D4.1 Sketch of the Future Transport System (Version 1.0, 31/07/2018)

Funded by the Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme of the European Union (GA 769638) INTEND Project Acronym: Project Title: Project Number: Topic: INtentify future Transport rEsearch NeeDs 769638 MG-8-7-2017 Coordination and support action Type of Action: D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system (Version 1.0, 31/07/2018) D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system Deliverable: D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system Work Package: WP4: Paving the way to future: guidelines for a forward looking transport sector Due Date: M10 Submission Date: Start Date of Project: Duration of Project: 31/07/2018 01/10/2017 12 Months Organisation Responsible of Deliverable: Zurich University of Applied Sciences (ZHAW) Version: 1.0 Status: Final Author name(s): Merja Hoppe Thomas Trachsel Reviewer(s): Nature: All partners <ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">R – Report </li><li style="flex:1">P – Prototype </li></ul><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">D – Demonstrator </li><li style="flex:1">O - Other </li></ul>Dissemination level: PU - Public CO - Confidential, only for members of the consortium (including the Commission) RE - Restricted to a group specified by the consortium (including the Commission Services) Page 2 of 116 D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system Document history <ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Modified by </li><li style="flex:1">Version </li></ul>0.1 <ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">Date </li><li style="flex:1">Comments </li></ul>27.07.2018 30.07.2018 31.07.2018 Merja Hoppe, Thomas Trachsel Draft 0.2 1.0 <ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1">INTEND Partners </li><li style="flex:1">Internal Review </li></ul>Merja Hoppe, Thomas Trachsel Final draft and submission Page 3 of 116 D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system Contents <a href="#4_0">Contents ....................................................................................................................................</a><a href="#4_0">.</a><a href="#4_0">4 </a><a href="#7_0">List of figures .............................................................................................................................</a><a href="#7_0">.</a><a href="#7_0">7 </a><a href="#8_0">List of Tables .............................................................................................................................</a><a href="#8_0">.</a><a href="#8_0">8 </a><a href="#9_0">Abbreviations.............................................................................................................................</a><a href="#9_0">.</a><a href="#9_0">9 </a><a href="#11_0">Executive summar</a><a href="#11_0">y</a><a href="#11_0">.</a><a href="#11_0">................................................................................................................</a><a href="#11_0">.</a><a href="#11_0">1</a><a href="#11_0">1 </a><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><a href="#13_0">1</a></li><li style="flex:1"><a href="#13_0">Introduction ......................................................................................................................</a><a href="#13_0">.</a><a href="#13_0">1</a><a href="#13_0">3 </a></li></ul><a href="#13_1">1.1 </a><a href="#14_0">1.2 </a> <a href="#13_1">WP4 in the frame of the INTEND projec</a><a href="#13_1">t</a><a href="#13_1">.</a><a href="#13_1">................................................................</a><a href="#13_1">.</a><a href="#13_1">1</a><a href="#13_1">3 </a><a href="#14_0">D4.1 - Sketch of the future transport system ...........................................................</a><a href="#14_0">.</a><a href="#14_0">1</a><a href="#14_0">4 </a><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><a href="#15_0">2</a></li><li style="flex:1"><a href="#15_0">Research approach, methodologies and appliance in T4.1............................................</a><a href="#15_0">.</a><a href="#15_0">1</a><a href="#15_0">5 </a></li></ul><a href="#16_0">2.1 A</a><a href="#16_0"> </a><a href="#16_0">systemic model of transpor</a><a href="#16_0">t</a><a href="#16_0">.</a><a href="#16_0">.................................................................................</a><a href="#16_0">.