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Marketing Research Report No. 189 c Td states department of agriculture Service .^ Agricultural Marketing > Washingto D. C. e

Historic, archived document

Do not assume content reflects current scientific l

in the United States in

Relation to Income

,°"<''^';r.^soc/i.v, ^^r G r • ^ono Vet

Marketing Research Report No. 189 U.S. DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE ~1

MATIONAL AGRICULTUnAL LIBRARY I July 1957

FEB 2 61998

CMALOGIHG Pp£p

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Agricultural Marketing Service Washington, D. C.

C PREFACE

This report is a direct outgrowth of a survey made early in 1955 hy the Bureau of the Census for the United States Public Health Service. The results of the survey were pub- lished in late 1956 in a monograph. Patterns in the United States . The study reported here supplements the monograph by providing information on smoking character- istics in relation to income. In addition, other important aspects have been included. These are: (l) A discussion of different forms of smoking; (2) estimates of the smoking population; (3) more detailed information on rates of smok- ing; and (k) reconciliation of survey data with national aggregate consumption.

Throughout our study, emphasis was placed on the effect of income on smoking characteristics. Whereas the Public HeeuLth Service monograph may be used to answer such a question as "How does age affect a person's smoking habits?," our report gives the answer to such a question as "How do age and income affect a person's smoking habits?" The monograph shows the effect of regional loca- tion, urban-rural residence, and occupation on smoking habits. But our study, as reported here, considers the effect of each in conjunction with income . We analyze the effect of these factors on smoking status (regular or occasional), the product smoked, ajid rates of smoking.

Concentration of analysis is on current smokers—both regu- lar smokers and occasional smokers. No analysis is made of nonsmokers—either those \ih.o have never smoked or those v^o formerly smoked but who, at the time of the survey, had discontinued smoking. Readers who are interested in such information will find the data in appendix tables 6I-8O.

Most of the statistical calculations were made by Julia Dorish or under the supervision of Martha R. Condee. The suggestions of Richard J. Foote were helpful in preparing this material for publication.

11 «

CONTENTS Page

List of charts 1y

List of text tables v

Highlights 1

Source of data 9

Analysis and presentation of data 11

Forms of smoking 13

Principal forms of smoking ik

Classification of male smokers, by form of smoking ,.,.. = ,.... c <, . 15 Product smoked by regular and occasional smokers 22

Staoking status (by incone, age^ region;, residence, occupation, industry) 25

Regular smokers 25 Occasional smokers k6

Rates of smoking (by income, age, region, residence, occupation) 59

Cigarettes , male smokers • • • • 59 , female smokers <...... <> 63 Cigars , « ^k Pipes 80

Inccane elasticity of demand for cigarettes 86

Reconciliation of computed consxmption with Internal Revenue Service data 91

Literature cited 99

List of appendix tables 101

Appendix A. Tables of survey data . . 107

Appendix B. Tables showing percentage distribution of smokers by rate of smoking and kind of smoker 161

Appendix C . Statistical analyses 177

Appendix D. Methodology , 190

Evaluation of survey data 190 Reliability of data shown I92 Coii5)arison of income saarple and full saarple I95

Definitions , « 195 Adjustments in data ».• ...... <>.... <>. 206 Computational notes 210

ill .

LIST OF CHARTS

Figure Page

1. Male smokers, by income clsiss 2

2 Female cigarette smokers, "by income class 3

3. Cigar smokers, by income class h

k. Pipe smokers, by income class 5

5 Cigarette smokers, males (form of smoking) 17

6 Cigax smokers (form of smoking) 19

7 Pipe smokers (form of smoking) 21

8. Proportion of males smoking cigarettes regularly in relation to age and income 27

9. Proportion of males smoking cigarettes regularly in relation to income, by age 28

10. Proportion of males smoking cigars regularly in relation to age and income 37

11. Proportion of males smoking pipes regularly in relation to age and income ^2

12. Cigarettes smoked daily per male regular smoker, by income class 60

13. Cigars smoked daily per regular smoker, by income class 75

14. Pipefuls smoked daily per regular smoker, by income class 81

15. Cigarette consumption by males who smoke regularly in relation to income and age 88

16. United States smokers, February 1955 93

17 Regions of the United States 202

XV LIST OF TEXT TABLES

Table

Page

1. Percentage distribution of male smokers, l8 years and over, "by product

smoked regularly , 23

2. Percentage distribution of male smokers, l8 years and over, by product

smoked occasionally , 2k

3. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by age and income, February 1955 .... - 25

h. Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly,

by region and income, February 1955 « 29

5. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly,

by residence and income, February 1955 < 29

6. Prox>ortion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by occupaton and income, February 1955 30

7. Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by age and income, February 1955 31

8. Pioportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by region and income, February 1955 32

9. Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes

regiilarly, by residence and income, February 1955 • 33

10. Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes

regularly, by occupation and income, February 1955 * . • 3^

11. Proportion- of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly, by age and income, February 1955 35

12. Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly,

by region and income, February 1955 • 38

13. Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly,

by residence emd income, February 1955 • • . 38

ik. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly, by occupation and income, February 1955 39

15. Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly,' f

by age and income, February 1955 <= ^1

16. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes regulsirly, by region and income, February 1955 ^3

17. Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly, by residence and income, February 1955 ^^

18. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly,

by occupation and income, February 1955 • . • ^5

V «

LIST OP TEXT TABLES - Continued

Table

Page

19. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by age and income, February 1955- kS

20. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by region and income, February 1955 ^"7

21. Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by residence and income, February 1955 ^"^

22. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by occupation and income, February 1955 ^

23. Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by age eind income February 1955 ^

2k. Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by region and income, February 1955 50

25. Proportion of females, 18 years and over, who smoke cigarettes

occasionally, by residence and income, Febnaary 1955 • • • • 50

26. Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by occupation and income, February 1955 51

27. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars occasionally, by age and income, February 1955 52

28. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars occasionally, by region and income, Februeury 1955 53

29. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars occasionally, by residence and income, February 1955 5^

30. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars occasionally,

by occupation and income, February 1955 • 5^

31. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes occasionally,

by age and income February, 1955 • 56

32. Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes occasionally,

by region and income, February 1955 - • • 57

33* Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes occasionally,

by residence and income, February 1955 • • 57

3'^. J^oportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes occasionally,

by occupation and income, February 1955 • • > 58

35* Percentage distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, I8 years °^ and over, by rate of smoking, by age and income, February 1955"' = »

36. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 62

vl LIST OF TEXT TABLES - Continued

Table

Page

37. Average daily consumption of male regular smokers of cigarettes, by sige and income, February 1955 ^^

38. Average daily consvm^jtion of cigarettes by regular cigarette-only and combination smokers, by age, February 1955 ^

39. Average daily consun^jtion of cigarettes by regular cigarette-only and combination smokers, by income, February 1955 • 65

40. Average daily consxxtnption of male regular smokers of cigarettes, by region and income, February 1955 66

hi. Average daily consumption of male regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955 67

k2. Average daily consumption of male regular cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by occupation and income, February 1955 68

43. Percentage distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, I8 and over, by rate of smoking, by age and income, February 1955 69

hk. Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional smokers, I8 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 70

k^. Average daily consumption of female regulsir cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 ^1

k6. Average daily consumption of female regular cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by region and income, February 1955 72

hj. Average daily constunption of female regular cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955 73

k8. Average daily consumption of female regular cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by occupation and income, February 1955' •• 7^

49. Percentage distribution of male regular cigar smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by age and income, February 1955 76

50. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigar smokers, 18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 76

51. Average daily consumption of male regular smokers of cigars, 18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 77

52. Average daily cons\imption of cigars by regular cigar-only and combination smokers, by age and by income, February 1955 78

53 Average daily consumption of male regular cigar smokers, I8 years

and over, by region and income, February 1955 <•..... • 78

vii LIST OF TEXT TABLES - Continued

Table

Page

5^. Average daily consumption of male regular cigar smokers, l8 years and over, "by residence and income, February 1955 T9

55* Percentage distribution of male regular pipe smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by age euid income, February 1955- ••• ^2

56. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional pipe smokers,

18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 • . • • • 82

57. Average daily consumption of male regular pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955 83

58. Average daily consmnption (pipefiiLs) by regvilar pipe-only and combination smokers, I8 years and over, by age and by income, February 1955 S3

59». Average daily consurnption of male regular pipe smokers, I8 years

and over, by region and income, February 1955 • " • •> » 84

60. Average daily consiimption of male regular pipe smokers, I8 years

and over, by residence and income, February 1955 • • • • . ^5

Vlll TOBACCO SMOKING IN THE UNITED STATES IN RELATION TO INCOME

by

Seymour M. Sackrin, Agricultural Economic Statistician, and Arthur G. Conover, Head of the Tobacco and Specialty Crops Section, Agricultural Marketing Service

HIGHLIGHTS

This bulletin provides information on characteristics of tobacco smoking in relation to income, cross-classified with age, region, urban-rural residence, and occupation. In addition, seme information on smoking charac- teristics in relation to industry is provided. Data for the study are based on a subsaarple of approximately 18,000 civilian, noninstitutional persons, \rtio furnished both smoking and income information to the Bureau of the Census early in 1955'

Until recently, relatively little has been known of tobacco smoking patterns in the United States on a national basis. Also lacking were reliable data on ^^ich to base estimates of the numbers of smokers and rates of smoking for various segments of the population. This bulletin gives a detailed ac- count of the various forms of smoking, their relative importance as measured by estimated numbers of smokers, and detailed information on rates of smoking.

Adjusted estimates largely based on survey data indicate that the total number of smokers in the United States and in overseas forces as of early 1955 was close to 60 million. Of these, 5^ million smoked regularly (every day) and the rest occasionally (not every day). Survey data were adjusted to in- clude the unsurveyed population groups (Armed Forces, teenagers under l8, and institutional population). Account was also taken of the fact that the sur- vey proportions, especially for women smokers, may have been too low. Based directly on survey data, the niamber of regular and occasional smokers in the civilian, noninstitutional population, l8 years and over, was about 51 1/2 mil- lion—nearly half of this population segment. The number of male smokers totaled more than 31 million who smoked regularly and k million \^o smoked occasionally. The number of female smokers totaled ik million regular and 2 million occasional.

The most prevalent form of smoking in the United States is cigarette smoking. Approximately 6 out of 10 men and 3 out of 10 women, l8 years and over, smoke cigarettes. In both sexes, regular cigarette smokers far out- number occasional cigarette siiKjkers; the latter account for only a negligible percentage of total cigarette consuiaption. Smoking patterns among males can be quite complex, as about a third of the men who smoke (regular plus occa- sional) practice more than one form. Among men cigarette smokers, the majority smoke cigarettes exclusively, but a substantial proportion also smoke cigars or pipes, mostly on an occasional basis. . —

- 2 -

MALE CIGARETTE SMOKERS, BY INCOME CLASS

% Regular 60 ^^ Occasional

Under 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 7 7 + ALL

1954 PERSONAL INCOME ( $ THOUS.)

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL MALES, 18 YEARS AND OVER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY 7955 SURVEY. INCLUDES "NO INCOME" CROUP.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4198-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figvire 1. —About 55 percent of civilian males smoke cigarettes regulaxly (every day) said another h percent smoke them occasionally (not every day). The proportion of males who smoke cigarettes regularly increases from 39 percent of the men whose anmial income is less than $1,000, to 56- 60 percent of those in four Inccaie "brackets from $2,000 to $7>000. For men receiving $7,000 and over, the proportion of regular cigarette smokers drops to a little over 50 percent. The percentage of occasional cigarette smokers by inccme class ranges narrowly from 3 to 5 percent.

About 1 out of 5 males, l8 years and over, is a cigar smoker, regular or occasional, but cigars are chiefly smoked in combination with the other forms; only about a fourth of all cigar smokers confine their smoking exclu- sively to cigars. The great majority of cigar smokers—nearly three-fourths smoke cigars occasionally only. Such occasional cigar smokers account for a substantial share—estimated at a third—of all cigars smoked in the United States - 3 -

FEMALE CIGARETTE SMOKERS, BY INCOME CLASS

Under 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 NO MONEY ALL INCOME

1954 PERSONAL INCOME ( $ THOUS.

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL FEMALES. 18 YEARS AND OVER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY !95S SURVEY.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4199-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure 2. —More than a foxirth of the females snsoke cigarettes regularly (every day), and euiother k percent smoke them occaBionally (not every day). Less than a fifth of the wcmen whose personal incomes are less than $1,000 a year smoke regularly, but the proportion increases to about a third for women receiving incomes of $3>000 or nsore. About a fourth of the wcsnen who receive no personal incrane (istrgely home-makei-s) smoke cigetrettes regularly. The highest proportions of occasional cigarette smokers, 7 percent, are found among woiEen in the $2,000 to $^,000 bracket.

Roughly 1 out of 6 males, l8 years and over, is a pipe smoker, regular or occasional. In , occasional smokers outninaber regular smokers, but not nearly as much as they do in cigar smoking. Occasional pipe smokers may account for a tenth of the domestic market for pipe tobacco. Only about a fifth of all pipe smokers (regular and occasional) smoke pipes exclusively. Of the other four-fifths, half combine regular cigarette smoking vith pipe smoking. .

. h -

CIGAR SMOKERS, BY INCOME CLASS

Under 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 7 7 + ALL

1954 PERSONAL INCOME ( $ THOUS. )

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL MALES, 73 YEARS AND OVER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY 1955 SURVEY. * INCLUDES "NO INCOME'' GROUP.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4200-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figm-e 3 '--About 6 percent of civilian males smoke cigars regularly (every day) and another 16 percent snaDke them occasionally (not every day). The proportion of regular smokers varies from 5 percent among those receiving less than $1,CXX) a year, to &^ percent in the $7,000 and over class. Around 12 percent of the men receiving less than $2,000 are occasional cigar smokers, but among men in income brackets above this, about 17-19 percent are occasional cigar smokers

Based on the survey data, the proportions of males v^o smoke cigarettes regularly vary according to age and inccsne, age appearing to be the more im- portajit. After adjusting for the effect of income, the proportion of males who smoke cigarettes regularly rises to age 30 an

PIPE SMOKERS, BY INCOME CLASS

Under 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 7 7 + ALL

1954 PERSONAL INCOME ( $ THOUS. )

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL MALES, 18 YEARS AND OVER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY 7955 SURVEY. ^ INCLUDES "NO INCOME" CROUP.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4201-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure k. —About 8 percent of civilian males smoke pipes regularly (every day) and another 10 per- cent smoke pipes occasionally (not every day). Among those with annual incomes of less than $1,000, about 10 percent regularly smoke pipes; in the $7,000 and over bracket, the proportion is 6 percent. The proportion of occasional pipe smokers ranges from about 7 to 10 percent among men in the four income brackets below $^^,000, but for the incane brackets above this, rises to 12-15 percent.

55 to Go percent in the four separate groups receiving from $2,000 to $7j»000 annually. The proportion declines to just over 50 percent for those receiving $7,000 and over. Among broad geographic regions there are fevr differences in percentages of males "who smoke cigaj^ette regularly; but a sharply lower pro- portion is found among men residing on farms compared with urban or rural non- farm residents. Occupationally, the highest proportions of male regular ciga- rette smokers are found among operatives, craftsmen,, sales workers, and laborers, incomes appaj^ently having little effect. - 6 -

Survey data show that, considered separately, nearly a fourth of women with or without income of their own smoked cigarettes regularly. But women who received incomes from wages or other earnings had a higher propor- tion of smokers than (l) women who had income from such sources as dividends and annuities, or (2) those "vdio had no income of their own. For women who had incomes less than $1,000 the proportion of regular smokers was con- siderably smaller thaji for women in other groups. Also, there were marked differences by age groups. West and Northeast, proportions of female reg'alar smokers are higher than North Central and South. A relatively low proportion of the women on farms smoke—only 10 percent. Occupat tonally, the highest proportions of women smokers are found in the group of clericaJ., sales, and service workers.

The proportion of regular cigar smokers varies from 5 percent among men \diose income is less than $1,000 a year, to Q^ i>ercent of those with incomes of $7^000 and over. The association of cigar smoking with income appears most pronounced among men ^5 to 6k years of age. But cigar smoking appears to be more closely related with age than with income. Among men k^ and over, &^ percent regularly smoke cigars in contrast with just over 3 percent for those under 45 years. Proportionately, more men smoke cigars regularly in the Northeast than in other regions, and relatively more such smokers live in urban than in rural areas. Highest proportions of cigar smokers are found in such diverse occupational groups as managers, officials, and proprietors, on the one hand, and service workers on the other. Within occupations, there appears to be little association between the proportion of regular cigar smokers and inccane.

Proportions of regular pipe smokers decline as income increases, but this reflects age as well as income differences. Older men, among ^om pipe smoking is more prevalent, tend to predominate in the lower income ranges—of those receiving less than $1,000, 10 percent smoke pipes regularly compared with 6 percent of those receiving $7,000 and over. Proportionately more pipe smokers live in the Northeast and North Central regions than in the South or West. About 10 percent of farm men are regular pipe smokers compared with 7 to 8 percent of nonfarm men. Proportions of regular pipe smokers among those receiving $i|-,000 or less appear to decline with increas- ing degree of urbanization. Except for the clearly greater percentage of pipe smokers among farmers, there are no statistically significant differences among occupational groups. - 7 -

That age is the more important factor than income in affecting the percentage of males who smoke either cigarettes, cigars, or pipes regularly appears to be confirmed by statistical analyses. They indicate tJiat from two-thirds to three-fourths of the total variation in percentages regularly smoking each product is associated with an age factor. These results, how- ever, must be viewed in light of several considerations. The age factor is undoubtedly associated with customs and attitudes relating to smoking that prevailed during an individual's early adult life. Analysis of survey data on cigar smoking is limited by the considerable variation in size and quality of cigars, reflected in a wide range in prices. In pipe-smoking, failure to obtain meaningful relationships with income may be attributable to this form of smoking being practiced both by lower-inccane groups for reasons of economy and by higher-income groups because of preference.

Little if any relationship between income and proportions of men or women vrfio smoke cigarettes occasionally is found in the survey data. About k percent of both men and women smoke cigarettes occasionally. Among women, the lowest proportions of occasional cigarette smokers are found (l) in the group 65 years and over and (2) in farm areas.

Age apparently has little to do with whether men are occasional cigar smokers, but income level has some effect. Whereas only 1 out of 8 men with incomes below $2,000 smoke cigars occasionally, the proportion increases to nearly 1 out of 5 among men in the $5^000 to $7^000 bracket. Occasional cigar smokers are proportionately more nijmerous in the Northeast and North Central regions; they are notably fewer among the men in the lower income brackets in the West. The highest proportions of occasional cigar smokers are found among operatives, sales workers, and managerial groups, but income level within the occupation generally seems to have little influence.

About 1 out of every 10 men smoke pipes occasionally. The pattern by age and income groups tends to be opposite to that of regular pipe smoking. Differences in age and income have a greater influence on the percentage of occasional pipe smokers than of cigarette and cigar smokers, but still ex- plain only little more than half of the total variation. The smallest pro- portion is found among men 65 and over, among whom regular pipe smokers are most numerous. After allowing for the effect of age, the percentage rises with increasing income. Within regions, particularly the Northeast -and North Central, percentages of occasional pipe smokers tend to be higher in the upper income brackets. Within different occupational groups, occasional pipe smokers appear to outnumber regular pipe smokers, except possibly among farm- ers and farm workers. - 8 -

Income appears to have a greater effect on rates of smoking than on the percentage of regular smokers, although differences associated with age and other population characteristics also were noted. The majority of all regular cigarette smokers smoke from 10 to 20 cigarettes daily, gener- ally regardless of a^e or income level. Enough men exceed this range to bring the overall daily average to 21-22 cigarettes for male smokers. The daily avereige for women, hased on sxirvey responses, was estimated at about ik cigarettes, but might actually be closer to l6.

Statistical analysis indicates that daily consumption of male regu- lar smokers of cigarettes rises with income, after allowing for the effect of age, but the rate of increase is greatest among those with lower incomes. In relation to age, consiairption increases up to about 35^ remains relatively stable through 45, and then declines after adjusting for the effect of in- come. Survey data for female regular smokers did not lend themselves to similar analysis of income effects, although the effect of age suggested a pattern similar to that of men smokers.

Percentage changes in cigarette consuinption accompanying given per- centage changes in income were found to be small. The income elasticity of demand for cigarettes by all regular smokers (male and female) is indicated by cross-section analysis to be 0.12. Such a measure implies that, on the average, a 10 percent rise in income is accompanied by increased cigarette consumption of a little more than 1 percent. This income elasticity of demand for cigarettes is considerably lower than those obtained by c5ther investigators, principally from time-series analysis. Income elasticities may measure changes in total consumption over a period of time, or differ- ences between consumption of different individuals or families at the same time (cross-section analysis). We have no reason to expect that income elasticities obtained from alternative types of data will be similar, since, in effect, they measure different types of responses.

