Weekly update for coronavirus figures in the county 2 March 2021 How is coronavirus affecting people in Lancashire? This is a weekly bulletin produced by the Lancashire Resilience Forum with the latest figures on the number of coronavirus-related cases and deaths in the county, as well as figures at a unitary and district level. It also shows how Lancashire compares to other areas of the country. Confirmed cases from positive ‘pillar 1 and 2’ tests up to 9,071 28 February 2021 6,413 LANCASTER LANCASHIRE 4,352 12,926 119,007 RIBBLE VALLEY 9,360 8,879 WYRE NORTH WEST PENDLE BLACKPOOL PRESTON FYLDE BURNLEY 9,542 576,726 4,543 HYNDBURN SOUTH BLACKBURN RIBBLE WITH ROSSENDALE ENGLAND DARWEN 7,469 8,489 CHORLEY WEST 3,663,090 LANCASHIRE 5,810 7,578 17,170 7,405 These figures are from tests carried out in Public Health England labs and in the NHS (Pillar 1) and from other testing routes, such as mobile labs (Pillar 2). Weekly rate of Covid-19 cases per 100,000 population tested under pillar 1 and pillar 2 (Week 7 - data between 15 February and 21 February 2021). Blackpool Lancashire Blackburn with Darwen For rate of cases detected via Pillar 1 & 2 testing: Blackpool’s rate is in the third lowest band and Blackburn with Darwen and Lancashire’s rates are in the third highest rate band Pillar 1 = swab testing in PHE labs & NHS hospitals for those with a medical need and key workers & their families Pillar 2 = testing by commercial partners - swab testing for the wider population from out in the community Cumulative lab-confirmed cases up to 28 February 2021, rate per 100,000 Source: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk Cases are from both pillar 1 and 2 Daily pillar 1 and pillar 2 lab-confirmed cases to 28 February 2021 Positive tests are counted according to the date the sample was taken. However, most swabs taken in recent days will not yet have produced a result, so it is important not to jump to the conclusion that the epidemic is tailing off quicker than it really is. The PHE website cautions that only data from five days or more ago can be considered complete. Figures relating to confirmed cases by Upper Tier Local Authority The greyed-out columns in figure above are liable to be added to as more results come in. can be downloaded from: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk Testing and incidence Specimens taken/outbreaks reported between 19/2/21 – 25/2/21 All Ages 60+ Years Individuals Tested Percentage Tested Daily Incidence Daily Incidence per 100,000 Positive per 100,000 Seven-Day Seven-Day Local Authority per 100,000 per 100,000 (7-Day Moving (7-Day Moving Change in Change in (7-Day Moving (7-Day Moving Average) Average) Case Rate Case Rate Average) Average) Blackburn with Darwen 351.0 358.8 ↓ 7.5 7.3 ↑ 161.7 167.7 ↓ -10.0% 115.6 129.2 ↓↓ -8.0% Blackpool 515.8 512.5 ↑ 2.9 2.7 ↑ 81.8 81.0 ↑ -42.0% 72.4 77.8 ↓ -53.0% Burnley 367.9 371.4 ↓ 5.3 5.2 ↑ 113.6 105.7 ↑ 0.0% 73.1 54.8 ↑↑ -41.0% Chorley 370.4 373.3 ↓ 4.5 4.9 ↓ 104.0 113.4 ↓ -38.0% 68.7 68.7 ó -19.0% Fylde 477.1 529.5 ↓ 3.7 3.6 ↑ 110.2 116.4 ↓ -12.0% 64.2 60.6 ↑ -31.0% Hyndburn 388.5 388.3 ↑ 7.0 6.1 ↑↑ 162.9 150.5 ↑ 17.0% 118.3 108.0 ↑ 53.0% Lancaster 380.8 381.1 ↓ 5.4 5.6 ↓ 129.4 134.2 ↓ -19.0% 56.0 58.6 ↓ -43.0% Pendle 369.1 376.9 ↓ 5.2 5.4 ↓ 118.3 124.8 ↓ -17.0% 88.5 79.6 ↑↑ -9.0% Preston 425.6 431.3 ↓ 6.9 7.5 ↓ 193.5 204.0 ↓ -18.0% 78.1 88.8 ↓↓ -27.0% Ribble Valley 319.3 322.4 ↓ 5.5 6.2 ↓↓ 115.0 129.7 ↓↓ -10.0% 58.8 58.8 ó -50.0% Rossendale 343.1 352.1 ↓ 5.3 5.2 ↑ 113.3 116.1 ↓ -1.0% 113.1 107.5 ↑ 43.0% South Ribble 379.1 372.0 ↑ 6.3 6.6 ↓ 157.1 163.4 ↓ -4.0% 81.7 91.5 ↓↓ -32.0% West Lancashire 375.1 380.9 ↓ 4.3 4.7 ↓ 110.2 119.9 ↓ -34.0% 80.0 92.3 ↓↓ -32.0% Wyre 383.4 386.3 ↓ 3.4 3.2 ↑ 76.7 74.0 ↑ -37.0% 66.8 61.6 ↑ -16.0% North West 362.8368.0 5.85.7 133.4128.3 85.984.9 England 369.0373.0 4.54.3 102.997.1 69.165.2 Due to the reporting delays for comparison between Local Authorities the most recent 4 days are excluded from the calculations of rates and moving averages. Single direction-of-travel arrows denote a perecntage change of less than 10%. Twin arrows denote a change of greater than 10%. Source: PHE laboratory confirmed COVID-19-line list Covid-19 cases (number of people with a lab-confirmed positive test result) by Middle Super Output Area (MSOA). MSOAs with 3 and above COVID-19 cases, in the 7 days ending 24 February Link to interactive map showing cases by MSOA https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map MSOAs are small areas with around 7,200 average population and are used to facilitate the reporting of small area statistics. Source: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases Continued on next page Covid-19 cases (number of people with a lab-confirmed positive test result) by Middle Super Output Area (MSOA). MSOAs with 3 and above COVID-19 cases, in the 7 days ending 24 February Link to interactive map showing cases by MSOA https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map MSOAs are small areas with around 7,200 average population and are used to facilitate the reporting of small area statistics. Source: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases Ethnic break down of positive cases in the 14 days to 28/02/21 Percentage of total positive cases over this period Other No ethnicity Ethnic information/ District of residence Asian Black Mixed Groups White blank Burnley 16.9% 0.6% 0.0% 1.1% 71.8% 9.6% Chorley 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 85.7% 11.3% Fylde 0.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.6% 75.1% 22.7% Hyndburn 10.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 82.0% 7.2% Lancaster 0.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 72.1% 23.7% Pendle 24.8% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 60.6% 14.2% Preston 13.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 63.9% 18.6% Ribble Valley 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 84.3% 12.6% Rossendale 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 86.1% 12.6% South Ribble 4.8% 1.0% 0.3% 1.0% 79.7% 13.2% West Lancashire 0.4% 1.2% 0.0% 1.5% 82.7% 14.2% Wyre 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 82.9% 15.0% Lancashire County Council 6.