DARBY REPORT #295 VICTORY TO JOHN HOWARD Tue 12 Oct 04 THE DARBY REPORT GUIDE to the 9 October 2004 GENERAL ELECTION These tables tell part of the story of the political heroes whose efforts as candidates saved Australia from the threat of Latham Labor, and ensured that our Nation will continue to enjoy wise government by the Liberal- Nationals Coalition led by Prime Minister the Hon John Howard MP and Deputy Prime Minister the Hon John Anderson MP. Figures, taken from the AEC Website, are not final, and may be updated from time to time. To view any desired section, click on the page number. ALL COALITION CANDIDATES IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER 2 ALL COALITION CANDIDATES IN ORDER OF STATE AND CANDIDATURE Australian Capital Territory 8 New South Wales 8 Northern Territory 9 Queensland 10 South Australia 11 Tasmania 12 Victoria 12 Western Australia 13 COALITION HOUSE OF REPS CANDIDATES IN ORDER OF T-P-P PERCENTAGE Coalition seats won by more than 20% 15 Coalition seats won by 20% or less 15 Coalition seats won by 10% or less 16 Coalition seats won by 6% or less 17 Coalition seats won by 5% or less 18 Coalition seats won by 4% or less 18 Coalition seats won by 3% or less 18 Coalition seats won by 2% or less 18 Coalition seats won by 1% or less 18 Seats lost by 1% or less 18 Seats lost by 2% or less 19 Seats lost by 3% or less 19 Seats lost by 4% or less 19 Seats lost by 5% or less 19 Seats lost by 6% or less 19 Seats lost by 10% or less 19 Seats lost by 20% or less 20 Seats lost by more than 20% 20 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES TOTAL VOTES AND AEC SUMMARY OF SEATS 21 GLENN DRUERY’S PREDICTION OF SENATE NUMBERS 21 “The Coalition will have control of the Senate without the need to seek minor party assistance”. PLEASE SEND CORRECTIONS TO [email protected] Darby Report 295 of 12 October 2004 Page 1 ALL COALITION CANDIDATES IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER Candidate Candidature Primary Swing Two-party-preferred Hon Tony Abbott BEc LLB MA MP NSW Warringah 54.77 3.32 60.29 Member for Warringah, Minister for Health Senator the Hon Eric Abetz BA LLB Tas +Senate Special Minister of State Senator-elect Judith Adams WA +Senate The Hon John Anderson MA MP (Nats) NSW Gwydir 61.82 9.19 68.08 Deputy Prime Minister, Member for Gwydir The Hon Kevin Andrews BA LLM Vic Menzies 56.52 3.19 60.39 Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations, Member for Menzies The Hon Larry Anthony BComm MP (Nats) NSW Richmond 45.57 .82 49.35 Minister for Children and Youth Affairs, Member for Richmond Mr Costa Asarloglou BA NSW Chifley 29.10 3.58 36.65 Ms Maisie Austin NT Lingiari 37.27 -1.91 40.90 The Hon Fran Bailey DipT MP Vic McEwen 51.42 4.86 55.93 Minister for Employment Services and Minister Assisting the Minister for Defence, Member for McEwen Mrs Robyn Bain (Nats) NSW +Senate Hon Bruce Baird BA MBA MP NSW Cook 58.35 2.13 64.05 Member for Cook Mr James Baker (Nats) Qld +Senate Mr Mark Baker BEd BComm DipT Tas Braddon 47.68 8.51 51.37 Member-elect for Braddon Mr Bob Baldwin MP NSW Paterson 51.8 +11.89 56.52 Member for Paterson Ms. Josephine Barfield BBusMan MIntRel NSW Newcastle 35.31 4.94 40.00 Senator Guy Barnett LLB LLM AICD Tas +Senate Mrs Belinda Barnier ACT