KONDA BAROMETER Political and Social Survey Series SAMPLE REPORT 10th year SAMPLE REPORT This report is a sample copy to foster a better understanding of the contents of the political and social research series, begun 10 years ago. Due to the privacy agreements between KONDA and its subscribers, no report or any part of it can be shared with a third party until after a year after its preparation. KONDA February’18 Barometer Report is offered as the sample copy of our monthly work in this document. If you have any questions regarding subscriptions to the Barometer, please feel free to contact us. Thank you! Contact info: Tel : +90 (212) 2751766 pbx Email : [email protected] Sam KONDA BAROMETER 2019 WHAT IS KONDA BAROMETER? Konda Barometer is the only tool you can use to observe and make sense of the society in Turkey as a whole. KONDA Barometer was launched in 2010 and as of January 2019, we will conduct a survey, representative of the adult population in Turkey, for the 94th time and publish its 94th report. KONDA Barometer is political and social survey series going on to its 10th year. Each month, around 3 thousand people are interviewed face to face at locations determined through a sample representative of the population in Turkey. The survey includes questions on demographic characteristics and political preferences, and on how current events are perceived, as well as thematic questions on how social issues are shaped. In short, KONDA Barometer reports monitor what society thinks and how it reacts in the face of social or political events and developments. Above all, this survey series is second to none in Turkey in terms of its longevity, standardization and high-quality. KONDA BAROMETER 2019 Selected themes • The economic crisis and expectations • Justice in society • Political identities in society • Evaluation of companies and brands • Headcover and turban • Nationalism and national pride • Use of the Internet and social media • Alcohol and tobacco consumption • Women in social life • Life satisfaction • The new constitution • Family structure in Turkey • Economic ideology in daily life • Environmental awareness • Shame, sin and crime In the past 9 years, KONDA Barometer • Perception of human rights subscribers were able to follow 4 • The other in society • Trust in society general elections, 1 local election, 2 • How do we live sadness? presidential election and 2 • How do we live happiness? referendums, thanks to the reports that • Scientific thought and unscientific beliefs they received on the last day of every • Avoiding uncertainty month. • Definition of a leader and evaluation of political leaders • Gezi Park events Subscribers also gained a full grasp on • Future orientation society’s view on any development that • Reputation in society • Problem-solving skills either influenced social life or was • Demands for urban management publicly debated. Moreover, they • Legitimacy learned through thematic Barometer • Effect of mass communication media reports how people in the country • Investment preferences of society perceived or even influenced countless • Authoritarianism • Corruption and economic situation issues shaping the structure of society, • Living together such as housing, economic classes, the • Economic concerns and risk • Competition relationship of shame, sin and crime, • Violence towards women football fandom, perspective on the • Patience in society and politics judicial system or the health system. • Post-election evaluation • Trust and the Kurdish issue • Turkey’s well-being • The average person in Turkey • Perception on Syrian asylum- seekers • Public security • Perception of justice and law • Nationalism in Turkey • Economic concerns • July 15th coup attempt • Well-being of society • Perception of health • Foreign policy • Problem solving • Violence and trauma in social life • Power distance • Perception of economic class • Consumer expectations • The referendum and political expectations As they manage and direct their businesses • The emotional meaning of “home” and make decisions, Konda Barometer • Changes in media preferences • Ramadan practices subscribers have, for the past 9 years, • Time use known the dynamics of society in Turkey. • Football and fandom • Structure of the educational system and expectations KONDA BAROMETER 2019 Barometer reports present the collected social data to its subscribers as comprehensible pieces of information, data visualizations and commentary. Therefore, the reports consist of data-driven commentary and predictions presented through a technical lens, instead of raw data, complicated statistics and unintelligable information. Decisions regarding society should be made with every possibility in plain sight and reports are written with this goal in mind. The person to make such a decision could be a politician, an investment expert or a major taxpayer… KONDA BAROMETER 2019 KONDA Barometer not only manages to follow the dizzying pace of current events in the country through a social framework, but also monitors social undercurrents over time. How some issues are perceived is worth monitoring even when they seem to drop out of the public agenda. Changes in public opinion on issues such as economic sentiments, outlook on the Kurdish issue or constitutional amendment can be monitored thanks to the Barometer surveys. Other issues are monitored every few years. Key issues such as life satisfaction or the effect of social media, however, are tracked and analyzed annually. KONDA BAROMETER 2019 Barometer reports do not consist merely of statistical analyses and visual representations. Social data based on surveys are transformed into analyses; analyses into commentary; commentary into scenarios. The commentary and predictions available throughout the reports are solely based on the accumulated knowledge of its authors, not their own views. Each finding in the Barometer reports is a reflection of the truth and each commentary of unbiased views. We work closely with academics and other experts, both for the conception of a theme and the in-depth analysis of the collected data. A literature review is provided with any issue or theme analyzed in Barometer reports. Any information shedding light on the issue is analyzed and included in the report. Also, the highlights of the news agenda are presented every month as a chronological selection under the heading of “current agenda.” All in all, KONDA Barometer is the only tool for monitoring the situation in Turkey and making sense of society’s behavior in the face of events right now. KONDA BAROMETER 2019 SUBSCRIBING TO THE KONDA BAROMETER • The monthly hard-copy KONDA Barometer reports are sent on the last business day of the month to the person designated in the agreement. • The report cannot be published or shared with third persons (except coworkers) partially or in full. • Subscription agreements are annual. • 11 monthly reports and 1 annual report are produced every year. • The annual report is free of charge for our subscribers. • Monthly reports are translated into English and become available in 20 days. Any subscriber can receive the English version upon request. Y o u m a y c o n t a c t u s f o r a n y q u e s t i o n s a b o u t t h e t e r m s o f s u b s c r i p t i o n . E - m a i l : a b o n e @ k o n d a . c o m . t r P h o n e : 0 ( 2 1 2 ) 2 7 5 1 7 6 6 ( p b x ) To view a sample report: www.konda.com.tr/samplereport Boasting data for 93 surveys in its past and many monthly surveys to come, KONDA Barometer creates a chain of social data on the population of Turkey from the past into the future. And whether they view society as co n s u m e r s , v o t e r s , c l i e n t s o r t h e p u b l i c , Barometer subscribers will continue to have a full grasp on society in all its clarity, thanks to this chain of data. KONDA BAROMETER 2019 KONDA FEBRUARY’18 BAROMETER Political and Social Survey Series Political Preferences Daily Politics Economic Ideology in Daily Life Barometer of the Agenda In accordance with the confidentiality provisions of the KONDA Barometer subscription agreement, this report shall not be distributed or circulated other than corporate use. KONDA FEBRUARY’18 BAROMETER SAMPLE REPORT 2 / 94 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................... 5 2. POLITICAL PREFERENCES ............................................................................................ 11 If There Was An Election Today... .................................................................................. 11 Who Should Rule Turkey? ............................................................................................. 14 Analysis of the Political Party Electoral Bases and Electoral Clusters ....................... 19 Electoral Clusters on the Right-Left Spectrum ............................................................. 26 The Ak Parti Electoral Base ........................................................................................... 30 3. DAILY POLITICS ............................................................................................................. 33 Opinions on the Afrin Operation .................................................................................... 33 What are the Targets in the Afrin Operation? .............................................................. 34 Successful Performances of the Ak Parti ..................................................................... 34 4. ECONOMIC