GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN NATIONAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT AUTHORITY MONSOON WEATHER SITUATION REPORT 2015 DATED: 23rd JULY 2015 RIVERS RESERVOIRS (Reading 0600hrs) LOSSES / DAMAGES MAX Conservation Actual Observations RESERVOIR Today (Feet) Design Forecast for Forecasted Level (Feet) River / Capacity In Flow Out Flow Next 24hrs Flood Level Structure Tarbela 1,550.00 1530.00 (Cusecs) (thousand (thousand (Inflow) (Inflow) cusecs) cusecs) Mangla 1,242.00 1234.90 RIVER INDUS (Reading 0600hrs) RAINFALL (MM) PAST 24 HOURS Chitral Flash Flood / GLOF - Annex A Tarbela 1,500,000 340.0 178.6 330 – 350 Low Balakot 96 Rawalakot 39 Talhatta 24 Punjab Riverine Flood - Annex B Medium – Palku, Domel & Kalabagh 950,000 397.1 388.8 380 F 290 Palandri 84 Ura 32 23 Low Malamjabba Balochistan Flash Flood - Annex C Medium - Gilgit Baltistan Flash Flood / GLOF - Annex D Chashma 950,000 469.8 462.8 460 F 360 Kakul 68 Shinkiari 28 Pattan 20 Low Sindh Precautionary Measures – Annex E Chattar Kallass & Taunsa 1,100,000 457.7 457.7 445 – 455 Medium Muzaffarabad 61 Oghi & Lasbela 26 15 NHA Road Network Sitrep - Annex F Khuzdar Guddu 1,200,000 396.1 370.0 400 R 470 Medium Sehrkakota 57 Dir 25 Murree & Sibbi 13 Sukkur 1,500,000 295.2 242.4 300 – 330 Low Kotli 54 Sialkot (Cantt) 25 Dratian 12 Tanda Dam & Kotri 875,000 107.8 80.6 110 – 120 Below Low Peshawar (AP) 43 Sialkot (AP) 01 11 Garhidupatta RIVER KABUL (Reading 0600hrs) METEOROLOGICAL FEATURES NOTES Nowshera - 79.5 79.5 75 – 85 Medium WEATHER WARNING Yesterday’s trough of westerly wave over upper parts of the RIVER JHELUM (Reading 0600hrs) country today lies over Kashmir and adjoining areas. Due to unstable weather conditions and significant Medium – monsoon rains there would be risk of flash flooding in the Well marked seasonal low lies over Northwest Balochistan. local streams and nullahs of Punjab, upper KP, eastern Mangla 1,060,000 90.0 56.4 110 – 170 High (Sharp Balochistan and Kashmir during next 05 days. People living high peak) Moderate to strong moist current is penetrating into Punjab and in low lying areas along the streams and nullahs are Rasul 850,000 54.7 43.1 55 – 65 Below Low Kashmir up to 5,000 feet. advised to remain careful during the period. Scattered heavy fall is expected in Thatha, Badin, Hyderabad, Sajawal Low pressure area over North Madhya Pradesh (India) remained and Karachi during next 24 to 36 hours. Due to heavy falls RIVER CHENAB (Reading 0600hrs) still stationary. there is risk of urban flooding in Karachi and Hyderabad during the period. Marala Medium WEATHER FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HOURS FLOOD WARNINGS 1,100,000 100.2 68.2 120 R 199 Khanki 800,000 87.0 78.8 90 R 170 Medium According to latest Meteorological & Hydrological conditions observed by FFD (Lahore), River Indus at Qadirabad 807,000 96.9 74.9 90 – 120 Low GUDDU is likely to attain High Flood Level ranging between 500,000 - 550,000 cusecs during the period from 1200 PST No Significant Trimmu 645,000 106.0 89.8 Below Low on 24th July 2015 to 2359 PST on 26th July 2015. River Change Indus at SUKKUR is also likely to attain High Flood Level Panjnad 700,000 112.5 100.5 -do- -do- Scattered thunderstorms / rains of moderate intensity with isolated ranging between 500,000 - 540,000 cusecs during the period from 1200 PST on 25th July 2015 to 2359 PST on 27th July RIVER RAVI (Reading 0600hrs) heavy falls is expected over Sindh and Upper Catchments of all 2015. No Significant According to latest Meteorological & Hydrological Jassar 275,000 18.1 18.1 Below Major Rivers along with Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and conditions analyzed by this office an active Monsoon Change weather system is likely to affect Sindh province which may Shahdara 250,000 20.4 20.4 -do- -do- Northeast Balochistan. cause fairly widespread thunderstorm/rain of moderate Balloki 225,000 58.7 26.7 45 – 60 Low intensity with heavy falls at isolated places and very heavy Rainfalls of moderate intensity with isolated heavy falls are also Sidhnai 150,000 42.0 30.4 35 – 40 -do- falls at some places during next 4-5 days . Urban flooding is expected in Karachi and Hyderabad during the RIVER SUTLEJ (Reading 0600hrs) expected over Hill Torrents of D.G. Khan Division. period.Scattered thunderstorm of moderate intensity with No Significant isolated heavy falls is also expected in Balochistan G.S. Wala - 13.00 Feet only Below Low Change especially northeast central and coastal Balochistan which may also cause flooding in local nullahs and rivers. Sulemanki 325,000 20.2 7.3 -do- -do- Precautionary measures may kindly be taken .Daily updates Islam 300,000 2.4 1.2 -do- -do- will be issued on the emergency basis. Sources: PMD & Flood Forecasting Division (Isolated – 20% to 30% of area, Scattered – 30% to 50% of area, Widespread – 90% to 100% of area.) PMD Rain scales are good for Islamabad. However, its accuracy for all areas depends on Soil, time / duration of rain falls and its geographical spread. Light Rain 5 mm, Moderate Rain 7 – 25 mm, Heavy Rain 25 – 75 mm, Very Heavy Rain Above 75 mm NDMA Contact Numbers During Office Hours: Tel. (051) 920-2523, Control Room Contact Numbers: Tel. (051) 920-5037, Fax. (051) 920-5086, NDMA Website: http://www.ndma.gov.pk “Annex-A” DISTRICT CHITRAL - GLOF / FLASH FLOOD Damages / Losses Glacial Lake Outburst Flood occurred causing flash flooding to hit various parts of District Chitral at 0000hrs on 16th July 2015 Deaths – 03 Extensive damages to private / public property, infrastructure and agriculture Sizable population is cut off due to road / bridge damages Water & Sanitation destroyed in 26 areas of District Chitral Houses Damaged – 151 FD, 38 PD. Mosques Damaged / Destroyed – 3 Shops Damaged / Destroyed – 23 Hotels Damaged / Destroyed – 6 Colleges Damaged / Destroyed (Private) – 1 Bridges Destroyed / Damaged – 15 Roadways Destroyed / Damaged – 12 Reshun Powerhouse Damaged / Destroyed. Areas Affected - 30 villages in NW side of Chitral from Drosh to Garam Chasma and North Eastern side of Chitral to Koragh, Mastuj and Torkhow Roads Cleared – Intra village and link roads have been cleared Main issue, 3x Areas remain cut off:- 1. Kalash Valley (25,000 persons) 2. Garam Chasma (60,000 persons) 3. Upper Chitral (200,000 persons) If areas remain cut off, food shortages can’t be ruled out. Relief Provided Summary for Chief Minister Khyber Pakhtunkhwa has been moved for release of Rs. 140 million, following breakdown:- o C&W Chitral – Rs. 100 million o PHED Chitral – Rs. 30 million o Irrigation Chitral – Rs. 10 million o Once funds are released contractors will be mobilised to restore road / infrastructure linkages. Deputy Commissioner Chitral has been authorised to purchase and stock essential food items worth Rs. 1 million for distribution to affectees. Currently Rs. 20 million is available in District Chitral Relief Fund. PDMA Khyber Pakhtunkhwa has transported 1,000 Food Packs (40 tons) to District Chitral. District Chitral currently has enough NFIs to cater for its needs. 2x C-130 Aircraft carrying 16 tons of Food Packs and 1 ton of Mineral Water from NDMA are to leave for District Chitral. Pakistan Army has rescued 164 persons to date. Pakistan Army Helicopters have distributed 3 tons relief goods to affectees. RELIEF GOODS DISTRIBUTED AFFECTED AREAS FOOD ITEMS Chitral 11,850 kg to 158 house holds Drosh 5,475 kg to 75 households Garam Chasma 1,095 kg to 15 house holds Reshum / Charum/ Mastuj 730 kg to 10 house holds Chitral 130 tons by Pak Army “Annex-B” PUNJAB RIVERINE FLOODS - DAMGES / LOSSES Crop Area Relief Persons Villages Pop Houses Cattle Deaths Injured Evacuees Damaged Camps in Camp Affected Affected Damaged Vaccinated (Acres) 3 4 105 1,877 54,461 366 194,137 205,366 422 170,065 Relief Provided Tents - 7,800 Food Packs - 20,000 Mineral Water - 25,000 Patients Treated - 2,019 Cattle Fodder - 3,150kg Mobile Medical Camps - 20 Pakistan Army has Evacuated - 2,396 persons “Annex-C” BALOCHISTAN FLASH FLOOD Damages / Losses On 19th July 2015 at 1600hrs heavy rainfall and windstorms created flash flood situation in District Zhob, Balochistan Damages have to been reported on flood protection bunds, electrical poles, roads, etc. Breaches were caused at various locations to bunds at Killa Hassanzai and Inaam Ghundi. Bridges on D.I. Khan & Mir Ali Khel Roads damaged / destroyed. Electrical Lines at Takai & Hassanzai area are down. In District Khuzdar - In Shah Noorani area tehsil Dureji owing to flash floods in local Nullah four deaths occurred. In District Lasbela - Flash flood occurred but no major damages reported. Various private properties have been damaged. Houses Livestock District Deaths Injured Damaged Perished Zhob - 2 6 4 Dera Bugti - - 100 (approx) - Kohlu 3 6 - - Khuzdar 4 - - - TOTAL 7 8 106 4 “Annex-D” GILGIT BALTISTAN FLASH FLOOD / GLOF Losses / Damages Flash flooding has occurred in Districts Diamer, Astore, Gilgit, Hunza-Nagar, Ghizer and Ghanche. Reports of a possible GLOF occurred in Skardu which affected 9 families. However no deaths have been reported. Root cause of flash flooding was rains and rapid snow melt. All affected Districts have reported damages to road infrastructure, water channels and power houses to varying degrees. District Diamer, areas of Buner, Niat and Fairy Meadows remain cut off District Hunza-Nagar, area of Hispar remains cut off District Skardu, areas of Goma Pari (Kharmang) and Fuljo Naala (Shigar) remains cut off District Ghanche, areas of Thalley, Hoshey and Kiris Paral remain cut off District Ghanche, 6x Power Houses, 80x water channels and 3x bridges reported damaged.