United States Senate MEMORANDUM As of 5-19-69 the Senate had raised $102,550 the House $150,875 which gives the Senate credit for of the funds raised jointly. We have an agreed 45-55 split which means the Senate is doing something less than its share to date. Total funds raised to date is $284,095 Senator: As per your request, with some added thoughts, for your approval, is the attached run down on the Committees. Eiler Should the Democrats lose control of the Senate in 1970, the Standing Committees of the 92nd Congress will in all likelyhood have the following as Chairmen: AERONAUTICAL AND SPACE SCIENCES Replacing Clinton Anderson, will be either Carl Curtis or Mark Hatfield assuming Margaret Chase Smith takes over Armed Services. AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY Jack Miller is the likely replacement for Senator Ellender APPROPRIATIONS Milton Young would be replacing Richard Russell ARMED SERVICES Margaret Chase Smith replacing John Stennis BANKING AND CURRENCY John Tower will likely replace John Sparkman as Bennett is likely to chose the Finance Committee COMMERCE Norris Cotton replaces Warren Magnuson DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA Winston Prouty or possible Charles Goodell replaces Joe Tydings FINANCE Wallace Bennett will replace Russell Long assuming John Williams does not change his mind about seeking re-election. FOREIGN RELATIONS George Aikin replaces Bill Fulbright GOVERNMENT OPERATIONS Karl Mundt replaces John McClellan INTERIOR COMMITTEE Gordon Allott replaces Scoop Jackson Committee replacements p. 2 JUDICIARY Everett Dirksen replaces James Eastland LABOR AND PUBLIC WELFARE Jacob Javits replaces Ralph Yarborough POST OFFICE AND CIVIL SERVICE Hiram Fong replaces Gale McGee PUBLIC WORKS John Sherman Cooper will replace Jennings Randolph RULES AND ADMINISTRATION Hugh Scott will replace E. Everett Jordan assuming Carl Curtis takes Aeronautics and Space. On the Select and Special Committees, we would find Marlow Cook re- placing George McGovern on Nutrition and Human Needs; Peter Dominick replacing Alan Bible on Small Business; and apparently Clifford Hansen re- placing Pete Williams on the Special Committee on Aging. A further factor which we should remember is that if we win only half of the 34 seats which are up for re-election next year, we lose control of the Senate. We lost 15 of the 25 states in which we have Democratic Senators up for re- election in the Presidential campaign in 1968 and 8 of those 15 by 10 per cent or more. The margin of our party's loss was 19 per cent in Gale McGee's state, 18 per cent in Burdick's North Dakota, 21 per cent in Moss's Utah, 12 per cent in Hartke's state, 8 per cent in Montoya's state, 7 points in Howard Cannon's, 12 per cent in Gores' and 11 per cent in Holland's Florida. And in all of these except North Dakota and Tennessee we also have Republican Governors. As you also know, we are facing serious problems in a number of the other states. What I am saying is that even if Nixon and the Republican Party are no more popular in 1970 than they were in 1968, we will have a very very difficult time retaining control of the Senate--and we have no reason to believe this will be the case. The latest Gallup Poll of several weeks ago showed Nixon defeat- ing what is generally regarded as our most popular possible candidate by 19 per cent. p. 3 Loss of the Senate is then not just a mathematical possibility. What I am trying to impress upon you is that it is a very likely--probably the most likely result, as things now stand. You may have read that the Republicans raised $2. 6 to 2. 8 million dollars on their May 7th Dinner. We know we can't do that well, but Gentlemen, I am saying that we must do all we can do, and we must do much better than we have done to date. MEMORANDUM TO: Daniel K. Inouye, Chairman FROM: Nordy Hoffmann SUBJECT: COPE Leadership Conferences Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island and Vermont May 26-27-28, 1969 NEW JERSEY - Lose in 1968 due to a less than maximum effort by Labor, and a deterioration of the Party effort. Lack of registration and COPE drive were primary reasons. The Operating Engineers endorsed Nixon. The State House went Republican due to the Strike Benefit Bill, Busing Bill and the 3% Sales Tax. We may lose Congressmen Minnish, Helstoski and Thompson because of gerry- mandering. Candidates for Governor are Democrats - Miner, Helstoski, Parsekian, Toute and Kelly. Miner appears to be the hading candidate. He has some Party endorsements, but is having some trouble with Labor. On the Republican side, the candidates are Sandman (conservative), Congress- man Cahill, McDermott, Sears and Oser. It is a very close race