For both men and women cigarette smokers, consumption rates in the Northeast exceed those in other regions; those of smokers who live on farms sire lighter than those of nonfarm residents. Among men cigarette smokers, smoking rates vary little between urban and rural males with Incomes of less thaxx $3^000. Women smokers \dio are homemakers without personal income of their own average about as many cigaxettes dally as those employed and receiving wages or other earnings. - 9 -

ConsuBiption of cigars, averaging about 3 a day for regular smokers, appears to be highest among those with Income of $^^,000 or more, -who are ^5 years and over. Dally consumption of pipe tobacco, averaging 6 pipe- fuls for regular smokers, tends to be heaviest among those receiving less than $3,000, but a relatively high rate was also noted among those with incomes of $5,000 and over. Smokers in the Northeast and urban communities average more cigars daily than other eireas, \diile the West and rural areas appear to average more pipefuls. Average daily consumption tends to be highest among cigar smokers in such diverse occupations as managerial offi- cials and professional men on the one hand, and operatives and nonfarm laborers on the other. Among pipe smokers, highest average consumption appears to exist among professional and kindred workers, whereas the. lowest appears to exist among those who are service workers and sales workers.

Because of the nature of survey data, reconciliation of aggregate national consiomption based on the survey with official statistics is most feasible for cigarettes, the form of smoking most widely followed. Aggre- gate cigarette consumption computed from survey data falls 12 percent short of national consuirrption as indicated by Internal Revenue statistics—the genera-Ily accepted measure. However, the understatement in aggregate consxjmption does not lessen to any appreciable extent the usefulness of the survey data Insofar as they set forth the pattern of smokers and smoking. The interrelationships among the various income, age, and other population groupings are considered to be reliable to a substantial degree. The discrepancy between consumption computed from survey data smd that based on official statistics is not unusual, as consumer surveys involving tobacco or alcoholic beverages generally result in understatements of actual quanti- ties consumed. The 12 -percent gap is most likely due to a combination of underestimates of the percentage of smokers and of rates of smoking. Aggregate cigarette consumption calculated from survey data may be recon- ciled with official statistics if certain adjustments (on a judgment basis) are made, as shown in this report.

SOURCE OF DATA

Part of the data used in this bulletin are derived from a siirvey conducted in February 1955 for the Public Health Service to develop informa- tion on smoking habits in the United States. This information was presented .

-lo-

in the Public Health Service monograph. Tobacco Smoking Patterns in the United- States (7) 1/. The survey sample vas the national sample used by the Bureau of the Census in its Current Population Survey, conducted each month to pro- vide information on employment and related data. This sample, representative of the non institutional civilian population, consisted of more than 40,000 per- sons in 320 sample areas, covering about 450 counties and independent cities scattered throughout all regions of the country. A special schedule was included in the February 1955 survey to obtain the desired smoking informa- tion. 2/

Additional data are drawn from the consijmer income supplement to the April 1955 Current Population Survey (l4). In this survey the Bureau of the Census gathered income data from about three-fourths of the households in the sample, in connection with estimates of consumer income in 1954. Part of the national sample is rotated from month to month so that the February and April samples in their entirety did not include the same households. About half of the February and April samples represented identical households. This made possible the cross-classification of smoking information with the income status of individuals. The cross-classification matched smoking and income information for individuals I8 years and over. The Bureau of the Census publication on 195^ consumer income includes individuals l4 years and over

The subsaniple providing both smoking and income data is hereinafter referred to as the "income sample, " to distinguish it from the larger sample used in the February I955 smoking survey, hereinafter referred to as the "full sample."

1/ Throughout this report, underlined numbers in parentheses refer to Literature Cited, p. 99.

See Tobacco Smoking 2/ Patterns in the United States (7, pp. 7, 53-55) for a further description of the sample, the questionnaire used in the survey, and enumerator's instructions. - 11

ANALYSIS AND PRESENTATION OF DATA

For the Public Health Service monograph, the estimating procedure in- volved the inflation of weighted sample results to independent estimates of the civilian noninstitutional population of the United States. For the present study, results from the income sample were used to develop percentage relationships within the various income classes that can "be applied to the national totals. The validity of this procedure is confirmed by a com- parison of results from the income and full samples. The comparison indicates the income sample to be equally representative on a national basis. _3/

Tables in Appendix A, which give the survey data, show the percent- age distribution derived from the income sample, and the total persons 18 years and over within each income class, representing the total population surveyed. The only exception to this procedure is in the case of the ciga- rette tables. In the interests of consistency with the Public Health Service monograph, all percentages shown in cigarette tables (both for males and females) relating to subtotals or totals (i.e., where income detail is not involved) are based on the full sample, and are appropriately footnoted. A similar procedure is not followed in the case of cigars and pipes, because our study shows smoking rates for such products in greater detail than the Public Health Service monograph.

The tables on which the analysis is based are mostly shown in the body of this report; they give percentages representing combinations and rearrange- ment of data in the appendix tables. Numbers in text tables on percentages of smokers have not always been rounded to the nearest ^ole percentage, although

3/ See appendix tables 123-126 for a comparison of results obtained from the Income sample and full sample. - 12 -

it is recognized that the sampling errors involved (discussed on pp. 192-193 ) do not warrant the degree of precision Implied by percentages carried to one decimal place. Roionding of percentages, however, may obscure statistically significant differences, particularly in the case of smaller percentages in- volved in cigar and pipe smoking, and occasional cigarette smoking. In all tables that show the relationship with age, unrounded percentages are retained, in view of probable interest in the effect of this important variable.

Survey data are compared on three bases: (l) In relation to the entire population surveyed; (2) in relation to the regular smoking group, or the occasional smoking group; and (3) in relation to the entire smoking body, reg- ular _and occasional smokers. The tables which follow clearly indicate the base on which the percentages have been computed, but the reader should be mindful of the pitfall in misinterpreting the base of percentages shown.

In many instances, particularly in the case of cigars and pipes, data for several classes are combined in order to increase the reliability of the data. Based on the survey, less than 1 out of 10 men smoke cigars or pipes regularly. When this small group is fvirther subdivided by age and income or other characteristics, the sample becomes extremely thin, yielding erratic tendencies. On the other hand, combining classes smooths much of the varia- tion present, so that differences that may be due to incom.e and age, and other characteristics, often disappear. For this reason, the analyses involving cigars and pipes are more limited than those involving cigarettes. Informa- tion in sufficient detail ?s included in Appendix A tables to enable anyone to compute average rates of consumption or other data for age and income groups not shown separately in the body of this report. In the appendix also are details of the statistical analyses mentioned in the text (Appendix C) and a description of the methodology followed (Appendix D).

In view of the large proportion of women without income of their own, tables usually show this group separately. In the case of males, those with "no income" are shown wh^re the size of sample warrants such presentation. In text tables where "none" appears in the income column, the designation should be interpreted as "no income of their own" rather than complete absence of purchasing power.

No analysis is made of the proportions of smokers, rates of smoking, or other phases by income and industry. Income classes within each industry have been extensively combined to achieve satisfactory reliability of data. This, in turn, makes it almost impossible to show data in uniform income classes for all industries, a necessary condition before comparisons can be made. Readers interested in this phase will find such data in the tables in Appendix A.

Tables on percentages of cigarette smokers by income class are taken directly from, survey data, and are not adjusted for non-self-response bias (discussed in Appendix D), as adjustment could not be m^de by income class. Though this results in percentages by income class that probably understate the true percentage of cigarette smokers, we believe the tables show reliably —

- 13 - the relationships among the various income groups. In estimating numbers of male and female cigarette smokers, we use percentages adjusted for "biaS;, since details of income are not Involved. The need of further upward adjustment in the percentages of cigarette smokers is pointed out in the section reconciling fiiggregate cigarette consumption based on survey data with that based on Inter- nal Revenue Service statistics.

Data shown in tables on average consumption of cigarettes are adjusted for bias in order to improve them for more intensive statistical analysis. The procedure used in making the adjustment is described in in Appendix D.

As smoking and income estimates are based on sample data, they are subject to sampling variability. This necessitates caution in considering small percentages and small differences between percentages. In addition to sampling variability, the data are subject to errors of response and nonreport- ing. Evaluation of data obtained in the survey and reliability of data shown in this report are discussed in Appendix D.

FORMS OF SMOKING

Smoking by males is in three different forms—cigarettes, cigars, and pipes. This is obvious to everyone. But much less obvious, and heretofore prac- tically unknown. Is the extent to which males smoke one form exclusively, or the extent and manner in which smoking in either two or even three forms is combined. Except for a negligible number, women smoke only one product cigarettes. It has been estimated that only about 2^^,000 women in the United

States smoke cigars and pipes ( 7 ,p.l9). Survey data provide some insight into the relative importance of the various forms of smoking, as measured by the estimated number of m-^n in the various smoking categories.

Male smokers may be characterized in two ways—first, by the product (s) smoked, that is, cigarettes, cigars, or pipes; and second, by frequency of smoking, that is, whether they are regular smokers (those who smoke a certain product each day^, or occasional smokers (those who smoke once in a while, not every day). With three forms of smoking and two distinctions as to frequency of smoking, it Is possible to have l8 classifications of cigarette smokers, l8 classifications of cigar smokers, and l8 classifications of pipe smokers. Many classifications of cigarette smokers are duplicated in cigars and pipes and vice versa, hence we get 26 mutually exclusive classifications of smokers which, when summed represent the net total of male smokers.

This section of our report presents estimates of the number of men in these 26 classifications of smokers. Before proceeding to the detailed sta- tistics, however, a summary discussion of the principal forms of smoking Is given to provide the reader with a broad overview. The male smoking group considered in the summary discussion consists of regular and occasional smokers on a net basis. .

- Ik -

Principal Forms of Stooklng

By far the most important form of smoking among men, eis measured by numbers of smokers, is regular smoking of cigarettes exclusively, with no companion occasional smoke. Men engaged in this form of smoking account for nearly half the male smokers.

The next most widely prevalent form of smoking is regular smoking of cigarettes, accompanied by an occasional cigar. But the number of such smok- ers is equal to only a fourth of the dominemt group of regular cigarette- only smokers, and only an eighth of the total of msuLe smokers.

Regular* smoking of cigaj:ettes along with an occasional pipe is the third most prevalent form of smoking, closely following the regular cigarette- occasional cigar snoking group. These three smoking groups account for scme- what more than 70 percent of all male smokers.

Other sizable siaDking groups (estimated to contain a million or more) are the following:

Cigars only occasionally; nothing regularly.

Cigarettes only occasionally; nothing regularly.

Cigars only regularly; nothing occasionally.

Pipe only regularly; nothing occasionally.

Cigarettes-pipe regularly; cigars occasionally.

These additional 5 smoking groups together ccoiprise nearly a fifth of all male smokers. Thus the 8 forms of smoking specifically considered to- gether accoiont for approximately ^0 percent of the male smoking group. The remaining 10 percent or so consists of 11 smoking groups, most of which are estimated to contain less than a half-million smokers. This acco\intB for 19 out of the 26 mutually exclusive smoking groups previously mentioned. The remaining categories of smokers are estimated to contain negligible n\ambers; they are included in the listing to provide a complete picture of smoking patterns

The individual categories of smokers shown on pp. 15-16 may be combined into 6 broad groups which do not consider specified forms of ccmbination smoking. These broad groups sire: (l) Cigsirettes regularly; (2) cigarettes occasionally; (3) cigars regularly; (4) cigaj^s occasionally; (5) pipes regularly; and (6) pipes occasionally. If the categories are combined in this way, however, the groups are no longer mutually exclusive. U

- 15 -

Keeping in mind the duplication, which makes the percentages shown below nonadditive, these broad smoking groups rank as follows, as measured by number of smokers:

Percentage of male population, 18 years Smoking category and over l/ Percent

Cigarettes regularly 55

Cigars occasionally 16

Pipe occasionally 10

Pipe regularly 8

Cigars regularly 6

Cigarettes occasionally k

1/ Civilian, noninstitutional

Classification of Male Smokers , By Form of Smoking

The estimated numbers of smokers within each of the 26 mutually exclu- sive classifications may be grouped as follows i^+y

Civilian noninstitutional Millions Males smoking regularly only:

1. Cigarettes only 17.1 2. Cigars only 1.2 3. Pipes only 1.1 k. Cigarettes -cigars .2 5. Cigarettes -pipes .2 6. Cigars -pipes .3 7. Cigarettes-cigars-pipes .3

Subtotal 20.

kj These estimates have been derived from survey data adjusted for the non- self -response bias as explained on pp. 206-207. .

- 16 -

Males smoking both regiilarly and occasionally ; Civilian Product (s) smoked Product (s) smoked noninstitutional regulai'ly occasionally Millions

6. Cigarettes Cigars k.k 9. Cigarettes Pipes 3.6 10. Cigars Cigarettes .1 11. Cigars Pipes .3 12 Pipes Cigarettes .5 13. Pipes Cigars .7 ik. Cigarettes -cigars Pipes .3 15. Cigarettes -pipes Cigars 1.0 16. Cigars-pipes Cigarettes .1 17. Cigarettes Cigars-pipes l/ 18. Cigars Cigarettes -pipes l/ 19. Pipes Cigarettes -cigars l/

Subtotal 10.9

Males smoking occasionally only:

20. Cigarettes only I.5 21. Cigars only 1.6 22. Pipes only .7 23. Cigarettes -cigars l/ 2^+. Cigarettes -pipes l/ 25. Cigars -pipes l/ 26. Cigarettes -cigars -pipes l/

Subtotal 3.9

GRAM) TOTAL 35-2 1/ Negligible

Based on survey data males 18 years and over who smoked regiilarly or occasionally (not including those in the Armed Forces or institutions) in early 1955 totaled 35.2 million--71 percent of all males in this population group. About 59 percent of all males were cigarette smokers; 22 percent, cigar smokers; and 18 percent, pipe smokers. These percentages are, of course, not additive to the 71 percent because many smokers, as indicated earlier, smoke two or even all three forms. - 17 -

Civilian Males, 18 Years Old and Over, Feb. 1955 CIGARETTE SMOKERS

TOTAL 29.1 MIL. Cigarettes only 1.5 OCCASIONAL 2.1 { Combination - 0.6"^

Cigarettes only 17.1

REGULAR 27.0

Also cigars occasionally-4.4

Also pipes occasionally--3.6

Other combination 1.9**

ESTIMATED FROM U. S. CENSUS SURVEY DATA INCLUDES MAINLY THOSE SMOKING CIGARETTES OCCASIONALLY AND EITHER CIGARS OR PIPE REGULARLY. O INCLUDES MAINLY THOSE SMOKING CIGARETTES AND PIPES REGULARLY, ALSO CIGARS OCCASIONALLY; AND CIGARETTES AND CIGARS REGULARLY. ALSO PIPE OCCASIONALLY.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 3827-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Flgijre 5« —Of the 29 million civilian male cigarette smokers, 27 million smoked cigarettes regu- larly (every day) and the rest, occasionany (not every day). Of those smoking cigarettes regularly, 17 million (over three-fifths) smoked cigarettes exclusively. About k.k million smoked cigarettes regularly along with cigars occasionally and another 3«6 million smoked ciga- rettes regularly along with pipes occasionally. Most of the other nearly 2 million smoked cigarettes regularly, and one of the other forms regularly as well.

Male Cigarette Smokers

The smokers of cigarettes (regularly and occasionally) total 29.1 rail- lion. About 27.0 million smoked cigarettes regularly and 2.1 million smoked them occasionally. —— —

- 18 -

Of the 27.0 million smoking cigarettes regularly , 17. 1 million—63 per- cent —confined themselves to cigarettes alone. However, k,k million 16 percent —also smoked cigars occasionally, and another 3*6 million—13 per- cent —smoked pipes occasionally. The remaining 8 percent of the regular cigarette smokers smoked another form regriLarly also, or even some combination of all three.

Of the 2^1 million smoking cigarettes occetsionally , about 1.5 million 71 percent — confined themselves to cigarettesT About 0.6 million—the other 29 percent —were smoking cigars or pipes regiolarly but also cigarettes occasionally.

Cigar Smokers

The smokers of cigars (regularly and occasionally) totaled 10.6 million. In marked contrast with cigarette smokers, only about 2.8 million smoked cigars regrolarly while 7«8 million smoked them occasionally.

Of the 2.8 million who smoked cigars regularly, 1.2 million k'^ per- cent —confined themselves to cigars alone. Other regular cigar smokers who combined cigars with other forms were distributed rather evenly. There were about 0.3 million males among each group of those smoking (l) cigars reg\ilarly and pipes occasionally; (2) cigars and pipes both regularly; (3) cigars and cigarettes regiolarly and also, pii)es occasionally; and {k) those smoking all three forms regularly. Thvis, all together, these accounted for another hZ percent of the regular cigar smokers. The remaining ik percent of those smoking cigars regularly comprised the other four possible combinations.

Of the 7.8 million smoking cigars occasionally, k.k million— 56 per- cent —were males whose single other form was cigarettes on a regular basis. However, about 1.6 million—21 percent —confined their smoking to occasional cigars only. Approximately another 1.0 million--13 percent —although smoking cigars occasionally, smoked both cigarettes and pipes regularly. Most of the remaining 10 percent of the occasional cigar smokers restricted their regiolar smoking to pipes or were also occasional smokers of cigarettes.

Males who are occasional cigar smokers account for a substantial share of the total cigar consumption. Nothing was learned from the survey of the nximber of cigars the occasional cigar smoker may average per week or month. The constmiption of those who smoke cigars regularly was calculated (data on rates of regular smokers were available in the survey data) and subtracted from the national total as indicated by Internal Revenue Service statistics. The residual represents a rough estimate of the share which might be accoimted for by the 7*8 million smokers who smoke cigars occasionally. Estimated on this basis, occasional cigar smokers smoke about a third of all cigars and average about k per week. .

- 19 -

Civilian Males, 18 Years Old and Over, Feb,l955 CIGAR SMOKERS

TOTAL 10.6 MIL.

Also cigarettes regularly-- 4.4

OCCASIONAL 7.8 ^ Cigars only 1.6 Also pipes regularly 0.7

Other combination 1-1* Cigars only 1-2 Also pipes occasionally 0.3

REGULAR 2.8 Also cigarettes occasionally 0.1

Other combination 1.2®

ESTIMATED FROM U.S. CENSUS SURVEY DATA

^^ INCLUDES MAINLY THOSE SMOKING CIGARS OCCASIONALLY AND BOTH CIGARETTES AND PIPES REGULARLY; AND TWO FORMS OCCASIONALLY. O. INCLUDES MAINLY THOSE SMOKING CIGARS AND ONE OTHER FORM REGULARLY: AND CIGARS AND CIGARETTES REGULARLY. ALSO PIPES OCCASIONALLY.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 3826-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Flgiire 6. —Of the 10.6 million cigar smokers, a little over a fourth smoked cigars regvilarly (every day), the remaining nearly three-fourths, occasionally (not every day). Of the 2.8 mil- lion who smoked cigars regularly, about 1.2 million restricted their smoking to cigars alone, and the rest also smoked some other form regiolarly or occasionally. Among the f.Q million who smoked cigars occasionally, about k.k million smoked cigars occasionally but confined their reg- ular smoking to cigarettes only. About 1.8 million occasional cigar smokers smoked other combinations of forms. The remaining 1.6 million occasional cigsir smokers smoked nothing else.

The substantial share of the cigar market represented by those smoking cigars occasionally is in sharp contrast with the situation in cigarettes where probably less than 1 percent of the total is smoked by occasional smokers — —

- 20 -

Pipe Smokers

The smokers of pipes (regxJLar and occasional) totaled 8.8 million. About 3*9 million smoked pipes regularly and 4.9 million smoked them occa- sionally—a kk-^6 percentage split —compared vith 26-7^ for cigar smokers and 93-7 for cigarettes.

Of the 3.9 million who smoked pipes regrolarly, 1.1 million—28 percent confined themselves to pipes alone. About 1.0 million—26 percent --smoked both cigarettes and pipes regularly and also an occasional cigar. Another 0.7 million--l8 percent —smoked pipes regularly together with cigars occa- sionally. About O.k million—10 percent —smoked pipes regularly and cigarettes occasionally. The remaining I8 percent of the regular pipe smokers smoked both pipes and cigars regularly, or all three forms regularly.

Of the U.9 million who smoked pipes occasionally, 3.6 million—73 per- cent —were males whose single other form was cigarettes smoked regularly. About 0.7 million ik percent — confined their smoking to pipes on an occasional basis, not smoking in any other way. Most of the remaining 13 percent of the occasional pipe smokers were those who smoked cigars regularly or both cigars and cigarettes regiolarly.

