
<p>1</p><p><strong>POWER TRANSMISSION SYSTEM </strong><br><strong>IN LITHUANIA </strong></p><p><strong>Vaida Tamašauskaitė </strong></p><p><em>Power System Development Department </em><br><em>Power System Planning Division </em><br><em>Lietuvos energija AB </em></p><p>Tallinn, 21 April, 2006 </p><p><strong>LIETUVOS ENERGIJA AB: </strong></p><p><strong>Owns: </strong></p><p>2</p><p>• 110-330 kV transmission grid; • Kaunas HPP and Kruonis HPSP; • The dispatch centre; • The telecommunications and information system. </p><p><strong>Main functions: </strong></p><p>• Maintenance and Development of Transmission <br>System </p><p>• System Operation • Market Administration • Security of Supply in Lithuania </p><p><strong>Owners </strong></p><p>• 96,62% - state; • 3,38% - private shareholders. </p><p><strong>THE STRUCTURE OF POWER SECTOR </strong><br><strong>IN LITHUANIA </strong></p><p>3</p><p><strong>PRODUCTION </strong></p><p>• 3 production companies • 3 CHP of district heating companies • Few private mini HPP • Few industrial power plants </p><p><strong>DISTRIBUTION </strong></p><p>• Two distribution companies (one private) </p><p><strong>TRANSMISSON </strong></p><p>• One Transmission System Operator company – <br>Lietuvos Energija AB </p><p><strong>INSTALLED GENERATING CAPACITIES </strong><br><strong>(BRUTTO) IN LITHUANIA </strong></p><p>4</p><p>MW <br>Fuel </p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">2005 </li><li style="flex:1">2010 </li><li style="flex:1">2015 </li></ul><p></p><p><strong>Nuclear: </strong>Ignalina </p><p>nuclear </p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><strong>1300 </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>-</strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>-</strong></li></ul><p><strong>2630 </strong></p><p>1800 <br>384 </p><p><strong>2342 </strong></p><p>1500 <br>372 </p><p><strong>2462 </strong></p><p>1500 <br>372 </p><p><strong>Thermal: </strong></p><p>Gas, HFO, orimulsion Gas, HFO Gas, HFO HFO <br>Elektrėnai (condensing) Vilnius CHP Kaunas CHP Mažeikiai </p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">178 </li><li style="flex:1">170 </li><li style="flex:1">170 </li></ul><p>160 108 <br>160 140 <br>160 </p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">260 </li><li style="flex:1">Others </li></ul><p></p><p><strong>Hydro: </strong></p><p>Kaunas HPP Kruonis HPSPP Small scale HPP totally </p><p><strong>1024 </strong></p><p>100 900 <br>24 </p><p><strong>1028 </strong></p><p>100 900 <br>28 </p><p><strong>1033 </strong></p><p>100 900 <br>33 </p><p><strong>Other renewables: </strong></p><p>Wind Others </p><p><strong>34 </strong></p><p>30 <br>4</p><p><strong>222 </strong></p><p>200 <br>22 </p><p><strong>335 </strong></p><p>300 <br>35 </p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><strong>Total generation </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>4988 </strong></li></ul><p><strong>3934 2100 </strong><br><strong>3592 2364 2450 </strong><br><strong>3830 2497 2900 </strong><br><strong>Total without hydro and wind </strong></p><p><strong>Peak demand </strong></p><p><strong>INSTALLED GENERATION CAPACITIES </strong><br><strong>IN LITHUANIA </strong></p><p>5</p><p><strong>Mažeikiai </strong></p><p><strong>160 MW </strong></p><p><strong>Telšiai </strong><br><strong>Šiauliai </strong></p><p><strong>Panevėžys </strong><br><strong>Klaipėda </strong><br><strong>Ignalina </strong></p><p><strong>Utena </strong></p><p><strong>10 </strong></p><p><strong>1300 MW </strong></p><p><strong>MW </strong></p><p><strong>Jurbarkas </strong><br><strong>Jonava </strong></p><p><strong>Kaunas </strong></p><p><strong>170 MW </strong></p><p><strong>Sovetsk </strong></p><p><strong>1800 MW </strong></p><p><strong>Neris </strong><br><strong>Vilnius </strong></p><p><strong>100 MW </strong></p><p><strong>Elektrėnai </strong><br><strong>Kruonis </strong></p><p><strong>900 MW </strong></p><p><strong>384 MW </strong></p><p><strong>Alytus </strong></p><p><strong>DEMAND IN LITHUANIA 2005 and 2025 </strong></p><p>6</p><p><strong>Mažeikiai Telšiai </strong><br><strong>Šiauliai </strong><br><strong>Panevėžys </strong><br><strong>Klaipėda </strong></p><p><strong>2.4 TWh </strong><br><strong>4.3 TWh </strong></p><p><strong>Utena </strong></p><p><strong>1.6 TWh </strong></p><p><strong>Ignalina </strong></p><p><strong>0.7 TWh </strong><br><strong>1.2 TWh </strong><br><strong>2.9 TWh </strong></p><p><strong>Jurbarkas </strong><br><strong>Jonava </strong></p><p><strong>Kaunas </strong><br><strong>Sovetsk </strong><br><strong>Neris </strong><br><strong>Elektrėnai </strong></p><p><strong>2.9 TWh </strong></p><p><strong>Kruonis </strong></p><p><strong>2.5 TWh </strong></p><p><strong>Vilnius </strong></p><p><strong>5.3 TWh </strong><br><strong>4.4 TWh </strong></p><p><strong>Alytus </strong></p><p><strong>DEMAND FORECAST </strong></p><p>7</p><p><strong>Demand forecast (final comsumption + losses) in Lithuania </strong></p><p>24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 <br>86</p><p><strong>Year </strong></p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">LEI slow growth </li><li style="flex:1">LEI base scenario </li><li style="flex:1">LEIfast growth </li></ul><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">AB LE forecast Min </li><li style="flex:1">AB LE forecast Max </li></ul><p>Fact <br>AB LE forecast Basic </p><p><strong>BALANCE OF LITHUANIAN POWER SYSTEM </strong><br><strong>(MW) </strong></p><p>8</p><p>2009 closed <br>200 INPP, without <br>2009 closed INPP, with </p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">2005 </li><li style="flex:1">2015 </li><li style="flex:1">2020 </li></ul><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">9</li><li style="flex:1">power plants power plants </li></ul><p>development development </p><p><strong>Disposable Capacity of Power Plants – Total </strong></p><p>Ignalina Nuclear Power Plant Lithuania Power Plant Vilnius Power Plant Kaunas Power Plant Mazeikiai Power Plant Klaipeda Power Plant Panevezys Power Plant Kaunas Hydro Power Plant Kruonis Hydro Pump Storage Power Plant </p><p><strong>426 </strong></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><strong>5634 </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>2580 </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>3111 </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>3546 </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>3537 </strong></li></ul><p><strong>8</strong></p><p>118 <br>2367 </p><p>1732 <br>0<br>1448 <br>344 160 148 <br>10 <br>0<br>90 <br>0<br>0<br>1848 <br>344 230 148 <br>47 24 90 <br>0<br>0<br>2204 <br>344 229 148 <br>94 48 90 <br>0<br>0<br>2204 <br>344 229 148 <br>94 48 90 <br>0<br>3<br>144 </p><p>3<br>367 344 </p><p>160 229 148 148 <br>10 <br>0<br>90 <br>47 24 90 <br>760 760 </p><p><strong>Average demand forecast </strong></p><p>Required maximal system capacity Essential long - term reserve <br>222 <br>1810 </p><p>1300 <br>2225 <br>300 </p><p>55 </p><p>2225 <br>400 </p><p>486 </p><p>2676 <br>400 </p><p>470 </p><p>3058 <br>400 </p><p>79 </p><p>5<br>130 </p><p>0</p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Power balance (excess "+", deficit "-") </li><li style="flex:1">2524 743 </li></ul><p></p><p><strong>PROBLEMS </strong></p><p>9</p><p>• In maintenance regimes – low security of supply in <br>Klaipeda region, impossible to reserve Klaipeda region through 110 kV net. </p><p>• Long 330 kV transit – Jelgava-Broceni-Grobinia- <br>Klaipeda-Sovietsk. During maintenance one of those lines possible shut-down of some regions. </p><p>• Lack of 330 kV cross section lines. Eastern and western system parts connected with one 330 kV double-link line Kruonis HPSPP-Lietuvos PP. </p><p>• In the far future it is necessary to improve security of supply for Vilnius region – should be build third 330 kV substation near Vilnius, to connect Vilnius and Neris 330 kV substations. Will be less dependency from Byelorussia system. </p><p><strong>330 KV TRANSMISSION GRID </strong><br><strong>DEVELOMPMENT </strong></p><p>10 </p><p><strong>BOTTLENECKS AND DIFFICULTIES </strong></p><p>11 </p><p>• After 5-10 years Baltic region could be deficit area; • Interconnections with other market areas must be build for Security of Supply of the Baltic area and for extension of small Baltic power market; </p><p>• Fuel supply mostly from Russia; • Could be limited import possibilities from Russia in some periods. </p><p><strong>NEW INTERCONNECTIONS </strong></p><p>12 </p><p><strong>NORDEL </strong></p><p><strong>ZSwvieeddernija </strong><br><strong>SFoinmlaijnad </strong></p><p><strong>ESTLINK </strong><br><strong>350 MW 11.2006 </strong></p><p><strong>Norvwēaģyija </strong></p><p><strong>Integrated Baltic and CIS energy system </strong></p><p><strong>Lithuania - Sweden 700 MW </strong></p><p><strong>IEgsatouniaja </strong><br><strong>KRurisesviaija </strong><br><strong>Latvijaa </strong></p><p><strong>Liethtuuvaania </strong><br><strong>Dānija </strong></p><p><strong>Baelotkrruisevija </strong></p><p><strong>UCTIE// CENTRAL Europe </strong></p><p><strong>Poliajnad </strong></p><p><strong>Lithuania – </strong><br><strong>Poland </strong></p><p><strong>Ukrainae </strong><br><strong>VGāercmijaany </strong></p><p><strong>1000 MW </strong></p><p><strong>ČCezhecijha </strong></p><p><strong>POWER BALANCES AND SOS. POSSIBLE </strong><br><strong>SOLUTIONS </strong></p><p>13 </p><p>• Without Poland – Lithuania interconnection: <br>– not to close Ignalina NPP reactor No. 2. – close Ignalina NPP reactor No. 2 and build No. 3. <br>• Shortage in sufficient generation capacities after closure of INPP. </p><p>– New NPP. Only for whole Baltic. – No for NPP? Closure of INPP and not build of new <br>NPP? Then in Lithuania will be no longer NPP (losing of specialists). </p><p>– New CHP. – Import. <br>• Interconnection of Baltic power systems with other power systems is necessary for increasing SoS and for market. </p><p>• The best and cheapest solution – postpone close of <br>Ignalina NPP reactor No. 2 till 2017. </p><p><strong>INTERCONNECTION LITHUANIA – POLAND </strong><br><strong>1000 MW </strong></p><p>14 </p><p><strong>L ITHUANIA </strong></p><p>Kaunas </p><p><strong>K RUONIS </strong></p><p><strong>RUSSIA </strong></p><p>Lietuvos PP <br>B-to-B station </p><p><strong>AL YTUS </strong><br><strong>GDANSK </strong></p><p><strong>M ÀTK I </strong></p><p><strong>BEL ORUSSIA </strong></p><p><strong>Olsztyn </strong></p><p><strong>ELK </strong></p><p>Existing 330 or 400 kV substation Existing power plant </p><p>Grodno </p><p>Existing 330 or 400 kV line </p><p><strong>GRUDZIAZ </strong></p><p>Existing 220 kV line Perspective 330-400 kV lines </p><p><strong>NAREW </strong></p><p><strong>Ostrolęka </strong></p><p><strong>PL OCK </strong><br><strong>M ILOSNA </strong><br><strong>M OSCISK A </strong></p><p><strong>POLAND </strong></p><p><strong>INVESTMENTS IN LITHUANIA- POLAND </strong><br><strong>INTERCONNECTION </strong></p><p>15 </p><p><strong>According IPA-EBRD study, year 2003: </strong></p><p>Investments, mln. € </p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Interconnection </li><li style="flex:1">304 </li></ul><p>130 </p><p><strong>434 </strong></p><p>Upgrading of power plants in the Baltic states </p><p><strong>TOTAL </strong></p><p><strong>Financing: </strong></p><p>Investments, mln. € </p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Grant </li><li style="flex:1">267 </li></ul><p>167 </p><p><strong>434 </strong></p><p>Commercial </p><p><strong>TOTAL </strong></p><p><strong>The upgrading of Baltic states power plants is presently implemented by using of finances from financial sources not related to the project. Remaining part of investments