between Sandmen and Cahill. Senator Williams’ image is greatly improved but ell factions must give their absolute support in order to win. His publicity, since January 1, has been excellent. NEW YORK - New York State leaders fail to cooperate. Must work through the central bodies. COPE has endorsed Wagner for Mayor in New York. Discussion of marginal Congressional Districts by Howard Samuels. Discussion of marginal Assembly Districts by Pooch Malle. Registration for 1969 funds are available. about $500,000. Prepare a budget for your needs and a program for general registration with a view toward the marginal areas. COPE puts up $2.00 for every $1.00 from your area. The Senatorial race was deferred until after the Mayorality race. Senator Kennedy - Parise of Al Barkan for his work. Difficult times in the country, War in Vietnam, Underhanded programs, end inequities in the Tax system resented by working people. Programs passed by Congress are underfinanced because of the drain of the war in Vietnam. Tax reform is a must - close loopholes. We are not coming to grip with the loophole problem. No rrom in this country for undernourished people. There are farm sub- sidies for not growing crops and yet people in our country are hungry. Democrats are fighting to reform Tax, Draft and Education. Young people should be treated equally. Republicans have eight million dollars for House and Senate. Kennedy met last night with Senator Muskie and Humphrey to work out Party problems. VERMONT - Generally agreed in 1968. No Democratic Party operation. Labor put on the only drive in Vermont. Phil Hoff was no help in the election. Francis Esposito is the new Demo- cratic leader in Vermont, and for the first time, they have a full time man working for the Democratic Party. Hoff will definitely run against Prouty for the Senate. Prouty is a weak candidate, and never returns to the State. Vermont people are not aware of Prouty’s problem but recognize Hoff has a problem. However, Hoff can win. Republican Governor passing a Sales Tax. Congressman Stafford will not contest Prouty if he stands for re-election. Prouty has spent very little time in the State. Hoff’s personal problems have been solved and he can win. The Republicans are plagued with the Governor, as he is proposing a Sales Tax. He will be opposed for re-election by one of the following Democrats: Tom Solmon, Leo O’Brien, Bob Barden or a man named Cain. Congressional chances are slim for the Democrats against the very popular Republican Stafford. Twenty-five thousand people in Vermont who have incomes of less than $3,000 per year are ready to change back to the Democrats "Programs for Progress". IBM’s Watson has taken up residence in Vermont, and may be a Republican candidate for Governor. MAINE - The Democratic Party is in better shape than ever. Muskie will not have opposition, and it is likely that both Congressmen and Governor will be re- elected. MASSACHUSETTS - In 1968, we did learn to coordinate all of Labor for the first time. Wallace was an issue in the beginning, and it was reduced to a minimum defection. Busing, Negro question - also on the plus side we involved young people. We must involve young people. We must broaden Labor’s base in the Commonwealth. Ted Kennedy was not actively campaigning except on TV. The outlook for 1970 - Candidates for Governor will be Bellotti, Donohue, White and O’Donnell and, as of now, Maurice Donohue will be the front- runner at the Convention which selects the candidate. However, it is not binding on anyone else not to also run. One of the new laws in Massachusetts is that the term of Governor will be for four years, therefore, it is incum- bent upon the Democrats to formulate some unified policy or else they will be out of power, for four years. The Republicans do not win in Massachusetts - the Democrats defeat themselves. There is the problem of the Sales Tax, and other issues which are presently muddying the waters. It is apparent that Volpe left the State in a tough financial shape. The real problem is that one candidate will be decided upon at the Convention, and unless unity has been solidified, the other three people will go directly to the people and run on Kennedy's coattails. TO: INITIAL DATE 1. Senator Inouye via Eiler Ravnholt 2. 3. 4. X FYI prepare reply comment & advice see me approval as requested investigate as promised note & return P. C. first name file ! reply for signature of REMARKS: *Access to articles restricted to University of Hawai'i affiliates only. Items in eVols are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated. Riesel, V. (February, 1970). HHH Secret Session: Humphrey-Kennedy United Front Team Running Closed Caucuses Across the U.S., pp01-02.