Males who are occasional pipe smokers account for a much smaller share of the total market for pipe tobacco than do occasional cigar smokers of the total cigar market. Nothing on rates of smoking for occasional smokers was indicated in the survey data. Those recording themselves as smokers of pipes (or cigars or cigarettes) occasionally were merely indicating that they smoked "once in a while, not every day." Data on rates of smoking for regialar pipe smokers were in terms of "pipefvils." The total number of pipefuls smoked by regular pipe smokers was calculated and then converted to pounds -- assigning the average pipeful consists of about one -tenth of an ounce of tobacco. This calculated total poundage smoked by regular pipe smokers, when subtracted from the national total estimated from Internal Revenue Service data, leaves a remainder which may roughly indicate the consumption of those who smoke pipes occasionally. Estimated on this basis, occasional pipe smokers smoked approxi- mately a tenth of all pipe tobacco—averaging 2 to 3 pipefuls a week. - 21 -

Civilian Males, 18 Years Old and Over, Feb. 1955 PIPE SMOKERS TOTAL 8.8 MIL.

OCCASIONAL 4.9 < Also cigarettes regularly. _ 3.6

''Pipes only 0.7 'Also cigars regularly 0.3 Other combinarion 0.3* Pipes only M -Also cigars occasionally 0.7 REGULAR 3.9 '^.^y^^^^^^^f^f^f^^m^ -Also cigarettes occasionally 0.4

-Other combination 1.7°

ESTIMATED FROM U. S. CENSUS SURVEY DATA * INCLUDES MAINLY THOSE SMOKING PIPES OCCASIONALLY AND BOTH CIGARETTES AND CIGARS REGULARLY: AND TWO FORMS, BOTH OCCASIONALLY. O INCLUDES MAINLY THOSE SMOKING PIPES AND ONE OTHER FORM REGULARLY: AND PIPES AND CIGARETTFS REGULARLY, ALSO CIGARS OCCASIONALLY.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 3828-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure 7. —Of the 8.8 million pipe smokers, kk percent smoked pipes regularly (every day); the other 56 percent, occasionally (not every day). Of the 3-9 million who smoked pipes regularly, about 1.1 million restricted their smoking to pipes Eilone, while the rest also smoked some other form regularly or occasionally. Of this latter group, a large niimber smoked both pipes and cigEirettes regularly and also cigars occasionally, or combined regular pipe smoking with occa- sioneil cigar smoking. Among the 4.9 million who smoked pipes occasionally, about 3«6 million confined their regular smoking to cigarettes only. About 0.6 million occasional pipe smokers smoked some other ccanblnatlon of forms and the renaining O.7 million smoked pipes occasionally and nothing else. —

- 22 -

Product Staioked by Regular and Occa^loneLl Staokers

Regular Saiokers

Table .1 shows the percentage distribution of male regular smokers by- product smoked regularly, cross-classified with aige and income. In the data for table 1, only those engaged in some form of regular smoking are considered; the three smoking groups—regular smokers of cigarettes, cigars, and pipes are not mutually exclusive, that is, regular smokers of more than one product are included in each of the appropriate product groups.

Of the men who smoke regularly, the big majority in practically all in- come and age brackets smoke cigarettes. The exception occxirs among regular smokers 65 and over, among whom somewhat less than heuLf are cigarette smokers. Pipe and cigar smokers are proportionately more numerous among regular smokers in this age group coairpared with other a^e brackets. Conversely, cigarette smokers comprise about nine-tenths of all regular smokers under the age of 35* Cigar-smoking and pipe-smoking are more prevalent among regular smokers over 35^ and especially, over k^.

The effect of age on product smoked regularly is more apparent than the effect of income. 2/ Only in a few instances are income effects in evidence, as, for example, the increased proportions of cigar smokers in the $7^000 and over bracket (attributable largely to the higher proportions among regular smokers 45-6^ in this income bracket), and the higher proportions of pipe smokers among regular smokers reporting (l) no income of their own or (2) lower incomes. This lack of relationship between p3X)duct smoked regularly and income (sifter age effects are taken into consideration) and the reasons why it is found parti cxilarly in the survey data relating to cigars and pipes, are discussed in detail in the section on "Smoking Status," beginning on p. 25.

Occasional Snokers

SuiTrey data indicate approximately 15 million male occasional smokers in the United States in early 1955' About k miU-ion coizld be classified as strictly occasional smokers (principally of cigarettes or cigars); they did not smoke any product regularly. The ronainder, approximately 11 million occasional smokers, also smoked one other product, or two others, regularly. The majority of these 11 million occasional male smokers were regular smokers of cigarettes.

Table 2 shows the percentage distribution of aH loale occasional smok- ers by product smoked occasionally, cross-classified with a^e and income. Only those engaged in seme form of occasional smoking are considered. The three smoking groups —occasional smokers of cigarettes, cigars, and pipes-—are not mutually exclusive. But here, \mlike the case of regular smokers, relatively little duplication exists among the different product groups.

5/ Where the term "effect" is used throughout this report, it refers to the association between smoking characteristics ajid the other variables considered, such as income and a^e. ,

- 23 -

Table J,. —Percentage distribution of male smokers l8 years and over, by product smoked regularly l/

Income class Age group and With money income All product smoked No incomes regularly $7,000 money Under $1,000- ;$2,ooo-;$3, ooo-•$i^,ooo-;$5, 000- I and All income ;$i,ooo '. 1,999 : 2,999 : 3,999 ! ^,999 6,999 over Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. 18-24 years: Cigarettes 96 95 96 88 2/ 2/ 3/ 93 88 92 Cigars .... 3 1 2 3/ 2 2 Pipe 4 2 3 10 2/ H2/ 3/ 5 12 6 All regular 18-24 smokers , ; 100 100 100 100 ^ iL IL 100 100 100 25-34 years: Cigarettes 93 94 90 89 87 91 2/ 90 2/ 90 Cigars .... 4 1 4 5 6 5 2/ 5 2/ 5 Pipe 3 5 6 6 7 4 2/ 5 2/ 5 All regular smokers, 25-34 ; 100 100 100 100 100 100 IL 100 2L 100

35-44 years: :

Cigarettes ; 86 86 83 86 83 85 86 84 2/ 85

Cigars : 6 8 5 7 8 5 7 7 2/ 6 Pipe : 8 6 12 7 9 10 7 9 2/ 9

All regular : smokers, 35-44 . . . . : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 IL 100

45-54 years: Cigarettes 77 86 83 80 80 75 76 79 2/ 79 Cigars .... 4 9 9 9 14 16 10 2/ 10 Pipe 19 5 11 11 11 8 11 2/ 11 All regular smokers, 45-54 . . . . ; 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 ^ 100 55-64 years: Cigarettes 68 68 72 69 71 73 61 69 2/ 68 Cigars 13 12 13 15 16 10 24 14 2/ 15 Pipe 19 20 15 16 13 17 15 17 2/ 17 All regular smokers 100 100 100 100 100 100 , 55-64 100 100 M. 100

65 and over:

Cigarettes . . . 44 41 50 66 4/55 5/ 5/ 48 32 46 Cigars 18 24 16 21 ¥/i6 5/ 5/ 19 15 19

Pipe , 38 35 34 13 4/29 5/ 5/ 33 53 35 All regular smokers, 65 and over 100 100 100 100 4/100 5/ _5/ 100 100 100

All ages: Cigarettes 73 77 81 83 81 82 78 80 66 79 Cigars 9 10 7 8 9 8 13 9 9 9 Pipe 18 13 12 9 10 10 9 11 25 12 All regular smokers, all ages 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Regular smokers of more than one product are included in appropriate product groups. For example, s-Tiokers who regularly smoke both cigarettes and cigars comprise part of the cigarette group and also part of the cigar group. 2/ Too few cases in sample. Combiiiing the cases in the 25-64 age groups In the "No money income" class results in the following distribution: Cigarettes, 77 percent; cigars, 10 percent; pipes, 13 percent. 3/ No persons in sample. \l Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. 5/ Combined with $4,000-4,999 class because of insuf-flcient cases. -2k -

Table 2. —Percentage distribution of male smokers l8 years and over, by product smoked occasionally l/

Income class Age group and With money income All product smoked No incomes occasionally 000- :$7,000 : money ; Under :$i,ooo- $2, 000- ;$3, '$4,000- ;$5, 000- : and : All income .' '. $1,000 : : ; 1,999 ; 2,999 3,999 ^,999 6,999 : over :

: Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

18-24 years: :

Cigarettes : 31 25 2 20 2/ 2/ 3/ 20 36 21

Cigars : 38 42 52 41 2/ 2/ 3/ 44 22 42 46 Pipe : 31 33 39 2/ 2/ 3/ 36 42 37

All occasional :

smokers, 18-24 : 100 100 100 100 2/ 2/ 3/ 100 100 100

25-34 years:

Cigarettes 9 11 7 15 9 11 11 2/. 11 5i+ Cigars 50 53 53 52 ^( 52 Pipe 41 35 40 31 38 41 2/ 37 2/ 37 All occasional

smokers, 25-34 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 2/ 100 2/ 100

35-44 years

Cigarettes : 24 14 11 12 11 9 6 11 11 Cigars 52 54 54 55 51 50 52 2/ 52 Pipe 24 41 35 34 34 40 44 37 2/ 37

All occasional :

smokers, 35-44 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 2/ 100

45-54 years: :

Cigarettes : 16 11 16 10 10 17 9 13 2/ 13

Cigars : 57 48 54 63 53 47 54 54 2/ 5^

Pipe : 27 41 30 27 37 36 37 33 2/ 33

All occasional :

smokers, 45-54 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 2/ 100

55-64 years: :

Cigarettes : 32 15 18 16 12 17 12 18 2/ 18 Cigars : 4l 52 51 55 53 59 63 53 2/ 52

Pipe : 27 33 31 29 35 24 25 29 2/ 30

All occasional :

smokers, 55-64 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 2/ 100

65 and over: :

Cigarettes : 17 23 22 14 4/0 5/ 5/ 18 4 19 Cigars : 58 54 62 72 4769 5/ 5/ 60 89 60 Pipe ; 25 23 16 14 V31 5/ 5/ 22 7 21

All occasional :

smokers, 65 and :

over : 100 100 100 100 4/100 5/ 5/ 100 100 100

All ages: : Cigarettes 21 17 13 13 10 12 9 13 23 14 Cigars 51 50 54 56 5i^ 50 54 53 50 53 Pipe 28 33 33 31 36 38 37 34 27 33 All occasional smokers, all ages .: 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Occasional smokers of more than one product are included in appropriate product groups. For example, smokers who occasionally smoke both cigarettes and cigars comprise part of the cigarette group and also part of the cigar group. However, the duplication among product groups is relatively small. 2/ Too few cases in sample. Combining the cases in the 25-64 age groups in the "No money income" class results in the following distribution: cigarettes, 30 percent; cigars, 32 percent; pipe, 38 percent. 3/ No persons in sample. 4/ Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. 5/ Combined with f4, 000-4, 999 class beca\iEe of insufficient cases. - .

- 25 -

The table serves to show the predominaace of occasional cigar and pipe smoking ccHiipared with occasional smoking of cigarettes, especially in the 25-54 age groups. As indicated in the section that follows, these are the age groups which contain the highest proportions of reguleir cigarette smokers.

The percentage distribution does not appear to be affected by level of income. This is confirmed by detedled analyses.

SM(KING STATUS

Regular Saokers

Cigarettes, Male Smokers

Age. —^All but k- percent of the males 18 years and over reported receiv- ing scfflie money income during 195^. Of those who received income, 53 percent smoked cigarettes regularly. Of those not having any money income (chiefly students 6ind aged dependents), 30 percent smoked cigarettes reguleurly. The proportion of cigarette smokers (all ages combined) increases from 39 percent in the lowest income group—under $1,000—to between 55 and 60 percent in the four separate groups with incomes ranging from $2,000 to $7,000. The propor- tion declines to 51 percent for those receiving $7,000 and over.

Table 3» —Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by age and income, February 1955

Income class ' An A^e With money income : No in- : money group 'Under •$1,000- •$2,000- •$3,000- •$4,000-" $5,000--^'^'^- comes

: a.na : All : in- : $1,000 • : 1,999 : 2,999 : 3,999 4,999 6,999 1/ : over : :eome

. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet . Pet . Pet

28.0 lQ~2k : 45.9 55.9 61.4 61.3 2/ 2/ 3/ 54.7 51-3

25-34 . 59.9 65.3 69.6 66.4 60.5 65.1 2/ 64.0 ( ) 63.7

35-44 : 67-2 60.0 60.8 62.5 65.2 61.5 59.2 62.3 ( ) 62.2 45-54 57.5 60.5 57.3 57.5 60.7 53.7 56.1 57.5 (42.0) 56.9

55-64 : 39.4 47.3 42.4 45.8 53.7 43.5 35.6 44.3 ( ) 43.5

65 & : 22.2 over . 18.0 21.8 31.4 33.2 4/27.9 5/ ^ 23.1 15-8

All ages 39-3 49.0 55.8 58.4 59.9 57.8 51.0 53.4 29.9 52.6

1/ Based on full sample; not adjusted for bias attributable to non-self response. 2/ Too few eases in sample. 3/ No persons in sample. 4/ Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. 5/ Ccanbined with ^4,000- $4,999 class. - 26-

Age appears to be the most important factor affecting the percentage of males 'who smoke cigarettes regularly. A statistical analysis of the relation- ship of the proportions of regular smokers to inccane and age showed only a slight effect of income. The most important factor was the difference in age from 30, the mid-value of the 25-3^4- age interval in \riiich the highest propor- tion of regular smokers appears to exist. Nearly three-fourths of the total variation existing in proportions of regular smokers was associated with this age factor, after allowing for the effect of income. Only 28 percent of the total variation was associated with an income factor, after allowing for the effect of age. (See p. 177 for details of the analysis.)

While there is considerable residual variance from the line of average relationship, results of the analysis imply the following changes in the per- centage of regular cigarette smokers, after allowing for the effects of income:

: Difference from : Difference from Age ! Age : preceding age : preceding age

Years ; Percentage points : : Years Percentage points

20 : 50 : -3.6

':

25 \ 3.1 : 55 -5.0

30 : 2.0 : : 60 : -6.k

35 :: .6 : : 65 -1.1

ko • -.8 : : 70 : -9.2

k5 -2.2 :

These data indicate that, after adjusting for the effect of income, the proportion of males smoking cigarettes regularly rises to age 30 and re- mains at peak levels between 30 and h^. It falls after 40 at an accelerating rate, dropping most sharply after age 50. This is shown graphically in the lower section of figure 8.

Separate analyses by age confirm the minimal effect of income on pro- portions of smokers among the groups containing the highest percentages of regular smokers. Results indicate that the closest association between the two variables exists in the youngest (18-2^4-) and oldest (65 and over) groups. The lack of relationship is especially pronounced in the two age groups 35-5^ (figure 9). (Details of the analyses are on p. 173.)

Region . —The percentage of males who regularly smoke cigarettes does not differ significantly from region to region, ranging narrowly fran 52 per- cent to 54 percent. Examination of the data by Income class indicates few statistically significant differences between regions, but more significant differences between income classes within regions. (See appendix table 111.) - 27 -

PROPORTION OF MALES WHO SMOKE CIGARETTES REGULARLY IN RELATION TO INCOME AND AGE From an Analysis Based on 1955 Survey Data* PERCENT SMOKING^ Adjusted for age

2 4 6 8 10 12

ANNUAL PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.)-X3,X4

Xi.2:) 1

70 • /AQArS justed for incoi Tie • - • - .^ 60 s • 1 < ^ ^V e \^ 50 • - X - r^ 40 s X\ \ s 30 \. — — DOTS REPRESENT INDIVIDUAL INCOME CLASSES

1 1 1 1 1 on 1 9 1 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 AGE (YEARS) -X4,X5

'males 18 yf.ARS OLD AND OveR

NEC. U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE 3795-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE Figure 8. —Of the tvo factors age and inccsae, age is the more iniportant in accounting for the variation in proportion of males vb.o smoke cigarettes regularly. This fac- tor explains about three-fourths of the total variation, afiier allowing for the ef- fect of income. Hie percentage of regular smokers rises to age 30, remains rela- tively stable throu^ ^, and falls after 1*0 at an accelerating rate, after allow- ing for the effect of income. Considering all males, there is a slight relationship between level of income and the proportion of regular cigarette smokers, after allow- ing for the effect of age. The peak percentages occur in the middle income brackets, but decline at higher income level. - 28 -

PROPORTION OF MALES WHO SMOKE CIGARETTES REGULARLY IN RELATION TO INCOME, BY AGE From an Analysis Based on 1955 Survey Data PER CENT SMOKIN( 60 y \ - -/ U1-24 YEAFiS 65 AND OVER - 40

^^^^ - ^^ 20 V

1 n . 1 1 1 1 1 1 . 1 1 1 1 1 -

80 Q «; lA YEA RS C C A/1 YEARS - - •-* 60 » ^^^ \ • - - • -^ \ • • 40 • Nf

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 1 1 1 1

O C A A vc A r il C C A V C A D C 80 O ./ -TT 1 tf^rIS — H ,

1 1 — — - 70 •

• • • « — • - • 60 • • • • « •

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50 1 1 1 1 1 02468 10 02468 10 12 ANNUAL PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.)

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. 3796-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure 9« —^Among males in each age group except 35-5't^> the percentage of regular ciga- rette smokers increases with rising income up to a point, and then declines. The closest association of income with proportions of snrokers appears to exist among those lS>-2k and 65 and over. Among males 35-5^> there does not appear to be a cleax relationship of proportions of smokers and level of income. - 29 -

Table if.—Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly by region and income, Februaiy 1955

Income : Region

Northeast : North Central : South : West Percent Percent Percent Percent

ifO Under $1,000 i 35 k2 36

$1,000- 1,999 : 52 kl 3h h^

2,000- 2,999 '• 58 h9 62 he

3,000- 3,999 : 62 56 63 k6 li-,000- if, 999 : 62 59 60 59 5,000- 6,999 • 55 61 58 5h

7,000 and over : k6 58 k2 58

All 1/ ; 53 52 5^ 52 l/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. Based on full sample.

Residence . --Proportionately fewer farm men smoke cigarettes regularly than either urban or rural nonfarm men. Only ^3 percent of men living on farms are regular cigarette smokers, as against nearly 55 percent urban and 52 percent rioral nonf€irm residents. Lowest percentages are found among farm men in nearly all income classes.

In each place of residence, the proportion is lowest among those reporting no income of their own, but increases up to the $4,000 or $5,000 class. The proportion among urban and rural nonfarm men declines at higher incomes, duplicating the pattern found in the age-inccoie relationship.

Table 5* --Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence Income Riiral Urban Nonfarm Farm Percent Percent Percent

None 3h 24 24 Under $1,000 38 41 40 $1,000- 1,999 52 h9 42 2,000- 2,999 55 62 47 3,000- 3,999 60 58 52 4,000- 4,999 61 57 1/53 5,000- 6,999 58 57 7,000 and over 51 52 2/

All 3/ 55 52 43 l/ $4,000 and over. 2/ Combined with $4,000-^4,999 class because of ii^uf- ficient cases. 3/ Based on full sample. :

- 30 -

Occupation * —Occupations containing the highest proportions of regular cigarette smokers include operatives (62 percent); craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers (6l percent); salesworkers (59 percent); and laborers (58 per- cent). Relatively high percentages are found also among clerical workers and service workers. Proportionately fewest regular cigarette smokers are found among managerial and professional persons (52 percent and ^5 percent, respec- tively) and among farmers and farm workers (kk percent).

Income difference has little bearing on this ordering of the occu- I)ations. Occupations with proportionately niamerous regular cigarette smokers are characterized by high percentages in each income class. Similarly, those with proportionately fewest smokers in the main have the lowest percentages in each income class.

Table 6. —Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes reg\ilarly, by occupation and income, February 1955

Inccane class ' All * Major occupation group ' incomes • Under $3,000-* $5,000- : $7,000 over^ -^ ; $3,000 4,999 6,999 'and I :

' Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

* Professional and kindred workers i 41 48 43 45 45 Managers, officials, and pro-

prietors, except farm : kQ 58 ,5^ 46 52

Clerical and kindred : 56 53 2/60 3/ 56

Salesworkers !t 51 52 2/66 3/ 59 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred •

workers : 6k 61 64 61 61

Operatives and kindred workers : 60 66 65 68 62 Service workers, except private

household J 51 U/60 5/ 5/ 56

Laborers, except farm and mine :1 60 V58 5/ 5/ 58 Farmers, farm managers, foremen, '

and laborers : h3 4/45 5/ 5/ 44

Includes those with no income. Based on full sample. 2/ $5,000 and over. 3A"Combined7c with $5,000-$6,999 class. 4/ $3,000 and over. 5/ Combined with t3,000-$4,999 class.

