P E N N S Y L V A N I A ’ S S T A T E S Y S T E M O F H I G H E R E D U C A T I O N CLARION UNIVERSITY EDINBORO UNIVERSITY Fall 2018 Admissions Report PENNSYLVANIA’S STATE SYSTEM OF HIGHER EDUCATION ADMISSIONS REPORT FALL 2018 TABLE OF CONTENTS Admissions Report Introduction 1 Admissions Report Findings 2 Appendix 1: Admissions and Enrollment, Fall 2018 7 Appendix 2: Ethnicity of Accepted Students 10 Appendix 3: Top 5 Home States of Accepted Students 14 Appendix 4: Top 10 High Schools of Accepted Students 15 Appendix 5: Top 10 High Schools of Accepted Students by State 16 Appendix 6: Family Income of Accepted Students 18 Appendix 7: Family Income of Accepted Students by State, Residency, and 19 State-Related Universities Appendix 8: High School GPA of Accepted Students 20 Appendix 9: High School GPA of Accepted Students by State 21 Appendix 10: Top 20 Competitor Universities that Enrolled Students Accepted 24 Students Accepted by Edinboro University Appendix 11: State System Universities that Enrolled Students 27 Appendix 12: Top 20 Competitor Universities that Enrolled Students Accepted 29 by Edinboro University from Their Own State Appendix 13: Top 20 Competitor Universities that Enrolled Applicants Denied 31 by Edinboro University Appendix 14: Definitions 32 EDINBORO UNIVERSITY ADMISSIONS REPORT, FALL 2018 INTRODUCTION Edinboro University offers a variety of degree programs with a mission of preparing learners with the tools for successful lives in an increasingly complex world. Edinboro’s workforce region is experiencing change in terms of demographics, industry growth, and occupational demand. Edinboro’s workforce region1 has a population of 444,000, which is projected to decline 3 percent by 2026. More noteworthy is a projected 7.8 percent decrease in the number of individuals under the age of 30. Additionally, Edinboro’s 8% decrease workforce region supports approximately 196,000 jobs.2 The number of jobs in the region Projected number of is expected to grow 3.0 percent by 2026. However, the growth for skilled occupations is residents in the region projected to be higher, growing by 3.8 percent during the same period.3 under the age of 30 between 2016 and As the economy and society change, the profile of students applying to and attending 2026. Edinboro also changes. As such, the need to critically assess and understand these changes at Edinboro will aid in identifying enrollment goals and strategies for attracting highly qualified students from all backgrounds. Applications, admissions, and enrollment trends reflect the outcome of these changes. To this end, this Admissions Report describes three themes and admissions perspectives, specifically: The pipeline of applicants to Edinboro University. 4% increase The characteristics of those accepted. Projected number of The enrollment decisions of accepted applicants. skilled occupations in the region between The analysis of these key themes addresses several research questions, most notably: 2016 and 2026 What proportions of accepted applicants enroll at Edinboro? If students are accepted but do not enroll, where do they go? What are the demographic, socioeconomic, and educational backgrounds of accepted and enrolled applicants? Additionally, key information and data provided in the appendix address other research questions, such as: What are the origins of the accepted and enrolled applicants (e.g. high school)? Who are the competitor universities? Which State System universities enrolled Edinboro accepted applicants? This admissions report serves as a first step in gaining deeper insight into admissions and enrollment at Edinboro and within the State System. This information will enable informed discussions regarding strategic activities for recruitment, admissions, and enrollment to help fulfill Edinboro’s mission. 1 University Workforce regions were developed by the State System to display the interconnectedness of local economies surrounding the State System universities using workforce commuting patterns and economic activity data. Edinboro University’s workforce region includes Erie, Crawford, McKean, and Warren counties. 2 The State System conducted an economic analysis to analyze the workforce regions and the employer demand in these regions for all 14 universities. All reports are available (including the underlying data) at https://data.secure.passhe.edu/workforce-intelligence. 