“Data Flow in Forecasting and Preventing Hurricanes Damages in Cuba” Dr José Rubiera Director National Forecast Center Instituto de Meteorología (INSMET) INSMET,INSMET, CUBACUBA Cuban Academy of Sciences Havana, CUBA. ScientificScientific Data Data andand Knowledge Knowledge within within the the Information Information SocietySociety 20th20th InternationalInternational CODATA CODATA Conference,Conference, Beijing,Beijing, ChinaChina OctoberOctober 2006 2006 TropicalTropical CyclonesCyclones (Hurricanes) (Hurricanes) ForecastForecast and and Warning Warning Processes Processes Is a process of: 99GatherGather and and Transmit Transmit Meteorological Meteorological Data Data (Input)(Input) 99ProcessProcess Data Data andand Forecast Forecast 99IssueIssue processed processed Data Data (Output)(Output) asas ForecastsForecasts and and Warnings Warnings MainMain features features of of this this process process:: 99MetMet data data isis needed needed in in widewide regions regions 99TransmissionTransmission needs needs to to be be veryvery fast fast (Meteorological(Meteorological Data Data areare rapidlyrapidly perishabled) perishabled) WMO WORLD WEATHER WATCH (WWW) GLOBAL OBSERVING SYSTEM GLOBAL TELECOMUNICATION SYSTEM DATA PROCESSING AND FORECASTING TROPICAL CYCLONES PROGRAM WMOWMO GLOBALGLOBAL OBSERVINGOBSERVING SYSTEMSYSTEM (GOS)(GOS) WORLDWORLD DATADATA COVERAGECOVERAGE SURFACESURFACE OBSOBS UPPERUPPER AIRAIR OBSOBS AIRCRAFTAIRCRAFT OBSOBS SATELLITESATELLITE DATADATA Source: ECMWF MAINMAIN TELECOMMUNICATIONTELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKNETWORK REGIONALREGIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONTELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKSNETWORKS NATIONALNATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONTELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKSNETWORKS Source: WMO WMOWMO GLOBALGLOBAL TELECOMMUNICATIONTELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKNETWORK (GTS)(GTS) WORLDWORLD METEOROLOGICALMETEOROLOGICAL CENTRESCENTRES (WMCs)(WMCs) MELBOURNE,MELBOURNE, MOSCOW,MOSCOW, WASHINGTONWASHINGTON REGIONALREGIONAL SPECIALISEDSPECIALISED METEOROLOGICALMETEOROLOGICAL CENTRESCENTRES (RSMCs)(RSMCs) WITHWITH GEOGRAPHICALGEOGRAPHICAL SPECIALIZATIONSPECIALIZATION ALGIERS,ALGIERS, BEIJING,BEIJING, BRACKNELL,BRACKNELL, BRASILIA,BRASILIA, BUENOSBUENOS AIRES,AIRES, CAIRO,CAIRO, DAKAR,DAKAR, DARWIN,DARWIN, JEDDAH,JEDDAH, KHABAROVSK,KHABAROVSK, MELBOURNE,MELBOURNE, MIAMI,MIAMI, MONTREAL,MONTREAL, MOSCOW,MOSCOW, NAIROBI,NAIROBI, NEWNEW DELHI,DELHI, NOVOSIBIRSK,NOVOSIBIRSK, OFFENBACH,OFFENBACH, PRETORIA,PRETORIA, ROME,ROME, TASHKENT,TASHKENT, TOKYO,TOKYO, TUNIS/CASABLANCA,TUNIS/CASABLANCA, WASHINGTONWASHINGTON,, WELLINGTONWELLINGTON WMOWMO WORLDWORLD WEATHERWEATHER WATCHWATCH Global Observations --- Global Telecommunications WORLD METEOROLOGICAL SPECIALIZED CENTERS GlobalGlobal NumericalNumerical ModelsModels WMOWMO REGIONALREGIONAL && TCTC SPECIALIZEDSPECIALIZED CENTERSCENTERS RegionalRegional ModelsModels andand TCTC ModelsModels NATIONALNATIONAL METEOROLOGICALMETEOROLOGICAL CENTERSCENTERS National Weather Watch, Forecasts & Warnings for the Country PUBLIC GOVERNMENT CIVIL DEFENSE MEDIA WMOWMO TROPICALTROPICAL CYCLONECYCLONE RSMCRSMC