Industry . —Industries in which lowest proportions of regular cigarette smokers are found include professional and related services, and agriculture, forestry, and fisheries. Industries which also appear to have lower percent- ages than most others are finance, insurance, and real estate; public -

- 31 -

administration; and i)ersonal services, Percentages for other indiistries range between 57 and 62 as indicated "below:

Percentage of male Major industry group regular cigarette smokers Percent Agric\ilture, forestry, and fisheries —W~ Mining 61 Construction 62 Manufacturing 60 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 60 Wholesale and retail trade 58 Finance, insurance, and real estate 52 Bxisiness and repair services 57 Personal services 5h Professional and related services k2 Public administration 53

Cigarettes, Female Smokers

Age. —There was no marked difference in the percentage of regular cigarette smokers among women with income compared with those without income. About ^7 percent of females over l8 received seme money income in 195^. Sur- vey data indicate that approximately a fourth of these regularly smoked cigarettes, and around the same proportion with no income of their own, pre- dominantly housewives, also were regular cigarette smokers.

Among females with incomes of less than $1,000, l8 percent were regular smokers; among those with higher incomes, proportions range from 28-29 percent in the $1,000 to $3,000 groups to 32 percent for those receiving $3,000 and over.

Table 7« —Proportion of females, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by age and income, February 1955

Income class All Age With money income No incomes group Under :$1, 000- $2,000-: $3,000 : $^,000 : money : All 1/ $1,000: 1,999 : 2,999 :and over;and over: income Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

18-24 25.8 28.5 28.3 2/ 2/ 28.2 29.3 29.7 25-3^ 37-9 41.6 40.0 39.0 (40.4) 39.4 33.7 35.8 35-i+it 30.6 39.4 30.9 38.0 34.3 30.8 32.4 ^5-5^ 19.3 29.6 26.1 29.2 25.2 21.1 22.9 55-64 7.4 15.1 11.1 16.5 |28.8J 11.2 8.5 10.9 65 and over 2.6 3.1 11.1 2/ 2/ 3.9 2.5 3.5 All ages IKl 29^0 27T9 32.5 32.4 24.7 23TF 24.5 1/ Based on full sample; not adjusted for bias attributable to non-self response. 2/ Too few cases in sample. - 32 -

Considered frcan the standpoint of age, some marked differences are found in the proportions of vomen who smoke. Of those 18-2U years old about 30 percent smoke, with comparatively little difference in individual inccme classes or even among those with no income. The 25-3^ age group contains the largest proportion of regxolar cigarette smokers —36 percent —with generally little variation according to inccane. Of women in this age group with money income, 39 percent regulsirly smoke cigarettes, but the proportion declines significantly among those with no money inccane. In the next three age brack- ets —35 through 6U—the proportions of women smokers in the $1,000-41,999 group are appreciably higher thai the proportions among those receiving less than $1,000, but a decrease is indicated in the next higher income class. The percentage of female smokers in most income classes declines rather sharply in age brackets above kh years.

Region . —In the West and Northeast, the proportions of females who are regular smokers of cigarettes are higher thein in the other two regions. In the West and Northeast, the proportions of all women —with and without incone of their own—are 30 percent and 2? percent, respectively. The lowest proportion is foxmd in the South—20 percent.

The largest percentages generally appear among those with incomes between $1,000 and $2, OCX) and among those with incomes of $3,000 and over. The percentages in the "no income" class are higher than those in the "under $1,000" class.

Differences between regions and differences between income classes appear to be about equally importajit in accoimting for total variation in pro- portions of women who regularly smoke cigarettes. (See appendix table 112.)

Table 8. —Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by region and income, February 1955

Region

IIicome

Northeast : North Central : South : West

Percent Percent Percent Percent

None ''. 27 23 19 28

Under J>1,000 : 24 16 15 19

- $1,000- 1,999 : 30 33 2k 30

- 2,000- 2,999 : 29 30 18 37 and 3,000 over : 37 31 2k 38

All 1/ : 27 24 20 30

1/ Based on full sample. —

- 33 -

Residence . —The most striking feature shown in table 9 is the low proportion of farm women smoking cigarettes regularly (lO percent), contrasted with the proportion among \irban and rural nonfarm women (2? and 23 percent, respectively).

The pattern among rural nonfarm women is generally similar to that of urhan women. In both groups, the proportion drops from approximately a fourth in the "no income" class to around a fifth in the "under $1,CXX)" class. It rises sharply in the next income class ($1,000 to $2,000) and generally ranges from 30 to 3^ percent in classes of $1,000 and over.

Table 9* —Proportion of females, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence Rural

Income !

Urban ] [ Nonfarm Farm

Percent Percent Percent

None \ 27 23 10

Under $1,000 : 19 19 11 JJ1,000- 1,999 30 33 ^/5, 2,000- 2,999 30 22 ^ and over : 3^ 3,000 33 ^i it-, — — 000 and over ! 32 2/

10 All 3/ : 27 23

1/ $1,000 and over. 2/ Combined with $1,000-$!^ 999 class, 3/ Based on full sample.

Occupation, —The highest proportion of regular cigarette smokers --about a third is found in the combined group clerical and sales workers which consists chiefly of clerical workers, and among service workers. These occu- pations have the highest proportions in all income classes. The lowest proportion—around a fifth--exists among private household workers, most of whom reported incomes of less than $1,000 a year.

Considering all gainfully employed women, 22 percent of those with incomes of less than $1,000 smoke cigarettes regularly as against 33 percent for those receiving $3,000 and over. - 3^ -

Table 10. —Proportion of females, l8 years and over, vho smoke cigarettes regularly, by occupation and income, February 1955

Income class An in- Major group Under • $1,000-- $2,000 $3,000 comes $1,000 1.999 2,999 and over ; ^ ; ; ; Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers . 22 19 28 26 3^" Clerical and salesworkers • 28 32 36 33 Operatives and kindred workers 17 26 25 36 28 21^ Private household workers : 20 — — 20 Service workers except private

household . 30 33 -33 33

All occupations 2/ 22 30 29 33 29

1/ Includes those with no income. Based on full saniple. 2/ Includes the following occupations, data for which are not shown separately because of smai 1 number of persons involved: Farmers and farm managers ; managers, officials, etc.; craftsmen, foremen, etc.; farm laborers; and laborers, except farm and mine.

Industry . —There appears to be proportionately fewer women who are regular cigarette smokers in the personal services and professional and re- lated services industries. Percentages for the other industries listed in appendix tables are similar, as shown in the following tabixlation:

Percentage of female regular cigarette smokers

Percent Manufacturing 31 Wholesale and retail trade 32 Personal services 24 Professional and related services 26 Public administration 32 Agricultural, forestry, and fisheries 1/ 9 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 1/ 33 Finance, insurance, and real estate 1/ 33 Business and repaJLr services 1/ 36

1/ Not listed in appendix tables because of insufficient sample cases to show income detail. —

- 35 -

Based on the full sample, 29 percent of all employed women (all indus- tries) regularly smoke cigai^ttes, compared with 22 percent for women who are not employed. This comparison should be distinguished from that presented in the age-income discussion, showing approximately equal proportions of smokers 24-25 percent—among women with inccMne and those with no income. A substantial number of women receiving income derive it from such sources as pensions, annu- ities, and investments, not from wages or other earnings. At the time of the survey, such persons nijmbered approximately 8^ million.

The higher percentage of regular smokers among employed females may indicate a greater tendency towards smoking on the part of women working away from home than of housewives and others mainly occupied at home. On the other hfiuad, the higher percentage may be an age phencanenon, as a larger proportion of employed wcmen probably fall in the age span in which the highest percent- ages of smokers are found.

Cigars

Age . —Among all males with money income, 6 percent regularly smoke cigars. The proportion among males in the "no income class," weighted heavily by men 55 years and older, is 4 percent.

Table 11.— Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly, by age and income, February 1955

Income class

With money income ' • N^ All Age •$7,000 •money in- : group Under .$1,000- :$2,000- :$3,000-'.$4,000- $5,000- ' and All in- ' comes

: $1,000 . . . ' 1,999 2,999 3,999 4,999 6,999 over • come

: Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

18-24 : 1.4 0.7 1.8 U 1/ 2/ 1.0 1.0 25-34 : 2.7 .5 2.7 3.9 4.5 3.9 1/ 3.2 ( ) 3.1

35-44 : 5.0 5.7 3.6 4.8 6.4 3.9 5.1 4.8 (5.4) 4.8

45-54 : 3.1 6.0 5.2 6.0 7-1 9.7 12.1 7.^ ( ) 7.5

55-64 : 7.7 8.6 7-5 10.3 12.0 6.1 14.1 9.2 ( ) 9.4 65 & 10.6 7.2 9.2 over : 7.2 12.3 10.2 3/8.4 hJ V 9.3

All 4,1 ages : 4.9 6.3 4.8 5.8 6.7 5.6 8.5 6.0 5.8

1/ Too few cases in saarple, 2/ No persons in sample. 3/ Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. tj Combined with $4, 000-$4, 999 class. . .

- 36 -

The proportion varies from 5 percent among those receiving less than $1,000 to 8-2 percent among those in the $7^000 and over class. The associa- tion of proportion smoking with incane appears most pronounced in the two age groups including men 45-64. In the 45-5^ age group, the percentage regularly smoking cigars increases from 3 percent for those receiving less than $1,000 to 12 percent for those receiving $7,000 and over. In the 55-64 age group, the comparable increases are frcm 8 percent to l4 percent.

Survey data show clearer evidence of a relationship of cigar smoking with age than with incane. The proportion smoking cigars rises as age advances, and the highest percentages are generally foiind among those 45 years and older. Among men in this age group, 8j percent regularly smoke cigars ccmpared with a little more than 3 percent for those under 45.

Statistical analysis of the relationship between the percentage of regular cigar smokers and income and age tends to confirm the importance of age as a deteming factor. Results show that the proportion rises as incane increases, after allov/ing for the effect of age, and it rises as age increases, after allowing for the effect of income. But 73 percent of the total varia- tion in proportions regularly smoking cigars is associated with average age, after allo"id.ng for the effect of income. Only 28 percent of the total varia- tion is associated -^Tith the level of income, after allowing for the effect of a^e. The two factors explain 77 percent of the variation. Results of the analysis are shown graphically in figure 10. (For details of the analysis, see p. l80.)

The -^d-de variation in prices and sizes of cigars may be one reason for the apparent lack of close relationship between income and percentage of males regulajTly smoking cigars. Among certain of the lower income groups, cigar

smoking is preferred for prestige or for occupational reasons . The varying quality of cigars as a complicating factor is discussed elsewhere in this bulletin in connection with the analysis of rates of cigar smoking, beginning

on p . 74

Region .- Considering males of all incomes, the Northeast has the largest percentage of regular cigar smokers (7 percent) , while the West has the smallest percentage (4 percent) . In income classes of $2,000 and over, there is a tendency for the Northeast to have proportionately more and the West to have proportionately less regular cigar smokers than the other regions.

Statistical analysis provides substantiating evidence that the percent- of males who regularly smoke cigars varies significantly between regions Analysis indicates, however, that considered as a set, percentages by income classes \7ithin regions do not differ by a statistically significant amoimt. Judging from statistical measures obtained, variation between regions is apparently more pronounced than between income classes. (See appendix table 113.) - 37 -

PROPORTION OF MALES WHO SMOKE CIGARS REGULARLY IN RELATION TO INCOME AND AGE From an Analysis Based on 1955 Survey Dafa* PERCENT SMOKING 1 1 1 Xl.3 Adjusted for age

1 1 1

12 • • ~ •

8 • • • T^ • 4 ^ • • • M DOTS REPRESENT INDIVIDUAL AGE GROUPS ~

1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 6 8 10 12 ANNUAL PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.)-X2

^1.2 '. ' ' 16 r^\j^l{ W9I ^\A \J\ l\l\.\J lEICf

• • 12 • - • 1 --^^ • • 8 • • • - • ---^ • • 4 f DOTS REPRESENT INDIVIDUAL INCOME CLASSES " I

1 1 1 1 1 1 U -' 1 20 30 40 50 60 70 8

AGE ( YEARS)-X3

* MALES )8 YEARS OLD AND OVER

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. 3797-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE Figure 10. —Age differences are much more important thaji income differences in affect- ing the proportions of males vho smoke cigars regularly. The age factor explained nearly three-fourths of the total variation, after allowing for the effect of income. The percentage of reguleir cigar smokers rises with increasing age, after allowing for the effect of income. Hiere Is a slight relationship between the percentage of regu- lar cigeir smokers and income, after a3J.ovd.ng for the effect of age. Proportions are laxgest at the higher income levels. .

- 38-

Table 12.- Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly, "by region and income, February 1955

Region

• • • IncOTie * Northeast • North Centra.!, South West ft • •

: Percent Percent Percent Percent

. Under $1,000 : 6,0 6.7 3.1 6.3

$1,000- 1,999 . : 6.8 7.0 5.2 6.2

2,000- 2,999 . 5 6.U 3.6 5.0 2.0

3,000- 3,999 . : 7.3 h.l 5.6 3.9 it, i+,999 000- . : 10.2 h.9 6.8 2.9

5,000- 6,999 . : 5.0 6.2 7.7 2.2 7,000 and over: 9.8 6.2 10.5 e.h

All 1/ : 7.3 5.5 5.U if.i

1/ Includes those vith no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Residence .- The largest proportion of regular cigar smokers (6^ percent) is found among men in urban areas. The lowest proportion (about 3 percent) is found among men on farms. The proportion among rural nonfarm men—52 per- cent--is closer to the urban percentage than it is to the farm figure.

In the main, place of residence appears to be more pronounced as the

cause of variation than income differences . Among urban men, the percentage of regular cigar smokers in the class of $7,000 and over (10 percent) is higher than in other income classes

Table I3.- Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence Rural Income \ • Urban • Nonfarm Farm • Percent Percent Percent

None : k,h 3.0 3.1 Under $1,000 .. .: 6.9 k.l 2.6

81,000- 1,999 : 7.1 7.1 3.0

2,000- 2,999 •• 5.6 3.8 2.9 5.J^ 3,000- 3,999 1 6.7 k,l

if, 000- ii,999 : 6.9 7.0 1/1.7

5,000- 6,999 : 5.^ 2j5.h 3/ 7,000 and over ,..,.; 10.1 y 3/

All ...,,...: 6.5 5.6 2,« $i+,000 $if, 000 1/ and over. 2/ $5,000 and over . 3/ Combined with -$4,999 .

- 39 -

Occupation . —Survey data Indicate that the highest proportions of regular cigar smokers (about 9 percent) are found in such videly different occupations as managers, officials, and proprietors on the one hand, and service workers on the other. The lovest proportions (from 3 to 6 percent) are found among farmers and farm managers, operatives, clerical workers, and sales workers.

Only in a few instances within occupations does there appear to be a significant association in proportions smoking with income. But varying quality, as well as other determining factors such as age, undoubtedly are complications that obscure income relationship.

Table Ik. —Proportion of males, l8 years and over, vdio smoke cigars regularly, by occupation and income, February 1955

Income class All Major occupation incomes group Under $3,000- $5,000- $7,000 1/ $3,000 ^.999 6,999 and over] Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers 2.0 8.7 5.2 8.2 6.5 Managers, officials, and pro- prietors, except farm 8.0 6.0 8.5 12.5 8.9 Clerical and kindred 3.6 6.8 2/2.7 3/ 5.1 Salesworkers 6.3 8.9 2/2.3 3/ 5.6 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 5.8 6.k 5.2 7-9 6.1 Operatives and kindred workers 3.^ h.6 3.9 Service workers, except private household 11. k/6.1 5/ 8.6 Laborers, except farm and mine 3. 5/8.7 6.1 Farmers and farm managers 6/ . 3.1 "k/h.k I 1^ 3-3

1/ Includes those with no income. 2/ $5,000 and over. 3/' Combined with $5,000-$6,999 class, t/ $3,000 and over. 5/ Combined with $3,000-$U,999 class. "o/ No regular cigar smokers were reported among farm laborers and foremen in the income sample.

Industry . —Percentages of regular cigar smokers in the various indus- tries are too close to detect statistically significant differences among many of them. Proportions are apparently highest in (l) finance, insurance, and real estate; (2) public administration; and (3) business and repair - ko -

services. They appear to be lowest in agriculture, forestry and fisheries and in mining, as indicated in the following tabulation:

Percentage of regular cigar Major industry group smokers

Percent

Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries 3 Mining k Construction 7 Manufacturing 5 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 6 Wholesale and retail trade 6 Finance, insurance, and real estate 10 Business and repair services 8 Personal services 6 Professional and related services 5 Public administration 8

Pipes

Age . —Regular smokers of pipes apparently consist of two groups: (l) Those who smoke pipes primarily for economic reasons. Generally pipe smoking is the least expensive form of smoking. Predominant in this group are men ^5 years of age and over with incomes of less than $2,000 a year. (2) Those who regularly smoke pipes because they favor this form for other than economic reasons. This group consists, among others of professional, managerial, or similar higher-income persons who smoke pipes either exclusively or in combi- nation with other forms.

Owing to this apparent dichotomy, it is difficult to discern a uniform effect of income on proportions of regular pipe smokers. Though summary per- centages for "all ages" in table 15 suggest an inverse relationship between pipe smoking and income, they reflect differences in age as well as income. Older men, among whom pipe smoking is more prevalent, tend to predominate in the "no income" and lower-income classes. .

- kl -

Table 15 . —Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly, by age and income, February 1955

Income class With money income Age No All $7,000: in- group Under $1,000- $2,000- $3,000- $4,000- $5,000- money and : All in- comes $1,000 1,999 2,999 3,999 4,999 6,999 ever : come

Pet . Pet Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

18-2 1+ 2.1 1.3 1.7 6.8 .1/ 1/ 2/ 3.2 3.9 3.4 25-3^^ 1.8 3.8 4.7 4.1 4.8 2.8 1/ 3.7 ^ ) 3.8 35-hh 6.0 4.1 4.8 9.2 7.0 7.4 4.9 6.6 ( ) 6.4

45-54 13.8 3.8 6.3 8.0 8.4 8.0 6.1 7.7 ( 7.2) 7.8 10.8 55-64 i4.o 9.1 10.7 9-5 10.1 8.8 10.6 ( ) 10.6 65 and over 15.6 18.5 21.0 6.3 3/14.8 4/ 4/ 16.1 26.4 16.8

All ages 9.9 8.5 8.2 6.4 7.3 7.1 6.2 7.6 11.3 7.8

1/ Too few cases in sample. 2/ No persons in sampled 3/ Income class in- eludes those receiving $4,000 and over. 4/ Combined with $4, 000-$4, 999 class. Of all males with income, about 8 percent smoke pipes regularly com- pared with 11 percent among those with no income. Among those receiving less than $1,000, about 10 percent regularly smoke pipes; in the $7,000 and over bracket, the proportion is 6 percent. Within age groups, among those 18-44 no clear association appears be- tween proportions smoking and income. Among those 45 and over, the highest percentages generally appear in income classes of less than $2,000. There is relatively little variation at incomes above this level among those 45-64. The highest proportion of regular pipe smokers--26 percent—appears to be among men 65 and over reporting no money income. Like cigar smoking, pipe smoking is more prevalent among older men. Within income classes, the proportion regularly smoking pipes tends to in- crease with age, and the higher proportions are usually found among those 55 and over.

The importance of age as a factor affecting the proportion of men smoking pipes regularly is shown by statistical analysis. Results show that the percentage increases with age. The age factor e3q)lained about two-thirds of the variation in proportions smoking pipes regularly, after allo^jlng for the effect of income. Differences in income had no statistically significant effect, although the derived sign suggests that the proportion who regularly smoke pipes goes down with increasing income (figure 11). (See p. 181 for details of the analysis.) - us -

PROPORTION OF MALES WHO SMOKE PIPES REGULARLY IN RELATION TO INCOME AND AGE From an Analysis Based on 1955 Survey Data* PERCENT SMOKING" Adjusted for age "1.3 15

10

DOTS REPRESENT INDIVIDUAL AGE GROUPS

2 4 6 8 10 12 - ANNUAL PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.) X ^

'^1.2 Adjusted for income 20

15

10

5 DOTS REPRESENT INDIVIDUAL INCOME CLASSES

40 50 60 AGE (YEARS) - X3

4< MALES 18 YEARS OLD AND OVER

3798-57(1) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. Flgiire 11. —Age is the most influential factor affecting the proportion of males who smoke pipes regxilarly. This factor explained two-thirds of the total variation, after allov/ing for the effect of income. The percentage of regular pipe smokers rises with increasing age, after allowing for the effect of income. There is little relationship between the percentage of regiilar pipe smokers and inccme, after allow- ing for the effect of age. .

- h3 -

Region . —The North Central and Northeast regions have the highest pro- portions of regiilar pipe smokers, 9 percent and 8-| percent, respectively. The West and South have the lowest, about 7 percent and 6 percent, respectively. The North Central and Northeast regions show some tendency to have the highest percentages in individual income classes

Comparison of individual pairs of percentages provides some evidence of statistically significant differences between regions in a number of instances. Statistical tests indicate that considered as a set, percentages by income class differ significantly between regions. Although within regions there are statistically significant differences between some individual pairs of percen- tages, considered as a set, differences between income classes are not stati- stically significant. (See appendix table 11^.)