for LT-PL interconnection is 304 mln. €. </strong></p><p><strong>INVESTMENTS IN LITHUANIA- POLAND </strong><br><strong>INTERCONNECTION (continued) </strong></p><p>16 </p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Unit </li><li style="flex:1">mln. € </li></ul><p>105 </p><p>LT </p><p>1000 MW back-to-back converter </p><p>territory </p><p>400 kV line Alytus – state border (48 km) 330 kV line Kruonis – Alytus (double circuit, 53 km) <br>20 20 </p><p>PL territory </p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">400 kV line state border – Elk (106 km) </li><li style="flex:1">43 </li></ul><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">89 </li><li style="flex:1">400 kV line Elk – Narew (134 km) and Elk – Matki </li></ul><p>(169 km) </p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Preliminary work to promote the project </li><li style="flex:1">27 </li></ul><p></p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><strong>TOTAL </strong></li><li style="flex:1"><strong>304 </strong></li></ul><p></p><p><strong>Financing of the Project </strong></p><p></p><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">International Ignalina PP Decommissioning Fund (provisional) </li><li style="flex:1">144 </li></ul><p>160 </p><p><strong>304 </strong></p><p>Commercial part </p><p><strong>TOTAL </strong></p><p><strong>PRESENT STATUS OF LITHUANIA – </strong><br><strong>POLAND INTERCONNECTION </strong></p><p>17 </p><p>• According to the Accession Treaty to the European Union <br>2003, protocol No 4 on Ignalina Nuclear Power Plant in Lithuania, Article 2, paragraphs 3 and 9, the enhancement of security of supply in Lithuania is supported by EU in the context of closure of Ignalina NPP; </p><p>• LT-PL interconnection project is listed in the European <br>Commission “Quick start” projects list and in the updated TEN Guidelines </p><p>• 142.8 mln. € for the Project (LT-PL interconnection) for <br>2007-2013 are marked in the programme of Ignalina NPP closure; </p><p>• The line route has been defined on the Lithuanian territory; • Lithuanian side is ready to start immediately the implementation of the Project by establishing a project implementation company; </p><p>• Polish side is willing to continue with analysis. </p><p><strong>INTERCONNECTION LITHUANIA – </strong><br><strong>SWEDEN </strong></p><p>18 </p><p>• Completed Pre-feasibility Study; • Capacity ~700 MW; • Investments – about 400 million €; • Technical and economical analysis is in progress; • Feasibility study will provide detailed technical and economical analysis of the Interconnection; </p><p>• Benefits: </p><p>– Integration of Baltic power systems to Nordel electricity market; </p><p>– Higher Security of Supply for Baltic and Nordic power systems; </p><p>– Better use of power resources in Baltic and in <br>Nordel; </p><p><strong>SECURITY OF SUPPLY IN THE BALTICS </strong></p><p>19 </p><p>• The Baltic Power systems are isolated from the EU market (island); </p><p>• The capacity of Estlink interconnection will be only 4% of installed capacity of the Baltic States. </p><p>• Low security of supply after the closure of the Ignalina <br>NPP; </p><p>• The Baltic power systems have gas supply through only one gas supply source; </p><p>• Projected new gas pipe line routes bypass the Baltic <br>States; </p><p>• Very high dependence on gas fuel supply. </p><p><strong>SECURITY OF SUPPLY AND POWER BALANCE, INITIAL DATA ABOUT THE </strong><br><strong>SITUATION </strong></p><p>20 </p><p>• increasing number of wind power (in 2010 planed <br>200MW). </p><p>• demand increasing is in accordance with average – maximum plan. </p><p>• Real start with construction of new capacity in Panevezys <br>CHP (35MW). </p><p>• Interconnection of Lithuanian and Polish power systems is not started. </p><p>• It is coming time to close NPP. New one? </p>
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