DOCSLIB.ORG

Milton Friedman Papers

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text

Load more

http://oac.cdlib.org/findaid/ark:/13030/tf7t1nb2hx Online items available Register of the Milton Friedman papers Finding aid prepared by Linda Bernard, Dana M. Harris, and Elizabeth Konzak Hoover Institution Library and Archives © 1997, 2008 434 Galvez Mall Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6003 [email protected] URL: http://www.hoover.org/library-and-archives Register of the Milton Friedman 77011 1 papers Title: Milton Friedman papers Date (inclusive): 1931-2006 Collection Number: 77011 Contributing Institution: Hoover Institution Library and Archives Language of Material: English Physical Description: 227 manuscript boxes, 5 oversize boxes, 4 card file boxes, 1 slide box, 1 envelope, 1 oversize folder(99.9 Linear Feet) Abstract: Speeches and writings, correspondence, notes, statistics, printed matter, sound recordings, videotapes, and photographs relating to economic theory, economic conditions in the United States, and governmental economic policy. Digitized copies of many of the sound and video recordings in this collection, as well as some of Friedman's writings, are available at https://miltonfriedman.hoover.org. Creator: Friedman, Milton, 1912-2006 Hoover Institution Library & Archives Access "Boxes 103-107 and 235-236 closed. The remainder of the collection is open for research; materials must be requested at least two business days in advance of intended use." Publication Rights For copyright status, please contact the Hoover Institution Library & Archives. Digitized materials are protected by copyright laws and are provided for educational and research purposes only. Any infringing use may be subject to disciplinary action and/or civil or criminal liability as provided by law. If you believe you are the rights holder and object to Hoover's use of a digitized item, please contact [email protected]. Acquisition Information First acquired by the Hoover Institution Library & Archives in 1977, the collection includes additions from the 1980s until 2007 in boxes 109-112 and a large increment in boxes 113-235 acquired in 2008. Preferred Citation [Identification of item], Milton Friedman papers, [Box no., Folder no. or title], Hoover Institution Library & Archives. Alternative Form Available Also available on microfilm (226 reels). Digitized copies of many of the sound and video recordings in this collection, as well as some of Friedman's writings, are available at https://miltonfriedman.hoover.org. 1912 July 31Born, Brooklyn, New York 1932 B.A., Rutgers University 1933 M.A., University of Chicago 1934-1935 Research assistant, Social Science Research Committee, University of Chicago 1935-1937 Associate economist, National Resources Committee, Washington, D.C. 1937-1940 Lecturer, Columbia University 1937-1946, Member, Research Staff, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York 1948-1981 1938 Married Rose Director 1940-1941 Visiting professor of economics, University of Wisconsin 1941-1943 Principal economist, Division of Tax Research, U.S. Treasury Department 1942 Professor, United States Department of Agriculture Graduate School, Washington, D.C. 1943 Author (with Carl S. Shoup and Ruth P. Mack), Taxing to Prevent Inflation 1943-1945 Associate director, Statistical Research Group, Division of War Research, Columbia University 1945 Author (with Simon S. Kuznets), Income from Independent Professional Practice 1945-1946 Associate professor of economics and statistics, University of Minnesota 1946 Ph.D., Columbia University 1946-1948 Associate professor of economics, University of Chicago 1948 Author (with Harold A. Freeman, Frederic Mosteller, W. Allen Wallis), Sampling Inspection 1948-1982 Professor of economics, University of Chicago 1950 Consultant, Economic Cooperation Administration, Office of the United States Special Representative in Europe, Paris Register of the Milton Friedman 77011 2 papers 1953 Author, Essays in Positive Economics 1956-1979 Council of Academic Advisers, American Enterprise Institute 1957 Author, A Theory of the Consumption Function 1960 Author, A Program for Monetary Stability 1962 Author, Price Theory: A Provisional Text Author (with Rose D. Friedman), Capitalism and Freedom 1963 Author (with Anna J. Schwartz), A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 Author, Inflation: Causes and Consequences 1968 Author, Dollars and Deficits: Inflation, Monetary Policy and the Balance of Payments 1968-1994 Advisory Board, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 1969 Author, The Optimum Quantity of Money and Other Essays 1969-1970 Member, The President's Commission on an All-Volunteer Armed Force 1970 Author (with Anna J. Schwartz), Monetary Statistics of the United States 1972 Author, An Economist's Protest: Columns on Political Economy 1973 Member, The President's Commission on White House Fellows 1975 Author, There Is no Such Thing as a Free Lunch 1976 Author, Price Theory Recipient, Nobel Prize in Economics 1977- Senior research fellow, Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace, Stanford University, California 1978 Author, Tax Limitation, Inflation and the Role of Government 1980 Author (with Rose D. Friedman), Free to Choose, and presenter of a ten-part TV series on PBS of the same title. 