1. INTRODUCTION ________________________________________________________________________________________ 50 1.1 INFRASTRUCTURE OVERVIEW ____________________________________________________________________________ 50 Infrastructure ________________________________________________________________________________________ 50 Capacity ____________________________________________________________________________________________ 51 Rolling Stock _________________________________________________________________________________________ 51 Hubs and Terminals ___________________________________________________________________________________ 51 1.2 DEVELOPMENT PLANNING PRINCIPLES ______________________________________________________________________ 52 1.3 OPTIONS FOR CAPACITY CREATION (PRINCIPLE 1) ______________________________________________________________ 53 1.3.1 Standardisation __________________________________________________________________________________ 53 1.3.2 An Integrated System Approach _____________________________________________________________________ 54 1.4 CAPACITY CREATION LOGIC _____________________________________________________________________________ 54 2. NETWORK DEMAND ____________________________________________________________________________________ 55 2.1 PLANNED DEMAND___________________________________________________________________________________ 55 2.2 TRANSLATING TONNAGE TO CAPACITY UTILISATION _____________________________________________________________ 57 2.3 LINE CAPACITY ________________________________________________________________________________________ 58 2.4 NETWORK UTILISATION: IF NO INVESTMENTS ARE MADE _________________________________________________________ 59 3. DEVELOPMENT PLANS: CORE NETWORK SYSTEMS ___________________________________________________________ 62 3.1 IRON ORE AND MANGANESE SYSTEMS ______________________________________________________________________ 63 3.1.1 System Overview ______________________________________________________________________________ 63 3.1.2 Iron Ore System Operating Philosophy _____________________________________________________________ 66 3.1.3 Iron Ore System Analysis ________________________________________________________________________ 67 3.1.4 Manganese System Operating Philosophy __________________________________________________________ 70 3.1.5 Manganese System Analysis _____________________________________________________________________ 71 3.2.1 System Overview ______________________________________________________________________________ 74 3.2.2 Operating Philosophy ___________________________________________________________________________ 77 3.2.3 Lephalale – Ogies Analysis _______________________________________________________________________ 78 3.2.4 Ogies – Richards Bay Analysis ____________________________________________________________________ 81 3.3 NORTH-EASTERN SYSTEM ______________________________________________________________________________ 85 3.3.1 System Overview ______________________________________________________________________________ 85 3.3.2 Bulk Mineral Exports System Operating Philosophy ___________________________________________________ 88 3.3.3 Over Border Intermodal System Operating Philosophy ________________________________________________ 90 3.3.4 Musina – Pyramid System Analysis ________________________________________________________________ 91 3.3.5 Groenbult –Kaapmuiden System Analysis ___________________________________________________________ 93 3.3.6 Greenview – Komatipoort System Analysis __________________________________________________________ 96 3.3.7 Komatipoort – Richards Bay System Analysis ________________________________________________________ 98 3.3.8 Davel – Phuzumoya System Analysis ______________________________________________________________ 101 3.4 INTERMODAL AND GENERAL FREIGHT SYSTEM ________________________________________________________________ 104 3.4.1 SYSTEM Overview _______________________________________________________________________________ 104 3.4.2 Operating Philosophy __________________________________________________________________________ 108 3.4.3 Gauteng Freight Ring Analysis ___________________________________________________________________ 110 3.4.4 Gauteng – Durban Analysis _____________________________________________________________________ 113 3.4.5 Gauteng – Cape Town Analysis __________________________________________________________________ 116 4. HUBS AND TERMINALS _________________________________________________________________________________ 118 4.1 INTRODUCTION _______________________________________________________________________________________ 118 4.2 STATUS QUO ______________________________________________________________________________________ 