</a><a href="#16_0">1</a><a href="#16_0">6 </a><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><a href="#17_0">2.1.1 </a></li><li style="flex:1"><a href="#17_0">Technology / R&D .............................................................................................</a><a href="#17_0">.</a><a href="#17_0">1</a><a href="#17_0">7 </a></li></ul><a href="#18_0">Policy .................................................................................................................</a><a href="#18_0">.</a><a href="#18_0">1</a><a href="#18_0">8 </a><a href="#18_1">Economy............................................................................................................</a><a href="#18_1">.</a><a href="#18_1">1</a><a href="#18_1">8 </a><a href="#18_2">Societ</a><a href="#18_2">y</a><a href="#18_2">.</a><a href="#18_2">..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#18_2">.</a><a href="#18_2">1</a><a href="#18_2">8 </a><a href="#19_0">Transport sector ................................................................................................</a><a href="#19_0">.</a><a href="#19_0">1</a><a href="#19_0">9 </a><a href="#19_1">Spatial order ......................................................................................................</a><a href="#19_1">.</a><a href="#19_1">1</a><a href="#19_1">9 </a> <a href="#18_0">2.1.2 </a><a href="#18_1">2.1.3 </a><a href="#18_2">2.1.4 </a><a href="#19_0">2.1.5 </a><a href="#19_1">2.1.6 </a> <a href="#20_0">2.2 </a><a href="#20_1">2.3 </a> <a href="#20_0">Desk research on future trends in mobility and transport........................................</a><a href="#20_0">.</a><a href="#20_0">2</a><a href="#20_0">0 </a><a href="#20_1">Qualitative expert interviews ....................................................................................</a><a href="#20_1">.</a><a href="#20_1">2</a><a href="#20_1">0 </a> <a href="#21_0">2.3.1 </a><a href="#21_1">2.3.2 </a> <a href="#21_0">Interview guide ..................................................................................................</a><a href="#21_0">.</a><a href="#21_0">2</a><a href="#21_0">1 </a><a href="#21_1">Expert selectio</a><a href="#21_1">n</a><a href="#21_1">.</a><a href="#21_1">................................................................................................</a><a href="#21_1">.</a><a href="#21_1">2</a><a href="#21_1">1 </a><a href="#22_0">Interview phase .................................................................................................</a><a href="#22_0">.</a><a href="#22_0">2</a><a href="#22_0">2 </a><a href="#23_0">Transcription of the interviews ..........................................................................</a><a href="#23_0">.</a><a href="#23_0">2</a><a href="#23_0">3 </a><a href="#23_1">Data analysis with QDA-Software.....................................................................</a><a href="#23_1">.</a><a href="#23_1">2</a><a href="#23_1">3 </a> <a href="#22_0">2.3.3 </a><a href="#23_0">2.3.4 </a><a href="#23_1">2.3.5 </a> <a href="#25_0">2.4 </a> <a href="#25_1">2.4.1 </a><a href="#25_2">2.4.2 </a> <a href="#25_0">Online Survey ...........................................................................................................</a><a href="#25_0">.</a><a href="#25_0">2</a><a href="#25_0">5 </a> <a href="#25_1">Formulating hypotheses....................................................................................</a><a href="#25_1">.</a><a href="#25_1">2</a><a href="#25_1">5 </a><a href="#25_2">Survey creation with ‘Questback’ (Unipark)......................................................</a><a href="#25_2">.</a><a href="#25_2">2</a><a href="#25_2">5 </a><a href="#27_0">Survey phase.....................................................................................................</a><a href="#27_0">.</a><a href="#27_0">2</a><a href="#27_0">7 </a><a href="#27_1">Evaluation and preparation of the result</a><a href="#27_1">s</a><a href="#27_1">.</a><a href="#27_1">........................................................</a><a href="#27_1">.</a><a href="#27_1">2</a><a href="#27_1">7 </a> <a href="#27_0">2.4.3 </a><a href="#27_1">2.4.4 </a><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><a href="#29_0">3</a></li><li style="flex:1"><a href="#29_0">Future trends in mobility and transport............................................................................</a><a href="#29_0">.</a><a href="#29_0">2</a><a href="#29_0">9 </a></li></ul><a href="#29_1">3.1 Transport</a><a href="#29_1"> </a><a href="#29_1">Technologies............................................................................................