Let’s Keep Moving 2036: Freight Element This Page Intentionally Blank Alaska Statewide Long-Range Transportation Plan | December 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 1 About This Document ................................................................................................................................. 10 Freight Demand Drivers .............................................................................................................................. 16 Freight System Elements............................................................................................................................. 41 Critical Freight Trends ................................................................................................................................. 69 Opportunities and Needs ............................................................................................................................ 93 Freight Goals, Policies, and Actions .......................................................................................................... 116 Freight Performance Measurement, Prioritization, and Project Evaluation ............................................ 128 Relationship with Other Plans and Federal Guidance .............................................................................. 140 Appendix: Selected Truck Counts TABLE OF EXHIBITS Exhibit 1: Statewide Planning Process ........................................................................................................ 11 Exhibit 2: Freight Element Process Diagram ............................................................................................... 12 Exhibit 3: Primary Freight Element Conclusions ......................................................................................... 13 Exhibit 4: Federal Guidance and Organization of the Freight Element ...................................................... 14 Exhibit 5: Freight-Intensive and Non-Freight Industries ............................................................................. 17 Exhibit 6: Alaska Gross State Product, 2015 ............................................................................................... 17 Exhibit 7: Employment and Wages by Major Industry Type, 2015 ............................................................. 18 Exhibit 8: Employment and Wages in Freight-Intensive Industries, 2015 .................................................. 18 Exhibit 9: Employment in Freight-Intensive Industries, 2015 ..................................................................... 19 Exhibit 10: Share of Non-Government Employment and Wages in Freight-Intensive Industries, 2015 .......................................................................................................................................... 20 Exhibit 11: Overview of Alaska Tonnage and Value Trade Shares, Year 2015 Estimate ............................. 23 Exhibit 12: Overview of Alaska Tonnage and Value Trade, Year 2015 Estimate ........................................ 24 Exhibit 13: Alaska Domestic Transportation Mode Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate ................... 24 Exhibit 14: Alaska Domestic Transportation Mode Tonnage and Value by Direction, Year 2015 Estimate .................................................................................................................................... 25 Exhibit 15: Alaska Import Transportation Mode Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate ....................... 27 Exhibit 16: Alaska Export Transportation Mode Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate ........................ 27 Exhibit 17: Alaska's Leading Commodities by Tons and Value, Year 2015 Estimate .................................. 29 Exhibit 18: Alaska’s Leading Commodities by Tons, Direction and Trade Type, Year 2015 Estimate ........ 30 Exhibit 19: Alaska’s Leading Commodities by Value, Direction and Trade Type, Year 2015 Estimate .................................................................................................................................... 31 Exhibit 20: Tonnage and Value of Domestic Within-State Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ......... 32 i | P a g e Alaska Statewide Long-Range Transportation Plan | December 2016 Let’s Keep Moving 2036: Freight Element Exhibit 21: Tonnage and Value of Domestic Outbound Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ............. 33 Exhibit 22: Destinations for Domestic Outbound Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ...................... 34 Exhibit 23: Tonnage and Value of Domestic Inbound Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ................ 35 Exhibit 24: Origins for Domestic Inbound Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate .................................. 36 Exhibit 25: Tonnage and Value of International Export Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ............. 37 Exhibit 26: Destinations for International Export Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ...................... 37 Exhibit 27: Tonnage and Value of International Import Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ............ 38 Exhibit 28: Origins for International Import Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate ............................... 39 Exhibit 29: Leading Commodities for Pass-Through Goods Movements, Year 2015 Estimate .................. 40 Exhibit 30: Domestic Truck Mode Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate .............................................. 42 Exhibit 31: Domestic Truck Mode Origins and Destinations, Year 2015 Estimate ..................................... 43 Exhibit 32: States with Average In-State Truck VMT per Ton > = 100 miles, 2012 ..................................... 43 Exhibit 33: Main Highways in Alaska ........................................................................................................... 45 Exhibit 34: Leading Alaska Truck Corridors ................................................................................................. 45 Exhibit 35: Top Truck Flows at Count Stations in Northern Region ............................................................ 47 Exhibit 36: Top Truck Flows at Count Stations in Central Region ............................................................... 48 Exhibit 37: Top Truck Flows at Count Stations in Southeast Region........................................................... 49 Exhibit 38: Seasonality of Employment by Industry, Averaged 2009 to 2013 ............................................ 50 Exhibit 39: Seasonality of Trucking in the Central Region (2010, 2011, and 2012) .................................... 51 Exhibit 40: Domestic Air Mode Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate .................................................. 52 Exhibit 41: Domestic Air Mode Origins and Destinations, Year 2015 Estimate .......................................... 53 Exhibit 42: Air Freight to/from ANC, Excluding Within-State Moves, 2013................................................ 54 Exhibit 43: Inbound Tons of Mail and Freight in 2013 (Note: ANC not shown) ......................................... 54 Exhibit 44: Deplaned and Enplaned Freight and Mail, All Alaska Airports, 2013 ....................................... 56 Exhibit 45: Domestic Water Mode Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate ............................................. 57 Exhibit 46: Domestic Water Mode Origins and Destinations, Year 2015 Estimate .................................... 58 Exhibit 47: International Water Mode, Inbound Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate ....................... 58 Exhibit 48: International Water Mode, Outbound Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate .................... 59 Exhibit 49: Alaska Port Tonnages, 2014 ...................................................................................................... 60 Exhibit 50: Locations of Major Ports by Tonnage, Excluding Internal/Local Moves, 2014 ......................... 61 Exhibit 51: Port of Anchorage Tonnage, 2011-2015 .................................................................................. 62 Exhibit 52: Alaska Marine Highway System ................................................................................................ 63 Exhibit 53: The Alaska Railroad ................................................................................................................... 64 Exhibit 54: Rail Shipments to/from and within Alaska by Tons and Value, 2012 ....................................... 66 Exhibit 55: Map of Trans-Alaska Pipeline .................................................................................................... 67 Exhibit 56: Domestic Mail and Multiple Modes Tonnage and Value, Year 2015 Estimate ......................... 68 Exhibit 57: Alaska Population by Borough/Census Area ............................................................................. 69 Alaska Statewide Long-Range Transportation Plan | December 2016 ii | P a g e Let’s Keep Moving 2036: Freight Element Exhibit 58: Projected Alaska Population Growth, 2012 to 2042 ................................................................. 70 Exhibit 59: Total Non-Freight, Freight, and Government Wages (left axis) and Employment (right axis) by Sector, 2002 to 2013 .................................................................................................... 72 Exhibit 60: Composition of Total Wages in Freight Intensive Industries, 2002 to 2013 ............................. 72 Exhibit 61: Alaska 2012 to