Issue No. 919, 27 June 2011 Articles & Other Documents: Featured Article: Congress Continues to Struggle with WMD, Bioterror Legislation 1. Iran to Conduct Missile Drills Today 2. N. Korea's HEU Stocks May Exceed its Plutonium Stockpile in 3 Years 3. N.Korea 'Getting Ready to Build a Nuclear Warhead' 4. Prime Minister Julia Gillard to Call for Global Disarmament, Destroy Atomic Weapons in US, Britain 5. Pakistan, India Seek to Lower Nuclear Fears 6. Melt Seen in Frozen Pak-India Ties 7. India Expects Partners to Fulfill Nuclear Commitments 8. Pak Not Capable of Keeping N-Arms Safe: Top Nuclear Physicist 9. Bulava Launches to Resume June 28 - Source 10. Hugo Chavez in 'Critical' Condition in Cuban Hospital 11. Congress Continues to Struggle with WMD, Bioterror Legislation 12. Fire Threatens Los Alamos National Laboratory 13. FBI Says Terrorism Cases on Upswing 14. War on Terror and Judicial Collapse in Pakistan – Analysis 15. Nuclear Proliferation in Southwest Asia 16. U.S. and North Korea: The Land of Lousy Options 17. Deterrent and Defense against a Nuclear Iran 18. Iran Carves Out an AfPak Hub Welcome to the CPC Outreach Journal. As part of USAF Counterproliferation Center’s mission to counter weapons of mass destruction through education and research, we’re providing our government and civilian community a source for timely counterproliferation information. This information includes articles, papers and other documents addressing issues pertinent to US military response options for dealing with chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) threats and countermeasures. It’s our hope this information resource will help enhance your counterproliferation issue awareness. Established in 1998, the USAF/CPC provides education and research to present and future leaders of the Air Force, as well as to members of other branches of the armed services and Department of Defense. Our purpose is to help those agencies better prepare to counter the threat from weapons of mass destruction. Please feel free to visit our web site at http://cpc.au.af.mil/ for in-depth information and specific points of contact. The following articles, papers or documents do not necessarily reflect official endorsement of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or other US government agencies. Reproduction for private use or commercial gain is subject to original copyright restrictions. All rights are reserved. Issue No. 919, 27 June 2011 The following articles, papers or documents do not necessarily reflect official endorsement of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or other US government agencies. Reproduction for private use or commercial gain is subject to original copyright restrictions. All rights are reserved. United States Air Force Counterproliferation Research & Education | Maxwell AFB, Montgomery AL | Phone: 334.953.7538 | Fax: 334.953.7530 FARS News Agency – Iran Monday, June 27, 2011 Iran to Conduct Missile Drills Today TEHRAN (FNA) - A senior Iranian commander announced that the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) Aerospace unit plans to start massive missile wargames on Monday. IRGC Aerospace Force Commander Brigadier General Amir-Ali Hajizadeh said that the exercises, codenamed Great Prophet-6, are to start on Monday. "Short-, medium- and long-range missiles will be fired, specially the Khalij-Fars, Sejil, Fateh, Ghiam, and Shahab-1 and -2 missiles," he said. The General, whose force carries out wargames each year in the Persian Gulf region, said the latest exercises were "a message of peace and friendship to the countries of the region". Hajizadeh did not mention how long the maneuvers will last. Iran has made giant progress in missile-production technology during the last decade. Late in May, the Iranian Defense Ministry supplied large numbers of 'Qiyam (Rise) 1' high-precision ballistic missiles to the IRGC Aerospace Force. At the ceremony, Iranian Defense Minister Brigadier General Ahmad Vahidi said that mass-production of Qiyam 1 missiles indicated Tehran's self-sufficiency in producing different types of missiles. Referring to the detailed features and specifications of the newly mass-produced ballistic missile, Vahidi said that Qiyam 1 is the country's first finless missile. The minister added that the very special design of the missile makes its detection by radars and air defense systems difficult. He said that omission of the fins from the design has increased the velocity of the missile and shortened the launch time. In February, Commander of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps Major General Mohammad Ali Jafari announced that the IRGC has started mass-production of a recently-developed smart anti-ship ballistic missile. "The IRGC's smart ballistic missiles are now in mass-production and this type of missiles can hit and destroy targets with high-precision," Jafari told reporters in a news conference here in Tehran in February. "These new missiles enjoys supersonic speed and cannot be tracked or intercepted by enemy," the commander