</a><a href="#29_1">.</a><a href="#29_1">2</a><a href="#29_1">9 </a><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><a href="#30_0">3.1.1 </a></li><li style="flex:1"><a href="#30_0">Vehicle technologies .........................................................................................</a><a href="#30_0">.</a><a href="#30_0">3</a><a href="#30_0">0 </a></li></ul><a href="#0_0">Engine technologie</a><a href="#0_0">s</a><a href="#0_0">.</a><a href="#0_0">.........................................................................................</a><a href="#0_0">.</a><a href="#0_0">3</a><a href="#0_0">4 </a><a href="#0_1">Material Technologie</a><a href="#0_1">s</a><a href="#0_1">.</a><a href="#0_1">......................................................................................</a><a href="#0_1">.</a><a href="#0_1">3</a><a href="#0_1">7 </a><a href="#0_2">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_2">.</a><a href="#0_2">3</a><a href="#0_2">9 </a> <a href="#0_0">3.1.2 </a><a href="#0_1">3.1.3 </a><a href="#0_2">3.1.4 </a>Page 4 of 116 D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system <a href="#0_3">3.2 </a> <a href="#0_4">3.2.1 </a><a href="#0_0">3.2.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">Infrastructure and Operation Technologies..............................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">4</a><a href="#0_3">3 </a> <a href="#0_4">Charging infrastructure for electric vehicles .....................................................</a><a href="#0_4">.</a><a href="#0_4">4</a><a href="#0_4">3 </a><a href="#0_0">Innovative transport infrastructures ..................................................................</a><a href="#0_0">.</a><a href="#0_0">4</a><a href="#0_0">5 </a><a href="#0_5">Intelligent transport systems (ITS-technologies) ..............................................</a><a href="#0_5">.</a><a href="#0_5">4</a><a href="#0_5">6 </a><a href="#0_6">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_6">.</a><a href="#0_6">4</a><a href="#0_6">8 </a> <a href="#0_5">3.2.3 </a><a href="#0_6">3.2.4 </a> <a href="#0_3">3.3 </a> <a href="#0_7">3.3.1 </a><a href="#0_3">3.3.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">Physical Infrastructur</a><a href="#0_3">e</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">.............................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">5</a><a href="#0_3">0 </a> <a href="#0_7">Infrastructure damage preventio</a><a href="#0_7">n</a><a href="#0_7">.</a><a href="#0_7">....................................................................</a><a href="#0_7">.</a><a href="#0_7">5</a><a href="#0_7">0 </a><a href="#0_3">Energy recovery ................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">5</a><a href="#0_3">1 </a><a href="#0_8">Eco-friendly road construction ..........................................................................</a><a href="#0_8">.</a><a href="#0_8">5</a><a href="#0_8">2 </a><a href="#0_8">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_8">.</a><a href="#0_8">5</a><a href="#0_8">3 </a> <a href="#0_8">3.3.3 </a><a href="#0_8">3.3.4 </a> <a href="#0_3">3.4 </a> <a href="#0_9">3.4.1 </a><a href="#0_3">3.4.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">New mobility products & services ............................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">5</a><a href="#0_3">4 </a> <a href="#0_9">Sharing Systems ...............................................................................................</a><a href="#0_9">.</a><a href="#0_9">5</a><a href="#0_9">4 </a><a href="#0_3">Mobility as a service (MaaS).............................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">5</a><a href="#0_3">5 </a><a href="#0_10">On-demand systems .........................................................................................</a><a href="#0_10">.</a><a href="#0_10">5</a><a href="#0_10">6 </a><a href="#0_2">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_2">.</a><a href="#0_2">5</a><a href="#0_2">7 </a> <a href="#0_10">3.4.3 </a><a href="#0_2">3.4.4 </a> <a href="#0_3">3.5 </a> <a href="#0_11">3.5.1 </a><a href="#0_12">3.5.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">Policies influencing the transport sector ..................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">5</a><a href="#0_3">9 </a> <a href="#0_11">Global environmental agreements....................................................................