Canberra 36.81 2.77 40.09 Mr Phillip Barresi BA GradDip MP Vic Deakin 50.45 3.38 55.25 Member for Deakin Mr Kerry Bartlett MEc DipEd MP NSW Macquarie 53.88 +2.88 59.36 Member for Macquarie Mr Bruce Billson BBus MP Vic Dunkley 55.48 5.75 59.12 Member for Dunkley Mr Simon Birmingham SA Hindmarsh 46.02 0.95 49.83 Hon Bronwyn Bishop MP NSW Mackellar 57.39 -0.25 66.07 Member for Mackellar Hon Julie Bishop LLB MP WA Curtin 60.05 4.89 64.93 Minister for Ageing, Member for Curtin Ms Beth Black (Nats) NSW Hunter 26.84 -0.66 36.16 Mr Paul Blanch LLB NSW Calare 15.81 15.81 27.18 Mr Alan Boulton Qld Lilley 40.91 0.85 44.41 Ms Sue Boyce BA(Hons) MBus FAICD Qld +Senate Mr Mike Boyd (Nats) Qld Rankin 968 Sen George Brandis BA (Hons) LLB (Hons) (Qld) BCL Qld +Senate (Oxon) Mr Russell Broadbent Vic McMillan Vic 43.40 14.27 55.46 Member-elect for McMillan The Hon Mal Brough MP Qld Longman 51.81 6.58 57.52 Minister for Revenue and Assistant Treasurer, Member for Longman Darby Report 295 of 12 October 2004 Page 2 ALL COALITION CANDIDATES IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER Candidate Candidature Primary Swing Two-party-preferred Hon Alan Cadman MP NSW Mitchell 64.79 1.53 70.95 Member for Mitchell Hon Ross Cameron BEc LLB MP NSW Parramatta 43.97 -1.97 48.81 Parliamentary Secretary to the Treasurer, Member for Parramatta Senator the Hon Ian Campbell WA +Senate Minister for the Environment and Heritage Manager of Government Business in the Senate The Hon Ian Causley MP (Nats) NSW Page 48.45 6.60 54.14 Deputy Speaker, Member for Page Mr Steven Ciobo BComm LLM MP Qld Moncrieff 64.54 11.05 70.15 Member for Moncrieff Mr John Cobb MP (Nats) NSW Parkes 60.40 9.30 64.11 Member for Parkes The Hon Peter Costello BA LLB (Hons) MP Vic Higgins 54.85 1.66 58.34 Treasurer of Australia, Member for Higgins Mrs Wendy D Creighton BAppSc Qld Rankin 36.75 -4.02 46.83 Mr Peter Curtis DipB&CM Vic Lalor 37.57 4.52 41.46 Mr Dino De Marchi LLB Vic +Senate Mr Jerry Dimitroulis DipM Vic Melbourne 24.04 -1.00 34.95 Mr Michael Darby NSW +Senate Mr Kurt Darcey NSW Charlton 34.53 1.22 41.26 The Hon Alexander Downer BA(Hons) MP SA Mayo 53.63 0 63.19 Foreign Minister, Member for Mayo Mr James Doyle (Nats) Qld Kennedy 23.71 10.64 Mrs Trish Draper BA MP SA Makin 44.69 -1.03 50.66 Dr Conrad D'Souza MPharm PhD Vic Maribyrnong 37.22 7.23 40.22 Mr Peter Dutton BBus MP Qld Dickson 52.19 6.65 57.82 Member for Dickson Mr Phil Edman WA Brand 40.06 16.09 45.27 Senator the Hon Chris Ellison BJuris, LLB WA +Senate Mrs Kaye Elson MP Qld Forde 55.09 5.88 63.13 Member for Forde Mr Warren Entsch MP Qld Leichhardt 53.42 4.66 60.04 Member for Leichhardt Mr Pat Farmer MP NSW Macarthur 54.59 3.80 59.50 Member for Macarthur Mr David Fawcett BSc MBA SA Wakefield 43.62 4.54 50.37 Member-elect for Wakefield Senator Alan Ferguson SA +Senate Mr Michael Ferguson BAppSc BEd Tas Bass 49.33 7.88 52.67 Member-elect for Bass Senator-elect Concetta Fierravanti-Wells NSW +Senate Mr Henry Finnis GradDipAppSc Tas Franklin 38.99 1.43 42.56 Mr Jim Forbes BEd DipTAS Vic +Senate Mr John Forrest MSc BE DipCivEng MP (Nats) Vic Mallee 68.82 15.62 75.05 Member for Mallee Ms Teresa Gambaro BBus MP Qld Petrie 52.42 4.16 53.48 Member for Petrie Mrs Joanna Gash CBE MP NSW Gilmore 54.19 -1.92 59.75 Member