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 75.4% 15.4% Source: Public Health England Ethnic break down of resident population (ONS estimates, 2019) District Asian Black Mixed Other ethnic group White The ethnic break down of the positive cases in each district should be Burnley 12.5% 0.2% 1.4% 0.3% 85.6% Chorley 1.8% 0.4% 1.2% 0.2% 96.5% considered alongside the ethnic make up of the whole resident population Fylde 1.2% 0.3% 1.2% 0.3% 97.1% in the district. Hundburn 12.6% 0.1% 1.0% 0.2% 86.0% Lancaster 2.7% 0.5% 1.2% 0.3% 95.3% Pendle 20.9% 0.1% 1.4% 0.1% 77.4% For the ethnic break down of the whole resident population in a district Preston 16.9% 1.1% 3.1% 0.9% 78.1% please see the page below: Ribble Valley 1.4% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 97.7% https://www.lancashire.gov.uk/lancashire-insight/population-and-households/ Rossendale 5.9% 0.2% 1.1% 0.1% 92.7% population-and-households-2011-census/population-by-ethnicity/ South Ribble 1.6% 0.2% 1.3% 0.2% 96.7% West Lancashire 0.8% 0.1% 0.9% 0.1% 98.0% Wyre 1.0% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 98.0% Lancashire County Council 6.6% 0.3% 1.4% 0.3% 91.4% Weekly case rate per 100,000 population Seven day period BwD Blackpool Burnley Chorley Fylde Hyndburn Lancaster Pendle Preston Ribble Valley Rossendale South Ribble West Wyre Lancashire-12 LRF NW England ending Lancashire 24/01/2021 543.1 253.1 492.6 308.8 354.0 473.8 426.6 458.1 457.6 338.3 374.9 387.2 405.1 273.9 397.3 398.4 379.9 355.1 25/01/2021 526.4 243.8 419.5 294.4 321.9 443.0 395.1 432.1 436.7 328.5 333.0 363.8 363.9 262.3 368.2 372.4 358.6 330.9 26/01/2021 497.0 233.8 394.7 269.8 329.3 393.6 339.6 411.5 385.0 318.6 295.2 347.5 321.9 231.1 336.0 342.5 336.1 310.4 27/01/2021 473.6 224.5 356.5 256.3 298.3 364.0 317.7 372.4 364.0 294.0 278.4 334.0 307.1 234.6 315.3 322.6 321.6 295.3 28/01/2021 465.6 228.8 347.5 247.9 284.7 335.6 305.4 376.7 366.1 284.1 274.2 334.9 300.1 244.4 309.7 317.7 311.2 283.0 29/01/2021 447.6 230.2 353.1 248.7 271.1 324.5 296.5 338.7 364.0 279.2 249.0 330.4 276.5 245.3 300.1 308.3 300.5 270.2 30/01/2021 430.9 231.6 345.3 248.7 266.2 320.8 286.2 340.9 350.0 244.7 237.8 336.7 265.1 229.3 291.9 300.1 293.8 261.4 31/01/2021 420.2 230.2 337.4 245.3 253.8 314.6 271.2 355.0 334.0 256.2 221.0 352.0 245.0 239.1 287.2 295.1 286.9 258.4 01/02/2021 398.8 239.5 332.9 231.8 251.3 324.5 259.5 332.2 331.9 243.1 222.4 345.7 223.1 242.7 279.8 287.9 274.6 245.9 02/02/2021 361.4 233.8 284.5 231.8 235.2 312.2 234.2 295.3 354.9 231.6 204.2 316.8 222.2 258.7 268.4 274.4 265.2 233.8 03/02/2021 354.7 231.6 269.9 226.7 236.4 304.8 224.6 274.7 352.1 225.0 186.1 319.5 205.6 240.9 259.1 266.0 256.4 223.4 04/02/2021 342.0 216.6 242.9 222.5 220.4 303.5 219.8 250.8 348.6 203.7 188.9 307.8 194.2 208.8 246.8 253.4 249.6 213.3 05/02/2021 321.3 210.8 233.9 214.0 200.5 287.5 202.0 249.7 330.5 192.2 180.5 306.0 203.0 195.4 236.9 242.9 239.0 203.2 06/02/2021 310.0 203.7 227.2 212.3 203.0 273.9 193.1 231.2 331.9 202.0 179.1 303.3 212.6 187.3 233.6 238.4 233.2 195.4 07/02/2021 303.9 204.4 218.2 210.6 203.0 270.2 196.5 222.6 343.0 179.0 179.1 286.1 206.5 165.9 228.3 233.6 226.9 189.0 08/02/2021 285.2 193.6 191.2 218.2 186.9 228.3 175.3 207.4 316.5 172.4 165.1 273.5 204.7 150.8 212.6 218.0 218.0 177.9 09/02/2021 289.9 177.1 186.7 214.9 168.4 215.9 172.6 197.6 289.9 175.7 162.3 262.7 184.6 124.0 200.4 207.1 208.4 168.3 10/02/2021 265.9 162.1 172.1 213.2 159.7 191.3 159.5 197.6 273.9 161.0 167.9 229.3 185.5 113.3 189.1 194.2 197.7 158.4 11/02/2021 241.2 157.8 164.2 200.5 149.8 165.3 147.2 181.3 255.0 175.7 148.3 224.8 182.8 115.1 179.1 183.3 188.7 149.7 12/02/2021 239.2 155.6 139.5 198.8 154.7 157.9 150.0 168.3 256.4 164.2 138.5 211.2 161.0 114.2 172.0 177.1 183.8 143.6 13/02/2021 222.5 162.1 133.8 184.4 132.5 164.1 155.4 162.8 239.6 151.1 127.3 198.6 158.3