</a><a href="#0_11">.</a><a href="#0_11">5</a><a href="#0_11">9 </a><a href="#0_12">EU transport policie</a><a href="#0_12">s</a><a href="#0_12">.</a><a href="#0_12">........................................................................................</a><a href="#0_12">.</a><a href="#0_12">5</a><a href="#0_12">9 </a><a href="#0_13">National policies ................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_13">.</a><a href="#0_13">6</a><a href="#0_13">0 </a><a href="#0_1">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_1">.</a><a href="#0_1">6</a><a href="#0_1">3 </a> <a href="#0_13">3.5.3 </a><a href="#0_1">3.5.4 </a> <a href="#0_3">3.6 </a> <a href="#0_7">3.6.1 </a><a href="#0_14">3.6.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">Economic production & organisational structures....................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">6</a><a href="#0_3">5 </a> <a href="#0_7">Industry 4.0........................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_7">.</a><a href="#0_7">6</a><a href="#0_7">5 </a><a href="#0_14">Economic structural change..............................................................................</a><a href="#0_14">.</a><a href="#0_14">6</a><a href="#0_14">6 </a><a href="#0_15">Green Economy ................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_15">.</a><a href="#0_15">6</a><a href="#0_15">7 </a><a href="#0_16">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_16">.</a><a href="#0_16">6</a><a href="#0_16">9 </a> <a href="#0_15">3.6.3 </a><a href="#0_16">3.6.4 </a> <a href="#0_3">3.7 </a> <a href="#0_7">3.7.1 </a><a href="#0_17">3.7.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">Spatial organisation & structures .............................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">7</a><a href="#0_3">0 </a> <a href="#0_7">Smart Cities as new “planned cities” ................................................................</a><a href="#0_7">.</a><a href="#0_7">7</a><a href="#0_7">0 </a><a href="#0_17">Eco-cities ...........................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_17">.</a><a href="#0_17">7</a><a href="#0_17">1 </a><a href="#0_18">Geographical disparities....................................................................................</a><a href="#0_18">.</a><a href="#0_18">7</a><a href="#0_18">3 </a><a href="#0_19">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_19">.</a><a href="#0_19">7</a><a href="#0_19">3 </a> <a href="#0_18">3.7.3 </a><a href="#0_19">3.7.4 </a> <a href="#0_3">3.8 </a> <a href="#0_20">3.8.1 </a><a href="#0_21">3.8.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">Society ......................................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">7</a><a href="#0_3">5 </a> <a href="#0_20">Mobility behaviour .............................................................................................</a><a href="#0_20">.</a><a href="#0_20">7</a><a href="#0_20">5 </a><a href="#0_21">Behaviour change theories ...............................................................................</a><a href="#0_21">.</a><a href="#0_21">7</a><a href="#0_21">6 </a><a href="#0_22">Mobility paradigms ............................................................................................</a><a href="#0_22">.</a><a href="#0_22">7</a><a href="#0_22">7 </a><a href="#0_23">Outlook ..............................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_23">.</a><a href="#0_23">7</a><a href="#0_23">8 </a> <a href="#0_22">3.8.3 </a><a href="#0_23">3.8.4 </a><ul style="display: flex;"><li style="flex:1"><a href="#0_3">4</a></li><li style="flex:1"><a href="#0_3">Expert’s assessment on evolutionary developments in the transport syste</a><a href="#0_3">m</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">...............</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">8</a><a href="#0_3">0 </a></li></ul>Page 5 of 116 D4.1 Sketch of the future transport system <a href="#0_24">4.1 </a><a href="#0_25">4.2 </a> <a href="#0_24">Characteristics of the sampl</a><a href="#0_24">e</a><a href="#0_24">.</a><a href="#0_24">..................................................................................</a><a href="#0_24">.</a><a href="#0_24">8</a><a href="#0_24">0 </a><a href="#0_25">Innovation in Transport Technologie</a><a href="#0_25">s</a><a href="#0_25">.</a><a href="#0_25">.....................................................................</a><a href="#0_25">.