119 Transnet SOC Ltd © LTPF 2016 49 4.3 CONTAINER TERMINALS _________________________________________________________________________________ 120 4.3.1 Status Quo _____________________________________________________________________________________ 120 4.3.2 Development Strategy ____________________________________________________________________________ 130 4.4 AUTOMOTIVE TERMINALS _____________________________________________________________________________ 137 4.5 GENERAL FREIGHT TERMINALS __________________________________________________________________________ 140 5. RAIL PROPERTY PLANNING ______________________________________________________________________________ 142 5.1 NEW RAIL LINES/RAIL STRATEGIC PROJECTS _________________________________________________________________ 142 5.2 WATERBERG NEW HEAVY-HAUL LINE AND BOTSWANA RAIL LINK __________________________________________________ 144 5.4 SISHEN-SALDANA IRON ORE CORRIDOR CAPACITY EXPANSION _____________________________________________________ 145 5.3 SWAZILAND RAIL LINK ________________________________________________________________________________ 145 5.5 DURBAN GAUTENG RAIL CORRIDOR (NATCOR) _______________________________________________________________ 148 5.6 HUBS AND TERMINALS ________________________________________________________________________________ 149 6. FREIGHT AND PASSENGER ALIGNMENT ___________________________________________________________________ 150 6.1 INTEROPERABILITY – OPERATIONAL CONCEPTS _______________________________________________________________ 150 6.1.1 Test Routes __________________________________________________________________________________ 151 6.2 CURRENT NETWORK _________________________________________________________________________________ 152 6.3 PLANNED NETWORK (30 YEARS) _________________________________________________________________________ 153 6.4 LONG TERM NETWORK POTENTIAL _______________________________________________________________________ 155 7. NETWORK FUTURE STATE: 2044 _________________________________________________________________________ 156 7.1 AXLE LOAD _______________________________________________________________________________________ 156 7.2 ELECTRIFICATION ___________________________________________________________________________________ 156 7.3 FUTURE TRACTION ENERGY STRATEGIES ____________________________________________________________________ 157 7.4 TRAIN CONTROL ____________________________________________________________________________________ 158 8. ROLLING STOCK _______________________________________________________________________________________ 159 8.1 LOCOMOTIVES CURRENT FLEET __________________________________________________________________________ 161 8.2 LOCOMOTIVES FUTURE CLASSIFICATION STRATEGY ____________________________________________________________ 163 8.3 LOCOMOTIVES FUTURE REQUIRED FLEET ___________________________________________________________________ 165 8.4 WAGONS CURRENT FLEET _____________________________________________________________________________ 167 8.5 WAGON FUTURE REQUIRED FLEET _______________________________________________________________________ 169 8.6 ROLLING STOCK TECHNOLOGIES ____________________________________________________________________________ 171 9. BRANCH LINES ________________________________________________________________________________________ 172 9.1 BRANCH LINES CONTEXT AND STATUS QUO ____________________________________________________________________ 172 9.2 BRANCH LINE STRATEGY ______________________________________________________________________________ 172 9.3 CURRENT BRANCH LINE OPERATIONS MODEL ________________________________________________________________ 173 9.4 COST DRIVERS AND ESSENTIALS FOR BRANCH LINE PROFITABILITY __________________________________________________ 173 9.5 LTPF BRANCH LINE APPROACH _________________________________________________________________________ 174 9.6 TRANSNET BRANCH LINE INITIATIVES ______________________________________________________________________ 174 9.6.1 Reinstatement of the Magaliesburg-Hercules, Redan-Grootvlei and Grootvlei-Balfour North Lines ____________ 174 9.6.2 Reinstatement of the Amabele-Mthatha and Alicedale-Grahamstown lines and the proposed KwaZulu-Natal Rail Link 175 9.6.3 Reinstatement of the KwaZulu-Natal Branch Lines __________________________________________________ 175 9.6.4 Reinstatement of the Wolseley-Prince Alfred Hamlet, Klipplaat-Rossmead and Sterkstroom-Maclear Lines _____ 176 9.6.5 Reinstatement of the Graskop-Sabie, Mogopong-Zebediela and Pienaarsrivier-Marble Hall lines _____________ 176 9.6.6 Reinstatement of the Belmont-Douglas, Orkney-Vierfontein and Springfontein-Koffiefontein Lines