RAPID ASSESSMENT FOR MARKET REPORT (Panay Island, Philippines, Typhoon Haiyan November 2013) Report Author: Ma. Rowena D. Balino Position/ Job Title: DME Team Leader/ RAM Focal Person RAM team members and positions: Christopher Leones, Monitoring & Evaluation Specialist Visminda D. Cabasan, DME Specialist Report date: 29 November 2013 Agency World Vision Section 1: Shock and needs analysis summary Type(s) of shock: Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda Date(s) of shock(s): November 8, 2013 Date of RAM assessment: November 23-27, 2013 Affected areas assessed: Panay Island: Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan, Antique Areas covered by World Vision Total population in affected area: 315,237 households or 2,309,292 total population (Number of households and people) Affected population within affected area: 299,387 households or 1,453,325 total population 28,167 World Vision registered families or 140,835 population (Number of households and people) Average Household size: 5 (National Statistics Coordination Board) (Source of information) Location of affected population: Some are internally displaced, others have returned to their homes in the provinces of Iloilo, Capiz, Aklan, Antique (IDP/ stationary in homes etc…) Markets assessed: Iloilo: Iloilo City, Estancia, Barotac Viejo Capiz: Roxas City, Aklan: Batan, Kalibo, Altavas Antique: Bugasong, Laua-an, Barbasa (Areas selected are within World Vision covered areas, based on Purposive Sampling) Number of traders (wholesalers and retailers) 4 Regional Wholesalers (Iloilo City) and market representatives included in 23 Wholesalers assessment: 65 Retailers 8 Households for Key Informant Interview 21 Households for 2 Focus Group Discussions Rapid Assessment for Markets in World Vision covered areas in Panay Island, Philippines Commodity type(s), volume(s) and duration Rice requested by shock-affected population Canned sardines (quantity, frequency and duration and any quality Laundry soap specifications if necessary) GI Sheets Commodity Quantity Frequency Duration Specification Rice Kilogram Daily 2 weeks White Rice Canned Sardines Can Daily 2 weeks 155 grams/5 ounces Laundry Soap Bar (4 cuts) Daily 2 weeks 400 grams GI Sheets Sheet Once Max 15 years Gauge 26 Scope of Assessment: The assessment focused only on four commodities – two for food, one for shelter and one for hygiene. The specific commodities whose markets were assessed are rice, canned sardines, laundry soap and GI sheets. These are selected based on the order of importance. Rice and canned sardines are the most feasible food since the affected areas experienced damaged rice paddies, uprooted fruit trees, vegetable gardens, livestock and source of sea food (especially for Estancia, Iloilo because of the oil spill). Laundry soap is seen as a key commodity for hygiene because of its “all around use” as bath soap and shampoo substitute as well as for washing dishes and clothes. Almost all of the houses in the affected areas have torn roofs, hence the GI sheet is in high demand. The assessment was conducted in World Vision areas in the island of Panay. This covers the four provinces of Aklan, Antique, Capiz, and Iloilo with 27 municipalities, 1 city, and 162 barangays. Through purposive sampling, from the four provinces, the markets of affected areas at the municipality levels were assessed using Key Informant Interviews with the wholesalers and retailers. The team also conducted Key Informant Interviews at the regional level markets in Iloilo City. These markets are supply to the provincial markets who consequently supply to the city and municipal markets. In this assessment, Iloilo City and Iloilo province are treated separately. Ilolilo City is the hub of trade and commerce for the whole Panay Island. While Iloilo, is the province where the affected World Vision areas are located. Time and manpower constraints influenced the decision to use Purposive Sampling. Table 1. Areas for provincial and municipal data gathering Province Municipality Level Markets (KII Barangay Level with wholesalers and retailers) (KII and FGD with affected households, Ocular Survey) Aklan Altavas Linayasan and Cabangila Batan Angas Antique Bugasong Bagtason Laua-an Guisijan and Lindero Capiz President Roxas Badiangon Panit-an (none) Iloilo* Estancia Botongon Barotac Viejo San Antonio * This refers to Iloilo province. 2 Rapid Assessment for Markets (RAM) in Panay Island, Philippines Typhoon Haiyan “Yolanda” Emergency Response World Vision Section 2: Market Mapping 2.1 Market maps, geographical location of markets to shock-affected population The diagram below illustrates the location of local and influential markets within, and close to the affected area, and their geographic proximity to the shock-affected population. 