Table l6. —Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly, by region and income, February 1955

Region

Income Northeast South West

: Percent Percent Percent Percent

Under $1,000 : 8.3 I3.8 8.0 9-9

$1,000-1,999 : 12.0 12.0 k.k 6.0

2,000-2,999 ; 9.3 9.9 5.5 8.9

3,000-3,999 « : 7.0 7-1 6.6 3.9 4,000-U,999 .,.: 10.0 6.6 5.^ 6.3

5,000-6,999 : 6.h 6.5 6.7 8.7

7,000-and over : k.l 9.I 1.6 8.9

- .. —

II I I II I l I I ^11 II I ^ IBII ^Mll —! -M !! —

Alll/.... : 8.5 9.1 5.9 7.2

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Residence . —The highest proportion of regular pipe smokers™10 percent — is found among fartn men. Anong rural nonfarm and urban residents, the pro- portions are 8 percent and 7 percent, respectively.

In income classes under $^,000, there is a suggestion that the propor- tions of regxilar pipe smokers decline with increasing degree of urbanization. Although in each residence, the percentages are generally highest among those with incomes under $2,000, they are largest among rural farm men in these in- come classes. In each residence, proportionately more regular pipe smokers are among those with no income of their own than among almost any other Income category. .

- hk -

Table 17. —Proportion of males, l8 years and over, ^o smoke pipes regularly, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence

Income : : Rural Urban

; Nonfarm : Farm

Percent Percent Percent

None 11.3 10. i^ 11.7

Under J 51, 000 . 7.5 9.9 13.0

$1,000- 1,999 . 7.7 9.0 10.5

2,000- 2,999 . 8.2 8.9 7.2

3,000- 3,999 . 5.8 7.7 9.7

4,000- U,999 . : 7.0 7.^ 1/5.9 5,000- 6,999 . 7.5 5.7 ^ 7,000 and over 6.k 3-0 2/

All 7.3 8.0 10.il

1/ $U,000 and over. 2/ Combined with $i|,000-$i+,999 class.

Occupation . —Except in the case of farmers and farm workers, survey data do not indicate any significant occupational differences in proportions of those smoking pipes regularly, when all income classes combined are con- sidered. Whereas 10 percent of farmers and farm workers regularly smoke pipes, the proportion among the other occupations ranges fairly narrowly between 5 and 7 percent.

Within occupations, no clear relation with income appears, except for seme indication of an inverse relation for salesworkers - k^ -

Table l8. —Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly, by occupation and income, February I955

Major occupation group

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers 8.7 3.7 8.1 5.7 6.3 Managers, officials, and pro- prietors, except tavm 5.2 6.7 6.9 7.7 6.4 Clerical and kindred 4.0 6,k 2/3.2 3/ 5.3 Salesworkers 9.6 3.1 2/4.2 5.2 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 6.7 7.3 4.3 6.7 Operatives and kindred workers 5.1 7.6 8.1 4.2 6.8 Service workers, except private households 7.1 V5.9 6.3 Laborers, except farm and mine 7.2 1; 6.1 Farmers, farm managers, foremen, and laborers 11.0 !t/7A ^ ^ 10.0

1/ Includes those with no income. 2/ $5,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $5,000-$6,999 class. 4/$3,000 and over. 5/ Combined with $3,000-$4,999 class,

Industry . —The highest proportion of regular pipe smokers (10 percent) is found in the industry classified as agriculture, forestry, and fisheries, the lowest (3 percent) in the personal services industry. Little difference is found in percentages in the other industries, which amount to 6 or 7 percent as indicated in the following tabulation: Percentage of regular pipe Major industry group smokers

Percent Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries 10 Mining 6 Construction 6 Manufacturing 7 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 7 Wholesale suad retail trade 6 Finance, insurance, and real estate 6 Business and repair services 6 Personal services 3 Professional and related services 7 Public administration 6 ) — — —

. 46 -

Occasional Smokers

Cigetrettes, Male Stookers

The percentage of men who smoke cigeirettes occasionally does not appear to be associated vith level of income, or differences in age, regional location, urban-rural residence, occupation, or industry. Considered by age, percentages generally range narrowly between 3 snd 5 percent. Results from a statisticeQ. analysis show that age differences have no effect whatsoever, after allowing for the effect of income, and income differences account for only a small part of the total variation—about 11 percent. (See p. 178 for details of the anal- ysis.)

Table 19. —Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by age and inccane, February 1955

Income class

With money inccHne> All Ase No * "in — group money comes :$7,000 Under •$1,000- ^2,000- $3;000- $4,000-= $5,000- in- • 1/ and All $1,000 1,999 2,999 4,999 'come ; 3,999 : 6,999 : over

Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet, Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

18-24 ' 6.5 5.8 .7 7.0 5.2 5.1

25-34 . 2.8 3.2 1.9 4.7 3.6 4.7 3.8 3.6 35-44 5.6 3.4 3.8 4.3 3.4 3.5 1 3.7 ( ) 3.9 45-54 • 4.4 2.3 5.6 3.5 3.6 6.5 3.8 4.3 (6.4) 4.4 55-64 9.4 2.8 5.0 5.0 3.4 4.1 2.9 4.9 ( ) 4.8 65 and' over 3.7 5.8 7.9 2.4 — —— —— 4.3 1.0 4,6

All ages 5.2 4.1 4.0 4.4 3.4 4.5 3.1 4,2 4.2 4.2

1/ Based on full sample. 2/ Too few cases in sample. 3/' No persons in sample.

Considered by region, percentages for "all incomes" range from about 4 to 4 1/2 percent. Statistical analysis confirms that differences between regions and between income classes are not statistically significant. (See appendix table 115 • . :

- ^7 -

Table 20.- -Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by region and income, February 1955

[ Region

• Incixne •

: Northeast : North Central : South West

• • • •

; Percent Percent Percent Percent

... Under $1,CXX) : 5.5 4.2 5.7 5.6 $1,000- 1,999 ... 7.9 3.6 2.9 2.2

2,000- 2,999 ... ; 4.1 3.9 3.2 6.9 ..." 3,000- 3,999 : 5.0 3.7 3.7 6.2 ...' 4,000- 4,999 : 3.5 3.6 4.2 2.3 5,000- 6,999 ...: 4.1 2.8 8.7 4.5 7, 000 and over . 5.0 2.1 3.7 1.3

rvJ.X ±^l ••••••••! 4.5 3.9 4.5 ^^.3

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. Based on fxill sample.

Table 21. —Proportion of maJ.es, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence Rural Income Urban \ Nonfarm Farm

: Percent Percent Percent

None ' 3.1 1.5 8.6

Under $1,000 ... : 5.2 3.5 6.3 $1,000- 1,999 ... 3.9 4.6 4.3 3.0 2.6 2,000- 2,999 ... t 4,7 3,000- 3,999 ...' 5.2 1.9 5.4 4,000- 4,999 ... 3.3 4.1 1/1.7 ...' 9.2 ~ 5,000- 6,999 : 3.7 '^, 7,000 and over .• 3.1 3.4 2/

• 4.1 4.6 All 3/ : 4.3

1/ $4,000 and oveiT "27 Combined with $4,000-$4,999 class. JTlased on full sample ;'

. 48 -

Table 22. —Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by occupation and income, February 1955

; InccHne class

• : All

- Major occupation group : Under : $3,000-': $5,000-: $7,000 1 incomes

< ' : • :and over: $3,000 ! 4,999 6,999 i/

: 9 4

! Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers. : k.8 k.7 6.2 k,9 k.d Managers, officials, and pro-

. urietors exceDt farm ...... ••. : 4.1 4.5 5.6 2.4 3.9

Clerical and kindred ...... '. 3.5 4.2 2/1.4 3/ 3.8 Salesworkers ' 5.1 4.0 2/3.8 3/ 4.5

Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred ! workers ...... ' 2.3 ^.1 5.0 1.3 3.9 . Operatives and ki ndred workers . 3.5 4.4 2.2 7.0 3.9 Service workers, except private * household ...: 5.1 4/1.9 5/ 5/ 3.9 Laborers , except farm and mine . . 6.1 5/3.9 5/ 5/ 3'h

Farmers, farm managers, foremen, ;

! 4A.7 r/ s/ U..f> and laborers 4.7 • ' f '-' 1 ^' ^'

1/ Includes those with no income. Based on full sample. 2/ $5,000 and over, 3/Combined with $5,000-$6,999 class. 4/ $3,000 and over. 5/ Cmbined with f3,000-$4,999 class.

Considered by industry, proportions range narrowly between 3 QJ^^d 5 Per- cent, as indicated in the following tabulation:

Percentage of male occasional Major industry gi'oup cigarette smokers Percent Agricult\are, forestry, and fisheries 5 Mining 3 Construction 5 Manufacturing 4 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 4 Wholesale and retail trade 4 Finance, insurance, and real estate 5 Business and repair services 5 Personal services 5 Professional and related services 5 Public administration 4 •'

^9 -

Cigarettes, Female Smokers

Age —The highest proportions of occasional cigarette smokers, about 5 percent, appear to exist among younger women (18-3I1 years), and the smallest proportion, about 1 percent, among women 65 years and over. No clear relation- ship with income is apparent, althoiogh proportions in income classes $2,000 and over tend to be higher than in lower-income brackets.

Table 23 —Proportion of females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by age and income, February 1955

Income class

: With money income ; All Age No incomes group • : Under I $1,000- $2,000- : $3,000- money 1/ ' All • ' : $1,000 : 1,999 : 2,999 :and over inccane

: Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent l8-2i^ ...< 6.2 k.O 11.6 2/ I'h k.l 5.1

25-3^ ... : 8.2 3.6 5.6 5TI 5.9 k.9 5.0 35-^ ...* k.O 3.6 5.9 7.9 5.1 3.5 k.3 i+5-5^ ...• 2.7 3.2 8.3 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 55-64 ...- 2.3 3.6 7.6 5.0 k.O 2.8 3.0 65 and . over . . .6 --— 2.8 2/ .7 1.3 1.3

All ages . 3.5 3.2 7.4 5.B 4.5 3.7 3.9

1/ Based on full sample. 2/ Too few cases in sample.

Region. The percentage of female occasional smokers in the various income classes does not vary significantly between regions. Statistical analysis indicates that differences in income are more pronounced than regional ones. (See appendix table 3J.6.) ;

- 50 -

Table 2^. —Proportion of females, l8 years and over, who smoke cigeirettes occasionally, by region and income, February 1955

' Region Income

; Northeast : North Central : South : West

Percent Percent Percent Percent

None ; 2.9 k.k 4.2

Under $1,000 . ..; 3.2 2.8 3.8 U.l $1,000- 1,999 ..." 3.3 3-3 2.7 3.7 2,000- 2,999 •..: 10.9 k.2 6.9 4.7

3 , 000 and over . 6.5 5-5 7.3 3.4

All l/ ; 5.0 3.3 3.6 3.B

1/ Based on full sample.

Residence . --As in the case of regular smokers, the percentage of farm women who smoke cigarettes occasionally is lower than that among urban and rural nonfarm women. Differences appear primarily in the "no income" and "under $1,000" classes; these classes account for a larger proportion of farm wcjmen than of the other two groups.

Table 25. --Proportion of females, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence Rural Income Urban \ Nonfarm Farm

: Percent Percent Percent

' None i 3.7 4.1 2.8

Under ;>1,000 ... : 4.0 2.9 1.8 ... $1,000- 1,999 : 3.3 3.2 1/3.3 2,000- 2,999 ... 8.1 4.1 K 3,000 and over . : 6.1 3.9 2/ - 4,000 and over . : 2.9 — 1/

All 3/ \ h.h 3.3 2.0

1/ $1,000 and over 2/ Combined with $1,000-$1,999 class 3/ Based on full sample. .

- 51-

Occupation . —Siorvey data do not provide clear evidence of significant occupational differences in percentages of females who occasionally smoke cigarettes.

Table 26- —Proportion of females, l8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally, by occupation and income, February 1955

Incaae class All

Major occupation group Under ; $1,000-: $2,000-: $3:. 000 incomes

$1,000 : 1,999 : 2,999 'and over: 1/

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers. -.»_-.6.2 — 8,2 5.0 Clerical and salesworkers 3.2 6.6 8.0 5.i^

Operatives and kindred workers . 2.8 k.2 3.9 3^h 3.3 Private household workers 3.9 ..1.2 k.Q Service workers, except private household 2.6 6.5 -6.5- h.3

All occupations 2/ TTf 3»B 5TF "^TT hTf

1/ Includes those with no income. Based on full sample. 2/ Includes the following occupations, data for which are not shown separately because of small number of persons involved: Farmers and farm managers; managers, officials, etc.; craftsmen, foremen, etc.; farm laborers; and laborers, except farm and mine.

Industry . --There is generally little variation in the proportion of female occasional cigarette smokers found in the various industries. This is seen from the following:

Percentage of female occasional Major industry group cigarette smokers ^6^ cent tenufacturing 5 Wholesale and retail trade Personal services k Professional and related services - - 5 Public administration .5 Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries 1/ Transportation, communication, and other public utilities l/ 6 Finance, insurance, and real estate 1/ 5 Business and repair services l/ k

17" Not listeTTn appendix tables because of insufficient sample cases to show income detail. - 52 -

Cigars

Age . —Numerically, men who occasionally smoke cigars are second to regular cigarette smokers. Sixteen percent of all males l8 years and over, or about 1 out of 6, occasionally smoke cigars. Occasional cigar smokers out- number regular cigar smokers by nearly three to one.

No clear relationship of age with percentages of occasional cigar smokers is indicated among men of equal incomes. Income level has some effect; the percentages in brackets of $2,000 or $3,000 and above tend to be higher than those with lower income levels. For all ages combined, percentages range from 17 to 19 percent for inccanes of $2,000 and above, compared with

about 12 percent for incomes of less than $2,000. /

Statistical analysis indicates that incane and age explain only a small percentage of the variation in proportions of occasional cigar smoiiers. Analy- sis shows the proportion rising as income increases. But only 33 percent of the total variation in proportions smoking occasionally is associated with the level of income, and no relationship vrith age is indicated. (See p. l80 for details of the analysis.

Table 27.- Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke cigsurs occasionally, by age and income, February 1955

1 Income class All Age With money income • No in- group money : $7,000 : comes Under •$1,000- •$2,000- •$3,000 -•$U,ooo- $5,000- in- • : and : All

$1,000 : 1,999 : 2,999 4,999 6,999 come ; ; 3,999 ; : over

: Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

18-24 ': 8.0 9.7 li^.2 1^.3 1/ 1/ H 11.4 (2.7) 10.3 25-3^ 16.1 15.2 15.0 17.5 20.9 20.8 1/ 18.1 ( ) 18.0

16. i+ 33 -hk : 11.9 10.6 17.8 19.6 20.8 19.9 17.8 ( ) 17.5

45-5U : 16.2 10.6 18.2 21.5 18.6 17.6 22.7 18.6 (6.8) 18.4 9.i^ 55-6U : 12.2 13.9 17.0 15.1 lU.l 15.0 l4.0 ( ) 13.7 65 and: 14.8 over : 12.6 13.9 21.8 12.6 3/15.3 V V 14.4 20.3

All : 12. eLges : if 11.9 16.7 18.2 18.1 19.4 18.7 16.4 9.2 16.2

1/ Too few cases in sample. 2/ No persons in sample. 3/ Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. 4/'' Combined \rith $4,000-$4,999 class. .

- 53 -

Region .- The Northeast and North Central regions have proportionately the largest numbers of occasional cigar smokers. About l8 percent of males occasionally smoke cigars in those regions. The West, which has the smallest proportion of regular cigar smokers, also appears to rank last in proportion of occasional cigar smokers —13 percent. In each region, occasional cigar smokers are frcm two to three times as numerous as regular cigar smokers.

Some effect of income is apparent. In each region, percentages among those with incccies of $2,000 and above are generally substantially higher than those with lower incomes.

That significant differences exist both between regions and incomes is confirmed by statistical analysis. (See appendix table 11?.) Differences between income classes are somewhat more pronounced than between regions.

Table 28.- Proportion of males, l8 years and over, who smoke cigars occasionally, by region and inccsme, February 1955

Region

• Income •

: Northeast : North Central : South : West

• • • •

: Percent Percent Percent Percent

Under $1,000 : 13.0 14.1 11.8 8.8

$1,000- 1,999 : li^.3 13.1 11.3 6.9

2,000- 2,999 : 18.3 18.0 16.2 9.8 14.4 3,000- 3;999 : 17.5 20.2 18.5

4,000- U,999 : 19.9 17.2 17.2 17.8

5,000- 6,999 : 21.9 22.0 17.2 12.3 7,000 and over- 17.9 22.8 13.1 20.2

12.8 All 1/ : 17.7 18.0 14.3

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Residence.- In the main, no statistically significant differences appear in percentages of occasional cigar smokers rasiding in urban or rural communities. Generally, rural farm percentages are similar to those for other places of residence. But differences between income classes are apparent. As pointed out in our discussions of age and regional differences, percent- ages for incomes of $2,000 and above are higher than for inccmes below that amount 3

- ^h -

Table 29.- Proportion of males, l8 years and over, iTho smoke cigars occasionally, by residence and inccane, February 1955

Place of residence

Income : Rural Urban : Nonfarm Farm

: Percent Percent Percent

None : 10 A 11.1 ^.9

Under $1,000 : 11.1 12.3 14.0

J)1,000- 1,999 : 11.7 12.3 12.0

2,000- 2,999 : 17.0 18.1 13.2

3,000- 3,999 : 17.6 18,8 22.0 ii-,000- U,999 : 18. 1| 18. 1/19.0

5,000- 6,999 : 19.0 l8.lt 2/ 7,000 and over 18.8 20.3 2/

All l6.h 16.5 14.3 1/ $4,000 and over. 2/ Combined with $4,000-$4,999 class.

Occupation . - The highest proportions of occasional cigar smokers —19 to 21 percent —appear in such varying occupational groups as operatives, sales- vorkers, and managerial persons. The lowest proportion is evident for service workers. Only in craftsmen and operatives occupations is there a clear tendency for the proportion to increase with income.

Table 30.- Proportion of males, 18 years and over, who smoke cigars occasionally, by occupation and income, February 1955

Income class All in-

Major occupation group : Under : $3,000-: J)5,000- : $7,000 : comes

: $3,000 : 4,999 : 6,999 :£ind over: 1/

: Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers : 19.2 12.8 15.8 17.3 15.7

Managers, officials, and pro- :

prietors, except farm ; 16.7 21.2 18.0 16.8 18,3 Clerical and iiindred 14.4 11.0 2/18.1 3/ 15.5

Saleswork.ers : 19.9 16.6 2/21.4 3/ 19.3

Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred :

workers : 14.0 17.1 17.4 21.3 16.8

Operatives and kindred worlcers : 15.6 22.2 26,6 36.6 21.0

Service work.ers, except private :

household : 10.2 4/12,1 5/ 5/ 11.2

Laborers, except fami and mine : 16.0 4/17.8 5/ 5/ 16.8

Farmers, farm managers, :

laborers, and foremen : 13.9 4/18.2 5/ 5/ 14.4

1/ Includes those with no income, 2/ $5,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $5,000-$6,999 class because of insufficient cases. 4/ $3,000 and over. 5/ Combined v/ith $3,000-$4,999 class. - 55 -

Industry.- The proportions of occasional cigar smokers in most of the listed industries fall in a range of 16 to 19 percent, and often do not differ from one another hy a statistically significant amount. The percentages are as follows:

Percentage of Major industry group occasional cigar smokers Percent Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 11+ Mining j^q Construction I8 Maniifaxjturing ^.Q Transportation, communication, and other public utilities I9 \«Jholesale and retail trade 17 Finance,. insiJirance, and real estate 16 Business and repair services I8 Personal services 13 Professional and related services 16 Ptiblic administration I7

Pipes

Age .- Next to regular cigarette smokers and occasional cigar smokers, occasional smokers of pipes comprise the highest proportion of males--about 10 percent. The pattern in proportions of occasional pipe smokers is opposite to that of regular pipe smokers. The highest proportions of the former tend to he found among the middle- and high-income groups and among those under ^5 years of age. The smallest proportion is among men 65 years and over, among whom regular pipe smokers are more numerous.

Statistical analysis indicates that differences in average age and in- come explain somewhat more than half of the total variation in proportions of occasional pipe smokers. These two factors are associated with 55 percent of the total variation, age apparently being somewhat more influential than income in explaining differences. Analysis shows that the proportion rises with increasing income, after allowing for the effect of age, and declines with advancing age, after allowing for the effect of incone. These changes are opposite to those indicated in a similar analysis on proportions of regular pipe smokers. (See p. 4l ) ) .

