WFP MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE SUDAN, SEPTEMBER 2017 Highlights . The national average price of sorghum increased this month by 4.0 percent compared to the previous month (August). The retail prices of sorghum increased sharply in Kassala, Blue Nile and White Nile, significantly in Red Sea and Central Darfur, which attributed to the shortage of rainfall in in some states, and border trades in Eastern states. The national average price of goat increased by 3.0 percent compared to the previous month due to the poor range condition this season; the highest increase was in South Darfur, South Kordofan and West Darfur states. The national average price of groundnut increased by only 2.0 percent compared to the previous month. The highest increase was in West Kordofan and Central Darfur states. Summary The national average price of sorghum Sorghum Prices - National Average continued its significant increase, which increased by 4.0 percent compared to 5.0 4.5 August 2017. The current national retail 4.0 price of sorghum increased by 10 3.5 percent compared to the same period of 3.0 previous year (August 2016), which 2.5 reflect the poor performance of the SDG/KG 2.0 current agricultural season concerning 1.5 sorghum cultivation. The delay of 1.0 rainfall in some areas, long dry spell 0.5 during early August in some main 0.0 production areas and low prices also Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec contributed to this significant increase 5 Year Average (2011 -2015) 2016 2017 in sorghum price. The national average price of sorghum was 57 percent higher than the five-year average of same month (September). SUDAN MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE SEPTEMBER 2017 The national average price of goat increased by 3.0 percent compared to Goat Prices - National Average the previous month (August) this slight increase attributed to the low rainfall in 750 the main rangeland and grazing areas 700 650 around Sudan. The national average 600 goat price increased by 48 percent 550 500 compared to the same month of the 450 400 previous year (September 2016). 350 SDG/Head 300 The national average price of goat was 250 200 104 percent higher than the five-year 150 100 average of the same month 50 (September). This high variation in the 0 national average price of goat mainly Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec attributed to the inflationary increase 5 Year Average (2011-2015) 2016 2017 in the cost of production, such as medicines and feeding ingredients, where most of it are imported. The national average price of groundnut increased by 2.0 percent Groundnut Prices - National Average compared to August 2017. This slight increase is due to the closeness of the 550 harvesting period in most production 500 areas around Sudan. It’s expected to 450 drop by the onset of the harvesting 400 period in October/November. 350 300 The groundnut price was higher by 250 200 102.0 percent compared to the same (45KG) SDG/Kantar 150 period of the previous year (September 100 2016) due high demand from the local 50 oil industry and export market. 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec The national average price of 5 Year Average (2011 - 2015) 2016 2017 groundnut was 112.0 percent higher than the five-year average of the same month (September). Additional price data for the three commodities for 2015, 2016 and 2017 by the state found in annex 1 (page 7). 2 SUDAN MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE SEPTEMBER 2017 Sorghum The sorghum retail prices increased in September in all states except South Darfur (decreased by 2.5 percent), West Kordofan (decreased by 0.7 percent) and South Kordofan (decreased by 0.5 percent) compared to the previous month (August). It sharply increased in Kassala (15 percent), Blue Nile (11.8 percent), White Nile (10.4 percent), Red Sea (8.4 percent), Central Darfur (7.2 percent), North Kordofan (7.0 percent) while it slightly increased in East Darfur (2.4 percent), North Darfur (2.2 percent) and West Darfur (1.0 percent). The significant increase in the sorghum prices in some states, which mainly attributed to very poor rainfall and frequent dry spells during the current season in many production areas in addition to shift of many farmers to cultivate cash crops. The sorghum prices varied in all states compared to the same period of the previous year (September 2016). It sharply increased in two states, Central Darfur (100 percent) and West Darfur (85 percent), slightly in Kassala (7.0 percent), North Darfur (6.3 percent) and South Kordofan (6.0 percent). Sorghum prices sharply decreased in White Nile (15 percent), North Kordofan (11 percent) and Red Sea (8 percent), while it decreased slightly in West Kordofan (6 percent) and Blue Nile (4 percent). The sorghum prices were higher by 1 to 155 percent in all states compared to the 5-year average of the same month (September). Sorghum Prices, by State 7.0 6.5 6.28 5.86 5.74 5.71 5.70 5.66 6.0 5.61 5.31 5.24 5.18 5.13 5.08 5.5 5.03 4.93 4.79 4.76 5.0 4.71 4.51 4.50 4.39 4.33 4.31 4.30 4.14 4.14 4.09 4.5 4.06 3.99 3.89 3.82 3.81 3.72 3.54 4.0 3.53 3.33 3.31 3.20 3.14 3.5 3.09 3.0 SDG / SDG KG 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 September 2016 August 2017 September 2017 3 SUDAN MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE SEPTEMBER 2017 Goat The prices of goat sharply increased in South Darfur (10 percent), South Kordofan (9.7 percent) and West Darfur (8.3 percent) compared to the previous month (August). It slightly increased (by 1 to 3 percent) in White Nile , Kassala, Red Sea, West Kordofan and East Darfur, while it decreased Blue Nile and North Darfur. The stability and/or slight increase the goat prices in most states, which attributed to the poor rainy season and rangeland in the main livestock production areas. The price of goat increased by 5 to 99 percent in all states compared to the same month of the previous year (September 2016), while it was higher by 32 to 160 percent in all states compared to the 5-year average of the same month. The increase in goat prices compared to the previous years attributed to the inflationary increase in the cost of inputs and services. Goat Prices, by State 951 952 900 833 825 819 800 800 800 788 732 731 729 714 710 710 700 697 691 687 700 670 638 638 636 633 629 625 607 587 600 558 545 517 510 494 500 438 427 412 400 396 400 388 SDG /Head SDG 300 200 100 0 September 2016 August 2017 September 2017 4 SUDAN MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE SEPTEMBER 2017 Groundnut The groundnut prices continued its increase in all states compared to the previous month (August), except Blue Nile where it decreased by 3 percent. It significantly increased in West Kordofan (8 percent), Central Darfur (7.6 percent), South Darfur (5.7 percent) and West Darfur (5.2 percent), while it slightly increased (by 1 to 3 percent) in White Nile, North Kordofan, South Kordofan, North Darfur and East Darfur. The increasing trend of groundnut prices in most states attributed to the high costs of production and high demand of oilseeds from internal and export markets. The groundnut prices increased by 66 to 200 percent in all states compared to the same month of the previous year (August 2016) while it remained higher in all states by 79 to 157 percent compared to the five-year average of September. Groundnut Prices, by State 507 696 707 535 563 510 587 568 532 575 493 491 483 500 481 455 423 423 450 422 418 411 400 362 359 350 341 314 300 250 249 244 243 236 250 230 199 200 152 SDG /Kantar SDG 150 100 50 0 September 2016 August 2017 September 2017 5 SUDAN MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE SEPTEMBER 2017 THE PERCENTAGE CHANGE OF SORGHUM, GOAT AND GROUNDNUT PRICES COMPARED TO THE AUGUST 2017 AND SEPTEMBER 2016 Variation of Sorghum Prices, by states Variation of Goat Prices, by states Variation of Groundnut Prices, by states 99.0 110 100 189 99.6 190 90 82.8 90 84.9 80 170 70 61.6 59.7 59.4 150 138 60 54.2 126 125 48.0 70 122 43.8 130 50 42.0 36.7 36.1 102 101 40 31.0 110 50 30 87 90 79 20 10.3 9.7 69 8.3 66 5.0 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.3 10 1.3 70 0.7 30 0.6 0.1 15.2 0 11.7 10.4 50 9.5 8.4 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.3 6.3 -10 4.4 0.5 2.4 1.6 2.2 10 2.0 - 1.0 0.8 - 30 -20 change Percent 8.2 7.6 Percentage change change Percentage Percentage change change Percentage 5.7 5.2 2.7 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.1 -30 10 0.7 -10 0.5 0.7 2.5 - - -40 4.3 - 5.5 - - 7.9 -10 - -50 11.1 3.3 - - 14.7 -30 - -60 -30 -70 -50 -50 -80 -90 -70 West Darfur West White Nile White South Darfur South Kassala Red Sea Red Central Darfur Central National Average National West Kordofan West Blue Nile Blue East Darfur East South Kordofan South North Darfur North North Kordofan North Blue Nile Blue White Nile White East Darfur East South Darfur South South Kordofan South Kassala North Darfur North North Kordofan North Red Sea Red Central Darfur Central West Darfur West West Kordofan West S.