REGIONSREGIONS RegionalRegional TelecomunicationTelecomunication Network Network for for WMO WMO RegionRegion IV IV (North(North and and Central Central America),America), pointpoint to to point point and and multipoint multipoint WMCWMC WASHINGTONWASHINGTON Havana,Havana, CubaCuba RegionalRegional TelecomunicationTelecomunication Network Network for for WMO WMO RegionRegion IV IV (North(North and and Central Central America),America), pointpoint to to point point and and multipoint multipoint WMOWMO GTSGTS VSATVSAT StationStation at at the the Cuban Cuban National National Meteorological Meteorological CENTROS METEOROLOGICOSCenterCenter PROVINCIALES in in HavanaHavana Casablanca HAVANAHAVANA Matanzas Pinar de Río Santa Clara Sancti Spiritus Cienfuegos Ciego de Avila Nueva Gerona Camaguey Las Tunas Holguín Bayamo Guantánamo CubaCuba receivesreceives and and Santiago de Cuba transmittransmit MeteorologicalMeteorological InformationInformation to to the the GTSGTS inin severalseveral WMOWMO formatsformats OverviewOverview onon CubaCuba 1414 provincesprovinces 11 SpecialSpecial MunicipalityMunicipality 41954195 KeysKeys andand inletsinlets AreaArea :: 110110 922922 km²km² CoastlineCoastline:: 55 746746 kmkm PopulationPopulation:: 1111 millonmillon Cuba’sCuba’s greatestgreatest meteorologicalmeteorological hazardhazard areare HurricanesHurricanes NATIONALNATIONALRED DE ESTACIONES METEOROLOGICALMETEOROLOGICAL METEOROLOGICAS (CLIMATOLOGICASOBSERVINGOBSERVING SYSTEMSYSTEM) ININ CUBACUBA 325 328 376 374 318 340 329 373 323 327 330 316 312 320 375 326 338 317 322 339 315 331 332 314 336 348 335 343 344 313 349 347 333 342 309 346 310 352 321 341 337 345 353 350 355 354 LEYENDA 358 378 365 357 370 351 Estaciones 362 372 361 371 Pinar del Río 369 Matanzas Ciego de Avila Granma 377 334 310 Cabo San Antonio 327 Unión de Reyes 339 Cayo Coco 359 Manzanillo 359 363 368 356 312 Santa Lucía 328 Varadero 345 Júcaro 360 Cabo Cruz 364 31368 Isabel RubioMeteorological329 Indio Hatuey 346 Venezuela 361 Jucarito 360 319 314 San68 Juan y MartínezEstaciones330 Jovellanos de Superficie347 Camilo Cienfuegos 377 Veguitas 315 Pinar del Río 331 Jaguey Grande Camaguey Santiago de Cuba 316Stations La Palma 332 Colón 350 Florida 363 Contramaestre 317 Paso Real de San24 Diego Agrometeorologicas333 Playa Girón 351 Santa Cruz del Sur 364 Universidad 318 Bahía Honda Cienfuegos 352 Esmeralda Guantánamo Ciudad1 deUpper la Habana12 Contaminacion Air335 Aguada Sounding de Pasajeros 353 Nuevitas 319 Valle de Caujerí y La Habana 344 Cantarrana 354 Palo Seco 334 Yateras 325 Casablanca 6 RadiacionVilla Clara Solar355 Camaguey 356 Jamal 373Station Santiago de las Vegas 326 Santo Domingo Las Tunas 368 Guantánamo 320 Guira de Melena 338 Sagua La Grande 357 Las Tunas 369 Punta Maisí 322 Batabanó7 Radares343 El Yabú 358 Puerto padre Isla de la Juventud 323 Guines 348 Caibarién Holguín 309 Amistad Cuba-Francia 3401 Bainoa High ResolutionSancti Spíritus 362 La Jíquima 321 La Fé 374 Tapaste2 Aerologicas337 Trinidad 365 Punta Lucrecia 375 Melena del Sur 341 El Jíbaro 370 Guaro 376Satellite Bauta1 Lidar Earth342 Tópes de Collantes Station371 Pinares de Mayarí 349 Sancti Spíritus 372 Pedagógico 378 Velazco NATIONALNATIONALRED DE ESTACIONES METEOROLOGICALMETEOROLOGICAL