PRESIDENTIAL OVERVIEW YEAR # VOTES % VOTES # STATES 2000 BUSH 50,455,156 47.9 271 30 GORE 50,992,335 48.4 266 21 NADER 2,882,738 2.7 1 0 OTHER 1,066,398 1.0 0 0 TOTAL 105,396,627 1996 CLINTON 47,402,357 49.2 379 32 DOLE 39,198,755 40.7 159 19 PEROT 8,085,402 8.4 0 0 OTHER 1,591,358 1.7 0 0 TOTAL 96,277,872 1992 CLINTON 44,909,326 43.0% 370 33 BUSH 39,103,882 37.4% 168 18 PEROT 19,741,657 18.9% 0 0 OTHER 670,149 0.7% 0 0 TOTAL 104,425,014 1988 BUSH 48,886,097 53.4% 426 40 DUKAKIS 41,809,074 45.6% 111 11 OTHER 899,638 1.0% 1 0 TOTAL 91,594,809 1984 REAGAN 54,455,075 58.8% 525 49 MONDALE 37,577,185 40.6% 13 2 OTHER 620,582 0% 0 0 TOTAL 92,652,842 1980 REAGAN 43,904,153 50.7% 489 44 CARTER 35,483,883 41.0% 49 7 ANDERSON 5,720,060 6.6% 0 0 TOTAL 86,515,221 1976 FORD 39,147,793 48.0% 240 27 CARTER 40,830,763 50.1% 297 24 OTHER 1,577,333 1.9% 1 0 TOTAL 81,555,889 1972 NIXON 47,169,911 60.7% 520 49 McGOVERN 29,170,383 37.5% 17 2 OTHER 1,378,260 1.7% 1 0 TOTAL 77,718,554 1968 NIXON 31,785,480 43.4% 301 32 HUMPHREY 31,275,166 42.7% 191 14 WALLACE 9,906,473 13.5% 46 5 TOTAL 73,211,875 1964 GOLDWATER 27,178,188 38.5% 52 6 JOHNSON 43,129,566 61.1% 486 45 OTHER 336,838 0.5% 0 0 TOTAL 70,644,592 1960 NIXON 34,108,157 49.5% 219 26 KENNEDY 34,226,731 49.7% 303 22 OTHER 503,331 0.7% 15 2 TOTAL 68,838,219 ELECTORAL COLLEGE TOTAL TO WIN: 270 State Votes Montana 3 Alabama 9 Nebraska 5 Alaska 3 Nevada 5 Arizona 10 New Hampshire 4 Arkansas 6 New Jersey 15 California 55 New Mexico 5 Colorado 9 New York 31 Connecticut 7 North Carolina 15 Delaware 3 North Dakota 3 DC 3 Ohio 20 Florida 27 Oklahoma 7 Georgia 15 Oregon 7 Hawaii 4 Pennsylvania 21 Idaho 4 Rhode Island 4 Illinois 21 South Carolina 8 Indiana 11 South Dakota 3 Iowa 7 Tennessee 11 Kansas 6 Texas 34 Kentucky 8 Utah 5 Louisiana 9 Vermont 3 Maine 4 Virginia 13 Maryland 10 Washington 11 Massachusetts 12 West Virginia 5 Michigan 17 Wisconsin 10 Minnesota 10 Wyoming 3 Mississippi 6 Missouri 11 Total 538 ALABAMA Overview Electoral College votes: 9 Polls Close: 8pm EST Voting Age Population: 3,393,000 (FEC July 2003) Registered Voters: 2,411,000 as of November 2002. Voters do not register by party. Past Presidential Election Results TOTAL REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATIC OTHER 2000 1,666,272 941,173 56.5% 692,611 41.6 32,488^ 1.9% 1996 1,534,349 769,044 50.1% 662,165 43.2% 103,140## 6.7% 1992 1,688,060 804,283 47.6% 690,080 40.9% 193,697# 11.4% 1988 1,378,476 815,576 59.2% 549,506 39.9% 13,394 1% 1984 1,441,713 872,849 60.5% 551,899 38.3% 16,965 1.2% 1980 1,341,929 654,192 48.8% 636,730 47.4% 51,007* 3.8% 1976 1,182,850 504,070 42.6% 659,170 55.7% 19,610 1.7% 1972 1,006,111 728,701 72.4% 256,923 25.5% 20,487 2.1% 1968 1,049,922 146,923 14.0% 196,579 18.7% 706,420** 67.3% 1964 689,818 479,085 69.5% -- -- 210,733 30.5% 1960 570,225 237,981 41.7% 324,050 56.8% 8,194 1.5% ^ Nader 18,323 1%; ##Perot 92,149 6%; #Perot 183,109 10.8%; *Anderson 16,481; **Wallace 691,425 Outlook Alabama is Republican, simple as that. The last time the state voted Democratic was in 1976, when it went for Jimmy Carter, and only two of the nine members of its Congressional delegation are Democrats. Not surprisingly, the presidential candidates have left the state largely alone. Neither Bush-Cheney nor Kerry-Edwards has run ads and Kerry has yet to visit the state [as of 10/1/04] The Nader Factor: Nader is on the ballot as an Independent. Presidential Visits in 2004 Bush 1 (as of 9/23/04) Kerry 0 (as of 10/11/04) Presidential Television Advertising Bush-Cheney: none Kerry-Edwards: none Military Statistics National Guard on Duty (9/22/04): 3,309 (ranks #18) Fatalities in Iraq (9/25/04): 19 Fatalities in Afghanistan (9/25/04): 4 Polls BUSH KERRY POLL DATE MoE 59 22 Mobile Register 9/27-30 4.5 54 40 American Research Group 9/13-16 4 ALASKA Overview Electoral College votes: 3 Polls Close: 1 am EST Voting Age Population: 460,000 (FEC July 2003) Registered Voters: Total: 457,562; Registered Democrats: 71,073; Registered Republicans: 