for Gilmore Mr Petro Georgiou BA(Hons) MP Vic Kooyong 54.28 -0.80 58.96 Member for Kooyong Cr Kevin Gibbins Vic Bendigo 45.55 6.03 49.10 Darby Report 295 of 12 October 2004 Page 3 ALL COALITION CANDIDATES IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER Candidate Candidature Primary Swing Two-party-preferred Mr Adam Giles MBA ACT Fraser 33.49 2.71 36.59 Mr Geoff Gill (Nats) WA +Senate Dr Stewart Gillies BE(Hons) PhD Qld +Senate Mr Max Gratton BA Vic Batman 25.57 3.84 28.04 Mr Roger Gray BA BEc MBus MBA NSW Banks 42.25 6.46 48.93 Bernadette Gregg (CLP) NT +Senate Mr Robert Griffith (Nats) NSW Calare 13.16 -7.37 n/a Mr Barry Haase MP WA Kalgoorlie 44.89 2.29 55.66 Member for Kalgoorlie Mr Blair Hamilton Vic Wills 28.24 2.77 32.69 The Hon Gary Hardgrave BCom DipMR MP Qld Moreton 48.95 1.74 53.83 Minister for Citizenship & Multicultural Affairs and Minister Assisting the Prime Minister, Member for Moreton Mrs Leigh Hardingham (Nats) WA O'Connor 5,628 2.30 Mr Stephen Hartney DipMEchEng CPE MIEA Vic Chisolm 43.42 -0.20 47.04 Mr Luke Hartsuyker MP (Nats) NSW Cowper 50.47 20.58 56.42 Member for Cowper Mr David Hawker BEng MP Vic Wannon 57.75 5.53 62.17 Member for Wannon Mr Norman Henning (Nats) WA +Senate Mr Stuart Henry WA Hasluck 45.71 6.38 51.78 Member-elect for Hasluck Hon Joe Hockey BA LLB MP NSW North Sydney 56.25 -0.71 59.75 Minister for Small Business & Tourism, Member for North Sydney Hon The Hon. John Howard LLB MP NSW Bennelong 49.32 -3.75 53.66 Prime Minister of Australia, Member for Bennelong Mrs Kay Hull MP (Nats) NSW Riverina 66.72 5.27 70.40 Member for Riverina Senator Gary Humphries BA LLB ACT +Senate Mr Greg Hunt MA LLB(Hons) MP Vic Flinders 58.18 6.66 60.90 Member for Flinders Mr Terry Inglis BA (Hons) Dip Ed MEnvM MBA SA Port Adelaide 31.62 4.91 34.00 Mr Woody Inman BIntRel Vic Jagajaga 42.33 1.86 45.59 Mrs Susan Jennison MA GrDipIS Vic Gorton 31.99 7.96 34.45 Dr Dennis Jensen BAppSc MSc PhD WA Tangney 54.03 4.22 61.79 Member-elect for Tangney Mr Michael Johnson BA LLB MP Qld Ryan 55.01 6.52 60.53 Member for Ryan Mr Barnaby Joyce (Nats) Qld +Senate Senator-elect for Queensland Hon David Jull MP Qld Fadden 59.80 6.42 65.44 Member for Fadden Mr Michael Keenan MPhil BA(Hons) WA Stirling 47.29 7.10 51.71 Member-elect for Stirling Mrs De-Anne Kelly MP (Nats) Qld Dawson 48.36 -1.86 60.66 Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Transport and Regional Services, Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Trade, Member for Dawson Hon Jackie Kelly LLB MP NSW Lindsay 48.15 1.22 54.24 Parliamentary Secretary to the Prime Minister, Member for Lindsay Mr Trevor Khan (Nats) NSW New England 18.98 -19.92 28.71 Mr Bruce King Vic Corio 40.03 3.65 43.92 Darby Report 295 of 12 October 2004 Page 4 ALL COALITION CANDIDATES IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER Candidate Candidature Primary Swing Two-party-preferred Ms Stephanie Kokkolis CertFP NSW Grayndler 23.94 1.01 26.88 Mr Lucas Kostadinoski Vic Scullin 30.55 4.85 34.88 Miss Di Kuntschik BA LLB Qld Capricornia 12.62 -1.90 Dr Andrew Laming MPubAdm MB BS DipO&G DipOphthS Qld Bowman 50.78 3.38 58.96 MPhil MPubP RACS Member-elect for Bowman Mr John Larter NSW Cunningham 28.49 Sue Lawrie SA +Senate Mr John Lever (Nats) Qld Capricornia