San Bernardino County Maglev to Las Vegas Los Angeles County San Bernardino County KENDALL RIVERSIDE Long Range Transit Plan 40TH RANCHO CUCAMONGA 15 215 Final ReportSIERRA TC STATE 20TH HIGHLAND 210 210 19TH DEL ROSA EUCLID ETIWANDA FONTANA E AYALA MILLIKEN HIGHLAND BASELINE PALM CARNELIAN BASELINE WATERMAN STERLING BOULDER UPLAND ARCHIBALD 9TH MEDICAL CENT ER CITRUS GREENSPOT CHURCH HAVEN SIERRA RIALTO 5TH 3RD Metro Gold FOOTHILL 2ND Line to RIALTO TC ARROW Pasadena G CHERRY 210 ARROWHEAD SAN BERNARDINO JERSEY ALDER MT MT VERNON MILL 2 SIERRA TC 2 TC MERRILL 2 RANCHO 6TH ORANGE VINEYARD MONTEVISTA STATE 38 4TH SAN BERNARDINO TIPPECANOE MOUNTAIN 10 MILL CREEK To Pomona RIVERSIDE CLEVELAND TC LUGONIA MONTCLAIR INLAND EMPIRE ONTARIO MILLS VALLEY G ALABAMA Transcenter PEPPER HOSPITALITY REDLAND S HOLT SP AIRPORT CALIFORNIA TC TC LA CADENA STATE ANDERSON CITRUS SANTA ANA TC 9TH CRAFTON CACTUS CAJON WABASH SAND CANYON MISSION 15 BARTON JURUPA LOCUST ONTARIO CEDAR COLTON WASHINGTON TC YUCAIPA BRYANT FRANCIS MT VERNON LOMA LINDA 2 MILLIKEN CYPRESS YUCAIPA CENTRAL PHILADELPHIA 2 MU LBERRY 10 60 215 AVENUE E WALNUT REDLANDS HAVEN GROVE GRAND TERRACE RAMONA RIVERSIDE ARCHIBALD CHINO TC Riverside County GRAND Replace RTA EDISON SANANTONIO Route 36 PEYTON CHINO HILLS CHINO In Association with KIMBALL GROVE Hexagon Transportation Consultants, Inc. To Cal Poly To LimonitePatti Post & Associates Pomona Shopping Center Vision BRT Routes San Bernardino Avenue Vision Maglev TC Transit Center CHINO HILLS M.I.G. E Street Grand/Edison Avenues Vision Rail Routes 2 METROLINK Rail Station 71 Applied Management & Planning Group 2 San Bernardino Associated Governments Foothill Boulevard East Sierra Avenue Potential BRT Stations Proposed METROLINK Rail Station Foothill Boulevard West Riverside Avenue TOD Station Area To Corona Mountain/Euclid Avenues Haven METROLINK Rail Lines April 2010 Holt Avenue /4th Street Vision Local Bus Routes Potential Rail Stations Metrolink Station Maglev to 01.25 2.5 5 7.5 10 Anaheim Miles San Bernardino Associated VISION Sustainable Land Use Scenario Governments (SANBAG) DRAFT LONG RANGE TRANSIT PLAN (LRTP) for the San Bernardino Valley August 2009 San Bernardino Associated Governments San Bernardino County Long Range Transit Plan Final Report April 2010 Submitted to: SANBAG 1170 West 3rd Street, 2nd Floor San Bernardino, California 92410 Submitted by: Parsons Transportation Group In Association With Hexagon Transportation Consultants, Inc. Patti Post & Associates M.I.G. Applied Management & Planning Group Parsons Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................... 1 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 11 1.1 County Setting ................................................................................................. 11 1.2 Challenges ........................................................................................................ 12 1.3 Legislative Framework ..................................................................................... 14 1.4 Planning Framework ........................................................................................ 15 CHAPTER 2 EXISTING CONDITIONS .................................................................... 19 2.1 Existing Transit Conditions .............................................................................. 19 2.2 Existing Land Use Plans and Policies ............................................................... 24 2.3 Existing Demographic and Ridership Profile.................................................... 32 CHAPTER 3 THE TRANSPORTATION / LAND USE CONNECTION .................................. 43 3.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 43 3.2 Transit Oriented Development ........................................................................ 43 3.3 Regional Examples of TOD’s ............................................................................ 45 3.4 Strategies for TOD Implementation & Example Policies ................................. 47 CHAPTER 4 TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING AND FUTURE CONDITIONS ...................... 63 4.1 Travel Demand Forecasting Methodology ...................................................... 63 4.2 Travel Demand Model Validation .................................................................... 69 4.3 Year 2035 Population and Employment Forecasts .......................................... 71 CHAPTER 5 DEVELOPMENT OF ALTERNATIVES ...................................................... 77 5.1 Regional Plans ................................................................................................. 77 5.2 2035 Baseline Alternative ................................................................................ 86 5.3 2035 Plan Alternative ...................................................................................... 89 5.4 2035 Vision Alternative.................................................................................... 95 5.5 2035 Sustainable Land Use Alternative ......................................................... 102 CHAPTER 6 EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES ....................................................... 105 6.1 Evaluation Methodology ............................................................................... 105 6.2 Model Results for Transit Alternatives .......................................................... 105 6.3 Comparison of Alternatives ........................................................................... 114 CHAPTER 7 VICTOR VALLEY TRANSIT ALTERNATIVES ............................................ 123 7.1 Victor Valley Transit Authority ...................................................................... 123 7.2 Existing Activity Centers ................................................................................ 125 7.3 Existing Demographics .................................................................................. 125 7.4 Planned Development Projects ...................................................................... 128 7.5 Travel Demand Forecasting and Future Conditions ...................................... 128 7.6 Development of Transit Alternatives ............................................................. 129 7.7 Evaluation of Alternatives ............................................................................. 137 | i San Bernardino County Long Range Transit Plan CHAPTER 8 RURAL TRANSIT AGENCIES ............................................................. 145 8.1 Future Conditions .......................................................................................... 145 8.2 Future Service ................................................................................................ 146 CHAPTER 9 PUBLIC OUTREACH ....................................................................... 147 9.1 Public Workshops .......................................................................................... 147 9.2 City and Agency Outreach ............................................................................. 148 9.3 Final Public Meeting(s) .................................................................................. 148 CHAPTER 10 FINANCIAL PLAN .......................................................................... 151 10.1 Funding Sources and Amounts ...................................................................... 151 10.2 Possible Innovative Financial Strategies ....................................................... 152 10.3 Revenue from Development and Transit Oriented Development (TOD) ....... 158 10.4 Financial Projections ...................................................................................... 164 CHAPTER 11 RECOMMENDED LONG RANGE TRANSIT PLAN ..................................... 167 11.1 San Bernardino Valley alternatives ............................................................... 167 11.2 San Bernardino Valley Recommended LRTP.................................................. 168 11.3 Victor Valley................................................................................................... 170 11.4 Rural Transit Operators ................................................................................. 171 Appendices Appendix A – Existing Plans and Policies .................................................................................................. 173 Appendix B – Transit Riders Survey .......................................................................................................... 189 Appendix C – Financial Projections ........................................................................................................... 191 List of Tables Table ES-1: Recommended LRTP for San Bernardino Valley ....................................................................... 8 Table 2-1: Existing Transcenters ................................................................................................................ 23 Table 2-2: Summarized Results of Land Use Survey. ................................................................................. 25 Table 2-3: Year 2006 Population and Employment Data - San Bernardino Valley Cities .......................... 35 Table 2-4: Survey Results ........................................................................................................................... 36 Table 3-1: Examples