CALIFORNIA Regional Haze SIP Development Progress Report IWG Meeting Portland, Oregon August 29-31, 2006 HIGHLIGHTS • Federal Land Managers • IMPROVE • BART • Interstate Consultation • Interstate Transport • Reasonable Progress FEDERAL LAND MANAGERS • Intra-State Consultation • Bi-Annual Meetings • Regional Haze Teach-In IMPROVE MONITORING • Match Air Basins • Similar Elevations • Reasonable Distance • Future Growth and Land Use • Research Value • Rank Importance BART-eligible FACILITIES • Possibly 30 facilities outside the SJV and SC • Sixteen BART categories • RACT and rule stringency • Q/D elimination, then Subject-to-BART modeling • Title V permits • TPY reductions minimal FAR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA concentration extinction REDWOODS • Species Analysis Coastal Avg. Worst 18.45 dv – Haze Drivers – Seasonality TRINITY – Concentration Remote Forest Coast Range (lee) – Extinction Avg. Worst 16.32 dv • Geography LAVA BEDS Inland Plain – Terrain Avg. Worst 15.05 dv – Meteorology LASSEN VOLCANIC – Regional vs. Local Western Base of Mountain – Proximity to eight Avg. Worst 14.15 dv Class 1 Areas FAR NORTHERN ISSUES • Surrounding Land Use - Natural - Anthropogenic - Transport (Pacific, OR, WA, NV, Asia) • Species Reductions –Nitrates, sulfates, woodsmoke •Long-Term Strategy – Smoke Management – On/Off Road Mobile - BART - SB 656 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA • Species Analysis – Nitrates, Sulfates, OC, Coarse Mass, EC • Attribution – Mobile Sources primarily; Boundary Transport • Strategies (NAAQS non-attainment) – Diesel Risk Reduction, Goods Movement, BACM GLIDE PATH BENCHMARKS REGIONAL HAZE BENCHMARKS for Worst Worst 10-year 2018 Per Cent Complete California Class 1 Areas Haze Haze Change Years of Site Name Class I Area(s) Natural II Baseline Glide BENCH by 2018 Data (dv) (dv) Slope MARK • Lowest Hurdles NORTHERN CALIFORNIA REDW1 Redwood Redwood National Park 14.03 18.45 0.07 17.42 5.6% 5 TRIN1 Trinity Marble Mountain Wilderness 8.25 16.32 0.13 14.43 11.5% 3 – coast at sea level Yolla Bolly-Middle Eel Wilderness LABE1 Lava Beds Lava Beds National Monument 7.95 15.05 0.12 13.39 11.0% 4 South Warner Wilderness – lee of Sierra LAVO1 Lassen Lassen Volcanic National Park 7.38 14.15 0.11 12.57 11.2% 5 Volcanic Caribou Wilderness Thousand Lakes Wilderness SIERRA CALIFORNIA BLIS1 Bliss Desolation Wilderness 6.19 12.63 0.11 11.13 11.9% 4 • Highest Hurdles Mokelumne Wilderness HOOV1 Hoover Hoover Wilderness 8.04 12.87 0.08 11.74 8.8% 3 YOSE1 Yosemite Yosemite National Park 7.72 17.63 0.17 15.32 13.1% 5 Emigrant Wilderness – southern Sierra KAIS1 Kaiser Ansel Adams Wilderness 7.26 14.75 0.12 13.01 11.9% 2 Kaiser Wilderness John Muir Wilderness – southernmost C1As SEQU1 Sequoia Sequoia National Park 7.56 24.62 0.28 20.64 16.2% 3 Kings Canyon National Park DOME1 Dome Lands Dome Lands Wilderness 7.53 19.43 0.20 16.65 14.3% 4 COASTAL CALIFORNIA • Regional REDW1 Redwood Redwood National Park 14.03 18.45 0.07 17.42 5.6% 5 PORE1 Point Reyes Point Reyes National Seashore 15.88 22.81 0.12 21.19 7.1% 3 PINN1 Pinnacles PinnaclesWilderness 8.05 18.46 0.17 16.03 13.2% 4 Ventana Wilderness Response to RAFA1 San Rafael San Rafael 7.83 18.86 0.18 16.28 13.6% 2 SAGA1 San Gabriel San Gabriel Wilderness 7.13 19.94 0.21 16.95 15.0% 3 Cucamonga Wilderness AGTI1 Agua Tibia Agua Tibia 7.70 23.50 0.26 19.81 15.7% 4 Reductions SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SAGA1 San Gabriel San Gabriel Wilderness 7.13 19.94 0.21 16.95 15.0% 3 Cucamonga Wilderness SAGO1 San Gorgonio San Gorgonio Wildrness 7.36 22.17 0.25 18.72 15.6% 4 San Jacinto Wilderness AGTI1 Agua Tibia Agua Tibia • Gap Analysis 7.70 23.50 0.26 19.81 15.7% 4 JOSH1 Joshua Tree Joshua Tree National Park 7.25 19.62 0.21 16.73 14.7% 4 AVERAGE 8.42 18.31 0.16 16.00 12.4% 3.6 RANGE lowest 6.19 12.63 0.07 11.13 5.59% 2.00 to highest 15.88 24.62 0.28 21.19 16.16% 5.00 VISIBILITY IMPROVEMENT • San Gorgonio GAP Analysis – Achieve 70% of 2018 deciview benchmark – 45% reduction in nitrate extinction – 11% reduction in OMC; 37% reduction in EC – slight increase in sulfate, coarse mass, and fine soil extinction • Overall Trend is Improvement WHO IMPACTS WHOM • Uncontrollable Boundary Sources • BART Sources • Large Nearby Sources • Caveats for Attribution Modeling Results Phase 1 Report TSSA: Combined Nitrate & Sulfate • Relative Percentage >50% 25-50% <25% for Consultation REASONABLE PROGRESS • Justify Reasonable Progress Goal using WRAP data analyses – Wildfires – Transport – Mobile sources, transportation corridors – Population growth and land use – Nearby stationary source facility • Long Term Strategy – Explaining California SIP Commitments – Don’t shoot the messenger! CALIFORNIA Class 1 Areas.