2.1.1 Production and Market Flow Map for Rice MAP LEGEND Retail Rice fields Wholesale Functioning Market Municipal/City coverage Partially Functioning Market Provincial coverage Non-functioning Market Regional coverage Flow of rice during harvest Rice suppliers during lean months Flow of NFA rice during lean months Rapid Assessment for Markets in World Vision covered areas in Panay Island, Philippines 2.1.2 Production and Market Flow Map for Canned Sardines and Laundry Soap MAP LEGEND Retail Flow of goods from Manila/NCR Wholesale Functioning Market Municipal/City coverage Partially Functioning Market 4 Rapid Assessment for Markets (RAM) in Panay Island, Philippines Provincial coverage TyphoonNon-functioning Haiyan “Yolanda” Market Emergency Response Regional coverage Flow of goods to the provinces World Vision 2.1.3 Production and Market Flow Map for Galvanised Iron (GI) sheet MAP LEGEND Retail Flow of goods from Manila/NCR Wholesale Functioning Market Municipal/City coverage Partially Functioning Market ProvincialRapid coverage Assessment for Markets in World VisionNon covered-functioning areas in Market Panay Island, Philippines Regional coverage Flow of goods to the provinces 2.1.4 Summary of the Market Flow Maps All the prices of the four commodities namely rice, canned sardines, laundry soap, and GI sheets increased after the shock. Generally, supplies are still available, except that during the first few days after the shock, because of obstructions in transportation and cancelled shipping schedules the flow of supplies temporarily stopped. However, in a week’s time, the flow of these particular commodities to the retailers down to the barangay level went back to normal. It is noteworthy that markets in the municipalities of Ajuy, Concepcion, Sara, and Estancia for the GI sheets, canned sardines, and laundry soap have partially functioning markets as of writing. Among the four commodities, the GI sheets is the only one with Iloilo City as the source, where the shipping from NCR (National Capital Region) arrives. 6 Rapid Assessment for Markets (RAM) in Panay Island, Philippines Typhoon Haiyan “Yolanda” Emergency Response World Vision 2.2 Commodity market maps The commodity market maps below illustrate the movements of key commodities to the markets near the affected populations – from wholesaler to trader and finally to consumer. 2.2.1 Market System Map for Rice (baseline map) 2.2.2 Market System Map for Rice after the shock (shock map) Rapid Assessment for Markets in World Vision covered areas in Panay Island, Philippines 2.2.3 Market System Map for Canned Sardines and Laundry Soap (baseline map) 8 Rapid Assessment for Markets (RAM) in Panay Island, Philippines Typhoon Haiyan “Yolanda” Emergency Response World Vision 2.2.4 Market System Map for Canned Sardines and Laundry Soap after the shock (shock map) 2.2.5 Market System Map for GI Sheets (baseline map) Rapid Assessment for Markets in World Vision covered areas in Panay Island, Philippines 2.2.6 Market System map for GI Sheets after the shock (shock map) Section 3: Market maps and trader analysis After reviewing the maps (above) and information collected using the RAM tools, the following conclusions can be made: 1. The impact of the shock on physical access of the affected population to their markets. (Outline the impact of the shock on market access – what has changed in consumer and trader behaviour? Are such changes long term?) Market access has been negatively affected right after the shock and for more than a week because of road obstructions brought about by debris from massive fallen trees, electric posts and wires. The most common damage in dwellings and buildings are blown away roofing broken walls that include warehouses and marketplaces. Some shopping stalls in President Roxas, Capiz and Estancia, Iloilo Public Markets were still closed during the data gathering. There are a number of traders in Barotac Viejo, Iloilo who have not yet resumed to their usual business activities. The common preoccupation of businessmen and traders are cleaning up and repairing their business establishments. 10 Rapid Assessment for Markets (RAM) in Panay Island, Philippines Typhoon Haiyan “Yolanda” Emergency Response World Vision It was observed that the demand was unusually low after the shock, especially in affected areas. People buying for their needs from the market have significantly decreased. This was because of the bulk of relief goods received by the affected families from the aid agencies. Based on the first hand information gathered by the team, it can be projected that the marketplaces, accessibility and supply can resume between a month or two. For the consumer behaviour, it is foreseen that when the distributed relief goods are consumed, demand will dramatically increase in all affected areas in Panay Island. This can happen in a month’s time. 2. Affected household purchasing power/ demand and changes in consumer behaviour. (Does the shock-affected population have the financial means to purchase the food and non-food commodities they need? If so, what percentage/ proportion of their needs can they meet themselves? Relate to information collected in Step 1 of the RAM) After the shock, affected families could hardly purchase by themselves even 25% of the basic needs such as food, including safe drinking water, clothing, supplies for school-age children, and building materials to repair their houses. There has been an average of 45% decrease of the number of people coming to the marketplace.