Kaysville General Plan Update PRELIMINARY EXISTING CONDITIONS (DRAFT) 20 July 2020 Kaysville General Plan Update Preliminary Land Use, Housing and Demographic Conditions/Projections MAP X.X - EXISTING LAND USE Single Family Residential Multifamily Residential Manufactured Homes Industrial/Business Park Mutton Hollow Road Commercial Civic/Institutional Education Religious Utilities Agriculture Parks Open Space Cemetery Crestwood Road Open/Vacant/Agricultural Land City Boundary U.S. 89 U.S. 200 North Lakes/Ponds Flint Street Flint Streams/Canals Wetlands Main Street Main Trails Railroads 50 West 50 Main Street Sunset Drive Sunset Burton Lane Western Drive Shepard Lane 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 Miles ± Preliminary Demographic Conditions and Projections Population Projections: Four sources provide population projections for 2050 in Kaysville. The population difference between the high and low projections is 4,081. Determining which population projection to use will assist in determining how many housing units are needed and their mix. The June 2019 financial report indices a build-out population would be reached in the next 20 years and would be about 42,000. 2050 Population Projections 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Households 1. TAZ DATA (WFRC) 32,238 33,800 36,263 39,133 13,287 2. Governor’s Office of Management & Budget 27,300 32,500 35,465 37,261 40,623 10,649 3. Water System IFFP (LYRB) 27,708 32,103 35,416 39,121 43,214 11,328 4. Kaysville City Financial Report, June 2019 42,000 42,000 11,010 AVERAGE 27,504 32,280 34,894 38,661 41,242 10,812 • Following discussions with city staff, a future population size of 42,000 was determined for use in projections. Persons per Household: The 2019 TAZ person per household estimate was 3.39. According to the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS), Kaysville currently has an average household size of 3.81. The TAZ 2050 population projections estimate that there will be 13,287 households, which is 2.95 persons per household. These household counts include TAZ at their published household projection and the other population sources at the 2019 ACS persons per household amount (3.81). • Following discussions with city staff, a future household size of 3.65 persons per household was determined. Densities and Agricultural Land Projections: Based on census data and building permits, it is estimated that there are 8,039 single family homes and 623 multi-family units in Kaysville at present, for a total of 8,662 housing units. There is a total of 5,878 acres of land in the city at present, of which 467-520 acres are undeveloped/vacant. Datasets that were generated indicate a disparity in the amount of vacant land and the division of land based on use and/or zoning. An additional 4,625 units is required to meet the 2050 TAZ household projection (SF: 4,144.71 and MF: 480 with the current housing mix). Aligning existing housing units according to the existing single family to multi-family mix and present density levels per acre will not accommodate the projected number of households by TAZ to be realized on land that is currently vacant and zoned for such uses. Based on Davis County land use data - but not including common area spaces - there are an average of 2.58 units/acre for single family homes and approximately 8.11 multi- family units/acre. It is likely that the agriculture residential lots skew the single-family ratio lower. • In order to meet housing demands, it is likely that land zoned agricultural will be rezoned residential. Determining the long-term land use and density of existing agricultural land will be determined during the next stage of assessment (development of alternatives/ selection of a preferred alternatives). • In order to meet long-term projections, density levels will likely need to be increased, especially near transit, arterial roads and in re-development areas. Determining the densities for future development areas will be determined during the next stage of assessment (development of alternatives/selection of a preferred alternative). Kaysville Land Use Total Total % % Net Undeveloped (Davis County Land Total Area Total Acres Developed Undeveloped Developed Undeveloped Acres (80%) Use Data) Acres Acres Single Family 152,085,384 3,491 89.39% 10.61% 3,121 370 296 Multi Family 15,168,028 348 82.47% 17.53% 287 61 49 Commercial 10,497,524 241 85.34% 14.66% 206 35 28 Industrial 5,315,627 122 100.00% 0.00% 122 - - Agriculture 20,651,796 474 100.00% 0.00% 474 - Other (church, government, school, hospital) 52,339,518 1,202 100.00% 0.00% 1,202 - Total Acreage 5,878 5,878 5,412 467 373 Kaysville Land Use Total Total % % Net Undeveloped (Landmark Design Total