Cluster Meeting Kiev 29 May, 2017 Contact: [email protected] & [email protected] AGENDA 1. Follow Up Action Points / Minutes 2. Partner Activity Update 3. Brief Updates: a) Joint Food Security and Vulnerability Assessment, b) Contingency Planning Update and c) Winterisation 4. Analysis of Impact of Conflict on Socio-economic Situation in Eastern Ukraine - Findings (FSLC / UCSR) 5. AOB Minutes / Follow Up Action Points Approval of Minutes – no comments received ACTION POINT: STATUS FOLLOW UP PARTNER UPDATES - ACTIVITY Retroactive update prepared at oblast level. None CLASSIFICATION: FSLC to finalize mapping of 2016 livelihood Livelihood activities highlighted during field activities & highlight livelihoods activities in meetings. terms of geographical distribution. PARTNER UPDATES: NGO Forum paper on data protection will be None FSLC to follow up on the law on data shared with minutes. protection (with CWG etc) and provide The next CWG meeting will include a update in next meeting. presentation and discussion of data protection. NGO FORUM SPHERE TRAINING: Printed training material – due to arrive in Food Security: CC to coordinate with NGO Forum on July. Dates to be potential training sessions. For Livelihoods training, NGO Forum is finalised for July. looking for an expert to volunteer to provide this training as they do not have in house Livelihoods: NGO expert at present. volunteer needed Partner Activity Update FSLC objective 1 ACCESS TO FOOD Ensure Immediate Access To Food For The Most Vulnerable Groups Affected By The Conflict FOOD SECURITY ANALYSIS - UPDATE APRIL 2017 ACCESS TO FOOD INTERVENTIONS HRP FS community Donetska 20,057 43,455 GCA 9,894 33,292 NGCA 10,163 10,163 Luhanska 4,956 12,736 GCA 4,954 12,734 NGCA 2 2 Dnipropetrovska 150 Khersonska 60 60 Zaporizska 462 862 Zhytomyrska 240 Chernihivska 240 Kirovohradska 240 Total 25,535 57,983 PARTNER ACTIVITY UPDATE Please note, the map only reflectsPARTNER the ACTIVITY UPDATE interventions of those organisations that reports to the FSLC. APRIL 2017 Please note, the map only reflects the interventions of those organisationsPARTNER ACTIVITY UPDATE that reports to the FSLC. For project planning and targeting, please contact [email protected] for further details 31 May 2017 Partner Activity Update FSLC objective 2 AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Help affected people with food security / livelihood assistance and support food production FSLC objective 2 AGRICULTURAL INPUTS JANUARY - APRIL Activity Number of HH Organization Distribution of inputs 5,777 Emmanuel Distribution of voucher for agricultural inputs 3,317 PIN Distribution of fodder 568 FAO Total 9,662 FAO, PIN, Emmanuel FSC objective 2 AGRICULTURAL INPUTS PLANS FSLC objective 2 AGRICULTURAL INPUT - PLANS Oblast Number of HH Donetska 3,874 Luhanska 8,501 Total 12,375 FSC objective 2 AGRICULTURAL INPUTS PLANS Partner Activity Update FSLC objective 3 LIVELIHOOD ACTIVITIES Employment and income generation of the conflict affected populations FSLC objective 3 LIVELIHOOD ASSETS Activity Number of HH Organization trainings (light) 3,931IOM, MC, UNDP Livelihoods grants (other, non agricultural) 2,699CARITAS, DRC, IOM, MC, PIN, SC Cash for work 231SC Vocational Training (more extensive training) 226CARITAS, IOM Livelihoods grants (agricultural ) 222PIN Job creation grants (as a separate category) 59DRC, MC, PIN Total 7,368CARITAS, DRC, IOM, MC, PIN, SC PARTNER ACTIVITY UPDATE PARTNER ACTIVITY UPDATE PARTNER ACTIVITY UPDATE FSLC objective 3 LIVELIHOOD ASSETS 2016 Grants Light Trinings Donetska 1,210 755 Luhanska 1,569 2,567 Other regions 2,345 3,107 Total 5,124 6,429 PARTNER ACTIVITY UPDATE Questions? AGENDA 1. Follow Up Action Points / Minutes 2. Partner Activity Update 3. Brief Updates: a) Joint Food Security and Vulnerability Assessment, b) Contingency Planning Update and c) Winterisation 4. Analysis of Impact of Conflict on Socio-economic Situation in Eastern Ukraine - Findings (FSLC / UCSR) 5. AOB 3. BRIEF UPDATES: a) Joint Food Security & Vulnerability Assessment . First joint assessment under the Food Security & Livelihoods Cluster. No dedicated funding – pooled resources. WFP (KIIS), PIN, Caritas, NRC, ADRA, Dorcas, ACF and FAO as well as FSLC (with REACH support). Training of enumerators in Slovyansk PIN Office yesterday and data collection to start early June. GCA sample is 800 interviews (undertaken by all organisations) – representative at oblast level. NGCA sample is 1900 interviews (undertaken by WFP with KIIS) – representative at “cluster level”. Results expected in July. 3. BRIEF UPDATES: b) Contingency Planning – Summer Scenario The 2015 inter agency contingency plan scenario and situation analysis to be updated: ─ Military escalations over summer period ─ Power and water cuts (and subsequent knock on effects) ─ Chemical emergency (chlorine gas) ─ Possible outbreak of disease ─ Potential impact of blockade of RAF and of nationalisation of factories/mines. 