No. In the Arab Republic of Egypt JICA Preparatory Survey On Greater Cairo Metro Line No.4 Ministry of Transport, National Authority for Tunnels The Arab Republic of Egypt JICA Preparatory Survey On Greater Cairo Metro Line No.4 In the Arab Republic of Egypt FINAL REPORT Volume 2 FINAL REPORT (Feasibility Study Report 2) (Feasibility Study Report 2) Volume 2 JUNE 2010 JUNE 2010 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY NIPPON KOEI CO., LTD. JAPAN RAILWAY TECHNICAL SERVICE NIPPON CIVIC CONSULTING ENGINEERS CO., LTD EID JR 10-125 No. In the Arab Republic of Egypt JICA Preparatory Survey On Greater Cairo Metro Line No.4 Ministry of Transport, National Authority for Tunnels The Arab Republic of Egypt JICA Preparatory Survey On Greater Cairo Metro Line No.4 In the Arab Republic of Egypt FINAL REPORT Volume 2 FINAL REPORT (Feasibility Study Report 2) (Feasibility Study Report 2) Volume 2 JUNE 2010 JUNE 2010 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY NIPPON KOEI CO., LTD. JAPAN RAILWAY TECHNICAL SERVICE NIPPON CIVIC CONSULTING ENGINEERS CO., LTD EID JR 10-125 JICA Preparatory Survey on Greater Cairo Metro Line No.4 in the Arab Republic of Egypt CONTENTS OF FINAL REPORT Volume 1 : Feasibility Study Report 1 Data Collection, Diagnosis of the Existing Public Transport System and Urban Development Hypothesis Volume 2 : Feasibility Study Report 2 New Transportation Study, Data Analysis and Alternative Corridors for Greater Cairo Metro Line No. 4 Volume 3 : Feasibility Study Report 3/4 Preliminary design on Greater Cairo Metro Phase 1 and Economic Financial Analysis Volume 4 : Drawings Exchange Rates 1.00 LE = JPY17.28 USD1.00 = JPY95.25 USD1.00 = 5.512 LE Preface In response to the request from the government of the Arab Republic of Egypt, the Government of Japan decided to conduct “JICA Preparatory Survey on Greater Cairo Metro Line No.4”, and entrusted the study and to the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). JICA selected and dispatched a study team consisted of Nippon Koei Co. Ltd., Japan Railway Technical Service (JARTS) and Nippon Civic Consulting Engineer Co. Ltd, headed by Mr. Hiroshi Izawa, between February 2009 to May 2010. The team conducted field surveys at the study area and held discussions with the officials concerned of the Government of the Arab Republic of Egypt. Having completed them, now the team prepared this final report. I hope that this report will greatly contribute to the construction and operation of the Metro Line No.4 for the urban transportation in Greater Cairo, as well as to enhancement of friendly relationship between our two countries. Finally, I wish to express my sincere appreciation to the officials concerned of the Government of the Arab Republic of Egypt for their close cooperation to the project. June 2010 Kiyoshi Kodera Vice President Japan International Cooperation Agency LOCATION MAP TABLE OF CONTENTS JICA PREPARATORY SURVEY ON GREATER CAIRO METRO LINE NO.4 JICA PREPARATORY SURVEY ON GREATER CAIRO METRO LINE NO.4 IN THE ARAB REPUBLIC OF EGYPT Final Report Volume 2 New Transportation Study, Data Analysis and Alternative Corridors for Greater Cairo Metro Line No. 4 PREFACE LOCATION MAP TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES LIST OF APPENDIXES GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS AND MEASURING UNITS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF VOLUME 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER 1 Introduction.................................................................................................. 1-1 1.1 Background of the Study ................................................................................................. 1-1 1.2 Objective of the Study ..................................................................................................... 1-2 1.3 Study Area and Administrative Setting ............................................................................ 1-3 CHAPTER 2 Transportation Study .................................................................................. 2-1 2.1 Transport Survey............................................................................................................. 2-1 2.1.1 Introduction............................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.2 Summary of Previous Survey................................................................................... 2-1 2.1.3 Components and Purpose of Transport Survey ....................................................... 2-7 2.1.4 Link Traffic Count Survey ......................................................................................... 2-7 (1) Survey Locations...................................................................................................... 2-7 (2) Vehicle Types......................................................................................................... 2-10 (3) Traffic Count Period ............................................................................................... 2-10 2.1.5 Screen Line Traffic Count Survey........................................................................... 2-10 (1) Screen Line Locations............................................................................................ 2-10 (2) Screen Line Traffic Count Periods.......................................................................... 2-12 2.1.6 Traffic Count Data Analysis.................................................................................... 2-13 (1) Ring Road at Maadi Bridge (SL1)........................................................................... 2-13 (2) Abbas Bridge (SL2) ................................................................................................ 2-15 2.1.7 Interview Survey..................................................................................................... 2-17 (1) Sample Size and Used Forms................................................................................ 2-17 (2) Survey Locations and Dates................................................................................... 2-17 (3) Training .................................................................................................................. 2-22 (4) Data Processing ..................................................................................................... 2-22 (5) Data Analysis ......................................................................................................... 2-24 2.1.8 Interview Survey for Tourist.................................................................................... 2-31 (1) Survey Location...................................................................................................... 2-31 (2) Sample Size and Survey Form............................................................................... 2-31 2.2 Urbanization and Socio-Economic Development Trends within the Study Area until 2050 ...................................................................................................................................... 2-32 2.2.1 Future Patterns of Urbanization.............................................................................. 2-32 2.2.2 Population Projections............................................................................................ 2-34 Final Report - Volume 2 (i) JICA PREPARATORY SURVEY ON GREATER CAIRO METRO LINE NO.4 (1) Population Projection for Metro Line 4 Study Area................................................. 2-34 (2) Population Projections for Study Sectors ............................................................... 2-36 2.2.3 Employment Projections......................................................................................... 2-40 (1) Employment Projection for Metro Line 4 Study Area.............................................. 2-40 (2) Employment Projections for Study Sectors ............................................................ 2-42 2.2.4 Projected Student Enrolments................................................................................ 2-45 (1) Student Enrolment Projections for the Study Area ................................................. 2-45 (2) Student Enrolment Projections for Study Sectors................................................... 2-46 2.2.5 Car Ownership Projections..................................................................................... 2-49 2.2.6 Summarized Transport Planning Indicators ........................................................... 2-51 2.3 Analysis of Transport Demand and Services................................................................. 2-52 2.3.1 Metro Network Service in Greater Cairo Region .................................................... 2-52 2.3.2 Trend of Metro Demand ......................................................................................... 2-52 2.3.3 Preferences and Choices of Cairo Metro Users ..................................................... 2-54 (1) Socio-economic Characteristics of Metro Line 2 users........................................... 2-55 (2) Trip Characteristics ................................................................................................ 2-55 (3) Preferences of Metro Line users ............................................................................ 2-56 2.3.4 Egyptian National Railways (ENR) Suburban Railway Service and Demand......... 2-56 2.3.5 Bus Service ............................................................................................................ 2-58 2.3.6 Existing Road Network in Greater Cairo Region ...................................................