TRANSPORTATION & TRADE STATISTICS FOR MANITOBA EDITION 2 A PERIODICALLY UPDATED DATABASE AND TREND ANALYSIS UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA TRANSPORT INSTITUTE DR. BARRY E. PRENTICE MEGAN J. WARACHKA J. JURGENS BEKKER JANUARY 2004 SPONSORED IN PART BY MANITOBA TRANSPORTATION AND GOVERNMENT SERVICES. For additional copies, contact: The Transport Institute The University of Manitoba 631 Drake Centre Building 181 Freedman Crescent Winnipeg, Manitoba R3T 5V4 Phone: (204) 474-9842 Fax: (204) 474-7530 Website: www.umti.ca INTRODUCTION Vast amounts of data are collected with regard to transportation. Like the nature of the industry, it has been spread throughout several manners. Our purpose in this project is to create a comprehensive Manitoba transportation data set. Total Canadian data is also presented, where applicable, to offer comparative measures. Decision makers would then have all the relevant statistics that are specific to Manitoba’s transport industry in one place for easy reference. Stakeholders in this compilation range from provincial and local administrations to industry operators and management. This remains an ambitious project to address the interests of an entire sector. This is the Transport Institute’s second effort to publish an all-encompassing report on transportation trends in Manitoba. The database that forms the foundation of this report was initiated and developed by the Transport Institute in 1996 and has been updated on an annual basis. Our first publication of the compendium was in July 2001. The potential value of a regularly updated database to the Manitoba transport and related industries was acknowledged by Manitoba Transportation and Government Services. The data generally spans a ten to fifteen year horizon. During the annual updates to our database, some of the data series were adjusted to reflect recent and more accurate information available from the primary source. Readily available explanations of recent changes in data collection or reporting techniques are explained where possible. Cutbacks at the federal government level have often resulted in the aggregation of data for the prairie provinces of Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta. Differences in the economies of these provinces have shown an obvious distortion in the merged provincial data. Where possible we have addressed this issue, but in some cases it remains impossible to do so. Also important to note are the significant gaps in data that are present, particularly in the rail and air sectors. The Transport Institute is analyzing these gaps and evaluating potential options to address the concerns that arise as a consequence. We have done our best to ensure a complete overview of each relevant transport sector in Manitoba, to the extent that the information is publicly available. The report has expanded significantly since the first publication. Along with the inclusion of aids to improve the accessibility of the data is a considerable expansion of the topics covered. This publication contains nine chapters. New additions include chapters on pipeline transportation, transportation equipment manufacturing, electricity transportation, and government revenues and expenditures on transportation in Manitoba. The appendices contain selected information on particular topics. The objective of this report is to create a valuable resource that can act as a reference regarding the Manitoba transport sector. Encompassed in this goal were efforts to maintain consistency throughout the years of data, provide comparable information within and between modes, and aid the accessibility of the data for users. New additions to this report include a detailed table of contents, an index by subject, and summary tables at the beginning of appropriate chapters that highlight the high level data contained in a chapter. A Database User Feedback Survey is also included at the end of this document and we encourage you to send us your comments. We will continue updating this database and looking for ways to increase its usefulness to parties. As such, this project should be viewed as a “work in progress”. i The Transport Institute makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of the data presented in this report. No warranties are provided as to the validity or accuracy of the information presented herein and in the case of any discrepancy of data that may arise, the original sources supersede information that may be contained herein. This report has been financially supported in part by Manitoba Transportation and Government Services (MTGS). The views expressed do not necessarily represent those of MTGS. ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Manitoba’s Economy The Manitoba economy grew from $27.5 billion in 1997 to $31.8 billion in 2002. Over the same period, the Canadian national economy grew from $817 billion to $993 billion (with all above values at basic prices and in 1997 constant dollars). This represents growth rates of 15.7 percent provincially and 21.6 percent nationally. This slower provincial economy growth rate resulted in Manitoba’s contribution to the Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) declining. In Manitoba the transportation and warehousing industry GDP expanded by 11.0 percent from 1997 to 2002. The transportation and warehousing industry GDP for Canada increased by 13.7 percent over this same period. Total transportation employment in Canada increased 8 percent over the 1987 to 2000 period, whereas total transportation employment in Manitoba increased 16 percent over the same period. For both Canada and Manitoba, truck transport is the mode that employs the greatest number. The number or rail transport employees decreased steadily over the 1987 to 2000 period. Manitoba’s total export earnings grew significantly from $3.0 billion in 1990 to $9.3 billion in 2001. In 2001, vegetable products were the top export earning section with $1.4 billion in exports. Manitoba’s total payments for imports increased from $3.2 billion in 1990 to $9.8 billion in 2001. Machinery, mechanical and electrical appliances and equipment had the highest imports of any section with $3.0 billion in 2001. In 2001, the manufacturing industry was the largest contributor to export earnings with $6.0 billion, followed by agriculture with $1.9 billion. The leading importing industry by value for 2001 was also manufacturing with $9.3 billion, followed by agriculture with $231 million. Highway Transport The GDP of the Canadian truck transport industry tripled from $4.5 billion in 1980 to $13.3 billion in 2000 (figures at factor cost and using 1992 prices). Manitoba employment in the truck transport industry increased 10 percent from 1991 (6,756) to 2001 (7,464). The trend in Manitoba employment as a share of total Canadian employment declined, as did for-hire trucking as a share of total Manitoba employment. The average Canadian salary in the trucking industry in 2001 was $33,507, an increase of 27 percent over the decade. Both north and southbound movements of goods by for-hire trucking increased substantially in the last decade; however, the aggregation of data for the prairie provinces precludes the analysis of solely Manitoba data. In 1999 there were an estimated 83 top for-hire carriers of freight in Canada with an annual operating income in excess of $25 million, 2,965 medium and large carriers with an annual operating income between $1 million and $25 million, and 6,000 small carriers with annual operating income of less than $1 million. Also in 1999 there were an estimated 201 top owner operators with annual operating income in excess of $1 million and 36,995 small owner operators with an annual operating income of less than $1 million. Medium and large for-hire carriers operated the most pieces of equipment with 162,499 units, followed by the small owner operators with 86,625 units. In total, semi-trailers were the most abundant type iii of equipment with 185,524 units, followed by road tractors at 102,045 units. Manitoba small for-hire carriers of freight reported operating ratios averaging 98.7 percent in 1999. Manitoba owner operators reported operating ratios averaging 87.4 percent in 1999. Three weight groups dominate tonne-km estimates for medium to top for-hire carriers of freight in Canada (10,000-19,999 kg, 20,000-29,999 kg, and 30,000-44,999 kg). The bulk of vehicles registered in Manitoba are for non-commercial use. Registered vehicles for non-commercial use reached a low point in 1997 (656,313), but have since begun to increase steadily, with 767,812 vehicles registered as non-commercial in 2002. Total commercial vehicles registered in Manitoba in 2002 were 60,516. Railway Transport The GDP of the Canadian railway transport industry fluctuated from 1980 to 2000, but overall saw a 43 percent increase from the 1980 figure ($4.9 billion in 2000 at factor cost and using 1992 prices). Manitoba employment in the rail transport industry decreased 52 percent from 1985 (12,018) to 2000 (5,917). The average Canadian salary in the rail industry in 2001 was $62,675. In 2000 the total railway freight from Manitoba to destinations was 8.8 million tonnes. Railway freight to the U.S. increased substantially since 1990, from 534,000 tonnes to 3,036,000 tonnes in 2000. Railway freight destined for Manitoba from other regions reached 4.9 million tonnes in 2000. Of this, 0.9 million tonnes came from the U.S. For a large part of the review period the greatest share of total railway freight from Manitoba to provincial destinations consisted of marine exports. However, marine exports have been declining over time. Urban and Intercity Transport The GDP of the Canadian urban transit industry decreased 26 percent from 1980 to 2000 (at factor cost and using 1992 prices) and totaled $2.4 billion in 2000. In 2002, Winnipeg Transit System employed 1,417 people and ran 531 buses. Brandon Transit employed 38 people and ran 17 buses.