COMMUNITY RISK REGISTER FOR THE NORTHUMBRIA LOCAL RESILIENCE FORUM Version 8.2 – February 2014 Intentionally Blank Version 8.2 – February 2014 Not Protectively Marked Contents Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................1 Northumbria LRF Membership .............................................................................................................................................................................................2 The Northumbria LRF area ..................................................................................................................................................................................................4 How to use the this document ..............................................................................................................................................................................................5 Risk Rating Matrix ................................................................................................................................................................................................................7 Definitions of Risk Ratings ...................................................................................................................................................................................................8 Categories of Impact ............................................................................................................................................................................................................9 Impact Scoring Scale .........................................................................................................................................................................................................10 Likelihood Scoring Scale ....................................................................................................................................................................................................12 RISK ASSESSMENTS .......................................................................................................................................................................................................13 Discounted Risks ...............................................................................................................................................................................................................50 Threats ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................54 Annex 1: Contact Details for Lead Assessors ...................................................................................................................................................................55 Annex 2: Glossary .............................................................................................................................................................................................................59 Version 8.2 – February 2014 i Community Risk Register Not Protectively Marked Intentionally Blank Version 8.2 – February 2014 ii Community Risk Register Not Protectively Marked Introduction Northumbria Local Resilience Forum Community Risk Register November 2013 The Northumbria Local Resilience Forum Community Risk Register The Northumbria Local Resilience Forum (LRF) Community Risk Register (CRR) is published in compliance with the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 (Section 2 (1)) and is now hosted on the Northumbria LRF website http://www.northumberland.gov.uk/Default.aspx?page=8200. More information on the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 can be found at http://interim.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/ukresilience.aspx. The CRR is an important document produced following extensive work by the partners within the Northumbria LRF area. The CRR provides a basis for local responders to consider which emergency plans are required and whether any existing plans should be modified in the light of the risk assessment. The inclusion of these hazards or the particular scenario (for instance, the outcome description) does not mean that the Northumbria LRF believes the risk will materialise, or that if it were to do so, it would be at that scale. The risk scenarios are rather reasonable worst case assumptions upon which our risk assessment is based. The likelihood assessments relate to the risk occurring over a five-year period at the magnitude reflected within the outcome description. The magnitude is based on an assessment of a reasonable worst case scenario. As part of the risk assessment process, we have been considering the likelihood and impact of a range of hazards occurring. This work, a statutory requirement under the Civil Contingencies Act, is a continuing process and examples are provided for all of the hazards to illustrate the individual assessment work that has been completed so far. It is our intention to make further details available via this website as and when it is practical and appropriate to do so. In addition to the hazards contained within this Risk Register there are also several malicious threats highlighted. Due to the sensitivity of some of these threats it is not possible to explore them in great detail in this document. Northumbria Police together with other LRF partner agencies have in place appropriate measures to ensure these risks are mitigated against and recovery plans in place to minimise the impact should such threats be realised, this is an ongoing process reacting to changing events and threat assessments. Current threat assessments include firearms incidents, chemical or biological releases and other threats requiring a multi-agency response. Details of this Threat Assessment can be found on page 55. Version 8.2 – February 2014 1 Community Risk Register Not Protectively Marked Risk assessment is not a static process and is subject to constant review. As a result, the information contained in the register published on this website will be regularly updated. The Northumbria LRF CRR has been produced by a Risk Assessment Working Group (RAWG) chaired by Helen Hinds, Head of Resilience, Newcastle City Council. The CRR is based upon risk assessment work undertaken at a national level, supplemented by local assessments carried out by local lead assessors who are members of the Northumbria LRF RAWG. The RAWG comprises representatives from the emergency services, Health and Safety Executive, Health Protection Agency, Environment Agency, Maritime and Coastguard Agency, utilities companies and local authorities in Tyne and Wear and Northumberland. DCLG Resilience (North) has also played an advisory role. Northumbria LRF Membership The Northumbria LRF is established under the Civil Contingencies Act 2004. Its members are as follows: Category One Responders Public Health England Newcastle City Council Health Services: Sunderland City Council NHS England CNWAT Gateshead Council Northumbria Healthcare Trust North Tyneside Council Newcastle Hospitals Trust South Tyneside Council Gateshead Hospital Trust Northumberland County Council South Tyneside Hospital Trust Northumbria Police City Hospitals Hospitals Trust British Transport Police North East Ambulance Service Northumberland Fire and Rescue Service Tyne and Wear Fire and Rescue Service Maritime and Coastguard Agency Environment Agency Tyne Port Health Authority Version 8.2 – February 2014 2 Community Risk Register Not Protectively Marked Category Two Responders Northumberland and Tyne and Wear Foundation Trust Clinical Commissioning Groups: - Newcastle West - Newcastle North and East - Northumberland - North Tyneside - South Tyneside - Sunderland - Gateshead Northern Powergrid Scottish Power Telecommunications Companies e.g. BT National Transcommunications Limited Cellular Airtime Providers – e.g. 02, Vodafone Network Rail (Northern Rail, East Coast Cross Country, TransPennie Express, Grand Central Railway) Health and Safety Executive Northumbria Water Limited Nexus Port of Tyne Newcastle International Airport Highways Agency Meteorological Office Additional Partners Voluntary Sector Military Representative, HQ 15 (NE) Brigade and No 2 Region DCLG Resilience (North) Version 8.2 – February 2014 3 Community Risk Register Not Protectively Marked The Northumbria LRF area The Northumbria LRF area is coterminous with the Northumbria Police Force area and comprises the County of Northumberland and the area of Tyne and Wear which comprises Newcastle, North Tyneside, Gateshead, South Tyneside and Sunderland. It stretches from the border with Scotland around Berwick-upon-Tweed in the north to the City of Sunderland in the south. It also stretches from the North Sea coast in the east to the border with Cumbria in the west and has borders with County Durham in the south west. Northumbria has an overall population of circa 1,417,000 (Office for National Statistics, October 2011), clustered mainly in and around the Tyne and Wear conurbations. The main populated area of Northumberland is the south-east corner of the county and in rural parts of Northumberland, market towns are centres of population serving surrounding smaller villages. Northumbria is served as follows: • Major roads: A1 (M), A1, A19, A189, A68, A69, A696, A697 and others