzivnije poplave, aktivnija klizišta i erozije, snažniji udari vetra, češći i duži sušni periodi, a ekstremni klimatski događaji pogađaju kako urbana, tako i ruralna područja. U cilju planiranja održivog razvoja na područjima osetljivim na klimatske promene, a sa druge strane smanjenja efekata globalnog zagrevanja i klimatskih promena u Srbiji, neophodno je donošenje i primena novih strategija i zakona, poštujući usvojene međunarodne konvencije, deklaracije i strategije, kao i nacionalnu zakonsku regulativu. Ključne reči: klimatske promene, strategije, zakonodavstvo, Srbija. 1. INTRODUCTION Southeast Europe is among the world regions that are highly sensitive to climate change (IPCC, 2007; IPCC, 2009, UNECE, 2007; SEEFCCA, 2012). More frequent extreme climate events such as floods, droughts, strong wind gusts and very cold periods with large amounts of snow, are a good opportunity to test the vulnerability of areas in Serbia to climate change. According to Popovic, T. et al. (2009) estimates based on climate modeling in moderate scenarios indicate that the annual temperature in Serbia will rise 2.6° C by the end of the century. Warming will not be evenly distributed throughout the year: summers will be 3.5° C warmer than they are now as well as autumns 2.2° C, winters 3.2° C and the springs 2.5° C warmer than they are now. It is expected that the heat waves will be increased in frequency, intensity and duration, while the projections for the number of frosty and icy days say that they will continue to decline. According to Brasanac-Bosanac, Lj., Cirkovic Mitrovic, T. (2013) trend of changes of mean annual air temperature and trend of changes of air temperature during growing season in Serbia