1981-1988 Member, The President's Economic Policy Advisory Board 1982 Author (with Anna J. Schwartz), Monetary Trends in the U.S. and the United Kingdom 1983 Author, Bright Promises, Dismal Performance: An Economist's Protest 1983- Professor emeritus, University of Chicago 1984 Author (with Rose D. Friedman), Tyranny of the Status Quo, and presenter of a three part PBS television program of the same title. 1986 Awarded the Grand Cordon of the First Class Order of the Sacred Treasure (Japanese Government) 1988 Awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom Awarded the National Medal of Science 1992 Author (with Thomas S. Szasz), edited and with a preface by Arnold S. Trebach and Kevin B. Zeese, Friedman and Szasz on Liberty and Drugs: Essays on the Free Market and Prohibition Author, Money Mischief: Episodes in Monetary History 1992- Active Member, Academia Scientiarum et Artium Europaea (European Academy of Sciences and Arts) 1993- Founding Member, National Coalition for Drug Policy Change 1996- Chairman, Board of Directors, Milton and Rose D. Friedman Foundation to promote public understanding of the need for major reform in K-12 education and the role that competition through educational choice can play in achieving that reform 1998 Author (with Rose D. Friedman) Two Lucky People: Memoirs 1999- Member, Advisory Board, California Parents for Educational Choice 2006 Died Scope and Content of Collection The Milton Friedman papers include a variety of materials relating to economic theory, economic conditions in the United States, and governmental economic policy. Friedman interacted with a wide network of academics, economists, and politicians, with whom he corresponded frequently. The papers display his thoughts and expertise in extensive correspondence, speeches and writings, collected research materials, statistics, printed materials, and photographs, as well as sound and video recordings. Related Collections Collected Works of Milton Friedman website, http://miltonfriedman.hoover.org Collected Works of Milton Friedman Project records, Hoover Institution Library & Archives The Legacy of Milton and Rose Friedman's Free to Choose conference proceedings, 2003, Hoover Institution Library & Archives Free to Choose: video tape, 1980, Hoover Institution Library & Archives Subjects and Indexing Terms Audiotapes Video tapes Register of the Milton Friedman 77011 3 papers Free enterprise United States -- Economic policy Economics Economists United States -- Economic conditions Reagan, Ronald Biographical File 1931-1980 Scope and Contents note Articles, clippings, awards, bibliographies, biographies, school and employment records, and resolutions, arranged alphabetically by physical form. Articles and clippings on Milton Friedman box 1, folder 1 1950-1963 box 1, folder 2 1963-1969 box 1, folder 3 1964 box 1, folder 4 1965-1966 box 1, folder 5 1967 box 1, folder 6 1968 box 2, folder 1 1969 box 2, folder 2 1970 box 2, folder 3 1970-1972 box 2, folder 4 1971 box 2, folder 5 1972-1973 box 2, folder 6 1973-1974 box 3, folder 1 1974-1976 box 3, folder 2 1975-1976 box 3, folder 3 1976 box 4, folder 1-2 1977 box 4, folder 3 1978 box 4, folder 4 1978-1980 box 4, folder 5 1979 box 5, folder 1 Awards box 5, folder 2 Bibliographies box 5, folder 3 Biographies Employment records box 5, folder 4 Civil Service Commission 1936-1940 box 5, folder 5 Department of Commerce 1944-1945 box 5, folder 6 University of Chicago 1946-1966 Scope and Contents note Includes financial records. Register of the Milton Friedman 77011 4 papers Biographical File 1931-1980 Employment records box 5, folder 7 Economic Cooperation Administration 1951 box 5, folder 8 Council of Economic Advisers 1969-1975 box 5, folder 9 Resolutions honoring Milton Friedman Subject file box 5, folder 10 Health box 5, Student years folder 11-13 box 5, folder 14 Miscellaneous Correspondence 1940-1991 Scope and Contents note Arranged alphabetically by name of correspondent. General box 6, folder 1 Autograph requests Congratulatory messages on Nobel Prize 1976 box 6, folder 2 Unidentified box 6, folder 3 A-B box 6, folder 4 C-D box 6, folder 5 E-F box 6, folder 6 G-H box 6, folder 7 I-K box 6, folder 8 L-M box 6, folder 9 N-Q box 7, folder 1 R-S box 7, folder 2 T-V box 7, folder 3 W-Z Recommendation letters box 7, folder 4 1946-1949 box 7, folder
Recommended publications
  • The Weekly Newsletter of Ucsd Connect

