Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – ECHO Daily Map | 16/02/2016 Tonga, Fiji – Tropical Cyclone WINSTON SITUATION ACCUMULATION RAINFALL 9-15 FEBRUARY (NASA) • Tropical Cyclone (TC) WINSTON moved close to Ona-i-Liau and Vatoa islands (Fiji) in the afternoon of 15 Feb, with max. sustained winds of 80-100 km/h; then it (Pop. 187 800) passed northwest of the Ha’apai group of islands. In the morning of 16 Feb, it was moving close to Vava’u islands, with max. (Pop. 12 200) (Pop. 55 500) sustained winds of 100 km/h. • Over the next 48 h it is forecast to continue moving northeast-east, strengthening. It may start turning south on 19 Feb and then towards west on 21 Feb; however the uncertainty of the forecast track and Legend intensity after 18 Feb is still very high. <VALUE> • According to this forecast, heavy rains and (Pop. 1 200) 100 200 300 400 500 mm strong winds may still affect Vava'u and Ha'apai group of islands (Tonga), as well < 100 mm > 500 mm as Niue island, during the next four days. 100 - 200200 mm - 300300 mm - 400400 mm - 500 mm 17 Feb 6.00 UTC 130 km/h sust. winds • Heavy rains have already been affecting the 19 Feb 6.00 UTC Ha'apai group of islands. Local media report 176 km/h sust. winds minor damages in Tongatapu and Ha'apai 16 Feb 18.00 UTC islands (Tonga), as well as in Lau islands 120 km/h sust. winds (Fiji), due to floods, as of 16 Feb. Sources: GDACS, JTWC, Fiji Met. Service, Vanuatu Meteorological Services, WMO, Geohive, Media 16 Feb, 6.00 UTC 102 km/h sust. winds SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL C YCLONE SEASON 21 Feb 6.00 UTC • From 1 Nov to 30 April 167 km/h sust. winds 16 Feb, 0.00 UTC 74 mm 83 km/h sust. winds TROPICAL CYCLONE ULA – JANUARY 2016 • TC ULA moved between Tonga and Fiji islands (Pop. 14 900) on 1 – 3 Jan 2016, with max. sustained winds of the order of 160-170 km/h. It affected Tonga 192 mm (Pop. 1 600) (especially Vava’u islands) and Fiji (especially Lau islands) with strong winds and heavy rains. (Pop. 880 000) (Pop. 249) Media reported floods and a number of damaged houses in Fiji and in some areas of Tonga. 53 mm (Pop. 6 600) Sources: GDACS, Media (Pop. 470) 15 Feb, 12.00 UTC 78 mm 93 km/h sust. winds (Pop. 103 200) The uncertainty of the forecast track and (Pop. 75 400) intensity after 18 Feb is still very high 1 Jan, 6.00UTC 170 km/h TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 Jan, 6.00UTC 24h acc. rain obs. (max. sustained winds) 160 km/h xx mm on 15-16 Feb > 118 km/h (WMO) 63-118 km/h < 63 km/h Floods (media) 15 Feb, 0.00 UTC 111 km/h sust. winds WIND BUFFER Heavy rains >118 km/h 92-118 km/h Tropical Cyclone 3 Jan, 18..00UTC 64-92 km/h Track uncertainty 160 km/h .