AMFORD ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILE 2017 This Division comprises Dodnash, Lower Brett and Mid Samford wards

www.suffolkobservatory.info

2 © Crown copyright and database rights 2017 Ordnance Survey 100023395

CONTENTS

. Demographic Profile: Age & Ethnicity . Economy and Labour Market . Schools & NEET . Index of Multiple Deprivation . Health . Crime & Community Safety . Additional Information . Data Sources

3 ELECTORAL DIVISION PROFILES: AN INTRODUCTION

These profiles have been produced to support elected members, constituents and other interested parties in understanding the demographic, economic, social and educational profile of their neighbourhoods. We have used the latest data available at the time of publication.

Much more data is available from national and local sources than is captured here, but it is hoped that the profile will be a useful starting point for discussion, where local knowledge and experience can be used to flesh out and illuminate the information presented here.

The profile can be used to help look at some fundamental questions e.g. . Does the age profile of the population match or differ from the national profile? . Is there evidence of the ageing profile of the county in all the wards in the Division or just some? . How diverse is the community in terms of ethnicity? . What is the impact of deprivation on families and residents? . Does there seem to be a link between deprivation and school performance? . What is the breakdown of employment sectors in the area? . Is it a relatively healthy area compared to the rest of the district or county? . What sort of crimes are prevalent in the community?

A vast amount of additional data is available on the Observatory

www.suffolkobservatory.info

The Suffolk Observatory is a free online resource that contains all Suffolk’s vital statistics; it is the one‐stop‐shop for information and intelligence about Suffolk. Through data, reports and profiles, the Suffolk Observatory provides a comprehensive picture of the County. It is a great source for useful facts and figures that can be used for writing reports and presentations, informing strategic and business planning, preparing funding applications or supporting academic research. Data is presented around the key themes of education and skills, economy and employment, health and care, population, deprivation, housing, environment, transport and travel and crime. All areas of the county are covered, right down to district, ward and parish level, with information easily accessible in a variety of formats. You can also build your own reports by different themes and topics.

Technical Notes: 1. Where Electoral Divisions do not exactly match ward boundaries, we have adopted a “best fit” approach to produce a dataset. 2. District, county and national level data is provided where possible to provide a context for comparisons.

4 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE ‐ AGE In mid‐2015 the population of Samford stood at 9,772, an increase of 1.5% since the 2011 Census. The age structure of the component wards and the division as a whole is set out below.

Samford Division Dodnash Lower Brett Mid Samford All Ages 9,772 3,578 2,197 3,997 0‐4 348 114 65 169 5‐9 526 175 117 234 10‐14 619 246 125 248 15‐19 544 206 107 231 20‐24 356 110 96 150 25‐29 284 93 75 116 30‐34 274 99 59 116 35‐39 432 127 101 204 40‐44 610 241 141 228 45‐49 756 286 179 291 50‐54 820 288 213 319 55‐59 712 279 201 232 60‐64 682 251 157 274 65‐69 931 321 182 428 70‐74 740 266 141 333 75‐79 500 202 105 193 80‐84 340 141 64 135 85+ 298 133 69 96

85+ 80‐84 75‐79 70‐74 65‐69 60‐64 55‐59 50‐54 45‐49 40‐44 35‐39 30‐34 25‐29 20‐24 15‐19 10‐14 5‐9 0‐4

‐12% ‐8% ‐4% 0% 4% 8% 12%

UK ‐ females UK ‐ males Samford ‐ females Samford ‐ males

5 . The age pyramid for Samford shows a higher than average proportion of people over 45 years . The most common age group in Samford is 65‐69 year olds, followed by 50‐54 year olds . There is a much lower than average proportion of people of working age in the division, particularly 20‐39 year olds, with the population distribution skewed towards the older age profile

ETHNICITY

. According to the latest data (2011 Census), 98.2% of the population of Samford are white. 1.8% people are of black or minority ethnic origin in the division, more than one and a half times the number at the time of the 2001 Census . Samford has a similar diversity profile to , and generally lower proportions of minority ethnic groups than Suffolk as a whole

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% White White British Mixed Asian & Asian Black & Black Other ethnic BME British British group

Samford Babergh Suffolk County

Asian and Black and Other Black or All White White British Mixed Asian Black Ethnic Minority people British British Group Ethnic Total

Count Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Count % Samford 9,625 9,455 98.2 9,250 96.1 69 0.7 79 0.8 19 0.2 3 0.0 170 1.8 Babergh 87,740 85,845 97.8 83,666 95.4 827 0.9 666 0.8 264 0.3 138 0.2 1,895 2.2 Suffolk 728,163 693,195 95.2 661,458 90.8 12,472 1.7 13,131 1.8 6,854 0.9 2,511 0.3 34,968 4.8 England 86.0 80.5 2.2 6.7 2.8 0.4 12.1 & Wales

6 ECONOMY

There are 2,200 people employed in Samford.

