Boston University College of Arts & Sciences Department of Economics 270 Bay State Road Boston, Massachusetts 02215 T 617-353-4389 F 617-353-4449 Boston University Department of Economics: Working Paper Series, 2015 01 “Global Identification in DSGE Models Allowing for Indeterminacy” Zhongjun Qu, Denis Tkachenko, August 2015 02 “A Composite Likelihood Framework for Analyzing Singular DSGE Models” Zhongjun Qu, June 2015 03 “Likelihood Ratio Based Tests for Markov Regime Switching” Zhongjun Qu, Fan Zhuo, October 2015 04 “Explaining adoption and use of payment instruments by U.S. consumers” Sergei Koulayev, Marc Rysman, Scott Schuh, Joanna Stavins, May 2015 05 “Quality and Competition between Public and Private Firms” Liisa Laine, Ching-To Albert Ma, June 2015 06 “Incentives for Motivated Experts in a Partnership” Ting Liu, Ching-To Albert Ma, Henry Y. Mak, June 2015 07 “An Elementary Proof of the Optimality of Threshold Mechanisms” Barton Lipman, June 2015 (rev. July 2015) 08 “Information Acquisition, Referral, and Organization” Simona Grassi, Ching-To Albert Ma, October 2015 09 “Robust Confidence Regions for Incomplete Models” Larry G. Epstein, Hiroaki Kaido, Kyoungwon Seo, September 2015 10 “Uniform Inference on Quantile Effects under Sharp Regression Discontinuity Designs” Zhongjun Qu, Jungmo Yoon, November 2015 11 “A Comparison of Alternative Methods to Construct Confidence Intervals for the Estimate of a Break Date in Linear Regression Models” Seong Yeon Chang, Pierre Perron, October 2015 12 “Inference on a Structural Break in Trend with Fractionally Integrated Errors” Seong Yeon Chang, Pierre Perron, September 2015 13 “Forecasting in the presence of in and out of sample breaks” Jiawen Xu, Pierre Perron, September 2015 14 “Inference on Locally Ordered Breaks in Multiple Regressions” (Appendix) Ye Li, Pierre Perron, February 2015 15 “Improved Tests for Forecast Comparisons in the Presence of Instabilities”(Appendix) Luis Filipe Martins, Pierre Perron, October 2015 16 “Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns” (Appendix) Rasmus T. Varneskov, Pierre, Perron, September 2015 17 “Measuring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks and Outliers: Applications to International Data” Pierre Perron, Tatsuma Wada, October 2015 18 “Residuals-based Tests for Cointegration with GLS Detrended Data” Pierre Perron, Gabriel Rodríguez, October 2015 19 “Testing for Flexible Nonlinear Trends with an Integrated or Stationary Noise Component” Pierre Perron, Mototsugu Shintani, Tomoyoshi Yabu, November 2015 20 “Optimal health insurance for multiple goods and time periods” Randall P. Ellis, Shenyi Jian, Willard G. Manning, 2015 21 “Mispricing in Medicare Advantage Risk Adjustment” Jing Chen, Randall P. Ellis, Katherine H. Toro, Arlene S. Ash, 2015 22 “Global Risk-Adjusted Payment Models” Camilo Cid, Randall P. Ellis, Verónica Vargas, Juergen Wasem, Lorena Prieto, 2015 23 “Health Plan Type Variations in Spells of Health Care Treatment” Randall P. Ellis, Wenjia Zhu, August 2015 24 “Provider Payment Methods and Incentives” Randall P. Ellis, Bruno Martins, Michelle McKinnon Miller, August 2015 25 “Assessing Incentives for Adverse Selection in Health Plan Payment Systems” Timothy J. Layton, Randall P. Ellis, Thomas G. McGuire, July 2015 26 “‘Good-Enough’ Risk Adjustment Models for Physician Payment and Performance Assessment” Randall P. Ellis, Arlene S. Ash, Juan Gabriel Fernandez, June 2015 27 “Skill Transferability, Migration, and Development: Evidence from Population Resettlement in Indonesia” Samuel Bazzi, Arya Gaduh, Alexander D. Rothenberg, Maisy Wong, November 2015 .