LASURECO COMPREHENSIVE RESILIENCY PLAN BUILDING LOW EMISSION ALTERNATIVES TO DEVELOP ECONOMIC RESILIENCE AND SUSTAINABILITY PROJECT (B-LEADERS) November 2018 This document was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared by RTI International. 1 2 LASURECO COMPREHENSIVE RESILIENCY PLAN BUILDING LOW EMISSION ALTERNATIVES TO DEVELOP ECONOMIC RESILIENCE AND SUSTAINABILITY PROJECT (B-LEADERS) November 2018 DISCLAIMER The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. This document is intended to comply with Section 508 Standard of the Federal Acquisition 3 Regulation. If you have any difficulties accessing this document, please contact [email protected]. TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS ········································································································· 4 LIST OF FIGURES ················································································································ 7 ACRONYMS & ABBREVIATIONS ···················································································· 10 I. BACKGROUND ·············································································································· 12 II. SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS ···························································································· 15 II.1 Context ...................................................................................................................................................... 15 II.1.1. Population .............................................................................................................................. 15 II.1.2. Income and Livelihood ...................................................................................................... 17 II.1.3. Livelihood ............................................................................................................................... 20 II.1.4. Religion ................................................................................................................................... 21 II.1.5. Energy ...................................................................................................................................... 22 II.2 Threats and Root Causes ..................................................................................................................... 23 II.3 Barrier Analysis ....................................................................................................................................... 27 II.4 Stakeholders Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 31 III. STRATEGY ··················································································································· 33 III.1 Design Principle and Strategic Considerations .......................................................................... 33 III.2 Objective ................................................................................................................................................... 37 III.3 Strategic Components ......................................................................................................................... 37 III.4 Outcomes and Outputs/Activities ................................................................................................... 37 IV. RESILIENCE COMPLIANCE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN ············································ 43 IV.1. Non-Technical Services ...................................................................................................................... 43 IV.2. Technical Services................................................................................................................................. 45 V. MONITORING AND EVALUATION FRAMEWORK ···················································· 47 V.1 Monitoring Framework ......................................................................................................................... 47 V.2 Evaluation Framework .......................................................................................................................... 47 ANNEXES ·························································································································· 52 4 Annex A. Hazard Maps ................................................................................................................................. 52 Annex A.1. Landslide Hazard Map of Lanao Del Sur ......................................................... 52 Annex A.2. Flood Hazard Map of Lanao Del Sur ................................................................. 52 Annex A.3. Active Faults and Trenches in ARMM ............................................................... 53 Annex A.4. Tsunami Hazard Map of Lanao Del Sur ........................................................... 53 Annex A.5. Historical Tropical Cyclone 2011-2016 in Mindanao .................................. 54 Annex B. Vulnerability and Risk Analysis ............................................................................................... 55 Annex B.1. Non-Technical Assets .............................................................................................. 55 Annex C. Assessment Rating for LASURECO ....................................................................................... 65 Annex C.1. Organize for Disaster Resilience Criteria and Assessment Ratings for LASURECO Per Subject Area ................................................................. 65 Annex C.2. Criteria for Essential 2: Identify, Understand, and Use Current and Future Risk Scenarios” and Assessment Ratings for LASURECO Per Subject Area ............................................................................................................... 67 Annex C.3. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 3: Strengthen Financial Capability for Resilience .............................................................................. 70 Annex C.4. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 4: Pursue Resilient Urban Design and Development ................................................................................ 72 Annex C.5. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 5 ............................................. 74 Annex C.6. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 6 ............................................. 77 Annex C.7. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 7 ............................................. 80 Annex C.8. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 8 ............................................. 83 Annex C.9. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 9 ............................................. 88 Annex C.10. Criteria and Assessment Rating for Essential 10 ........................................ 91 Annex D. Pictures of Damaged Infrastructures ................................................................................... 93 Annex D.1. Damages of LASURECO ICT and Administrative Office ............................. 93 Annex D.2 Damages in the Collection Offices ..................................................................... 94 Annex D.3. Damages on Logistics Equipment...................................................................... 95 GLOSSARY ························································································································· 96 5 LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Population of ARMM based on the 2000, 2010, and 2015 Census .......................................... 16 Table 2. Population of Provinces in ARMM Based on the 2000, 2010, and 2015 Census ................... 16 Table 3. Top 5 Most Populous Cities/Municipalities: Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao, 2015 .................................................................................................................................................................... 17 Table 4. Agriculture Products ........................................................................................................................ 21 Table 5. Top Five Livestock/Poultry (Inventory) ...................................................................................... 21 Table 6. Total Population by Religious Affiliation and Province: ARMM, 2015 ................................... 22 Table 7. LASURECO Area Services Member Consumers 2018 .............................................................. 20 Table 8. VRA Level of LASURECOs Non-technical Services ................................................................. 23 Table 9. VRA Level of LASURECOs Technical Services ......................................................................... 25 Table 10. Stakeholders on Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) in Lanao Del Sur .... 31 Table 11. Timely Implementation of Programs and Activities of LASURECO .................................... 37 Table 12. Reliable Distribution System ......................................................................................................... 39 Table 13. Efficient Revenue Collection ........................................................................................................ 40 Table 14. Operation ......................................................................................................................................... 42