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Samford Babergh Suffolk Great Britain

. The key employment sectors in the division in terms of the percentage of employment are information and communication, wholesale, retail and motor trades, education, construction and manufacturing . Well over half of jobs in the division fall into these five sectors . Information and communication is particularly important as it provides nearly one in five jobs in the division, compared to less than one in 20 nationally

7 LABOUR MARKET

JOB SEEKERS ALLOWANCE CLAIMANT RATE

2.5%

2.0%

1.5%

1.0%

0.5%

0.0%

Samford Babergh Suffolk

. In February 2017, 0.3% of the working age population (aged 16‐64) in Samford were claiming Job Seekers Allowance . There has been a slight reduction in claimant unemployment in the division since Autumn 2014, in line with the national trends . The JSA claimant rate in Samford is consistently below the level seen in Babergh, and significantly below the county and national averages

8 SCHOOLS

SCHOOL INFORMATION

Schools in the Division Average cohort size at: Foundation KS2 KS4 KS5 Latest Latest Name Phase Stage (age (age (age Ofsted Ofsted (age 5) 11) 16) 18) Date Bentley CEVCP School Primary 7 5 7 Good 05/03/2015 Capel St Mary CEVCP School Primary 37 33 37 Good 09/07/2015 CEVCP School Primary 24 29 24 Good 24/03/2015 Stratford St Mary Primary Primary 13 12 13 Good 18/01/2017 School East Bergholt High School Upper 184 Good 12/09/2013

School Catchment overlaps with the Division Average cohort size at: Foundation KS2 KS4 KS5 Latest Name Phase Stage (age (age (age (age Latest Ofsted Ofsted Date 5) 11) 16) 18) Boxford CEVCP School Primary 27 34 Outstanding 24/04/2012 Brooklands Primary Primary 28 33 Outstanding 25/11/2008 School Hadleigh CP School Primary 75 75 Good 25/05/2016 Stoke‐by‐ CEVCP Requires Primary 9 12 07/02/2017 School Improvement Hadleigh High School Upper 156 Good 20/10/2015 Thomas Gainsborough Not yet inspected as an Upper 78 233 45 High Academy

9 SCHOOL ATTAINMENT

Foundation Stage Profile (reception) % pupils achieving Good Level of Development (GLD)

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 2014 2015 2016

Bentley CEVCP School Capel St Mary CEVCP School East Bergholt CEVCP School Stratford St Mary Primary School Suffolk National

. Foundation Stage attainment at schools in Samford division is generally good . Attainment at three of the four schools in the division (Capel St Mary CECVP, East Bergholt CEVCP and Stratford St Mary Primary) has been consistently at or above the Suffolk and national average throughout the 2014 to 2016 period displayed here . East Bergholt CEVCP School has seen a sustained improvement in attainment over each of the past three years . Bentley CEVCP School has also seen above average results in 2015 and 2016

10 Key Stage 2 (age 11) Pupil Achievement in all three subjects, Reading, Writing and Mathematics (2014–2015 as % Level 4 or better & 2016 % Expected Level or better)

In July 2016, there was a change in the way pupil achievement is measured at the end of KS2. Prior to 2016, pupils received National Curriculum Level grades for English and Maths, with L4 being the expected level at the end of Key Stage 2. In 2016 the measure became a scaled score and showed whether or not a pupil had achieved the national standard for that subject.

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0 2014 2015 2016

Bentley CEVCP School Capel St Mary CEVCP School East Bergholt CEVCP School Stratford St Mary Primary School Suffolk National

. Key Stage 2 attainment at Samford primary schools in the past three years has generally been good . In 2014 and 2015 KS2 attainment at all four schools was at or above the national average . The picture was more mixed in 2016, with Bentley CEVCP and Stratford St Mary Primary Schools recording below average attainment

11 GCSE (Key Stage 4) (age 16) % pupils achieving five or more GCSEs (or equivalent) at A*‐C including English and Mathematics

In July 2016, an additional measure of pupil achievement at Key Stage 4 was introduced but for the purposes of this profile and to demonstrate change over time, we have presented consistent data for the period 2014‐2016 using the % pupils achieving five or more GCSEs (or equivalent) at A*‐C including English and Mathematics.