said, adding that missiles can hit targets 300km away with high-precision. The Iranian Defense Ministry in October delivered the third generation of home-made Fateh-110 high-precision ballistic missiles to the IRGC Aerospace Force. http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=9004060295 (Return to Articles and Documents List) Arirang News – South Korea June 27, 2011 N. Korea's HEU Stocks May Exceed its Plutonium Stockpile in 3 Years A nuclear expert in the United States projects North Korea will obtain over 40 kilograms of high enriched uranium in three years. Issue No. 919, 27 June 2011 United States Air Force Counterproliferation Research & Education | Maxwell AFB, Montgomery AL | Phone: 334.953.7538 | Fax: 334.953.7530 Olli Heinonen, former Deputy Director of the International Atomic Energy Agency posted on 38 North, a website devoted to North Korean issues that Pyongyang would be capable of producing 1.8 tons of low enriched uranium if all 2-thousand centrifuge machines at its enrichment facility in Yongbyon were operated at full capacity. He said an additional 8-hundred centrifuges would be able to convert the low enriched uranium to 40 kilograms of high enriched uranium, which would be enough to make one or two new nuclear bombs. Heinonen added that if North Korea was left on its own, its high enriched uranium stocks could exceed its current plutonium stockpile after three years. Pyeongyang is estimated to have between 25 to 40 kilograms of plutonium stocks. http://www.arirang.co.kr/News/News_View.asp?nseq=117471&code=Ne2&category=2 (Return to Articles and Documents List) Chosun Ilbo – South Korea N.Korea 'Getting Ready to Build a Nuclear Warhead' June 27, 2011 North Korea probably has "a rudimentary design for a nuclear warhead for a ballistic missile," a British expert claims. Joseph Bermudez, an analyst for Jane's Information Group and editor of the KPA Journal, told Radio Australia last Friday, "From what we can tell, North Korea, since it began its ballistic missile program, has desired to put a nuclear warhead on it." The North has not tested a missile with a nuclear warhead on it, but Bermudez was at any rate skeptical whether it would work. North Korea is "on the threshold of conducting a successful space launch of a satellite," Bermudez said, "If they do develop an ICBM [intercontinental ballistic missile], it would allow them to strike at the continent of the United States eventually. Would it be militarily significant? Probably not, in the sense that Western powers think so, but politically it would be a tremendous game change." He said images provided by Digital Globe "show that there is an extensive above-ground infrastructure, but they also show entrances to underground facilities around the production facilities and the bases themselves are primarily underground facilities. I've combined this information with defectors' views and information released by intelligence agencies to come to an understanding that the underground facilities of the North Korean ballistic missile infrastructure are probably equal to what we see above ground." http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2011/06/27/2011062701058.html (Return to Articles and Documents List) Daily Telegraph – Australia Prime Minister Julia Gillard to Call for Global Disarmament, Destroy Atomic Weapons in US, Britain By Simon Benson, National Political Editor, The Daily Telegraph June 27, 2011 JULIA Gillard will call for a parliamentary vote on a motion calling for nuclear armed countries - including our closest allies in the US and Britain - to destroy their atomic weapons. It would be the first time the Australian parliament had adopted a resolution calling for global disarmament. Ms Gillard has agreed to sponsor a motion into the parliament after pressure from Labor MPs on a parliamentary Committee on Treaties. Issue No. 919, 27 June 2011 United States Air Force Counterproliferation Research & Education | Maxwell AFB, Montgomery AL | Phone: 334.953.7538 | Fax: 334.953.7530 She will call for Opposition Leader Tony Abbott to support the motion, which was supported by Greens members of the committee. In a letter from Ms Gillard to the committee on June 15, the Prime Minister confirmed the government would adopt recommendation 21 of its Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament report. The resolution calls for an immediate cut to all nuclear arsenals, starting with a ban on enrichment and the production of fissile material. It is believed it was the second time the committee had written to Ms Gillard, after she ignored the first request earlier this year. In one letter, it was suggested that if the Prime Minister did not want to do it, Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd might move the resolution instead. Ms Gillard finally responded this week, confirming that she would agree to introduce the motion. "I am pleased to advise that the government intends to facilitate a motion in support of the abolition of nuclear weapons being considered in parliament," Ms Gillard said.