Area Total Acres Developed Undeveloped Developed Undeveloped Acres (80%) Zoning Data) Acres Acres Single Family 128,021,098 2,939 99.66% 0.34% 2,929 10 8 Multi Family 70,121,146 1,610 81.67% 18.33% 1,315 295 236 Commercial 15,494,292 356 95.72% 4.28% 340 15 12 Industrial 2,243,340 52 79.79% 20.21% 41 10 8 Agriculture 38,329,315 880 78.79% 21.21% 693 187 149 Other (church, government, school, hospital) 1,848,686 42 93.28% 6.72% 40 3 2 Total Acreage 5,878 5,878 5,358 520 416 Kaysville General Plan Update Preliminary Transportation Existing Conditions Preliminary Transportation Existing Conditions This existing transportation conditions report is comprised of three sections: the various “layered” transportation mode networks; analysis of communitywide street and pathway connectivity; and analysis of the multimodal accessibility and characteristics of Kaysville’s activity centers. Networks Major streets The Kaysville Major Streets Plan designates a network of major streets by functional classification. Streets designated as “Principal Arterial” include I-15, US 89; streets designated as “Minor Arterial” include Main Street and 200 North; and streets designated as “Collector” include Fairfield Drive, Burton Lane, Flint/Sunset, Angel Street, and Shepard Lane. In addition, several streets designated “Significant Local:” Webb Lane, Smith Lane, Old Mill, Deseret Drive, Western Drive, Seabiscuit Drive, 600 W. Street, 300 W./600 N. Street, Mutton Hollow, Laurelwood Drive, 50 W. Street, Frontage Road, Crestwood Road, Thornfield Road, and 500 E. Street. Figure X shows the major streets throughout Kaysville. Kaysville is bisected by existing and planned regionally significant corridors. Existing corridors managed by the Utah Department of Transportation include: • Interstate 15, which runs through the middle of the city and divides it east-west; • US-89, which only runs through a small corner of the city in the east but serves the city’s eastern neighborhoods; and 1 • SR 273 (Main Street), which is one of the city’s only major surface streets and its main downtown north- south corridor. The West Davis Corridor is a planned freeway at the western edge of Kaysville. Two exits are planned in/near Kaysville, at the end of 200 North/Schick Lane and at the far southern tip of the city near the end of Sunset Drive. In addition, UDOT is constructing a new U.S. 89 interchange at 200 North, which is in Fruit Heights but will serve Kaysville. Figures X through X show typical existing cross sections for the two most important surface streets in Kaysville: Main Street and 200 North. These corridors run the length of the city from north to south (Main Street) and east to west (200 North). In particular, 200 North provides the only street connection across town from east to west, and one of the only crossings of I-15. As such, their design helps to “set the tone” of the city. These corridors, especially 200 North, change significantly over the course of their length, adding lanes as they approach downtown and the I-15 interchange and narrowing as they reach the edges of town. However, they don’t always respond to their context. In downtown, for example, both Main Street and 200 North have more of a highway design than a walkable downtown street, with the vast majority of their width devoted to moving traffic and not people space. For example, on Main Street, only 21 percent or about one-fifth, of the total street right-of-way is devoted to person space. Meanwhile 60 percent of the right-of-way is devoted to moving traffic. And, in general, for the unique citywide connection they provide, these corridors do not serve all modes to enough of a degree. Outside of the historic downtown area, the pedestrian realm is only 6 to 7 feet, even though these are still mixed-use activity centers in Kaysville. 2 3 4 Auto There are a few key points and corridors for traffic in Kaysville. These include 1) the regional highways that provide access to and from Kaysville to the Wasatch Front; 2) the interchanges that are the access points to these regional highways; and 3) major surface streets that are a mix of UDOT and locally managed. The regional highways move people north and south. The primary regional highway is I-15, which bisects Kaysville, with US 89 at the community’s far eastern end and the West Davis Corridor planned for the far western end. The key interchanges are at I-15 and 200 North; US 89 and 200 North (even though it is just outside Kaysville, in Fruit Heights); and the two planned West Davis Corridor interchanges at 200 North and near Sunset Lane. For the surface streets, the primary traffic corridor is 200 North, which provides a rare east-west connection and links three of the highway interchanges.