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2014 2015 2016

East Bergholt High School Suffolk National

. GCSE attainment at East Bergholt High school has been consistently at or above the national average from 2014 to 2016 . Attainment at the school in 2016 was particularly high, with 69% of pupils achieving 5 or more GCSEs at grade A* to C including English and mathematics

A Level (Key Stage 5) (age 18) There are no KS5 establishments within the Samford Division

12 NEET % (NOT IN EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT OR TRAINING)

8%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0% 16 16 15 16 16 16 16 15 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Jun Jun Jun Jun Oct Oct Oct Oct Apr Apr Apr Apr Feb Feb Feb Dec Dec Dec Dec Aug Aug Aug Aug Samford Babergh Suffolk

. In January 2017, 1% of 16‐18 year olds were classified as NEET in Samford (where current activity is known), this is less than a quarter of the district or county rates . NEET levels in Samford are consistently below the Babergh and Suffolk levels . NEET levels in Samford have fluctuated strongly but mirrored the district and county pattern

13 INDEX OF MULTIPLE DEPRIVATION (IMD) 2015 (SEE MAP OVERLEAF)

The IMD combines a number of indicators, chosen to cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single deprivation score for each small area in England. This allows each area to be ranked relative to one another according to their level of deprivation. Small areas (Lower Super Output Areas, average population 1,500) are most usually described as being in 1 of 5 quintile bands. The bottom quintile represents the 20% of areas that are the most deprived in the country; these are shaded red on the map. The top quintile represents the least deprived areas in the country, and is shaded green. The Index is widely used to analyse patterns of deprivation, identify areas that would benefit from special initiatives or programmes and as a tool to determine eligibility for specific funding streams.

70%

60%

50% quintile

40% by

30% LSOAs

of

% 20%

10%

0% Most deprived Next most Mid 20% Next least Least deprived 20% deprived 20% deprived 20% 20%

Samford Babergh Suffolk England

. The IMD 2015 shows that relative deprivation levels in Samford are low, with all areas of the division classified within the 60% least deprived nationally . Of the six Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOA) comprising the division, four are ranked in the 20% least deprived LSOAs in the country, whilst one each in the second least deprived quintile (20%) and the mid‐20%

14 15 HEALTH

The local data used here is based on relatively small numbers. The confidence limits provide an indication of the reliability of the data. The 95% confidence intervals utilised on the chart provide a range within which there is 95% chance of the true result lying.

LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 91

86

81

76

71 Samford Babergh Suffolk UK Life expectancy at birth for males, 2010‐2014 Life expectancy at birth for females, 2010‐2014

. Life expectancy at birth estimates for Samford are significantly above the Babergh, Suffolk and UK averages for both males and females . Female life expectancy is three years longer than men, which mirrors the general pattern across the country

DEATHS, UNDER 75 YEARS, STANDARDISED MORTALITY RATIO 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Deaths from all causes Deaths from all cancer Deaths from circulatory Deaths from coronary disease heart disease

Samford Babergh Suffolk UK

. For all causes of early deaths shown above, estimated ratios for Samford are lower than district, county and national levels . The standardised mortality ratio data shown here means that for every 100 early deaths from all causes across the UK as a whole, there are an estimated 61 comparable deaths in Samford . The ratios for circulatory and coronary heart diseases are even lower, though the confidence intervals around the data are significant 16 CRIME & COMMUNITY SAFETY

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0 Samford Babergh Suffolk

Burglary Criminal Damage Drug Offences Other Theft Public Disorder Serious Sexual Offences Vehicle Crime Violence with Injury Violence without Injury Other

. Samford shows a substantially lower rate of crime than the district and county as a whole, with around 21 crimes per 1,000 residents recorded in the division in 2015 (47 in Babergh and 59 in Suffolk) . The most common types of crime in Samford are criminal damage, burglary and “other theft” . No individual type of crime is recorded at a higher rate in Samford than in Babergh of Suffolk

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Parishes in Division Bentley Capel St. Mary East Bergholt Shelley Higham Stratford St. Mary Holton St. Mary

17 DATA SOURCES

Category Indicator Source ONS 2015 mid‐year population Quinary population table 2015 estimates Demographic ONS 2015 mid‐year population Profile Population pyramid 2015 estimates

Ethnicity 2011 ONS 2011 Census ONS Business Register and Economy Employment by broad industrial sector 2015 Employment Survey via NOMIS Job Seekers Allowance Claimant Rate (% 16‐64 Labour market DWP via NOMIS population) 2014‐2017 School information and attainment 2014‐2016 Suffolk County Council Education % 16‐18 year olds NEET (Not in Employment, Suffolk County Council Education or Training) 2013‐2017 Department for Communities Deprivation Index of Multiple Deprivation 2015 and Local Government Health Life expectancy at birth 2010‐2014 Public Health England Standardised mortality ratio for deaths from all causes, cancer, circulatory disease and coronary heart disease, aged under 75 2010‐2014. The Health Public Health England standardised mortality ratio is the ratio of observed deaths in the study group to expected deaths in the general population. Community Recorded crime rate per 1,000 resident population Suffolk Police Safety 2015

For more data and information about Samford Electoral Division, see the Suffolk Observatory www.suffolkobservatory.info

18