    The Weekly Newsletter of Ucsd Connect

    TUESDAY MARCH 31,1998 ISSUE 8-12 HTTP://WWW.CONNECT.ORG/CONNECT [email protected] connectTHE WEEKLY NEWSLETTER OF UCSD CONNECT GEORGE GILDER TO PEEK INTO COMMQUEST/IBM TO CREATE NEW FUTURE AT MAY 27 TELCOM EVENT GENERATION OF MOBILE APPLIANCES By Debbie Andersen, QUALCOMM ([email protected]) By Ann Marsh ([email protected]) George Gilder has spoken at the Vatican, testified before United On February 11 of this year, IBM announced a $180 million States Senate sub-committees on Science and Technology, and buyout merger agreement with CommQuest Technologies, Inc., a Commerce, Science and Transportation, been quoted by Ronald privately held company based in Encinitas, California, which designs Reagan more than any other living author, written speeches for Ri- and markets advanced semiconductors for wireless and digital com- chard Nixon and Nelson Rockefeller, studied under Henry munications applications such as cellular phones and satellite com- Kissinger at Harvard and been interviewed in Playboy. One of his munications. Once the merger is completed, CommQuest will be- books, "The Spirit of Enterprise", is credited with sparking the entre- come part of IBM's Microelectronics Division, speeding development preneurial growth of technology investment and of Silicon Valley. His book "Microcosm" \s a history of that growth and his next book, of a new generation of multifunction, low-cost, mobile "information "Telecosm" is the eagerly awaited look into the future of the appliances," such as single chip, watch-size cellular phones and prod- communication's industry. On May 27,1998, George Gilder will be ucts that combine cell phone, e-mail and Internet access functions giving San Diego a peek into that future, as the luncheon speaker at in a single, hand-held package.
  • The Principles of Economics Textbook

    The Principles of Economics Textbook

    The Principles of Economics Textbook: An Analysis of Its Past, Present & Future by Vitali Bourchtein An honors thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science Undergraduate College Leonard N. Stern School of Business New York University May 2011 Professor Marti G. Subrahmanyam Professor Simon Bowmaker Faculty Advisor Thesis Advisor Bourchtein 1 Table of Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................................................4 Thank You .......................................................................................................................................4 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................5 Summary ..........................................................................................................................................5 Part I: Literature Review ..................................................................................................................6 David Colander – What Economists Do and What Economists Teach .......................................6 David Colander – The Art of Teaching Economics .....................................................................8 David Colander – What We Taught and What We Did: The Evolution of US Economic Textbooks (1830-1930) ..............................................................................................................10
  • REPORT the Barron's Bears

    REPORT the Barron's Bears

    GILDER February 2006 / Vol. XI No. 2 T E C H N O L O G Y R E P O R T The Barron’s Bears ur Celestial Empire possesses all things in abundance “ and lacks no products within its border. There is there- O fore no need to import the manufactures of outside barbarians.” —Emperor Qian Long, 1793, to King George III’s Ambassador (quoted in Fast Boat to China by Andrew Ross). It’s mid-winter, snowing again outside my window. After some 60 days of cross country skiing so far in Western Massachusetts, two schusses to Silicon Valley, and my son Richard a newly instrument rated pilot, I feel pretty good. With Dick Sears’ Gilder Technology Index (www.GTIndex.com) up some 325 percent since the crash and 27 percent in the last Power-One is the 52 weeks, I feel pretty fl ush. But as I prepare for another day of Nordic sweltering up and swooping down, something nags in the back of my mind. leader in digital What could it be? Flaws in the Linley Group’s projection of EZchip’s (LNOP) coming three year revenue ramp? A slow IPTV (Internet protocol television) transition dragging power solutions, (CONTINUED ON PAGE 2) with some 50 FEATURED COMPANY: NetLogic (NETL) design wins for Whoa! It seems the only thing fl ying faster than NetLogic’s processor speeds these days is the company’s stock price, up by a whopping third so far in the fi rst month or so of the year. But after listening to CEO Ron Jankov, it’s hard to be anything but buoyant.
  • Chronicling 100 Years of the U.S. Economy Robert Eisner

    Chronicling 100 Years of the U.S. Economy Robert Eisner

    Chronicling Chronicling 100 Years100 Years of the of the U.S. EconomyU.S. Economy March 2021 Volume 101, Number 3 Top Influencers The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and its journal, the Survey of Current Business, are respected sources of data on the health of our national economy due in large part to the individuals who influenced BEA and its predecessor agencies over the past century. From economic theory to the mechanics of producing reliable statistics, their contributions helped make BEA and its accounts the reliable, authoritative sources of economic data they are today. The Survey has chronicled the evolution of BEA's output for almost a century. As we celebrate the centennial of the Survey, some of these top influencers will be profiled on the centennial website. This month, we present economist Robert Eisner. Robert Eisner Extending the National Economic Accounts By Ralph Rodriguez In depicting the traits of whom he called the “master economist,” John Maynard Keynes once wrote, “He must contemplate the particular in terms of the general, and touch abstract and concrete in the same flight of thought.”1 Robert Eisner—economist, advisor, and perpetual educator—masterfully wove the empirical and theoretical to help shape the system of economic measurement in the United States and across the globe. Eisner was born in Brooklyn, NY, in 1922. After earning his M.A. from Columbia University in 1942, he enlisted in the U.S. Army and served in France during World War II. After the war, he would marry and go Robert Eisner on to earn his Ph.D.
  • Bridgewater Review

    Bridgewater Review

    Bridgewater Review Volume 1 | Issue 2 Article 7 Dec-1982 Book Reviews Hugo D'Alarcao Bridgewater State College Charles F. Angell Bridgewater State College, [email protected] Nancy L. Street Bridgewater State College, [email protected] Recommended Citation D'Alarcao, Hugo; Angell, Charles F.; and Street, Nancy L. (1982). Book Reviews. Bridgewater Review, 1(2), 15-18. Available at: http://vc.bridgew.edu/br_rev/vol1/iss2/7 This item is available as part of Virtual Commons, the open-access institutional repository of Bridgewater State University, Bridgewater, Massachusetts. BOOK REVIEWS It is in this first part that Schell introduces "fundamental origin of the peril of human the major theme of the book: the threat of extinction by nuclear arms lies not in any The Fate of extinction of the human species. The point particular social or political circumstances is made that - of our time but in the attainment by mankind The Earth as a whole, after millenia of scientific - although scientifically speaking, progress, of a certain level of knowledge of there is all the difference in the world the physical universe," he comes close to between the mere possibility that a By Jonathan Schell paralleling the theological concept of holocaust will bring about extinction original sin, and precludes the possibility Alfred A. Knopf, N. Y., $11.95 and the certainty of it, morally they that political or social changes can eradicate are the same, and we have no choice the nuclear peril. With such simplistic but to address the issue of nuclear arguments he nears joining the bandwagon weapons as thqugh we knew for a of the antiscience.
  • Flat Tax: an Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal

    Flat Tax: an Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal

    . Flat Tax: An Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal James M. Bickley Specialist in Public Finance November 29, 2011 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov 98-529 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress c11173008 . Flat Tax: An Overview of the Hall-Rabushka Proposal Summary The President and leading Members of Congress have stated that fundamental tax reform is a major policy objective for the 112th Congress. The concept of replacing individual and corporate income taxes and estate and gift taxes with a flat rate consumption tax is one option to reform the U.S. tax system. The term “flat tax” is often associated with a proposal formulated by Robert E. Hall and Alvin Rabushka (H-R), two senior fellows at the Hoover Institution. In the 112th Congress, two bills have been introduced that included a flat tax based on the concepts of Hall- Rabushka: the Freedom Flat Tax Act (H.R. 1040) and the Simplified, Manageable, and Responsible Tax Act (S. 820). In addition, Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain has proposed a tax reform plan that includes a modified H-R flat tax. This report analyzes the Hall- Rabushka flat tax concept. Although the current tax structure is referred to as an income tax, it actually contains elements of both an income and a consumption-based tax. A consumption base is neither inherently superior nor inherently inferior to an income base. The combined individual and business taxes proposed by H-R can be viewed as a modified value- added tax (VAT). The individual wage tax would be imposed on wages (and salaries) and pension receipts.
  • CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015

    CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015

    CURRICULUM VITAE August, 2015 Robert James Shiller Current Position Sterling Professor of Economics Yale University Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics P.O. Box 208281 New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8281 Delivery Address Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics 30 Hillhouse Avenue, Room 11a New Haven, CT 06520 Home Address 201 Everit Street New Haven, CT 06511 Telephone 203-432-3708 Office 203-432-6167 Fax 203-787-2182 Home [email protected] E-mail http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller Home Page Date of Birth March 29, 1946, Detroit, Michigan Marital Status Married, two grown children Education 1967 B.A. University of Michigan 1968 S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1972 Ph.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Employment Sterling Professor of Economics, Yale University, 2013- Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics, Yale University 2008-13 Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics Yale University 1989-2008 Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1982-, with joint appointment with Yale School of Management 2006-, Professor Adjunct of Law in semesters starting 2006 Visiting Professor, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1981-82. Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, and Professor of Finance, The Wharton School, 1981-82. Visitor, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusetts, and Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, Harvard University, 1980-81. Associate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 1974-81. 1 Research Fellow, National Bureau of Economic Research, Research Center for Economics and Management Science, Cambridge; and Visiting Scholar, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1974-75. Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Minnesota, 1972-74.
  • Education Policy and Friedmanomics: Free Market Ideology and Its Impact

    Education Policy and Friedmanomics: Free Market Ideology and Its Impact

    Education Policy and Friedmanomics: Free Market Ideology and Its Impact on School Reform Thomas J. Fiala Department of Teacher Education Arkansas State University Deborah Duncan Owens Department of Teacher Education Arkansas State University April 23, 2010 Paper presented at the 68th Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association Chicago, Illinois 2 ABSTRACT The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of neoliberal ideology, and in particular, the economic and social theories of Milton Friedman on education policy. The paper takes a critical theoretical approach in that ultimately the paper is an ideological critique of conservative thought and action that impacts twenty-first century education reform. Using primary and secondary documents, the paper takes an historical approach to begin understanding how Friedman’s free market ideas helped bring together disparate conservative groups, and how these groups became united in influencing contemporary education reform. The paper thus considers the extent to which free market theory becomes the essence of contemporary education policy. The result of this critical and historical anaysis gives needed additional insights into the complex ideological underpinnings of education policy in America. The conclusion of this paper brings into question the efficacy and appropriateness of free market theory to guide education policy and the use of vouchers and choice, and by extension testing and merit-based pay, as free market panaceas to solving the challenges schools face in the United States. Administrators, teachers, education policy makers, and those citizens concerned about education in the U.S. need to be cautious in adhering to the idea that the unfettered free market can or should drive education reform in the United States.
  • Statistics Making an Impact

    Statistics Making an Impact

    John Pullinger J. R. Statist. Soc. A (2013) 176, Part 4, pp. 819–839 Statistics making an impact John Pullinger House of Commons Library, London, UK [The address of the President, delivered to The Royal Statistical Society on Wednesday, June 26th, 2013] Summary. Statistics provides a special kind of understanding that enables well-informed deci- sions. As citizens and consumers we are faced with an array of choices. Statistics can help us to choose well. Our statistical brains need to be nurtured: we can all learn and practise some simple rules of statistical thinking. To understand how statistics can play a bigger part in our lives today we can draw inspiration from the founders of the Royal Statistical Society. Although in today’s world the information landscape is confused, there is an opportunity for statistics that is there to be seized.This calls for us to celebrate the discipline of statistics, to show confidence in our profession, to use statistics in the public interest and to champion statistical education. The Royal Statistical Society has a vital role to play. Keywords: Chartered Statistician; Citizenship; Economic growth; Evidence; ‘getstats’; Justice; Open data; Public good; The state; Wise choices 1. Introduction Dictionaries trace the source of the word statistics from the Latin ‘status’, the state, to the Italian ‘statista’, one skilled in statecraft, and on to the German ‘Statistik’, the science dealing with data about the condition of a state or community. The Oxford English Dictionary brings ‘statistics’ into English in 1787. Florence Nightingale held that ‘the thoughts and purpose of the Deity are only to be discovered by the statistical study of natural phenomena:::the application of the results of such study [is] the religious duty of man’ (Pearson, 1924).
  • Crossing Learning Boundaries by Choice

