Cheltenham Needs Analysis Produced by Data and Analysis Team Gloucestershire County Council July 2019 Contents Thriving Economy and Workforce ......................................................................................... 4 1. The economy of Cheltenham ...................................................................................... 4 1.1 Gross Value Added ................................................................................................. 4 1.2 Jobs and workplace based employment ................................................................. 6 2. Cheltenham’s business base and entrepreneurial growth ........................................... 8 2.1 Active enterprises ................................................................................................... 8 2.2 Business start-ups ................................................................................................ 10 2.3 Business deaths ................................................................................................... 11 2.4 Survival rates ........................................................................................................ 12 2.5 Business size and turnover ................................................................................... 14 2.6 Self employment ................................................................................................... 17 3. The workforce........................................................................................................... 19 3.1 Employment .......................................................................................................... 19 3.2 Occupations .......................................................................................................... 22 3.3 Unemployment ...................................................................................................... 22 3.4 Economic inactivity ............................................................................................... 24 3.5 Not in Education, Employment or Training ............................................................ 25 Thriving Cultural Offer ......................................................................................................... 27 4. Tourism .................................................................................................................... 27 5. Environmental Quality and Heritage ......................................................................... 28 5.1 The Natural Environment ...................................................................................... 28 5.2 Areas with Green Flag Award status ..................................................................... 30 5.3 Heritage ................................................................................................................ 31 5.4 Environmental issues ............................................................................................ 33 Thriving People and Communities....................................................................................... 47 6. Community Safety .................................................................................................... 47 6.1 Crime and anti-social behaviour ............................................................................ 47 6.2 Domestic Abuse .................................................................................................... 54 6.3 Offending .............................................................................................................. 56 7. Healthy Lifestyles ..................................................................................................... 57 7.1 Obesity ................................................................................................................. 57 7.2 Childhood wellbeing .............................................................................................. 61 7.3 Alcohol .................................................................................................................. 62 7.4 Smoking ................................................................................................................ 63 7.5 Self harm .............................................................................................................. 65 8. Poverty ..................................................................................................................... 66 8.1 Deprivation ........................................................................................................... 66 8.2 Child Poverty ........................................................................................................ 70 8.3 Fuel Poverty.......................................................................................................... 73 9. Homelessness .......................................................................................................... 74 9.1 Statutory Homelessness ....................................................................................... 75 9.2 Rough Sleeping .................................................................................................... 77 9.3 Prevention and Relief ............................................................................................ 78 10. Citizens Advice Bureau ......................................................................................... 79 11. Vulnerable Children .............................................................................................. 83 11.1 Physical health ...................................................................................................... 84 11.2 Mental health ........................................................................................................ 85 11.3 Vulnerable childhoods ........................................................................................... 86 11.4 Poverty ................................................................................................................. 87 11.5 Special educational needs or disability (SEND) .................................................... 89 11.6 Exclusion .............................................................................................................. 92 11.7 Poor Attendance ................................................................................................... 93 11.8 Social Care Needs ................................................................................................ 95 11.9 Poor Access to Education ..................................................................................... 97 12. Vulnerable Families ............................................................................................ 100 12.1 Families First ...................................................................................................... 100 13. Vulnerable Adults ................................................................................................ 102 13.1 Adult Social Care Service Users ......................................................................... 102 Appendix 1: Error Bars .................................................................................................. 109 Thriving Economy and Workforce The economy of an area is integral to the health and wellbeing of the local population. A thriving economy will provide a basis for the improvement in the quality of life of Cheltenham residents, while a declining economy and high levels of unemployment can increase levels of poverty and have a detrimental impact on the physical and mental health of some residents. 1. The economy of Cheltenham 1.1 Gross Value Added The total output of the Cheltenham economy was approximately £2.97 billion in 2017, representing 18% of the value of output in Gloucestershire1. This was less than Gloucester and Tewkesbury which contributed 22% and 21% of the value of output in Gloucestershire respectively. Figure 1 shows the industrial sectors in terms of their size, growth and local concentration. The sectors contributing most to the district’s GVA2 are those represented by the largest bubbles. Those in the top-left quadrant are more concentrated in Cheltenham than in Gloucestershire a whole, but crucially have experienced falling levels of GVA in recent years. The upper-right quadrant of the diagram shows sectors which are growing and in which Cheltenham has a structural advantage in terms of local concentration of GVA. Real estate activities and Human health and social work activities make the greatest contribution to Cheltenham’s GVA. Finance and insurance activities, Manufacturing, Public administration and defence, Agriculture, mining and utilities and Transport and storage make less of a contribution to Cheltenham’s total GVA than the county as a whole. This could be because these sectors are smaller in Cheltenham than elsewhere or they are less productive in Cheltenham than elsewhere. Over the last five years the output generated by Public administration and defence, Human health and social work activities and Arts, entertainment and recreation to Cheltenham’s GVA has declined. 1 Regional gross value added (balanced) local authority by NUTS 1 region: UKK South West, ONS 2 GVA is used to measure the economic value of the goods and services produced in an area Broad industrial sectors in terms of growth, size and specialism in GVA Professional, scientific & Human health & social work Accommodation