- 56 -

TaSie 31. —^Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes occfiLSionally, "by age and income, February 1955

' Income class •

With money income All Age No m- group =$7,000 money

. Under $1,000- : $2,000- .$3,000- $4,000- .$5,000- • in- : and 'All ' come :$1,000: 1,999 . 2,999 3,999 4,999 6,999 over

Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet . Pet Pet.

18-24 ! 6.6 7.8 12.5 13.6 1/ ^^ 9.5 5.1 8.9 25-34 13.0 9.9 11.3 10.2 14.9 18.1 1/ 12.9 ( ) 12.9

. 35-^4 5.6 9.8 11.5 12.6 10.2 16.6 17.5 12.6 ( ) 12.6

^5-54 : 7.5 9.1 10.1 9.0 13.0 13.3 15.8 11.3 (7.9) 11.1

55-64 7.9 6.0 8.5 9.0 9.9 5.8 6.1 7.8 ( ) 7.8 65 & •

over . 5.^ 5.9 5.7 2.4 3/6.8 V y 5.4 1.5 5.1 All ages 6.9 7.8 10.1 10.1 12.3 14.8 13.0 10.6 5.1 10.3

1/ Too few cases in san^jle. 2/ No persons in sample. 3/ Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. %l Combined with $4,000-$4,999 class.

Region . —The West is the region of proportionally fewest occasional pipe smokers (7 percent), and the Northeast and North Central regions appear to contain the highest proportions (11-12 percent). Within regions, parti- cularly the Northeast and North Central, percentages tend to be higher in the upper income brackets.

StatisticsLl analysis tends to substantiate the existence of significant differences in percentages between regions and also between incomes. (See appendix table II8 . -

- 57 -

Tabic 32.—Proportion of males, I8 years and over, who smoke pipes occasionally, by region and income, February I955

' ] jacome Resion

: Northeast : North Central : South V7est : Percent Percent Percent Percent

Under $1,000 : 11.5 9.0 k.k 3.8 $1,000- 1,999 : 7.9 6.3 8.8 8.2

• 2,000- 2,999 : 9.6 10.3 11.7 6.1 3,000- 3,999 10.6 11.8 9.0 7.1 1^,000- ^,999 12.6 12.5 13.7 9.2

5,000-• 6,999 : 17.3 15.3 15.7 8.1

7,000 and over ; 18.3 lk.6 9.7 5.5

All. x/ ; 11.9 11.3 9.4 6.9 1/ Includes tho£56 with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Residence. --Statistically significant differences apparently do not exist in the proportions of men living in urban or rural communities as far as occasional pipe smoking is concerned. In most income classes, differences axe small enough to have arisen from sampling variability. But within place of residence, percentages in income brackets of $2,000 and above tend to be higher than at lower income levels.

These findings tend to be confirmed by statistical analysis, which shows that differences between places of residence are not significant but differences between income classes are significant. (See appendix table II9.)

Table 33. —Proportion of males, 18 years and over, ^o smoke pipes occasionally, by residence and income, February 1955

: Place of residence

• Income • Rural * TTf'hfln

: Nonfarm • Farm Percent Percent Percent

' None 5.0 3 7 6.2 Under $1,000 6.2 7.7 7.2 ni,000- 1,999 8.0 7.6 7.9 2,000- 2,999 9.5 12.3 9.0 3,000- 3,999 9.5 12.8 7.9

4,000- 4,999 : 12.2 12.8 1/16.8 5,000- 6,999 13.^ 18.3 ^ 7,000 and over ; 13.3 11.5 2/

All : 10.3 11.6 8.7 1/ $4,000 and over. 2/ Combined with $4,000-$4,999 class

k%:^ :

- 58 -

Occupation . —For all incomes combined, proportionately largest numbers of occasional pipe smokers are found among clerical and professional workers, and proportionately smallest numbers among service workers, and farmers and farm workers. Within the different occupational groups, occasional pipe smokers appear to outnumber regular pipe smokers except in the case of farmers and fajm workers.

Table 3^« —Proportion of males, l8 years and over^ who smoke pipes occasionally, by occupation and income, Februaiy 1955

Income class •All in- Major occupation group Under, $3,000-: $5,999-: 000 $7, • comes 1/

. ^3,000 : 4,999 : 6,999 : and over

. Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers '. 11.6 13.4 16.6 12.1 13.7 Managers, officials, and pro- prietors, except farm d.k 8.7 17.6 13.1 11.5 Clerical and kindred workers 13.2 13.7 2/21.0 3/ 15.1

Salesworkers . 9.8 12.4 2/14.7 2/ 12.5 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 11.4 10.9 11.2 14.9 11.3 Operatives and kindred workers Q.k 11.5 13.2 9.8 10.7 Service workers, except private

household : 8.3 4/6.0 5/ 5/ 7.0 Laborers, except farm and mine 10.0 4715.2 5/ 5/ 12.4 Farmers, farm managers, laborers a.nd foremen : 7.4 4/10,4 5/ 5/ 8.2

1/ Includes those with no income. 2/ $5,000 and over. 3/ Ccanbined with $5;000-$6,999 class. 4/ $3,000 and over. 5/ Combined with $3j000-$4,999 class.

ijSt^y.—Proportionately more occasional pipe smokers appear to exist in the follomng industries: Transportation, conmiuni cation, and other public utilities; professional and related services; and public administration. Proportionately fewest are found in personal services; agriculture, forestry, and fisheries (in which regular pipe smokers are more numerous); and mining. .

- 59 -

Other industries range narrowly between 10 and 12 percent, as indicated in the following tabulation:

Percentage of Major industry ^oup occasionsLL pipe smokers

Percent Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries B Mining 9 Construction 10 Manufacturing 12 Transportation, communication, and other

public utilities ill. Wholesale and retail trade 10 Finance, insurance and real estate 10 Business and repair services 12 Personal services 8 Professional and related services 13 Public administration 13

RATES OF SMOKING

Discussion of rates of smoking is based largely on three sets of tables, shown in this section and in Appendix B. One set, mostly appearing in Appendix B, give the percentage distribution of regular smokers of a product by rate of smoking. These tables serve to show changes in rates of smoking of regular smokers, cross-classified by income and other characteristics. The second set of tables, also mostly in Appendix B, show the percentage distribution of all smokers of a product, classified by frequency of smoking, that is, whether occasionally or regularly. Regular smokers of a product are those who smoke that product every day. Occasional smokers of a product are those who do not smoke it every day, but only once in a while. This set of tables is xiseful in showing the relative importance of regular as coiEpared with occasional smokers of the individual product.

The third set of tables, given with the discussion that follows, shows daily average consxanrption of each of the products. The estimated daily con- sumption is a weighted average; it is derived by weighting a midvalue deter- mined for each rate interval by the percentage of regular smokers falling within that interval = 6/ Such an average enables a ready comparison of smoking rates by reference to a single figure in units of product smoked instead of to percentages appearing in 3 or !* rate intervals.

Cigarettes

Male Smokers cigarette smokers smoke 10-20 ciga- jgi£g,, —The majority of gQ.1 regular rettes daily. This is true, regardless of age or income levels with some

See p. 210 for a fuller discussion of the method used to derive average consumption .

- 60 -

CIGARETTES SMOKED DAILY PER MALE REGULAR SMOKER, BY INCOME CLASS

% D\s\r\hu\\or\ of C\gare\ie Smokers

Under 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 7 7+ All* 1954 PERSONAL INCOME v($ THOUS.)

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL MALES. 18 YEARS AND OYER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY 1955 SURVEY. * INCLUDES "NO INCOME" GROUP.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4202-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

K-gore 12. —Of the men who smoke cigarettes regularly, the majority at all income levels smoke 10 to 20 dally. The proportion smoking more than 1 pack a day increases at each income level up to $14-, 000, but changes little at higher incomes. The proportion regularly smoking less than one-half pack a day is greater among smokers with inccanes under $2,000 than among those with inccHnes above this amount.

exceptions for smokers 65 and over. Considering all regular smokers, a fourth smoke 21 or more (over-a-pack) a day, but there are sharp differences by age. Younger smokers (l8-24 years) and older smokers (65 and over) have signifi- cantly smaller percentages of over-a-pack-a-day smokers than intermediate age groups, and this appears to be largely true regardless of income. Conversely, these younger and older smokers tend to have significantly larger percentages smoking 1-9 cigarettes (less than one-half pack) daily.

Higher percentages of over-a-pack-a-day smokers occur among those 25-5^« Of these, the 35-'^ age group appears to have the largest proportion of heavier smokers - 61 -

Table 35 . —Percentage distribution of male regvOar cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by age and income, February 1955

Income class Age group and All :$7,000 : ' dally smoking Under •$1,000-• •$2,000-••$3,000-•$4,000-•$5,000- incomes ': and : rate $1,000 : 1,999 : 2,999 ! 3,999 ; 4,999 ; 6,999 : over : i/

: Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. l8-2i^ years:

1- 9 cigarettes : 29 23 15 23 2/ 2/ 3/ 25 10-20 : 60 61 68 57 ^ 2/ V 59 Over 20 : 11 16 17 20 2/ 2/ 3/ 16

Total : 100 100 100 100 2/ 2/ 3/ 100

25-3^ years: 1- 9 cigarettes : 23 12 10 13 13 11 2/ 13 10-20 : 61 71 68 61 57 63 1^ 62 Over 20 : 16 17 22 26 30 26 2/ 25

Total : 100 100 100 100 100 100 2/ 100

35-^ years:

1- 9 cigarettes ! 21 25 12 12 9 11 16 13

10-20 : 53 51 65 57 61 54 54 56

Over 20 : 26 2k 23 31 30 35 30 31

Total . 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

^5-5^ years:

1- 9 cigarettes : 25 21 13 16 16 8 14 15

10-20 : 53 58 57 56 54 60 56 56

Over 20 : 22 21 30 28 30 32 30 29

Total : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

55-64 years:

1- 9 cigarettes . 36 17 17 20 21 15 8 21 10-20 : 51 62 5k 57 53 63 59 55

Over 20 : 13 21 29 23 26 22 33 24

Total ! 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

65 yeai's and over: : 1- 9 cigarettes . 1^2 38 40 32 4/23 5/ 5/ 36 10-20 51 k8 47 61 5/55 48 Over 20 7 Ik 13 7 4/22 r/ 1 16 Total 100 100 100 100 47100 5/ 5/ 100

All ages: 1- 9 cigarettes 29 21 15 16 l4 11 14 17 10-20 55 60 62 58 57 59 56 58 Over 20 16 19 23 26 29 30 30 25 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show sepa- rately. Based on full sample. 2/ Too few cases in sample to compute reliable percentage. 3/ No persons in sample. k/ Income class includes those receiving $4,000 and over. 5/ Combined with $4,0O0-$4,999 class because of insufficient cases. :

- 62 -

Table 36 . --Percentage distrilDution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, "by age and income, February 1955

Income class Age group and All :$7,000 kind of Under :$i,ooo-••$2,000- ;$3,ooo-••$4,000- •$5,000- incomes : and

smoker $1,000 : : 6,999 1,999 : 2,999 ; 3,999 : ^,999 : 1/ : over Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. 18-24 years: Occasional 12 9 1 10 9 Regulai 88 91 99 90 2/ 2/ 91

Total 100 100 100 100 2/ 2/ 3/ 100

25-34 years: Occasional 4 5 3 7 6 7 5 Regular 96 95 97 93 94 93 2/ 95

Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 2/ 100

35-44 years: Occasional 8 5 6 6 5 5 4 6 Regular 92 95 94 94 95 95 96 94

Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

45-54 years: Occasional 7 4 9 6 6 6 7

Regular : 93 96 91 94 94 89 94 93

Total : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

55-64 years Occasional '. 19 6 n 10 6 9 8 10

Regular : 81 94 89 90 94 91 92 90

Total . 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

65 years and over: Occasional '. 17 ?1 20 7 17

Regxolar : 83 79 80 93 4/100 r/ f/ 83

Total : 100 100 100 100 4/100 ?/ 5/ 100

All ages: 6" Occasional : 12 8 7 7 5 7 7

Regiolar : 88 92 93 93 95 93 94 93

Total : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of "whom are too few to shov sepa- rately. Based on full sample. 2/ Too few cases in sample. 3/ No persons in sample. 4/ Income class includes those receiving $4,CXX) and over. 5/ Combined with $4,000-4,999 class becar^e of too few cases. )

- 63 -

The rate of smoking tends to increase with income. In each age group, the percentages of over-a-pack-a-day smokers in the middle and upper income brackets are generally substantially higher than among those vlth lower in- comes. Among smokers, all ages ccxnbined, 29-30 percent of those receiving $4,000 and above smoke more than 1 pack a day, contrasted with I6-I9 percent for those receiving less than $2,000. Opposite changes occur in the per- centages of those smoking less than one-half pack a day.

Averaging consumption of those smoking at the various rates results in a weighted average of between 21 and 22 cigarettes for all men regular smokers of cigarettes, or somewhat more than a pack a day. Although regular smokers smoking one pack or less daily are three times as numerous as those smoking more than one pack a day, the heavier consumption rate of the latter raises the average for the smoking group as a \rtiole.

The average rate of smoking varies according to age, the lowest con- sumption appearing in the 18-24 group (19 cigarettes) and those 65 and over (18 cigarettes). As already pointed out, the heaviest rate of smoking occurs among those 25-54 years of age, where the average consumption of regular smokers is 22-23 cigarettes a day. When income is held constant, the 25-54 age group in nearly all instances has the highest average daily con- sumption. The range in average consumption for subgroups by age and income is from 15 to approximately 24 cigarettes daily, but for those 25-54, the range is narrower—from I9 to about 24.

In most a^e groups, average consumption tends to increase with income, and the highest consumption generally occurs in brackets above $4,000. For all ages combined, the increase is most marked as incomes rise to $5,000, but average consumption changes little at higher income levels. (An additional discussion of the effect of income and age on rates of cigarette smoking appears in the section, "Income Elasticity of Demand for Cigarettes," begin-

ning on p . 86.

Regular smokers comprise 93 percent of all male cigarette smokers, and occasional smokers the remaining 7 percent. Compared with regular smokers, occasional cigarette smokers app^r to be proportionately most numerous among men 65 years and over. The proportion is next highest among smokers 55-64 and 18-24.

.- Regular Cigarette Smokers , Cigarette-Only and Combination —More than nine-tenths of those smoking cigarettes regularly confine their regular smok- ing to cigarettes, and the rest smoke cigarettes in combination with other products regularly. Smokers who smoke only cigarettes regularly smoke more cigarettes daily than those who also regularly smoke cigars or pipes. Appar- ently those who regularly smoke cigars or pipes as well as cigarettes satisfy part of their tobacco need by means of these other forms of smoking.

The difference in nimiber of cigarettes consumed appears to be greatest among smokers 35 years and over, among \Aiam. the other forms of smoking are more .

-6k-

predominant than among yovtnger men (table 38) • From an income standpoint, the difference is greatest among smokers with income of less than $1,000 and

$7^000 and over (table 39) • The prevalence of pipes as a companion smolae in the first case, and of cigars and pipes in the second, may account for the sharper differences in number of cigarettes smoked.

Table 37* —Average daily consumption of male regular smokers of cigarettes, by age and income, February 1955 1/

Age group All » • • • . Xnconxe : 65 and :

: 18-24 : 25-34 : 35-44 : 55-64 ages > • • • : over : Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga-

: rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes

None '; 15.2 ^ 2/ 2/ 17.1 16.5 Under J>1,000 . 18.2 19.2 20.9 19.7 16.6 14.9 18.4 $1,000-1,999 19.1 20.4 20.9 20.4 19.8 16.8 19.8 2,000-2,999 20.2 21.9 21.5 22.7 21.5 16.3 21.3 3,000-3,999 20.2 21.8 23.2 21.7 20.2 16.9 21.7 4,ooo-ii-,999 22.9 23.5 22.5 20.9 ( ) 22.5 5,000-6,999 M 22.0 24.4 23.8 20.6 (19.6) 23.0 ov?2r : 7,000 and 2/ 22.0 22.5 22.5 23.2 ( ) 22.6 All inccanes 19.1 21.8 23.0 22.5 20.3 17.6 21.5

1/' Adjusted for bias attributable to non- self -response . 2/ No persons in sample. 2/ Too fevT persons in sample to show separately . 4/ Based on full sample.

Table 38.—Average daily consvmiption of cigarettes by regular cigarette-only and canbination smokers, by age, February 1955 1/

Form of regular Cigarettes and cigars Cigarettes only or pipes Cigarettes Cigarettes

18-24 19.1 18.9 25-34 22.2 21.2 35-44 23.1 20.6 45-54 22.8 18.5 55-64 20.6 17.7 65 and over 18.0 14.9

All ages "217^ 18.9' 1/ Based on full sample. Adjusted for bias attributable to non- self response - 65 -

Table 39. —Average daily consumption of cigarettes by regular cigarette-only and combination smokers, by income, February 1955 l/

: Form of regular smoking Income

[ Cigarettes and cigars : Cigarettes only ', or pipes

; Cigarettes Cigarettes

Under $1,000 !! 18.6 14.3

! $1,000-1,999 ! 19.8 18.2

2,000-2,999 : 21.4 18.5

3,000-3,999 : 21.6 21.2

4,000-4,999 : 22.7 19.8

5,000-6,999 : 23.2 21.1

7,000 and over : 23.1 18.2

All incomes 2/ : 21.8 18.9

1/ Adjusted for bias attributable to non-self-response. 2/ Includes those with no income. Based on full sample.

Region . —The Northeast appears to have a greater proportion of heavy cigarette smokers than other regions. Nearly a third of regxilar cigarette smokers in the Northeast smoke more than one pack a day. In each of the other regions, around a fourth smoke at that rate. (See appendix table 8I.)

Average daily consumption of regular smokers in the Northeast is nearly 23 cigarettes, compared with 21 in each of the other three regions. Within income classes, the Northeast tends to have the highest consumption; the re- lative position of the other regions varies. Within regions consumption tends to increase as income rises, and becomes highest usually among smokers whose incomes are $4,000 or more. . U

- 66 -

Table kO. —Average daily cons\;unption of male regialar smokers of cigarettes, by region and inccane, February 1955 l/

[ Region

Income

; Northeast ; North Central : South : West

: Cigarettes Cigarettes Cigarettes Cigarettes

- Under $1,000 : 21. 16.6 17.6 19.1 {)1,000- 1,999 20. if 19.3 20.0 19.0 2,000- 2,999 22.1 20.7 20.6 22.1 3,000- 3,999 ' 22.6 20.9 21.6 20.5

U,000- U,999 : 23.2 22.0 23.7 20.3 5,000- 6,999 23.6 23.2 22.3 22.8 7,000 and over ' 2if.8 22.5 21.it 21.3

All in- :

comes 2/ ; 22.8 20.9 21.0 20.9

1/ Adjusted for bias attributable to non-self -response. 2/ Includes those with no inccsne, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. Based on full sample.

Residence . —Men are heavier cigarette smokers, on the average, in urban and rural nonfarm groups than in the group living on farms. Twenty-seven per- cent of urban smokers and 2h percent of rural nonfarm smokers smoke over a pack a day, compared with I9 percent for men on farms. More farm men smoke 1-9 cigarettes daily than those who smoke over a pack a day. The opposite is true for urban and rural nonfarm smokers. (See appendix table 89.)

Urban smokers average about 22 cigarettes daily; smokers in rural non- farm areas average nearly as much. Smokers in farm areas average around 20 daily

The rates of smoking of rural nonfarm men tend to be more similar to the urban pattern than to that of rural farm men. This may be because many of those classified as "rural nonfarm" are employed in nearby urban COTmiinities, or are otherwise affected in smoking habits by frequent urban contact.

Considering those with income, smoking rates of men who receive less than $3,000 do not appear to be much different wherever they live. For men with incomes of $3,000 and over, urban males appear generally to smoke more heavily than those of comparable incomes in the rural areas. .

- 67 -

Table ^i-l. —Average daily consumption of male regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955 1/

. Place of residence

Income Rural

Urban •

Nonfann • Farm Cigarettes Cigarettes Cigarettes

None : 17.2 15.6 15.5 Under $1,000 18.2 18.3 18.3 $1,000-1,999 19.7 20.1 19.6

2,000-2,999 ; 21.0 21.6 21. li-

3,000-3,999 : 21.9 21.2 19.3 ii, 000-4, 999 : 22.1+ 23.0 ( )

5,000-6,999 : 23.2 22.3 (21.9)

7,000 and over : 23.4 19.4 ( )

All incomes 2/ 21.8 21,3 19.7

1/ Adjusted for bias attributable to non-self-response 2/ Based on full sample.