116,435; Registered Unaffiliated/Minor Parties: 270,054 (source: National Journal July 08, 2003) Past Presidential Election Results TOTAL REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATIC OTHER 2000 285,560 167,398 58.6% 79,004 27.7% 39,158 ^ 13.7% 1996 241,620 122,746 50.8% 80,380 33.3% 38,494## 15.9% 1992 258,506 102,000 39.5% 78,294 30.3% 78,212# 30.2% 1988 200,116 119,251 59.6% 72,584 36.3% 8,281 4.1% 1984 207,605 138,377 66.7% 62,007 29.9% 7,221 3.4% 1980 158,445 86,112 54.3% 41,842 26.4% 30,491* 19.3% 1976 123,57l 71,555 57.9% 44,058 35.7% 7,961 6.4% 1977 95,219 55,349 58.1% 32,967 34.6% 6,903 7.3% 1968 83,035 37,600 45.3% 35,411 42.6% 10,024**12.1% 1964 67,259 22,930 34.1% 44,329 65.9% -- -- 1960 60,762 30,953 50.9% 29,809 49.1% -- -- ^ Nader 28,747 10%; ##Perot 26,333 10.9%; #Perot 73,481 28.4%; *Anderson 11,155; **Wallace 10,024 Outlook Having voted Republican in the past nine elections, Alaska is unlikely to break its tradition this time around. From its Governor, to its Senators, to its sole House Representative, Republicans run the 49th state. Though neither candidate visited the state nor ran ads there, recent polls report that Bush is safely leading Kerry. Of interest is this year’s Senate contest, which could be one of the most competitive in the nation. Democrats have not seen an Alaskan Senate seat since 1974, but former Governor Tony Knowles’ rising poll numbers have put this solid red seat into play. Knowles is challenging appointed Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski (appointed by her father, Governor Frank Murkowski), whose popularity is slowly sinking. On Nov. 2, Alaskans will also be asked to vote on an initiative that would treat marijuana like alcohol, removing “civil and criminal penalties under state law for persons 21 years or older who grow, use, sell or give away marijuana or hemp products.” This initiative is the first state attempt to regulate marijuana like alcohol, and interest on both sides of the issue is expected to be high. Ralph Nader, fielded by the Populist Party in Alaska, has about 5% in latest polls. Other third-party presidential candidates on Alaska's ballot are David Cobb of the Green Party, Michael Peroutka of the Alaskan Independence Party and Michael Badnarik of the Alaska Libertarian Party. The Nader Factor: Nader is on the ballot as the Populist Party candidate. Presidential Visits in 2004 Bush 0 (as of 9/23/04) Kerry 0 (as of 10/11/04) Presidential Television Advertising Bush-Cheney: none Kerry-Edwards: none Military Statistics National Guard on Duty (9/22/04): 291 (ranks #50) Fatalities in Iraq (9/25/04): 0 Fatalities in Afghanistan (9/25/04): 1 Polls BUSH KERRY POLL DATE MoE 57 30 American Research Group 9/0-11 4 56 33 Dittman Research 6/23-30 4.3 ARIZONA Overview Electoral College votes: 10 Polls Close: 9pm EST Voting Age Population: 4,061,000 (FEC July 2003) Registered Voters: Total: 2,440,144; Registered Democrats: 856,075; Registered Republicans: 976,280; Registered Voters Unaffiliated/Minor Parties: 607,789 (source: Secretary of State as of September 7, 2004 primary) Past Presidential Election Results TOTAL REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATIC OTHER 2000 1,532,016 781,652 51.0% 685,341 44.7% 65,023^ 4.2% 1996 1,404,405 622,073 44.3% 653,288 46.5% 129,044## 9.1% 1992 1,486,975 572,086 38.5% 543,050 36.5% 371,839# 25.1% 1988 1,171,873 702,541 60.0% 454,029 39.7% 15,303 1.3% 1984 1,025,897 681,416 66.4% 333,854 32.5% 10,627 1.1% 1980 873,945 529,688 60.6% 246,843 28.2% 97,414* 11.2% 1976 742,719 418,642 56.4% 295,602 39.8% 28,475 3.8% 1972 622,926 402,812 64.7% 198,540 31.9% 21,574 3.4% 1968 486,936 266,721 54.8% 170,514 35.0% 49,701** 10.2% 1964 480,770 242,535 50.4% 237,753 49.5% 482 0.1% 1960 398,491 221,241 55.5% 176,781 44.4% 469 0.1% ^Nader 45,645 2.9%; ##Perot 112,072 8%; #Perot 353,741 23.8%; *Anderson 76,952; **Wallace 46,573 Outlook Although Bill Clinton carried the state in 1996, Arizona is largely Republican at the presidential level.