The 2014 Elections
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The 2014 Elections Initial Analysis by Cornerstone Government Affairs November 5, 2014 INTRODUCTION AND DISCLAIMER 7KHHOHFWLRQVZLOOVXUHO\KDYHDVLJQL¿FDQWLPSDFWRQWKHQDWLRQ¶VSROL- WLFVDQGSROLFLHV'H¿QLQJWKDWLPSDFWH[DFWO\LVFKDOOHQJLQJLQWKHLPPHGL- DWHKRXUVDIWHUWKHHOHFWLRQDQGZLOOOLNHO\WDNHPDQ\\HDUVWREHUHDOL]HG In order to begin a dialogue with our clients to better understand the initial LPSOLFDWLRQVRIWKHHOHFWLRQV&RUQHUVWRQH*RYHUQPHQW$IIDLUVKDVDV- VHPEOHGWKHIROORZLQJUHSRUWZLWKFRQWULEXWLRQVIURPRXUSURIHVVLRQDOV :HXQGHUVWDQGWKDWLQIRUPDWLRQLQWKLVUHSRUWPD\TXLFNO\EHFRPHGDWHG ZKLFKZLOOKDYHDQHIIHFWRQWKHYDOLGLW\RIVRPHRIRXUIRUHFDVWV:HRIIHU WKLVUHSRUWWRRXUFOLHQWVDVRXUEHVWHIIRUWWRHQDEOH\RXWR³ORRNDURXQGWKH FRUQHU´ZLWKXVWRVHHWKHFKDOOHQJHVDQGRSSRUWXQLWLHVWKDWZHZLOODVVLVW \RXLQQDYLJDWLQJLQWKHPRQWKVDKHDG :HORRNIRUZDUGWRGLVFXVVLQJWKHVHLVVXHVZLWK\RX 1RYHPEHU 9HU30 ANALYSIS OF THE 2014 ELECTIONS Table of Contents Election Overview1 United States Senate3 +RXVHRI5HSUHVHQWDWLYHV6 Views from the States9 The Lame 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seats in Colorado, Montana, West Virginia, South 'DNRWD1RUWK&DUROLQD$ODVNDDQG,RZD :KLOHWKH3UHVLGHQWZDOORZVLQEHWZHHQSHUFHQWDSSURYDOUDWLQJ&RQJUHVVFDQRQO\DVSLUHWRWKRVH QXPEHUVZLWKDMREDSSURYDORISHUFHQW7RERRW&RQJUHVVKDVSDVVHGRQO\ELOOVLQWRODZ IRUUHIHUHQFH ZHUHVLJQHGLQWKHWKDQGLQWKH³GRQRWKLQJ&RQJUHVV´RI $W¿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oving forward it will be interesting to see what, if 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