    Crossing Learning Boundaries by Choice

    Crossing Learning Boundaries By Choice Black People must save themselves a memOlf Charles Z. Wilson authorrlous~ AuthorHouse™ Acknowledgments 1663 Liberty Drive, Suite 200 \"" l Bloomington, IN 4740], / -, .. -/ www.authorhouse.com -"- 1, " <-"'n_~_._._._._._ .. __ ~ Phone: 1-800-839-8640 lhis book is a work ifnon-jiction. Unless otherwise noted, the author and the publisher The decade of the 70's was a time of change in UCLNs Office of make no explicit guarantees as to the accuracy ifthe i11formation contained in this book Academic Programs, and I am extremely thankful for the creative and in some cases, names ifpeople andplaces have been altered to protect their privacy. support of Meg Ross-Price, Vicki Nock, Susan Meives, and Nancy © 2008 Charles Z. Wilson. All rights reserved. Cutter during those years. Meg pushed me constantly to document my initiatives as we crossed new social, cultural, and educational No part ifthis book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or boundaries in academic and student development. She brought transmitted by any means without the written permission ifthe author. together papers, manuscripts, and memoranda from my years at First published by Auth(JrHouse 2/6/2008 Carnegie and SUNY and set in motion the practice of documenting our office activities. Vicki and Susan monitored and evaluated ISBN: 978-1-4343-5237-8 (sc) projects and programs, and as such, they steered, guided, and added ISBN: 978-1-4343-5238-5 (he) further papers, notes, and correspondence to Meg's archival base. Were it not for these well-organized archived materials, writing this book would have been a long, arduous process with far less depth.
  • Nine Lives of Neoliberalism

    Nine Lives of Neoliberalism

    A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Plehwe, Dieter (Ed.); Slobodian, Quinn (Ed.); Mirowski, Philip (Ed.) Book — Published Version Nine Lives of Neoliberalism Provided in Cooperation with: WZB Berlin Social Science Center Suggested Citation: Plehwe, Dieter (Ed.); Slobodian, Quinn (Ed.); Mirowski, Philip (Ed.) (2020) : Nine Lives of Neoliberalism, ISBN 978-1-78873-255-0, Verso, London, New York, NY, https://www.versobooks.com/books/3075-nine-lives-of-neoliberalism This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/215796 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative
  • School of Social Sciences Economics Division University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK

    School of Social Sciences Economics Division University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK

    School of Social Sciences Economics Division University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK Discussion Papers in Economics and Econometrics Professor A L Bowley’s Theory of the Representative Method John Aldrich No. 0801 This paper is available on our website http://www.socsci.soton.ac.uk/economics/Research/Discussion_Papers ISSN 0966-4246 Key names: Arthur L. Bowley, F. Y. Edgeworth, , R. A. Fisher, Adolph Jensen, J. M. Keynes, Jerzy Neyman, Karl Pearson, G. U. Yule. Keywords: History of Statistics, Sampling theory, Bayesian inference. Professor A. L. Bowley’s Theory of the Representative Method * John Aldrich Economics Division School of Social Sciences University of Southampton Southampton SO17 1BJ UK e-mail: [email protected] Abstract Arthur. L. Bowley (1869-1957) first advocated the use of surveys–the “representative method”–in 1906 and started to conduct surveys of economic and social conditions in 1912. Bowley’s 1926 memorandum for the International Statistical Institute on the “Measurement of the precision attained in sampling” was the first large-scale theoretical treatment of sample surveys as he conducted them. This paper examines Bowley’s arguments in the context of the statistical inference theory of the time. The great influence on Bowley’s conception of statistical inference was F. Y. Edgeworth but by 1926 R. A. Fisher was on the scene and was attacking Bayesian methods and promoting a replacement of his own. Bowley defended his Bayesian method against Fisher and against Jerzy Neyman when the latter put forward his concept of a confidence interval and applied it to the representative method. * Based on a talk given at the Sample Surveys and Bayesian Statistics Conference, Southampton, August 2008.