S SUMMER SCHOOLS EXPERT COMMENTARIES GUEST LECTURES S SCENARIOS INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS T C TABLE NALYSIS AND FORECASTING FOREIGN POLICY ISCUSSIONS S A D S REFERENCE BOOKS T ETWORK DIALOGUE C SCIENCE WORKING PAPERS EDUCATION N PROJE REPORTS OUND ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING URITY R ATION C C OMPETITIONS E ONFERENCES C PROJE S ORGANIZATION NTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY C DU I E S S FOREIGN POLICY TALENT POOL CS EDUCATION S EPORTS OUND TABLES S POLITI R R POOL LOBAL POLITICS G ENARIO ETWORK ION C NTERNATIONAL I N CIVIL SOCIETY INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS S LOBAL G REFERENCE BOOKS INTERNATIONAL RELATION TALENT SS RUSSIANRUSSIAN ORGANIZATIONS Y Y Y DUCATION E S C INTERNATIONAL C ECURITY INTERNATIONALS S E SUMMER U C C AFFAIRSAFFAIRS COUNCIL COUNCIL RELATION SCHOOLS DIALOGUE POLI OUND IETY R GUEST LECTURES ONAL I C TING SC TABLES O I TY S EPORTS IGRATION R I S OREIGN PARTNERSHIP V NTERNATIONAL I IBRARY XPERT ROADMAPS E F A I ONFEREN D IPLOMA M L S LOBAL COMMENTARIES NTERNAT G URITY MIGRATION C IVIL C I ACT ILATERAL NTHOLOGIE C SCIENCE D C REPORTS S POOL E DISCUSSIONS INTERNSHIPS I B BOOK A WEBSITE IPLOMA PARTNERSHIP INTERNSHIPS E S S Y C DIALOGUE LOBAL TALENT GLOBAL C NTHOLOGIES G A Y C D S SCIENCE POLI CONFERENCES FORE POLI Y S C SCIENCE ITE NALYSIS EFEREN S A IGRATION S IBRARY OADMAP EB ENARIO R OREIGN IPLOMA C F R L M OREIGN D S W NALY AND FORECASTING F NTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS A AND DIALOGUE I S INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS NETWORK LUB MEETINGS DIALOGUE DIPLOMACY PROJECTS S C REPORT E DIALOGUE HOOL S S T S URITY UMMER ITE C C S E C S HIP CIVIL SOCIETY EBSITE OMMENTARIE TURE W E C S C C EB S HIP IGRATION S SC PROJE EXPERT COMMENTARIES OREIGN POLICY LE S F T W M S IEN RELATION RUSSIA-IRAN PARTNERSHIP: XPERT IPLOMACY D RUSSIAN–CHINESE DIALOGUE: E EDUCATION UE G S ETWORK ARTNER NESS NALYSIS AND AN OVERVIEWNTERN AND PROSPECTS A I N IBRARY SC E S I P L FORECASTING C URITY IVIL OCIETY ONFEREN THE 2019 MODEL C S C RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL (RIAC) E IEN FOR THE FUTURE S NTHOLOGIES LOBAL POLITICS C A RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL (RIAC) G C th S 8, 4 Dobryninsky Pereulok, 119049, Moscow, Russia S LUB MEETINGS S ILATERAL C 1, B. Yakimanka street, 119180, Moscow, Russia S Tel.: +7 (495) 225 6283 COMPETITIONS B S US HIP Tel.: +7 (495) 225 6283 HIP Fax: +7 (495) 225 6284 ROUND TABLES S ORKING PAPERS EPORT W S OADMAPS R S Fax:E–mail: +7 (495) [email protected] 225 6284 ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING IGRATION PAPER E E–mail: [email protected] CENARIOS E R www.russiancouncil.ru B 4629 / 20192016 PARTNERSHIP S C www.russiancouncil.ru LOBAL REFERENCE BOOKS C S OMPETITION LIBRARY S ORKING ARTNER M NTERN IBRARY IEN G C W XPERT COMMENTARIES I L E P S S S OMMENTARIE ION SC C NTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS SS I S U S ORGANIZATION REFERENCE BOOKS DUCATION E IETY DISCUSSIONS SC C I LOBAL SUMMER SCHOOLS OADMAP XPERT UEST LECTURES OMPETITION G IVIL O INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS ILATERAL Report-29_Cover.indd 2 HOOL 12.12.2016 14:46:26 S C R C D G E E ANTHOLOGIES B RELATION WORKING PAPERS MEETING C NTHOLOGIE UMMER ONFEREN GLOBAL POLITICS IEN LUB C NTERNATIONAL S SC C S I A REFERENCE BOOKS C RUSSIAN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS COUNCIL INSTITUTE OF FAR EASTERN STUDIES OF THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES AT FUDAN UNIVERSITY MOSCOW 2019 Russian International Affairs Council Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of International Studies at Fudan University Editor-in-Chief: I. Ivanov, RAS Corresponding Member, Dr. of History Authors: From Russia: S. Luzyanin, Dr. of History (Head); А. Kortunov, Ph.D. in History; A. Karneev, Ph.D. in History; V. Petrovsky, Dr. of Political Science; V. Kashin, Ph.D. in Political Science; I. Denisov; Т. Makhmutov, Ph.D. in Political Science; A. Larionov, Ph.D. in Public Administration; Y. Kulintsev; К. Kuzmina From China: Prof. Zhao Huasheng (Head); Liu Huaqin, Ph.D. in Economics; Prof. Shi Ze; Xing Guangcheng, Dr. of Law; Xu Poling, Dr. of Economics; Wang Haiyan, Ph.D. in Law; Feng Yujun, Dr. of Law; Lin Minwang, Ph.D. in Law; Zhang Yao, Ph.D. in Law; Feng Shuai, Ph.D. in Law Copy Editors: I. Timofeev, Ph.D. in Political Science; T. Makhmutov, Ph.D. in Political Science; K. Kuzmina; A. Larionova Russian–Chinese Dialogue: The 2019 Model: Report No. 46/2019 / [S.G. Luzyanin (Head) et al.; Zhao Huasheng (Head) et al.]; [I.S. Ivanov (Editor-in-Chief)]; Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC). – Moscow: NPMP RIAC, 2019. – 112 p. – The names of authors are listed on reverse of title page. ISBN 978-5-6042566-9-5 The 5th annual report by RIAC, RAS Institute of Far Eastern Studies and the Institute of International Studies