Volume XXX January to June 2019 The SAC Publication Digest is a comprehensive collection of abstracts of state Statistical Analysis Center (SAC) reports, including reports produced for the SACs by outside authors or organizations. The Digest briefly describes the research, data collection, evaluation, and analysis projects and programs of each SAC during this period and covers a wide array of justice topics and analysis approaches not available from any other source. The Digest is a resource for anyone concerned with understanding the current major justice issues as well as the administration of justice in the states. The SACs are units or agencies at the state government level that collect and analyze information from all components of the justice system to contribute to the development of sound public policies and assess their impact. The Justice Research and Statistics Association, whose core members are the SACs, prepared this Digest. Administrative and Strategic Planning Juvenile Justice Corrections Law Enforcement Courts Other Crime Statistics Policy Analysis Data Visualization Recidivism Domestic Violence Racial Disparity Evaluation and Performance Measurement Sexual Assault Firearms Substance Abuse Hate Crimes Traffic Incidents Human Trafficking Victimization SAC Publication Digest – January to June 2019 ADMINISTRATIVE AND STRATEGIC PLANNING NEW YORK Missing Persons Clearinghouse, 2018 Annual Report New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services May 2019, 24 pp. Working in partnership with the state Office of Information Technology Services, the Clearinghouse enhanced its case management database by implementing the second phase of a new centralized automated missing and unidentified persons tracking system. The system is integrated with other missing and unidentified person database systems to streamline workflow, improve data quality and provide for more stable and accurate record keeping. The second phase includes a tip/lead management system and an enhanced flagging process for birth and school records of missing children. This report reviews all the Clearinghouse activity from 2018. New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services Annual Performance Report 2017-2018 New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services May 2019, 36 pp. This 2017-2018 Performance Report outlines the agency’s key initiatives and how DCJS has continued efforts to integrate the use of evidence-based practices and proven models into those initiatives, so they can be empirically monitored for their effectiveness. It also details how offices within DCJS assist all facets of the criminal justice system in communities across the Empire State and help to ensure that those local partners have resources, training, and support to better protect their communities. OHIO Office of Criminal Justice Services Strategic Plan 2019-2023 Ohio Department of Public Safety, Office of Criminal Justice Services 2019, 42 pp. The Ohio Office of Criminal Justice Services (OCJS) is the lead justice planning agency for the state of Ohio. In 2018 OCJS conducted the first step of the 2019 strategic planning process by conducting a SWOT analysis. A SWOT analysis is an examination of an organization’s internal strengths and weaknesses, as well as its external opportunities and threats. Based on this analysis, OCJS identified four strategic goals to accomplish in the next four years. The first strategic goal is to improve criminal justice outcomes through effective grant management. The second strategic goal is to encourage the use of evidence-based criminal justice programming. The third strategic goal is to support collaboration within the criminal justice community. The fourth strategic goal is to promote the use of criminal justice data and research. The first goal “Improve criminal justice outcomes” was created to fulfill OCJS’s overall mission, and to serve 3 SAC Publication Digest – January to June 2019 as a mechanism for addressing the other objectives. The second, third, and fourth goals were based on the three primary problems that were identified during the strategic planning process. To accomplish these goals, OCJS will leverage the strengths identified during the SWOT analysis. CORRECTIONS COLORADO Adult and Juvenile Correctional Populations Forecasts Linda Harrison Office of Research and Statistics February 2019, 49 pp. This legislatively mandated report presents forecasts for the Colorado adult prison and parole populations through FY 2024, and for the Colorado juvenile commitment, detention and parole populations through FY 2022. The report describes the Colorado Criminal Justice Forecasting Model (CCJFM). The adult prison population forecasts for fiscal years 2019 through 2025, parole caseload forecasts for fiscal years 2019 through 2025. The report also presents the juvenile commitment, detention and parole projections for fiscal years 2019 through 2023. CONNECTICUT The Monthly Indicators Report The Connecticut Statistical Analysis Center January 2019, 4 pp. The state’s prisons and jails held 13,228 inmates on January 1, 2019 – down 168 prisoners since December 1st and 421 from January 1, 2018. The report noted that the late-year drop off in the prison population appeared to be weakening in December 2014, suggesting that a shrinking population was, at least partly, responsible. This year the prison population fell by only 206 inmates between November and January; less than half of the usual 500. OPM will release its February 2019 forecast later this month. That forecast will report that while the prison population will continue to contract, the rate of contraction will slow considerably compared to recent trends. Prison Population Projection The Connecticut Statistical Analysis Center February 2019, 2 pp. Each February, the Criminal Justice Policy & Planning Division at OPM forecasts the state’s prison population over the subsequent 12 months. The forecast relies on 1) an analysis of prison-population trend data 2) the use of an input-output model to track operational flows and rates of change in the size and composition of the prison population, and 3) assessments of the impact of proposed legislative and policy changes. Based on an analysis of recent, prison population trends, OPM anticipates that the number of prisoners will contract 2.3% over the 4 SAC Publication Digest – January to June 2019 coming year. Measured on a February-to-February basis, the prison population is expected to decline by approximately 310 prisoners. This past year, during the same period, the prison population shrank by 3.0% or about 420 prisoners. The projected slower rate of contraction is based on OPM’s belief that the sentenced population is no longer able to sustain large, system- wide population reductions. Women in Jail in CT Ivan Kuzyk, Kendall Bobula, and Kyle Baudoin The Connecticut Statistical Analysis Center October 2018, 36 pp. Connecticut is one of only six U.S. states with a unified prison system, meaning that in Connecticut, the Department of Correction incarcerates both sentenced prisoners and pre-trial detainees. On July 1, 2018, among the 930 female prisoners at York CI, the state’s only prison facility for women, 345, over a third were awaiting trial. While the number of pretrial women incarcerated at York CI has fluctuated considerably over the last decade, the average daily population for pre-trial women has hovered between 320 and 340 in recent years. This report is intended to provide readers with an overview of the characteristics and circumstances of women who have been admitted to the CT DOC on pre-trial status in recent years. IOWA Iowa Prison Population Forecast FY 2018-FY 2028 Sarah Fineran Iowa Department of Human Rights, Division of Criminal and Juvenile Justice Planning December 2018, 38 pp. This is the 27th Iowa Prison Population Forecast prepared by the Iowa Department of Human Rights, Division of Criminal and Juvenile Justice Planning (CJJP). The report was developed to assist the executive and legislative branches of government in annually assessing the impact of current criminal justice policy on Iowa’s prison population. The purpose of Iowa’s Prison Forecast is to provide an estimate of the number of inmates who are projected to be incarcerated in the future, if current justice system trends, policies, and practices continue. Short-term projections suggest the prison population is expected to remain stable through the end of FY 2019, with a population of approximately 8,668 inmates on June 30, 2018. This population is projected to increase to 10,144 inmates or nearly 20%, over the next ten years. The report identified several actions, which if taken, are believed to alter the prison population outcome forecasted in this analysis. These include, but are not limited to, continued use of parole for appropriate inmates, modifications to sex offender legislation, modifications to mandatory minimum sentences, modifications to drug sentencing, and continued study of sentencing practices for juveniles. It is noteworthy that members of Iowa’s Public Safety Advisory Board (PSAB) and Sex Offender Research Council (SORC) have provided legislative recommendations specific to these issues. 5 SAC Publication Digest – January to June 2019 KANSAS FY 2018 Annual Report Analysis of Sentencing Guidelines in Kansas George (Ebo) Browne Kansas Sentencing Commission April 17, 2019, 124 pp. Fiscal Year (FY) 2018 Annual Report is the twenty-fourth report released by the Kansas Sentencing Commission. It provides a descriptive analysis of felony