</a><a href="#0_25">8</a><a href="#0_25">1 </a> <a href="#0_26">4.2.1 </a><a href="#0_27">4.2.2 </a><a href="#0_28">4.2.3 </a> <a href="#0_29">4.3 </a> <a href="#0_30">4.3.1 </a><a href="#0_31">4.3.2 </a> <a href="#0_26">Applications of autonomous driving systems....................................................</a><a href="#0_26">.</a><a href="#0_26">8</a><a href="#0_26">1 </a><a href="#0_27">Impacts of autonomous driving systems...........................................................</a><a href="#0_27">.</a><a href="#0_27">8</a><a href="#0_27">2 </a><a href="#0_28">UAV technologies in the transport system........................................................</a><a href="#0_28">.</a><a href="#0_28">8</a><a href="#0_28">4 </a> <a href="#0_29">Future changes in the transport marke</a><a href="#0_29">t</a><a href="#0_29">.</a><a href="#0_29">..................................................................</a><a href="#0_29">.</a><a href="#0_29">8</a><a href="#0_29">5 </a> <a href="#0_30">Vehicle ownership .............................................................................................</a><a href="#0_30">.</a><a href="#0_30">8</a><a href="#0_30">5 </a><a href="#0_31">New business models .......................................................................................</a><a href="#0_31">.</a><a href="#0_31">8</a><a href="#0_31">6 </a><a href="#0_28">Mobility sharing .................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_28">.</a><a href="#0_28">8</a><a href="#0_28">7 </a><a href="#0_3">Revolutionary transport concepts .....................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">8</a><a href="#0_3">8 </a> <a href="#0_28">4.3.3 </a><a href="#0_3">4.3.4 </a> <a href="#0_32">4.4 </a> <a href="#0_33">4.4.1 </a><a href="#0_25">4.4.2 </a> <a href="#0_28">4.5 </a> <a href="#0_34">4.5.1 </a><a href="#0_35">4.5.2 </a> <a href="#0_3">4.6 </a> <a href="#0_32">Impacts on the sustainability of the transport system..............................................</a><a href="#0_32">.</a><a href="#0_32">8</a><a href="#0_32">8 </a> <a href="#0_33">Electric drivetrain</a><a href="#0_33">s</a><a href="#0_33">.</a><a href="#0_33">............................................................................................</a><a href="#0_33">.</a><a href="#0_33">8</a><a href="#0_33">8 </a><a href="#0_25">Lightweight construction....................................................................................</a><a href="#0_25">.</a><a href="#0_25">8</a><a href="#0_25">9 </a> <a href="#0_28">Role of the policy ......................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_28">.</a><a href="#0_28">9</a><a href="#0_28">0 </a> <a href="#0_34">Attitude to newly emerging technologie</a><a href="#0_34">s</a><a href="#0_34">.</a><a href="#0_34">.........................................................</a><a href="#0_34">.</a><a href="#0_34">9</a><a href="#0_34">0 </a><a href="#0_35">Influence for a sustainability transformation of the transport syste</a><a href="#0_35">m</a><a href="#0_35">.</a><a href="#0_35">..............</a><a href="#0_35">.</a><a href="#0_35">9</a><a href="#0_35">1 </a> <a href="#0_3">Conclusion ................................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">9</a><a href="#0_3">2 </a> <a href="#0_3">5</a><a href="#0_3">6</a> <a href="#0_3">Sketch of the future transport system..............................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">9</a><a href="#0_3">3 </a><a href="#0_3">Conclusion .......................................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">9</a><a href="#0_3">6 </a> <a href="#0_3">Acknowledgement</a><a href="#0_3">s</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">................................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">9</a><a href="#0_3">8 </a><a href="#0_3">References ..............................................................................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">9</a><a href="#0_3">9 </a><a href="#0_3">Annex 1 - Interview guide for expert interviews....................................................................</a><a href="#0_3">.</a><a href="#0_3">1</a><a href="#0_3">15 </a>

D4.1 Sketch of the Future Transport System (Version 1.0, 31/07/2018)

Details

Download

Copyright

We respect the copyrights and intellectual property rights of all users. All uploaded documents are either original works of the uploader or authorized works of the rightful owners.

Support