at Fudan University presents the сommon views of leading Russian and Chinese international affairs experts on the development of Russia–China cooperation in 2018 and the first quarter of 2019. The authors analyze the dynamics of Russia–China interaction on the most pressing matters of international and regional agendas against the backdrop of increasing external pressure. They assess achievements in bilateral trade and economic cooperation as well as military and technological interaction, study ties in education, culture, sports, media and related areas, and the problems they entail. The experts present practical recommendations aimed at bringing the partnership to a new level. For the first time, priority is given to scientific and technological cooperation between Moscow and Beijing, in particular, to the prospects of developing relations in the field of artificial intelligence. The Russian International Affairs Council thanks D. Terkina for her help in preparing the publication. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of RIAC. Any linguistic inadequacies in the publication are the sole responsibility of the translators. Cover photo credits: RIA Novosti / Alexey Nikolsky. The full text is published on RIAC’s website. You can download the report or leave a comment via this direct link: russiancouncil.ru/en/report46 © Авторский коллектив, 2019 © Составление и оформление, дизайн обложки. НП РСМД, 2019 © English edition, translation to English language, drafting, design. NPMP RIAC, 2019 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 5 1. Russia and China: Trends in the Development of the Comprehensive Partnership 7 2. Coordinating Foreign Policy Positions. Assessments of the Global Situation 10 2.1. Global Governance, Globalization Crisis and International Security: Approaches of Russia and China 10 2.2. New Global Economic Order: Approaches of Russia and China 11 2.3. Relations of Russia and China with the United States in the Changing International Situation 14 2.4. Russia–India–China Triangle: How to Move Forward? 22 2.5. Russia–China Cooperation in Information Security 28 3. Developing Russia–China Cooperation in Eurasia 29 3.1. A New Beginning for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization: The First Summit after Expansion 29 3.2. The Prospects for Expanding Interaction at Multilateral Venues: BRICS, EAS, APEC and ASEM 31 3.3. Russia–China Cooperation in Maintaining Regional Stability and Security 32 3.4. Linking the EAEU and the BRI. Prospects of Shaping the Greater Eurasian Partnership 34 3.5. Russia and China in the Arctic 36 4. Russia–China Military-Technical and Military Cooperation 39 4.1. Russia–China Military-Technical Cooperation in 2018 39 4.2. Russia–China Military Cooperation in 2018 41 5. Developing Trade and Economic Cooperation between Russia and China 44 5.1. Bilateral Trade Dynamics 45 5.2. Mutual Investment and Promising Joint Projects in Russia–China Cooperation 52 5.3. Russia–China Cooperation in Finance 58 5.4. Regional Dimension of the Interaction 60 6. Role of Science and Technology in Russia–China Ties 64 6.1. Russia–China Cooperation in Science and Technology 64 6.2. Russia–China Cooperation in Artificial Intelligence 66 RUSSIAN–CHINESE DIALOGUE: THE 2019 MODEL 7. Russia–China Cooperation in Education, Culture, Sports, Media and Related Areas 71 7.1. General Assessment of Russia–China Cooperation in Education, Culture, Sports, Media and Related Areas in 2018 and Early 2019 71 7.2. Russia–China Cooperation in Education 73 7.3. Exchanges in Culture and Arts 75 7.4. Sports Exchanges 77 7.5. Media Interaction between Moscow and Beijing 77 7.6. Tourism in Russia–China Cooperation 79 Recommendations 82 Annex. Monitoring of the Key Events in Russia–China Relations in Q2–Q4 2018 and Q1 2019 87 About the Authors 108 RUSSIAN–CHINESE DIALOGUE: THE 2019 MODEL INTRODUCTION Introduction In 2019, the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China are celebrating the 70th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries. In this anniversary year, it is particularly important for the parties to take comprehensive stock of their bilateral relations, assess the achievements and unresolved issues and develop a strategy for further interaction. The comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation between Russia and China continued progressively in a wide range of areas during 2018. Bilateral trade reached a record level of $107 billion. Efforts to diversify the trade turnover are bearing fruit, in particular with regard to the growing trade in agricultural products. The Years of Inter-Regional Cooperation have made it possible to expand Russia–China ties at the level of regions and cities. Growing numbers of young Russian and Chinese people are taking part in youth and academic exchanges. The tourist flow between the countries is on the rise, partly thanks to the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia.