Shetland Inter-Island Transport Study Pre-Appraisal Report On behalf of Shetland Islands Council Project Ref: 35580 | Rev: SC | Date: November 2015 Office Address: Exchange Place 3, 3 Semple Street, Edinburgh, EH3 8BL T: +44 (0)131 220 1414 E: [email protected] Pre-Appraisal Report Shetland Inter-Island Transport Study Document Control Sheet Project Name: Shetland Inter-Island Transport Study Project Ref: 35580 Report Title: Pre-Appraisal Report Date: 5th November 2015 Name Position Signature Date Stephen Associate – Prepared by: 05/11/2015 Canning Transport Planner Reviewed by: Dr Scott Leitham Senior Associate 06/11/2015 Director, Transport Approved by: Paul McCartney 10/11/2015 Economics For and on behalf of Peter Brett Associates LLP Revision Date Description Prepared Reviewed Approved Revised draft taking account of v2.0 30/11/2015 comments from SIC and TS plus SC SL SL peer review from Tom Matthew Revised draft taking account of v3.0 22/01/2016 further Transport Scotland SC PMcC SL comments Revised taking account of further V3.7 05/02/2016 SC PMcC SL SIC comments Peter Brett Associates LLP disclaims any responsibility to the Client and others in respect of any matters outside the scope of this report. This report has been prepared with reasonable skill, care and diligence within the terms of the Contract with the Client and generally in accordance with the appropriate ACE Agreement and taking account of the manpower, resources, investigations and testing devoted to it by agreement with the Client. This report is confidential to the Client and Peter Brett Associates LLP accepts no responsibility of whatsoever nature to third parties to whom this report or any part thereof is made known. Any such party relies upon the report at their own risk. © Peter Brett Associates LLP 2016 ii Contents 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Project Overview ........................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Pre-Appraisal Report ..................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Our Islands, Our Future – Joint Statement ................................................................... 2 2 Logic Mapping ............................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Overview ........................................................................................................................ 4 2.2 A Nine-Step End-to-End Process .................................................................................. 6 3 Socio-Economic Context ............................................................................................................ 9 3.1 The Island Challenge - Societal Problems .................................................................... 9 3.2 Island-Level Socio-Economic Problems & Opportunities ............................................ 10 3.3 Appraisal Aims ............................................................................................................. 17 4 Consultation .............................................................................................................................. 20 4.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................... 20 4.2 Approach to Pre-Appraisal Consultation ..................................................................... 20 4.3 Summary of Network Problems ................................................................................... 21 4.4 Summary of Key Points by Island / Island Group ........................................................ 22 5 Problems, Issues, Opportunities & Constraints .................................................................... 28 5.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................... 28 5.2 Routes & Services Methodology ................................................................................. 28 5.3 Network-Level .............................................................................................................. 29 5.4 Island Specific ............................................................................................................. 34 6 Objective Setting ....................................................................................................................... 61 6.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................... 61 7 Option Generation and Sifting ................................................................................................. 64 7.1 Option Generation ....................................................................................................... 64 7.2 Capital & Revenue Options by Island.......................................................................... 68 7.3 Network Wide Options / Issues ................................................................................... 89 7.4 Other Issues ................................................................................................................ 89 7.5 Other Investment Related to the Ferries Service ........................................................ 90 7.6 Next Steps ................................................................................................................... 91 Figures Figure 2.1: Logic Framework for Overall Process ................................................................................... 7 Tables Table 3.1: Key Services by Island ......................................................................................................... 17 iii Table 5.1 Checklist of Potential Transport Problems ............................................................................ 34 Table 5.2: Bressay RSM Results .......................................................................................................... 36 Table 5.3: Bressay Transport Problems ................................................................................................ 36 Table 5.4: Fair Isle RSM Results ........................................................................................................... 39 Table 5.5: Fair Isle Transport Problems ................................................................................................ 39 Table 5.6: Fetlar RSM Results .............................................................................................................. 42 Table 5.7: Fetlar Transport Problems .................................................................................................... 42 Table 5.8: Foula RSM Results .............................................................................................................. 45 Table 5.9: Foula Transport Problems .................................................................................................... 45 Table 5.10: Papa Stour RSM Results ................................................................................................... 48 Table 5.11: Papa Stour Transport Problems ......................................................................................... 48 Table 5.12: Skerries RSM Results ........................................................................................................ 50 Table 5.13: Unst RSM Results .............................................................................................................. 53 Table 5.14: Unst Transport Problems ................................................................................................... 53 Table 5.15: Whalsay RSM Results ........................................................................................................ 56 Table 5.16: Whalsay Transport Problems ............................................................................................. 56 Table 5.17: Yell RSM Results................................................................................................................ 59 Table 5.18: Yell Transport Problems ..................................................................................................... 59 Table 6.1: Current Service and Objectives ............................................................................................ 63 Table 7.1: Capital & Revenue Scenarios .............................................................................................. 65 iv v 1 Introduction 1.1 Project Overview 1.1.1 The purpose of this phase of the Shetland Inter-Island Transport Study (SIITS) is to undertake a proportionate STAG-based options appraisal across the internal Shetland air and ferry network. The overall approach to this options appraisal is to analyse each island in turn considering current and future connectivity needs in the light of the current provision of vessels, harbours, services, aircraft, airstrips and timetables. 1.1.2 The output of this process will be a set of options for each island, which have been subjected to a Part 1 and Part 2 Appraisal process. The appraisal will be reported in full and also in the form of Appraisal Summary Tables and Options Summary Tables. Given the network coverage (serving nine islands), the analysis and outputs of the appraisal will be proportionate