Table of Contents ACRONYMS ........................................................................................................................................................... 6 1. Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 8 2. Introduction................................................................................................................................................... 19 3. Ngaka Modiri Molema District at Glance ...................................................................................................... 19 4. Social Development Profile of the Ngaka Modiri Molema District ................................................................. 20 4.1. Population ............................................................................................................................................ 20 4.2. Population projections ......................................................................................................................... 22 4.3. Population by population group, Gender and Age ............................................................................... 23 4.4. Population Pyramids .................................................................................................................................. 25 4.4. Income Inequality and Human Development ....................................................................................... 27 4.4.1. Gini Coefficient ........................................................................................................................... 28 4.5. Poverty ................................................................................................................................................ 31 4.5.1. Poverty Gap Rate ....................................................................................................................... 33 4.6. Health .................................................................................................................................................. 34 4.6.1. HIV+ and AIDS estimates ........................................................................................................... 36 4.7. Social Development ............................................................................................................................. 37 4.7.1. STATISTICS ON SOCIAL GRANTS ........................................................................................... 38 4.8. Disaster Management ......................................................................................................................... 38 4.8.1. Fire and Rescue ......................................................................................................................... 42 5. Economic Development Profile .................................................................................................................... 43 5.1. Gross Domestic Product by Region (GDP-R) ...................................................................................... 43 5.2. Economic Growth Forecast ................................................................................................................. 46 5.3. Gross Value Added by Region (GVA-R) .............................................................................................. 48 5.4. Historical Economic Growth................................................................................................................. 50 5.4.1. Primary Sector ............................................................................................................................ 51 5.4.2. Secondary Sector ....................................................................................................................... 52 5.4.3. Tertiary Sector ............................................................................................................................ 53 5.5. Sector Growth Forecast ....................................................................................................................... 54 5.6. Tress Index .......................................................................................................................................... 56 5.7. Economically Active Population ........................................................................................................... 57 Figure 36: Economically Active Population by Race and Gender, 2017 ...................................................... 58 5.8. Economic Drivers ................................................................................................................................ 58 5.8.1. Agriculture ................................................................................................................................... 58 2 | P a g e 5.8.2. CHALLENGES AND MITIGATION ............................................................................................. 61 5.8.3. PLANS FOR THE VETERANS ................................................................................................... 62 5.8.4. DISTRICT PRIORITY PLANS ..................................................................................................... 62 5.8.5. DARD hand over agricultural projects ......................................................................................... 62 5.8.6. Other Economic Drivers per Local Municipality .......................................................................... 63 5.9. LED...................................................................................................................................................... 65 5.9.1. STATE OF LED IN THE DISTRICT AND LOCAL MUNICIPALITIES ......................................... 65 5.9.2. District Growth & Development Strategy .................................................................................... 66 5.9.3. Proposed Led Projects................................................................................................................ 67 5.9.4. Flagship Projects Associated With Agriculture............................................................................ 70 5.9.5. SMME Development ................................................................................................................... 70 5.9.6. Manufacturing ............................................................................................................................. 70 5.9.7. LED Challenges .......................................................................................................................... 70 5.9.8. LED Risks ................................................................................................................................... 71 5.10. Tourism ........................................................................................................................................... 71 5.10.1. Trips by purpose of trips ............................................................................................................. 71 5.10.2. Origin of Tourists......................................................................................................................... 72 5.10.3. Tourism spending ....................................................................................................................... 75 5.11. International Trade .......................................................................................................................... 78 5.11.1. Relative Importance of international Trade ................................................................................. 78 6. Education and Unemployment Profile .......................................................................................................... 80 6.1. Level of Education and Literacy .......................................................................................................... 80 6.2. Functional literacy ................................................................................................................................ 83 6.3. Employment by Industry ...................................................................................................................... 86 6.4. Incomes Distribution ............................................................................................................................ 86 6.4.1. Number of Households by Income category ............................................................................... 87 6.4.2. Annual total Personal Income ..................................................................................................... 88 6.4.3. Annual per Capita Income .......................................................................................................... 90 6.4.4. Index of Buying Power ................................................................................................................ 92 6.5. Labour ................................................................................................................................................. 94 6.5.1. Economically Active Population (EAP) ....................................................................................... 96 6.5.2. Total Employment ....................................................................................................................... 99 6.5.3. Formal and Informal employment ............................................................................................