Occupation. --Occupations in which 30 percent or more of regular smokers smoke more than a pack of cigarettes daily include managers, officials, and nonfarm proprietors; salesworkers; and craftsmen, foremen, and kindred work- ers. In contrast, only I6 percent of farmers and farm workers who smoke cigarettes smoke that many daily. (See appendix table 97 •)

Average daily consumption among managers, officials, eind nonfarm proprietors is about 2k cigarettes, and among salesworkers and craftsmen, 23. Farmers and farm workers (19) and laborers (20) have lowest rates of consump- tion. Consumption tends to be higher in the upper income brackets in all occujjations, except professional and managerial, whose smoking pattern tends to differ from that of the general population. . .

. 6Q -

Table 1+2. --Average daily consumption of male regiilar cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by occupation and income, Febrxiary 1955 1/

Income class All in- Major occupation group comes Under •$3,000- •$5,000- :$7,000 : and . 2/ .$3,000 : 4,999 : 6,999 : ever Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes

Professional and kindred workers 20.9 19.7 20.3 18.6 21.6

Managers , officials, and proprietors. except farm 23.2 22.8 25.2 23.4 23.6 Clerical and kindred 20.4 21.9 ^2U.0 21.6 Salesvorkers 19.8 23.8 ^24.3 1^ 22.8 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 20.5 22.8 22.8 25.6 22.6 21. Operatives and kindred workers i^ 21.8 22.7 5/ 21.8 Service workers, except private household 19.6 6/22.7 1/ 1/ 21.6 Laborers, except farm and mine : 20.0 5/21.0 1/ !/ 20.3 Farmers, farm managers, foremen. and laborers 19.0 6/18.8 1/ 1/ 19.1

1/ Adjusted for bias attributable to non- self -response.

2/ Includes those with no income . Based on full san5)le 3/' $5,000 and over. 5/' Combined with $5,000-$b,999 class. 5/ Too few cases 5/ $3,000 and over. X/ Combined with $3,000-$4,999 class.

Female Smokers

Age .--As in the case of men, the majority of women regular smokers smoke 10-20 cigarettes daily. This is true of each age group except those 55 and over.

Unlike men smokers, however, the next largest proportion of women smokers--more thsui a third--smoke from 1 to 9 cigarettes. Only 10 percent smoke more than a pack a day, the proportions ranging from 7 percent of smokers 18-24 to 13 percent for those 45-54 (table 43).

Average consijmption of all women regular smokers is about l4 cigarettes daily, approximately a third less than average consumption of regulsir male

smokers . This difference in average smoking rates between the two sexes is foimd in each age bracket. - 69 -

Table h^. —Percentage distrilDution of female regxaar cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by age and income, Febrxoary 1955

Income class

Age group and With money income " All daily smoking No xncomes rate $3 ,000 money i/ Under $1 ,000- $2,000- ; and income $1,000 1 ,999 2,999 over

. Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent 18-24 years: 1-9 cigarettes ( 53) ( 37) 46 43

10-20 : [ ^1) ( 60) 51 50 Over 20 ^) 3) 3 7 { ! Total LlOO) (100) 100 100

25 -3^ years:

1-9 cigarettes [ 40) ( 33) 32 33 10-20 ( 51) ( 57) 57 57

Over 20 ( 10) 11 10 ! H Total (100) (100) 100 100

35-44 years:

1-9 cigarettes [ 35) ( 37) 32 34 10-20 [ 56) ( 53) 58 56

Over 20 ( 10) 10 10 ! ^l Total (100) (100) 100 100

45-54 years:

1-9 cigarettes ( 40) ( 33) 32 34

10-20 ( ^6) ( 54) 56 53

Over 20 f 14) ( 13) 12 13 Total (100) (100) 100 100

55 years and over

1-9 cigarettes ( ^0) ( 39) 58 46

10-20 ( ^9) ( 57) 37 45 Over 20 5 9 ^! ( S H Total (100) (100) 100 100

All ages:

1-9 cigarettes : 4l 42 39 33 36 36

10-20 : 51 48 54 56 55 54 Over 20 8 10 7 11 9 10 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Based on full sample. :

- 70 -

Table hk. —Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional smokers, 18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955

Income class

Age group and With money income All kind of No incomes smoker $3,000 money 1/ Under $1,000- $2,000- and income $1,000 1>999 2,999 over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent 18-2^4- years:

Occasional ( 16) ( 28) 12 15

Regular ( 84) ( 72) 88 85

Total (100) (100) 100 100

25-3^ years:

Occasional ( 1^) ( 12) 13 12

Regular ( 86) ( 88) 87 88

Total (100) (100) 100 100

35-^^ years:

Occasional ( 10) ( 17) 10 12

Regular ( 90) ( 83) 90 88

Total (100) (100) 100 100

^5-5^ years

Occasional ( 11) ( 17) 16 15 Regular ( 89) ( 83) 8k 85

Total (100) (100) 100 100

55 years and over:

Occasional ( 20) ( 26) 27 23

Regular ( 80) ( 74) 73 77

Total (100) (100) 100 100

All ages: Occasional 16 10 15 Ik Ik Regular 81^ 90 79 85 86 86

Total 100 100 100 100 LOO 100

1/ Based on full sample. - 71 -

Evidence of differences in smoking rates is clearer when associated with age than with income. Average consumption among women regular smokers 25-54 is approximately 14-15 cigarettes daily. Those 18-24, and 55 and over appear to average around I3 cigarettes a day. (See the section on "Income Elasticity of Demand for Cigarettes" beginning on p . 86 for an additional discussion of smoking irates of women.)

Occasional cigarette smokers make up a larger proportion of the female than of the male cigarette smokers. Of all women smokers I8 years and over, l4 percent are occasional smokers; it is 7 percent for male smokers of simi- lar age. The proportion is particularly significant among women s mokers 55 years and over, of whom nearly a fourth smoke cigarettes only occasionally (table 44).

Table 45. —Average daily consumption of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955

» Age group

*- All Income ages

! 55 and ; 18-24 . 25-3^ : 35-44 \ 45-54 * over *

Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes

None 11.9 l4.9 l4.7 15.2 11.4 l4.2 Under $1,000 13.4 $1,000-1,999 [14.7] \-A 13.8 13.3 2,000-2,999 t ] (l2.9> 3,000-and o-^^er: [12.9J [15.3J 15.0

12.9 14.7 14.5 15.0 13.2 14,2 All incomes

1/ Based on full sample.

Region . —Cigarette consiimption by women smokers tends, as in the case of men, to average higher in the Northeast than in other parts of the country. Fourteen percent of the female smokers in the Northeast smoke over a pack a day, compared with 7-9 percent in other regions. (See appendix table 83.) Average consumption of smokers in the Northeast, including the comparatively high rate of those without income of their own, is about 15 cigarettes. Other regions average around l4. - 72 -

Within regions, three appears to be no definite relationship of smoking rate and inccme.

Table k6.- Average daily consiamption of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by region and incane, February 1955

: Region

Incfnne

: Northeast North Central South : West

: Cigarettes Cigarettes Cigarettes Cigarettes

None J 15.3 13.7 13.8 lU.O

Under $1,000 : 12.9 15.1 12.8 li+.O

$1,000- 1,999 : 15.3 12.6 12.9 ik.J

2,000- 2,999 : 13.9 12.7 13.5 12.5

3,000 and over ; 15.0 15.2 1/17.7 13.8

li^.9 All IncraTies 2/ ; 13.8 14.0 14.3

1/ This rate arises frcm the relatively high proportion of smokers in the $U,000-$5,999 bracket who reported a daily rate of more than 2 packs a day.

2/ Based on full sample.

Residence .- Overall figures on smoking rates show that farm women aver- age fewer cigarettes than urban and rural nonfarm wanen. Six percent of farm women smokers smoke more than a pack a day, compared with 9-10 percent for

nonfarm smokers . On the other hand, 4l percent smoke less than 10 cigarettes a day, ccrapared with 36 percent for nonfarm smokers. (See appendix table 91*)

The smoking rate of farm women —an average of 13 cigarettes daily--is about 1 to 1 1/3 lower than the average daily consumption of urban and rural nonfarm smokers. Average rates of regular smokers in the latter residences are not markedly different, except in the highest inccme brackets.

Although overall figures indicate that farm women as a group are light- er smokers than nonfarm women, there is some evidence to suggest that farm women with income smoke as heavily as comparable nonfarm waaen or even more heavily. .

- 73 - Table U?.- Average daily consumption of female regular cigarette smokers, years and 18 over, by residence and income, February 1955

: Place of residence

Income Rural Urban

Nonfarm Farm

: Cigarettes Cigarettes Cigarettes

None : 14.3 l4.2 13.3

Under $1,000 " 13.5 13.2 15.0

$1,000- 1,999 ; 13.9 13.9 1/

2,000- 2,999 : 13.0 13.5 1/

3,000 fijirl over ; 15.5 12.9 1/

4,000 and over : 17.0 1/ 1/

All incomes 2/ : 14.4 14.1 13.1

1/ Too few cases in sample to show separately. 2/ Based on full sample.

Occupation - Wcmen smokers who are managers, officials or proprietors, or who are service workers, appear to average a greater number of cigarettes daily than those in other occupations. A larger percentage of smokers in the above -specified occupations than in others smoke over a pack daily. Women managers, officials, and proprietors appear to average around 17, and service workers, around 15 cigarettes a day. Household workers appear to be lighter smokers than other gainfully employed women.

Daily consimiption by employed women averages l4 cigarettes . There appears to be no difference in average consumption of women (l) with wages or other earnings (2) with income, but from sources other than wages or earnings, and (3) without inccme, mainly homemakers. All of these groups appear to average about l4 cigarettes a day. 5

-7h -

Table kQ.- Average daily coasumption of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by occupation and income, February 1955

Income class

• All

Major occupation group ;$3,ooo ' incomes

: Under : $1,000- :$2,000- and ;

$1,000 : . : 1,999 : ^ 2,999 over ;

: Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga- Ciga-

: rettes rettes rettes rettes rettes

Professional and kindred workers L—-lU.U. 12.0 1U.8 13.5 Managers, officials, and proprietors, • except farm 2/ 2/ 2/ 17.4

ClericaJL and salesworkers : A. 12.5 12.5 15.1 14.1 Operatives emd kindred workers 8.3 lk.6 13.9 lk.6 14.1

Private household workers : 12.4 -I5.O __ 12.7

Service workers, except private :

household 3/ : 16.3 l4.2 ....Ik.k—. 15.2

All occupations h/ : 13.4 I3A 13.0 15.3 14.2

1/ Based on full sample. 2/ Income detail not shown because of too few cases. 3/ Smoking rates by income adjusted for consistency with the rate for "all incomes." 4/ Includes follo-vring occupations, data for which are not shown separately because of small number of persons invloved: Farmers and managers; craftsmen, foremen, etc.; farm laborers; and laborers, except farm and mine

Cigars

In considering the number of cigars smoked by cigar smokers in various income groups, tiro major points should be kept in mind: First, cigars differ greatly in prices depending principally upon quality of the leaf tobacco used, and upon whether long filler, short filler, or scrap are used in their manu- facture. Second, cigars vary considerably in size. Both quality and size are reflected in a "vride range of prices. Cigarillos--much smaller than the traditional average cigar —have become economically significant in recent years, but they were not differentiated frcan cigars in the sirrvey. Most cigarillos retail at around half the price of major popular brands of large cigars, and average less than half the weight of large cigars. For these reasons, number of cigars smoked is a much less satisfactory measure than number of cigarettes, considered in relation to income. .

- 75

CIGARS SMOKED DAILY PER REGU AiC SMOKER, BY INCOME CLASS % Distribution of Cigar Smokers

Under 2 2 to 4 4 to 6 6 + 1954 PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.)

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL MALES, 18 YEARS AND OVER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY I9SS SURVEY. INCLUDES "NO INCOME" GROUP.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4203-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure 13 . —Considered by broad income class, daily smoking rates of regular cigar smokers do not appear to vary materially by income until $6,000 and over. At that income level, the propor- tion smoking 5 or more cigars daily increases sharply, and the proportion smoking 1-2 cigars declines

A large proportion of lower-income males are older men^ many of retire- ment age and probably with fewer family obligations than younger men. Their cigar consumption, especially of lower-priced brands, could result in numbers smoked equaling, if not exceeding, those reported at higher income levels. The necessity for combining income classes to reduce saarpling variability obscures differences in consumption rates that might be noted if a finer divi- sion of incomes were possible. -16 -

Table k^. —Percentage distribution of male regxilar cigar smokers, l8 years and over, "by rate of smoking, "by age and income, Febriiary 1955

Income class Age group and All daily smoking incomes Under $2,000- $i^,000- $6,000 rate 1/ $2,000 3,999 5,999 and over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent 18-44 years:

1-2 cigars ( 60) ( 51) 56

3-4 ( 20) ( 3h) 26 5 or more (JO) 15 18 Total (100) 100 100

45 years and over;

1-2 cigars ( 53) ( ^3) 48

3-4 ( 36) ( 35) 36 5 or more 11) 16 Total TiOQ) "(l5§) 100

All ages: 1-2 cigars 5^ 52 50 42 50 3-^ 30 33 35 32 33 5 or more 16 15 15 26 17 Total 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Table 50. —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigar smokers, 18 years and over, by age and incane, Febmoary 1955

Income class Age group and All kind of incomes Under $2,000- $4,000- $6,000 smoker 1/ $2,000 3,999 5,999 and over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent 18-44 years:

Occasional ( 83) ( 81) 83

Regular ( 17) ( 19) 17 Total (100) (100) 100

45 years and over;

Occasional ( ee) ( 64) 65

Regular ( 34) ( 36) 35 Total (100) (100) 100

All a^es: Occasional 68 76 75 71 74 Regular 32 24 25 29 26 Total 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. - 77 -

Age . --Despite these limitations, survey data do provide useful insight into rates of cigar smoking. Half of the cigar smokers smoke 1 or 2 cigars daily. A third smoke 3 or U a day. The remaining 17 percent smoke 5 or more cigars daily. The percentage smoking most heavily is particularly high (26 per- cent) among cigar smokers with incomes of $6,000 and over.

Based on the percentages of smokers within the various rate intervals, average consumption of all regular cigar smokers is indicated to be about 3 cigars a day. Average consumption appears to be highest among smokers with incomes of $it,000 and over, but in these brackets, a relatively sharp differ- ence in smoking rates due to age is apparent. Those aged U5 and over average around k cigars a day, about 1 cigar more than regular smokers under k^ with comparable incomes. Among men with incomes less than $U,000, there appears to be little difference in average consumption by men under or over 1+5 years of age.

Table 5I. —Average daily consianption of male regiilar smokers of cigars, 18 years and over, by age and income, February I955

Age group : Income All a^es : 18-44 : 45 and over :

: Cigars Cigars Cigars

Under $1,000 i ( ) ( ) 3.0 $1,000- 1,999 3.2 3.0 2,000- 2,999 ; U u 3; 000- 3,999 I ( ) ( ) 2.8 4,000- 4,999 (pg) (, g) 3.4 5,000 and over (^•^) 3.5

^ All incomes l/ : 3'0 3.2 3.1

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

The importance of the age factor as it affects cigar smoking is indi- cated by table 50, which shows the proportions of occasional and regular smokers comprising the cigar smoking group. Among cigar smokers \inder 45 years of age, 83 percent are occasional smokers and I7 percent are regiolar smokers. Among smokers 45 and over, 65 percent are occasional cigar smokers and 35 per- cent —twice the proportion of the younger men--are regular smokers.

. Regular Cigar Smokers , Cigar -Only and Combination --About three-fifths of those smoking cigars regularly restrict their regular smoking to cigars. The other two-fifths smoke cigars in combination with other products regularly. Smokers who smoke cigars only, regiilarly, smoke more cigars daily than those who also regularly smoke cigarettes or pipes. But the difference is noted mostly among those 45 years and over, who average nearly 1 cigar more a day than combination smokers. On an income basis, cigar-only smokers with incomes either under or above $4,000 have a higher daily average consiomption than com- bination smokers of comparable income. : .

- 78 -

Table 52. —Average daily consxmption of cigars by regular cigar-only and combi- nation smokers, by age and by incane, February 1955

Form of regular smoking

Item : Cigars and cigarettes Cigars only- ; or pipes Cigars Cigars

Age: iQ-kk years 3.0 2.9 ij-5 and over : 3.5 2.7

All ages 3.3 2.8

Income

Under $4,000 i 3.3 2.6 $U,000 and over 3.5 3.0

All incomes l/ 3.3 2.8 1/ Includes those with no income

Region . —Average consumption of regular cigar smokers in the Northeast

tends to be higher than in other regions . Twenty-one percent of regular cigar smokers in the Northeast smoke 5 02: more cigars daily, compared with 13-15 per- cent in other regions. (See appendix table 85.)

Data on consumption within regions do not shaw marked differences in average smoking rates between those receiving less than $U,000 or more than this amount, except for the West, Those differences, however, must be evalu- ated in light of the small numbers of regular cigar smokers in this region, as indicated by the survey sample.

Table 53. --Average daily consumption of male regular cigar smokers, I8 years and over, by region and income, February 1955

Income das s — • ATT Region All incomes 1/

Under $U, Doo : $^. 000 and over Cigars Cigars Cigars

Northeast 3.3 3^h 3.4 North Central 2.8 2.8 2.9 South : 3.0 3.3 3.1 West : 2.2 3.6 2.8

1/ Includes those with no income . .

- 79 -

Residence . - -Urban cigar smokers smoke more heavily, on the average, than those in rural areas. About a fifth of urban cigar smokers smoke 5 or more cigars daily, as against about a tenth in rural areas. (See appendix table 93.)

Computation of average consumption of farm smokers resiilts in a sur- prisingly high figure. This arises because of the comparatively high percentage of rural farm smokers indicated as smoking 3-^ cigars daily. But this resxilt mxist be accepted with reservation, becaxise of thinness of sample. The number of rural farm men who regxilarly smoke cigars is equal to less than a tenth of urban regular cigar smokers and about a third of r\iral nonfann smokers

In all three places of residence, occasional cigar smokers far out- number regular cigar smokers, but the disparity is sharpest among farm smokers. (See appendix table 9k,)

Table 5^. —Average daily consumption of male regiilar cigar smokers, I8 years ajad over, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class Place of • All incomes residence 1/ Under $^, 000 '. ^k, 000 and over • Cigars Cigars Cigars

2/' Urban ; 3.1 3.3 3.3 Rxiral: Nonfarm 2.k 2.8 2.6

Farm ; 3.3 2/ 3.1

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately 2/ The larger nimiber of regular smokers residing in urban areas enables a more detailed breakdown as follows: Under $3^000, 3.2 cigars; $3^000-$3,999^ 2.9 cigars; $U,000-$if ,999, 3-1 cigars; and $5,000 and over, 3.5 cigars. ^ Too few cases.

Occupation . --Average consumption tends to be highest among cigar smokers engaged in such diverse occupations as managerial and professional men on one hand and operatives and nonfarm laborers on the other. Relatively .

- 80 - high consumption is indicated for farmers and farm managers , but sample numbers for this group are much smaller than for other occupations. The cigar con- sumption rates in major occupation groups are as follows:

Average daily consimption Major occupation group by regular smokers Cigars Professional and kindred workers 3«^ Farmers and farm managers 3-6 Managers, officials, and proprietors, except farm 3»7 Clerical and kindred workers 2.9

Salesworkers 2 . h Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 3*0 Operatives and kindred workers 3*3 Service workers, except private household 2.^4- Laborers, except farm and mine 3*^

Pipes

Age . --The distribution of regular pipe smokers is similar to that of cigsir smokers, as far as intensity of smoking is concerned. Approximately half smoke 1 to U pipefuls a day, about a third smoke 5 "to 9, and the remain- der ( 19 percent ) smoke 10 or more

The average consumption appears to be around 6 pipefuls a day. A heavier rate of smoking exists among those receiving less than $3^000, but the average rate of smoking also is relatively high among those with incomes of $5,000 and over.

Smoking rates appear to vary with age among those with inccmes under $4,000. In these brackets, older smokers- -those ^4-5 and over — smoke at a much heavier rate than younger men. Among those receiving $^+,000 and over, the average rate of smoking of those xmder or over k^ does not appear to be mark- edly different.

Though occasional smokers comprise a significemt segment of the total pipe-smoking group at all ages, they are proportionately most numerous among smokers under 55 years of age. In this age group, occasional pipe smokers outnumber regular smokers by about 2 to 1. In contretst, among smokers 55 aJ^d over, regular smokers outnumber occasional smokers by the same ratio, with regular pipe smokers proportionately most numerous in the 65 and over bracket. - 81 -

PIPEFULS SMOKED DAILY PER REGULAR SMOKER, BY INCOME CLASS % Distribution of Pipe Smokers

*»»•• r-m-j rr

•• 1 A • • I •••••••• M.A . •••••••••. •••••••• ^ •••••••••

Under 1 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5+ All* 1954 PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.)

CIVILIAN NONINSTITUTIONAL MALES, ?8 YEARS AND OVER. DATA BASED ON FEBRUARY 7955 SURVEY. INCLUDES "NO INCOME" CROUP.