3 Skilled occupations are defined as those occupations in O*NET Job Zones Three, Four, or Five. These occupations are typically associated with postsecondary education requirements. Page 1 FINDINGS Edinboro University’s admissions data4 includes all first-time students who are seeking a bachelor’s degree, an associate degree, or a certificate. This report presents an overview of those students who applied to Edinboro for summer/fall 2018, those who were 26% accepted, and those who enrolled (Table 1). National Student Clearinghouse (NSC) data decrease was used to determine if a student enrolled at an institution other than Edinboro Number of applications University during the fall 2018 semester.5 to Edinboro between 2016 and 2018 Table 1: Edinboro University Applications, Acceptances, and Enrollments (AAE) Acceptances have Change decreased 38% since 2016 2017 2018 2016-2018 2016. Applications 3,154 2,796 2,325 -26.3% Acceptances 3,005 2,587 1,860 -38.1% Edinboro Enrollments 1,027 838 589 -42.7% Percent Accepted 95.3% 92.5% 80.0% -15.3pp 43% Percent Accepted Enrolled 34.2% 32.4% 31.7% -2.5pp decrease Number of accepted Applications 50,658 52,165 52,757 4.1% applicants enrolled at Edinboro between 2016 Acceptances 44,324 45,980 45,789 3.3% State and 2018 Enrollments 18,718 18,603 17,977 -4.0% System Percent Accepted 87.5% 88.1% 86.8% -0.7pp Percent Accepted Enrolled 42.2% 40.5% 39.3% -2.9pp Source: State System Student Data Warehouse (SIMS), Fall Preliminary Census Data: End of the 6 15th day of classes; National Student Clearinghouse 80% General Findings acceptance Overall, Edinboro had decreasing applications, acceptances, and enrollments. By comparison, the State System experienced increasing applications and rate acceptances, but faced decreasing enrollments. Number of applications Edinboro accepted 80 percent of its applicants in 2018 (Table 1), as compared to a accepted by Edinboro State System average of 87 percent. Edinboro’s acceptance rate dropped 12.5 in 2018 percentage points (pp) from last year. The percentage of all applicants that are accepted has declined since 2016. 4 In the report, the applicants were divided into four categories: 1. Applicants accepted and enrolled at Edinboro University, 2. Applicants accepted at Edinboro University and enrolled at another State System university, 3. Applicants accepted at Edinboro University and enrolled at a Non-System institution, 4. Applicants accepted at Edinboro University but not attending any institution. 5 Enrollment at an institution other than Edinboro between August and November 2017. 6 The Office of Educational Intelligence sent AAE data to National Student Clearinghouse and received information as to where the applicants enrolled. NSC declares that more than 3,600 colleges and universities enrolling 98 percent of all students in public and private institutions in the U.S. participate in NSC. Page 2 Fifty-five percent of Edinboro accepted applicants enrolled at another State System university or a Non-System institution, a slight increase from 49 percent in 2016 (Table 2). About 33 percent of PA applicants accepted by Edinboro enrolled at a Non-System institution, compared with 72 percent of accepted Non-PA applicants. Thirteen teen percent of Edinboro accepted applicants did not attend any institution, a decrease from 17 percent in 2016 (Figure 1). A sampled profile7 of 30% students who did not attend any institution indicates that 50 percent come from decrease families with annual incomes of $48,000 or below. Number of accepted About 80 percent of Edinboro applicants were from Pennsylvania. The enrollment applicants enrolled at rate for those applicants was 36 percent. another institution The largest group of out-of-state applicants came from New York (7 percent) and between 2016 and Ohio (6 percent). Of those accepted applicants, 17 percent from New York and 23 2018 percent from Ohio enrolled at Edinboro. Table 2: Edinboro University Accepted Applicants 2016 2018 Accepted and Enrolled at Edinboro University 1,027 589 2.7 Accepted but Enrolled at Another State System University 395 265 Average number of Accepted but Enrolled at a Non-System Institution 1,070 759 State System Accepted but Not Attending an Institution 513 247 universities to which Total 3,005 1,860 applicants applied Source: State System Student Data Warehouse (SIMS), Fall Preliminary Census Data: End of the (including Edinboro) 15th day of classes; National Student Clearinghouse Figure 1: Edinboro University Admission and Enrollment, Fall 2016 vs. Fall 2018 1.7 100% Average number of 13.3% Not Attending 90% 17.1% other State System 80% universities to which 70% 40.8% applicants applied 35.6% Non-System Institution (excluding Edinboro). 60% Enrolled 50% 13.1% Other State System 40% 14.2% University Enrolled 30% 20% Enrolled at Edinboro 34.2% 31.7% University 10% 0% 2016 2018 Source: State System Student Data Warehouse (SIMS), Fall Preliminary Census Data: End of the 15th day of classes; National Student Clearinghouse 7 Financial data was not available for all accepted applicants who did not enroll at any university. This family financial background finding represents approximately 42.9 percent of accepted applicants who did not enroll at any university. Page 3 Who Were the Edinboro University Accepted Applicants?8 About 86 percent of Edinboro accepted applicants had a high school GPA of 3.0 or above. Of the Edinboro accepted applicants who had a high school GPA of 3.0 or above and enrolled at an institution of higher education, 34 percent enrolled at Edinboro University, 17 percent enrolled at another State System university, and 49 percent enrolled at a Non-System institution.