1 PS 0188-12 Chinese Foreign Policy Professor Michael Beckley Spring 2015 Office: Packard Hall, 307 Tu/Th 3-4:15pm Hours: Th 1:-2:30pm This undergraduate lecture course provides a comprehensive introduction to the foreign policy of the People’s Republic of China. All of the required readings are posted on Trunk. Grades will be determined as follows: • Map Test 10% • Midterm 40% • Final 50% The Midterm and Final exams will consist of a series of identification questions, short answer questions, and essays. The final exam covers all of the course material, including the readings and lectures prior to the midterm. Make-up exams will not be granted without a note from the Dean or a doctor. The Map Test will take place on March 5. You will be given a blank map and be asked to fill in the names of some (aka “most”) of the countries, territories, and bodies of water listed below. Countries Territories Waters Afghanistan Myanmar/Burma Diaoyu Islands Andaman Sea Australia Nepal Hong Kong East China Sea Bhutan New Zealand Paracel Islands Gulf of Thailand Cambodia North Korea Spratly Islands Sea of Japan India Pakistan Taiwan South China Sea Indonesia Philippines Tibet Strait of Malacca Japan Russia XinJiang Yangzi River Kazakhstan Singapore Yellow River Kyrgyzstan South Korea Laos Tajikistan Malaysia Thailand Mongolia Vietnam 2 January 15: Course Intro January 20: The External Drivers of Chinese Foreign Policy • Susan Shirk, Fragile Superpower, chap. 1. • John Mearsheimer, Tragedy of Great Power Politics (2014), ch. 10, Can China Rise Peacefully? January 22: The Internal Drivers of Chinese Foreign Policy • Susan Shirk, Fragile Superpower, chap. 3. • Wang Yuan-Kang, Harmony and War: Confucian Culture and Chinese Power Politics (New York: Columbia, 2010): 101-144 • “Xi Who Must Be Obeyed,” Economist, September 20, 2014 • “The Power of Xi Jinping,” Economist, September 20, 2014 January 27: Internal Dissent, Tibet, Xinjiang, and Hong Kong • Timothy Beardson, Stumbling Giant, chap. 8. • “Unrest in Hong Kong: It’s Not Over,” Economist, December 20, 2014 • Melvyn C. Goldstein, “The Dalai Lama’s Dilemma,” Foreign Affairs (January/February 1998), pp. 83-97 • Brian Fishman, “Al-Qaeda and the Rise of China,” Washington Quarterly, (Summer 2011), pp. 47-62. January 29: Taiwan I • James Mann, China’s About Face, chaps. 17-18. • Alan Wachman, Geostrategic Rationales For China’s Territorial Integrity (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2007), chaps. 7-8. February 3: Taiwan II • Bruce Gilley, “Not So Dire Straits,” Foreign Affairs, 89/1 (Jan/Feb 2010). • John Mearsheimer, “Taiwan’s Dire Straits,” National Interest (March/April 2014). February 5: Cold War I: 1945-1971 • Chen Jian, Mao’s China and the Cold War, chaps. 1-3, 9. February 10: Cold War II: 1971-1991 • James Mann, About Face, chaps. 1-8. February 12: The United States I • James Mann, About Face, chaps. 9-16. February 17: The United States II • Avery Goldstein, “China’s Real and Present Danger: Now Is the Time for Washington to Worry,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 92, No. 5 (September/October 2013), pp. 3 136-145. • Kenneth Lieberthal and Wang Jisi, Addressing U.S.-China Strategic Distrust, (Washington, D.C.: Brookings, 2012). February 24: Korea • David Shambaugh,“China and the Korean Peninsula: Playing for the Long Term,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 26, No. 2 (Spring 2003), pp. 43-56 • Sunny Seong-hyon Lee, “Chinese Perspectives on North Korea and Korean Unification,” KEIA, Vol. 6 (2013). February 26: Japan • Susan Shirk, Fragile Superpower, chap. 6. • Richard Katz, “Mutual Assured Production: Why Trade Will Limit Conflict between Japan and China,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 92, No. 4 (2013). • James Reilly, “A Wave to Worry About? Public Opinion, Foreign Policy and China’s Anti-Japan Protests,” Journal of Contemporary China, Vol. 23, No. 86 (2014). • Wu Xinbo, “The End of the Silver Lining: A Chinese View of the U.S.-Japanese Alliance,” The Washington Quarterly 29:1 (Winter 2005-2006), pp. 119-130 March 3: South, Central, and Southeast Asia • Gregory B. Poling, The South China Sea (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2014), chaps. tbd. • Thant Myint-U, Where China Meets India: Burma and the New Crossroads of Asia, chaps. tbd. • “China in Central Asia: Rising China, Sinking Russia,” Economist, September 14, 2013). March 5: Map Test March 10: No Class, Study for Midterm March 12: Midterm March 24: Beyond Asia I: Diplomatic Interests • David Shambuagh, China Goes Global, pp. 45-61, 86-94, 105-155. • Robert Sutter, Chinese Foreign Relations, chap. 11. March 26: Beyond Asia II: Economic Interests • David Shambuagh, China Goes Global, chap. 5. • Jon B. Alternman and John W. Garver, The Vital Triangle: China, the United States, and the Middle East (Washington, DC: CSIS, 2008), pp. 10-53 • Eric Farnsworth, “The New Mercantilism: China's Emerging Role in the Americas,” Current History (February 2011), pp. 56-61. • Li Anshan, “China’s New Policy to Africa,” in Robert Rotberg, ed., China Into Africa: Trade, Aid, and Influence (Washington, DC: Brookings, 2008), pp. 21-49 4 March 31: Economic Policy I • Daniel Drezner, “Bad Debts: Assessing China’s Financial Influence in Great Power Politics,” International Security, Vol. 34, No. 2 (Fall 2009): 7-45 • Ken Miller, “Coping with China’s Financial Power,” Foreign Affairs (July/August 2010). • James Reilly, “China’s Unilateral Sanctions,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 35, No. 4 (Fall 2012). April 2: Economic Policy II • Edward Steinfeld, Playing Our Game, (Oxford University Press), 2, 4, 5. • Timothy Beardson, Stumbling Giant, chap. 7. • “Dealing with Denial: America’s Concessions Are More Real Than China’s,” Economist, November 13, 2014. April 7: Military Policy I: Capabilities • Evan Braden Montgomery, “Contested Primacy in the Western Pacific: China’s Rise and the Future of U.S. Projection,” International Security, Vol. 38, No. 4 (Spring 2014). April 9: Military Policy II: Missions • David Shambaugh, China Goes Global, chap. 7. April 14: Soft Power and Human Rights • David Shambuagh, China Goes Global, chap. 6. • Jospeh S. Nye, “What China and Russia Don’t Get About Soft Power,” Foreign Policy, (April 29, 2013). • Trefor Moss, “Soft Power? China Has Plenty,” The Diplomat (June 4, 2013). April 16: Final Review session April 21: Study for Final April 23: Final .