METEOROLOGICAS (CLIMATOLOGICASOBSERVINGOBSERVING SYSTEMSYSTEM) ININ CUBACUBA 325 328 376 374 318 340 329 373 323 327 330 316 312 320 375 326 338 317 322 339 315 331 332 314 336 348 335 343 344 313 349 347 333 342 309 346 310 352 321 341 337 345 353 350 355 354 LEYENDA 358 378 365 357 370 351 Estaciones 362 372 361 371 Pinar del Río 369 Matanzas Ciego de Avila Granma 377 334 310 Cabo San Antonio 327 Unión de Reyes 339 Cayo Coco 359 Manzanillo 359 363 368 356 312 Santa Lucía 328 Varadero 345 Júcaro 360 Cabo Cruz 364 31368 Isabel RubioMeteorological329 Indio Hatuey 346 Venezuela 361 Jucarito 360 319 314 San68 Juan y MartínezEstaciones330 Jovellanos de Superficie347 Camilo Cienfuegos 377 Veguitas 315 Pinar del Río 331 Jaguey Grande Camaguey Santiago de Cuba 316Stations La Palma 332 Colón 350 Florida 363 Contramaestre 317 Paso Real de San24 Diego Agrometeorologicas333 Playa Girón 351 Santa Cruz del Sur 364 Universidad 318 Bahía Honda Cienfuegos 352 Esmeralda Guantánamo Ciudad1 deUpper la Habana12 Contaminacion Air335 Aguada Sounding de Pasajeros 353 Nuevitas 319 Valle de Caujerí y La Habana 344 Cantarrana 354 Palo Seco 334 Yateras 325 Casablanca 6 RadiacionVilla Clara Solar355 Camaguey 356 Jamal 373Station Santiago de las Vegas 326 Santo Domingo Las Tunas 368 Guantánamo 320 Guira de Melena 338 Sagua La Grande 357 Las Tunas 369 Punta Maisí 322 Batabanó7 Radares343 El Yabú 358 Puerto padre Isla de la Juventud 323 Guines 348 Caibarién Holguín 309 Amistad Cuba-Francia 3401 Bainoa High ResolutionSancti Spíritus 362 La Jíquima 321 La Fé 374 Tapaste2 Aerologicas337 Trinidad 365 Punta Lucrecia 375 Melena del Sur 341 El Jíbaro 370 Guaro 376Satellite Bauta1 Lidar Earth342 Tópes de Collantes Station371 Pinares de Mayarí 349 Sancti Spíritus 372 Pedagógico 378 Velazco NATIONALNATIONAL METEOROLOGICALMETEOROLOGICAL TELECOMMUNICATIONTELECOMMUNICATION CENTROS METEOROLOGICOSNETWORKNETWORK PROVINCIALES ININ CUBACUBA Casablanca Matanzas Pinar de Río Santa Clara Sancti Spiritus Cienfuegos Ciego de Avila Nueva Gerona Camaguey Las Tunas Holguín Bayamo NATIONALNATIONAL CENTERCENTER Guantánamo Santiago de Cuba PROVINCIALPROVINCIAL CENTERCENTER TCPTCP // IPIP LINKLINK NMTNNMTN digitallydigitally provides provides all all relevant relevant exchangeexchange of of meteorological meteorological information information in in thethe Country Country DATA PROCESSING AND FORECASTING DATA FLOW, PROCESSING AND FORECASTING RegionalRegional NationalNational Data Data DataData MetMet stations stations AircraftsAircrafts SatellitesSatellites ShipsShips NATIONALNATIONAL BouysBouys MODELMODEL REGIONALREGIONAL MODELMODEL GlobalGlobal DataData GLOBALGLOBAL MODELMODEL RARA IVIV REGIONREGION EXTERNALEXTERNAL GRIDGRID CUBACUBA REGIONREGION GRIDGRID Cuba`sCuba`s MM5v3 MM5v3 adapted adapted forecast forecast areas areas MM5v3MM5v3 External External Grid Grid 72 72 hrhr Forecast Forecast – – Hurricane Hurricane “Charley”“Charley” MM5v3MM5v3 Inner Inner Grid Grid 72 72 hrhr Forecast Forecast – – Hurricane Hurricane “Charley”“Charley” DifferentDifferent Runs Runs ofof Track Track ForecastForecast in in HurricaneHurricane “Charley”“Charley” RADARRADAR NETWORKNETWORK COVERAGECOVERAGE ININ CUBACUBA 88 MeteorologicalMeteorological Radars Radars coverscovers the the