3. BRIEF UPDATES: c) Winterisation: 2017-18 Update the Food Security Guidance Note from 2016 Joint efforts / advocacy - prepare common cover note to Shelter and FSLC Guidance Notes. Initial update from field: limited winterisation plans. AGENDA 1. Follow Up Action Points / Minutes 2. Partner Activity Update 3. Brief Updates: a) Joint Food Security and Vulnerability Assessment, b) Contingency Planning Update and c) Winterisation 4. Analysis of Impact of Conflict on Socio-economic Situation in Eastern Ukraine - Findings (FSLC / UCSR) 5. AOB The Impact of Conflict in Eastern Ukraine on the Economy, Socio-economic Situation and Viability of Population in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovs’k, Zaporizhzhya Oblasts and Government Controlled Territories of Luhanska and Donetska Oblasts UKRAINIAN CENTER FOR SOCIAL REFORMS Kyiv - April, 2017 Project objectives: Geographical coverage: . Analysis of the impact of Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovs’k, conflict on socio-economic Zaporizhzhya oblasts , Ukrainian situation and the government controlled territories vulnerability of populations; of Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts . Identification of the potential of regions Period of analysis: development; 2010-2016 years (considering the . Determination of options to availability of data after 2014) support employment and income of population affected by the conflict UCSR Ukrainian Center for Social Reforms Analysis of the impact of conflict at regional level GDP, inflation, incomes Business activity Foreign Key Findings Analysis economic activity Labor market The analysis is based on secondary Demography data, mainly on official information of Socio-economic State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Poverty and status of IDPs Social vulnerability UCSRUkrainian Center for Social Reforms 30 Content of Presentation Economic situation Labour market and employment Social indicators Socio-economic situation of IDPs Conclusions UCSR Ukrainian Center for Social Reforms 31 The Analysis shows the impact of conflict on the following areas: Macro and demographic indicators (GDP, infrastructure, MACRO LEVEL Export/Import, investments, inflation) IMPACT Big enterprise (29%) Government Bodies % ENTERPRISE / Medium enterprise (44%) LABOUR FORCE Small enterprise (15%) LEVEL Micro enterprise (12%) Unemployment Individual entrepreneurs Household level (pensions, economic active population, children) HOUSEHOLD / LIVELIHOODS LEVEL HH level indicators (demographic indicators, income, expenditure, poverty, food Ukrainian Center for Socialsecurity Reforms etc) Economic situation UCSR Ukrainian Center for Social Reforms 33 Comparison of Gross Regional Product and Population rates Share of the gross regional product Share of the population 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 Dnipropetrovs’k oblast Dnipropetrovs’k oblast Donetsk oblast 2 Donetsk oblast 2 Zaporizhzhya oblast Zaporizhzhya oblast Luhansk oblast Luhansk oblast Kharkiv oblast Kharkiv oblast 0 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 UCSR Ukrainian Center for Social Reforms Trends of the Basic Indices, 2010-2016 220 Dnipropetrovs'k Oblast' 220 Zaporizhzhya Oblast' Index, % to 2010 200 200 180 180 160 160 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016^ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016^ 220 Donetsk Oblast' 220 Luhansk Oblast' Index, % to 2010 Index, % to 2010 200 200 180 180 160 160 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* 2016^ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* 2016^ 220 Kharkiv Oblast' 200 180 Consumer Price Index 160 140 Price Index (for food products and non-alcohol drinks) 120 Real Income Index 100 Index of Physical Value of Gross Regional Product 80 2016^ - preliminary data 60 40 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016^ UCSR Ukrainian Center for Social Reforms Changes in structure of Gross Value Added, % Dnipropetrovs'k Zaporizhzhya Ukraine Donetsk Oblast' Luhansk Oblast' Kharkiv Oblast' Oblast' Oblast' 2013 2015 Δ 2013 2015 Δ 2013 2015 Δ 2013 2015 Δ 2013 2015 Δ 2013 2015 Δ Agriculture 9.9 14.2 4.3 6.4 9.3 2.9 4.6 7.9 3.3 11.5 14.8 3.3 6.9 20.4 13.5 10.5 14.3 3.8 Industry 22.7 23.3 0.6 45.2 44.6 -0.6 37.4 41.9 4.5 38.3 40.0 1.7 40.0 32.0 -8.0 21.3 26.4 5.1 Construction 2.9 2.3 -0.6 1.9 1.4 -0.5 3.0 2.2 -0.8 1.4 0.9 -0.5 1.8 1.1 -0.7 2.7 2.1 -0.6 Trade, transportation 25.8 24.9 -0.9 20.3 18.9 -1.4 27.8 22.2 -5.6 17.5 15.8 -1.7 19.0 10.4 -8.6 23.0 21.3 -1.7 Information 3.7 4.3 0.6 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.6 0.6 1.4 1.5 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.2 3.6 4.8 1.2 Financial activities 5.0 4.0 -1.0 3.8 2.8 -1.0 3.4 3.1 -0.3 3.0 4.4 1.4 2.5 2.1 -0.4 4.4 2.7 -1.7 Real estate activities 7.4 7.3 -0.1 5.5 6.4 0.9 7.0 7.2 0.2 6.5 5.5 -1.0 7.4 8.0 0.6 8.3 7.5 -0.8 Professional services 5.0 4.6 -0.4 3.3 3.0 -0.3 2.9 1.6 -1.3 3.1 2.0 -1.1 2.4 2.1 -0.3 6.2 4.2 -2.0 Public administration 15.5 13.5 -2.0 10.5 10.7 0.2 11.2 11.0 -0.2 15.5 13.9 -1.6 17.2 19.9 2.7 17.8 15.0 -2.8 Other services 2.1 1.6 -0.5 1.1 0.9 -0.2 1.7 1.3 -0.4 1.8 1.2 -0.6 1.8 1.8 0.0 2.2 1.7 -0.5 Description NACE , Rev.