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEC. 4204-57(5) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure ik. —Smoking rates of regular pipe smokers apparently do not have a clear relationship with income level. The proportion smoking 5 or more pipefuls dally is larger among men with incomes under $3,000 than between $3,000 and $5,000, but is also leirge among men with incomes of $5,000 and over. -sa- lable 55. —Percentage distribution of male regxaar pipe smokers, l8 years and over, "by rate of smoking, by age and income, February 1955

Income class Age group and All daily smoking incomes Under $1,000- $2,000-* $3,000- $4,000- $5,000 rate and over 1/ $1,000 1,999 2,999 : 3,999 4,999 Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. 18-44 years: 1-4 pipefvils 60 47 54 5-9 23 31 27 10 or more 17 22 19 Total 100 h=i 100 100

45 years and over: 1-4 pipefuls 42 50 h5 5-9 37 31 35 10 or more 21 19 20 Total 100 iz=i 100 100

All ages: 1-4 pipefuls 52 42 38 56 56 41 h9 5-9 26 39 39 28 24 38 32 10 or more 22 19 23 16 20 21 19 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Incl-udes those with no income, sample eases of whom are too few to show separately.

Table 56 . —Percentage distribution of male regiilar and occasional pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by age and income, February 1955

Income class Age group and : All

kind of : * incomes $1,000-* $2,000-' $3,000-* - Under $4,000- : $5 ,000 smoker ; $1,000 "and over 1/ ; 1,999 ; 2,999 3,999 ^,999 \ ; Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet, Pet. Pet. 18-44 years:

Occasional ( 72 ) ( 73 ) 72 Regxaar 28 ( ) ( 27 ) 29 Total 100 ( ) ( 100 ) 100

45 years and over: Occasional ( 40 ) ( 55 ) 43 Regular 60 ( ( 45 ) 57 Total 100 1 ) ( 100 ) 100

All ages: Occasional 41 48 55 61 63 68 57 Regular 59 52 45 39 37 32 h3 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 :

- 83 -

Table 57. --Average daily consumption of male regular pipe smokers, l8 years and over, by age and income, February 1955

Age group Income • • : All ages : iQ-hh k5 and over • Pipefuls Pipefias Pipefuls

Under $1,000 ( ) 6.6 $1,000- 1,999 6.0 2,000- 2,999 [5.5J [6.7] 6.9 3,000- 3>999 5.6 ii,000- 1^,999 5.8

5,000 and ove r : J6.2J 6.8

All incomes 1/ : 5.9 6,k 6.3

1/ Includes those reporting no incaae, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Regular Smokers , Pipe -Only and Combination .- -A little more than half of those smoking pipes regiilarly confine their regular smoking to the pipe, while the rest smoke pipes in combination with other products regularly. As in the case of cigarettes and cigars, men who smoke only pipes regularly aver- age more pipefuls daily than those who smoke pipes as well as cigarettes or cigars regularly. The difference, avereiging about 1 pipeful a day, obtains regardless of broad age differences or when incomes are $4,000 and over. The difference between the pipe-only smoker and the combination regular smoker is nearly 2 pipefiils for incomes below $^+,000.

Table 58. —Average daily consumption (pipefuls) by regular pipe-only and com- bination smokers, I8 years and over, by age and by income, FebrxAary 1955

: Form of regular smolcLng

Item : Pipes and cigarettes Pipes only \ : or cigars Pipefuls Pipefuls

Age:

iQ-kk years : 6,6 5.4 1+5 and over 6.8 5.9

All ages ~^7 5.7 Income Under $if,000 7.0 5.2

$4,000 and over : 6.9 5.9

"'" All incomes l/- 6,7 5.7 1/ Includes those with no income. - 84 -

Eeglon . —Survey data show that the West apparently has the highest average daily consumption among regular pipe smokers. Indicated average rates for the regulso" smoking group as a whole are about the same for the other regions. The higher consumption rate for the West is chiefly attributable to the relatively high proportion of regxolar smokers who report smoking 10 or more pipefuls daily, particularly among those with incomes of less than $3^000.

The indicated higher average smoking rate for the West is of some significance, as the West appears to be the only region in which regular pipe smokers may slightly outnumber occasional pipe smokers. (See appendix table table 88.)

Table 59. --Average daily consumption of male regular pipe smokers, l8 years and over, by region and income, February 1955

Income class Region All inccanes l/ Under $3,000 $3,000 and over

; Pipefuls Pipefuls Pipefxols

Northeast 1 7.^ 5.1 5.9

North Central : 5.8 6.3 6.0

South !! 5.5 7.0 6.1

West : 9.7 6.6 7.8

l/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show sepeirately.

Residence . —Regular pipe smokers residing in rural areas appear to smoke more heavily, on the average, than those in urban areas. In the case of rural nonfarm smokers, this is attributable to the higher proportion reporting a consumption of 10 or more pipefuls daily. In the case of smokers residing on farms, it is attributable to the higher proportion smoking from 5 to 9 pipefuls daily.

In the lower income brackets, however, the average smoking rates of urban pipe smokers are fairly neair those of rural smokers of similar inccanes.

An income effect also is evident in considering the relative importance of regular and occasional pipe smokers. In all three places of residence, regular pipe smokers either equal or outn\imber occasional smokers in income brackets of less than $3^000. At higher incomes, occasional smokers predomi- nate. (See appendix table 96.) - 85 -

Table 60. —Average daily consumption of male regular pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955

Place of residence Rural

Income ; Urban : Nonfarm Farm

! Pipefuls Pipefuls Pipefuls

Under $3,000 ;1 6.5 7.0 6.2 if,999 $3,000- : 5.3 [6.6) (7.5) 5,000 and over ! 6.5

All incc»nes l/ '. 5.8 6.9 6.3

1/ Includes those with no inccsne, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately.

Occupation . --Average daily cons\amption by pipe smokers who are workers in professional and kindred employment appears to be higher than the average of smokers in other occupations. On the other hand, the average number of pipeftils smoked by those who are service workers and salesworkers appears to be lower than the pipefxils smoked by other occupational groups; proportionately more of the former smoke 1 to U pipefiils daily than do smokers in other occupations. In the other occupational groups, average daily consumption by regular pipe smokers ranges from about 6 to 6j pipefuls. Average consumption by major occupation group follows:

Average daily consumption Major occupation group by regular pipe smokers Pipefuls

Professional and kindred workers 7.0 Farmers, farm managers, foremen, and laborers 5.8 Managers, officials, and proprietors, except farm 6.2 Clerical and kindred workers 6.0 Sales workers 5.2 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers e.k Operatives and kindred workers 5.9 Service workers, except private household Laborers, except farm and mine 5.9 . .

- 86 -

INCOffi ELASTICITY OF DEMAJTO FOR CIGARBITES ?/

In analyzing prospective changes in demand, a statistical measure frequently employed is the income elasticity of demand. Simply defined, the inccme elasticity of demand (more properly, the elasticity of demand with respect to income) is the percentage change in consiomption accompanying a 1 percent change in income, other factors affecting demand remaining the same. 8/ The application of this measvire is obvious. Assximing no change in price, consumer tastes, and other demand factors discussed "below, the income elasticity coefficient is an aid in estimating the percentage change in con- sumption that may be expected to follow a given percentage change in constuner inccme

When consumers get more income, they naturally tend to spend more. But a 10 percent rise in incomes is not likely to mean a 10 percent increase in the purchase of each commodity or service. Purchases of some goods or services may increase proportionally more than the rise in income; the demand for these is said to be elastic with respect to income. Purchases of other goods or services may also increase, but percentage -wise not as much as the increase in income; the demand for these is said to be inelastic with respect to inccxne. Most commodities are characterized by positive income elasticity of demand, that is, the demand increases as income rises. However, there are some com- modities —wheat flour, for example —purchases of which may decline with an increase in inccme. Under such circianstances , the demand with respect to income is said to be negative.

Census survey data were used to derive an estimate of the income elasticity of demand for cigarettes. Similar estimates could not be derived for cigars and pipe tobacco, as the need for combining income classes and age groups to improve reliability reduced the number of observations below a satisfactory minimum. Before considering the cigarette analyses, a distinc- tion should be made between time-series analysis and cross -section (or budget data) analysis. Reference will be made to these two methods in this section.

Ntomerous factors affect the demand for a given ccanmodity. Size and composition of population, price, level of consumer income and its distribu- tion among families, supplies and prices of ccanpeting commodities, and changes in consumer taste and preferences are among the more important of these factors

Many demand analyses are based on annual data, using figiores relating to the national market, as, for example, anntaal data on production, consumption,

7/ This section is based on an article by Sackrin (lO). H/ In economic literature, "demand" is usually defined as the quantity of a product or service which buyers will take at a given price in a given market at a given time. - 87 - average price, and consumer inccsne after taxes. Such analyses, based on national aggregates or "market statistics," are referred to as time-series analyses. Measures of income elasticity derived from time-series data indi- cate changes in aggregate consumption of a product "by all consumers that normally are associated with a given change in aggregate income.

Another approach in demand analysis is the use of survey data, often called family budget data. In this method —cross-section analysis —demand as of a given time is examined. For example, the demand data may consist of quantity consumed or purchased (or expendit\ires ) for a day, a week, or several weeks. The time period involved usually is so short that certain factors influencing demand, such as income distribution, prices, population, and taste preferences, may be considered fixed. Measures of inccsne elasticity derived from cross -section data indicate changes in consumption by individual users that normally are associated with changes in their individual inccme.

We have no reason to expect that coefficients from time-series aind cross-section data, respectively, will give similar answers and, at least in some cases, they may not even yield the same signs. Research analysts, how- ever, frequently have some interest in each of these measures.

Availability of the smoking -income sxirvey data permitted cross -section analysis of cigarette consumption in relation to income. As indicated in the preceding section, age and sex appear to be more influential than regional location, urban or rural residence, or occupational differences in affecting rates of cigarette smoking. Price, of course, is a factor, and differences in cigarette prices eire sizable, depending on the kind of cigarette (regular, king-size, or filter-tip) and on the existence and rates of State and local taxes. 9/ Other influences on retail price are (l) unit of sales (single package~of 20, mult i -packages, or carton of 10 packages), and (2) retail out- lets (chain stores, vending machines, hotels, etc.). Unfortunately, survey data do not provide price information, so that price coiild not be explicitly introduced into the analysis as a variable. But averaging of consumption among various income and age groups on a national basis undoubtedly tends to reduce price differences.

The data were analyzed to ascertain the relationship of rates of ciga- rette smoking to income ajid age. Separate ajaalyses were made for men and women regular smokers, because of the sharp differences in smoking rates between the sexes. An analysis was also made of all regular smokers, men and women, in order to derive an elasticity coefficient which could be compared to those obtained by other investigators. The details of these consumption-inccme analyses may be foimd in Appendix C, beginning on p. I86. The main findings of the analyses are summarized below.

9/ At the time of the s\jrvey, most brands of nonfilter tips sold at the same price regardless of length, but a differential between regular and king-size became generally effective later in 1955* - 88 -

CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION BY MALES WHO SMOKE REGULARLY IN RELATION TO INCOME AND AGE From an Analysis Based on 1955 Survey Data^ DAII Y CONSUMPTION (CIGARtTTES) Adjusted for age

DOTS REPRESENT INDIVIDUAL AGE GROUPS 16 ( 2 4,6 8 10 12 ANNUAL PERSONAL INCOME ($ THOUS.)-X2

— A djusted for income _ 24 t — • • 22 1 ^^ • • — • •

20 • _ ^• • ^^^ • 18 DOTS RE PRESENT ^V — INDIVIDUAL IN :OME CLASSES § 16 1 1 1 1 1 20 30 40 50 60 70 AGE (YEARS)-X3

.JMOKERS 18 YEARS OLD AND OVER

U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG. 3724-56(11) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure 15. —Cigarette consumption by males tends to increase with increasing income, after adjiisting for the effect of age, but the rate of increase is larger for the smallest incomes. In relation to age, consumption increases up to about age 35, remains relatively stable through age 45, and then declines, after adjusting for the effect of income. _

- 89 -

Male Smokers

The consiimptlon of cigarettes among male regiiLar smokers increases with income, after allowing for the effect of age, and decreases with the difference in age from ^0 (taken as the age of peak smoking rate), after allow- ing for the effect of income (figure 15 ). The indicated income elasticity is 0.07. This measure implies that, on the average, a 10 percent increase in personal income (after taxes) of male smokers is accompanied by a O.7 percent increase in cigarette consumption.

Both age and income appear to he influential factors accounting for the variation in the cigarette smoking rate of males, but of the two, age may be somewhat more important. Statistical results from the analysis imply the following percentage changes in daily smoking rates of males, after allowing for the effect of income:

Percentage change Percentage change Age from preceding age Age from preceding age Years Percent Years Percent 20 _— 50 -2.0 25 k.Q 55 -3.3 30 3.^ 60 -k,6 35 2.1 65 -5.9 ko .7 70 -7.1 h5 -.7

These data indicate that when income is held constant the largest increase in rate of cigarette smoking among males occxirs between the ages of 20 and 30, and that the maximum smoking rate (about one -tenth higher than at 20) is attained by about a^e 35. Little change occurs thereafter through age 45. On the other hand, the statistical relationship indicates that after k^ the quantity smoked daily declines with age at an accelerating rate. By age 70, the average daily smoking rate is about a fifth less than the peak rate averaged by those 35-^5, after allowing for the effect of income.

Analyses were also made for individual age groups, to learn whether income elasticities varied by age. The following income elasticity coeffi- cients were obtained:

elasticity coefficient Age group (years) Income 1^^ 0.052 25-3^ .056 33-kk .046 .056 55-6^ .096 65 and over .095

Derived income elasticity coefficients thus range from about O.O5 among age those 18-54 to 0.10 among those 55 and over. Coefficients for the four groups 18-54 do not differ from each other by a statistically significant - 90 - amount, but do differ significantly from the higher coefficients far those 55 and over. This implies that cigarette consxamption hy male smokers 55 and over is somewhat loore responsive to income changes than in the case of younger men. If weighted by the respective average consxjmption of regular smokers in each group, the average of the individual elasticities is 0.07^ which equals that foiand by analysis of the pooled observations.

Female Smokers

A similar analysis using pooled observations for female smokers did not yield a coefficient on inccane that differed from zero by a statistica3J.y significant amount. Hence, it was not possible to derive a valid estimate of the income elasticity coefficient. This res\ilt was not altogether unexpected. Sinrvey income data represent personal inccsne and hence inadequately measure the true purchasing power of female smokers because husbands' or other family income is not considered. Though income data relating to male smokers also may not reflect J;rue purchasing power, access to other family income probably is less important than in the case of females.

Statistically significant coefficients on age were obtained, however. While the relationship between smoking rates and age foxind for women smokers is not as close as for men smokers (possibly because of poorer data), the analysis suggests a similar effect of age on smoking rates. The greatest gains in smoking rates of women smokers also appear to occur between the ages of 20 eind 30, and the maximum smoking rate is about attained by age 35* Examination of the data at first seemed to indicate that the peak smoking rate among women is attained at a later age (^5-5^) than among men. This finding, however, is not confirmed by results of the statistical analysis, which show that the age of peak smoking rate among women is not as clearly defined as among males. It occurs apparently sometime between the ages of 35 and 50.

All Regular Smokers

Earlier studies that attempted to estimate the inccane elasticity of demand for cigarettes were concerned with the demand of all smokers. To derive an income elasticity coefficient which can be compared with those obtained in previous studies, an appropriate procedure is to combine the income elastici- ties relating to male and female smokers, respectively, on a weighted basis. In the present instance, however, this cannot be done because of the lack of a valid estimate relating to female smokers.

As an alternative, cigarette consxomption of male and female smokers each was adjusted statistically to eliminate the effect of age, using the foregoing analyses as the basis for the adjustment. The adjusted data were then combined on a weighted basis, using numbers of men and women smokers in the appropriate class as weights. This gave average daily consumption of all regular smokers, with the effect of age differences removed. A statistical analysis was then made of the adjusted consimiption data in relation to inccane, which had similarly been averaged for the two sexes. The income elasticity - 91 - coefficient obtained from this analysis was 0.12. lO/ This implies that, other demand factors remaining the same, an increase in income (after taxes) of all regular smokers is accompanied by increased cigarette consumption on the aver- age proportionately about one -tenth as great.

Other Estimates of the Income Elasticity of Demand for Cigarettes

The elasticity coefficient on income of 0.12 is smaller than that found by other investigators using a time-series approach or, in one instance, geographical cross-section analysis. These earlier studies are in general agreement in estimating the income elasticity of demand for cigarettes at about 0.5. 11/ But the coefficient of income elasticity of 0.12 for all smokers we estimated from survey data is not inconsistent with the higher coefficients found in other investigations, considering differences in approach. The time- series approach, which analyzes the relationship between variables over a period of time, usually yields different results from cross-section analysis, which examines the relationship between variables at a given point in time. Income elasticities estimated from time-series data generally are higher than those estimated from family-budget data, as is the case in the present instance.

RECONCILIATION OF COMPUTED CONSUMPTION WITH INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE DATA

In this section, aggregate national consumption computed from svirvey data is comp>ared with that indicated by Internal Revenue Service statistics, which are generally accepted as providing an accurate basis for measuring con- sumption. Although the comparison shows a discrepancy between the two, this does not lessen the usefulness of the survey data. These furnish a great amount of detail, heretofore nonexistent, as to smokers and rates of smoking cross-classified with income by varioiis age, regional, residence, and occu- pational groups, and are considered to be reliable to a substantial degree in a structural sense. The pattern of smokers and smoking rates thus portrayed, insofar as they depict the interrelationships among the various groups, is not affected to any appreciable extent by the understatement in aggregate consump- tion, commonly encountered in surveys involving tobacco and alcoholic beverages.

Cigarettes

As already indicated, the data on smokers and daily smoking rates in the Census siorvey were collected from a representative sample of the civilian noninstitutional population, I8 years and over, in the continental United States. After determining specific average smoking rates for subgroups by age and sex, total daily consumption of cigarettes was computed. This daily

10/ The reason for the higher coefficient than derived for male smokers only is given in Appendix C, p. I88. 11/ See the article by Sackrin (lO) for a fuller discussion of the results of these earlier analyses. :

- 92 -

consumption aggregate was mxltiplied by 28 to arrive at the monthly total for February 1955. This monthly total was compared with official statistics col- lected by the Internal Revenue Service (iRS) on removals from factories, re- ported on a monthly basis. These IRS data are gathered in connection with the Federal tobacco taxes, which are collected from maniif acturers and accu- rately reflect total shipments for ultimate domestic consumption. In order to compare aggregate consumption computed from survey data with the total volume indicated by the IRS, it was necessary to prepare estimates of cigarette con- sumption by smokers not included in the civilian, noninstitutional population covered by the Census sample. Because of more complete and reliable survey data, this proced\are was deemed most feasible with respect to cigarettes —the form of smoking followed most widely.

The number of cigarette smokers and the cigarettes smoked in February 1955 (the month of the survey) are estimated largely from survey data to be as follows Cigarette smokers Cigarettes smoked Millions Billions From the survey of .non- institutional civilieaas, l8 years and over:

Regular smokers: Males 27.0 16.3 Females li^.O 5.6 Occasional smokers: Males 2.1 .1 Females 2.3 .1

Estimates for population groups not in sxirvey:

Armed forces in the United States, Hawaii, and Alaska 1.6 1.0 Population 15-1? 1.5 .7 Institutional population .5 .3 Hawaii and Alaska civilians 2 .1 Total U9.2 2TT2"

Internal Revenue Service reported that 28.7 billion cigarettes were re- moved from factories in February 1955 for tax-paid consumption. In the survejj virtually all the cigarette smokers reported would have been consumers of Federally tax-paid cigarettes. There are also shipments of tax-free cigarettes from domestic factories, (in February 1955; these totaled 2.5 billion.) Tax- free cigarettes are consumed by armed forces overseas or afloat, merchant sea- men and others traveling abroad, inmates of Federal institutions, and others. In addition, a substantial share of the tax-free cigarettes go out as commer- cial exports to foreign countries and shipments to Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, and other possessions. - 93 -

UNITED STATES SMOKERS, FEB. 1955

CIVILIANS 18 & OVER ARMED INSTITUTIONAL 15-17 YRS. FORCES

POP. 49.6 3.1 (MIL.) 0.9 3.5

MALES ^Pipe only 2.1 —Cigars only 1.7 SMOKERS p "^Combination 2.3 (MIL.) 4.0 2.4 0.5 1.1 -Cigarettes 1 only 25.1 OCCASIONAL REGULAR ONLY SMOKERS *

ARMED INSTITUTIONAL 15-17 YRS. CIVILIANS 18 & OVER FORCES POP. (MIL.) 55.1 TOO nw 0.6 3.3 TO INDICATE FEMALES SMOKERS 2.3 Cigarettes 0.1 0.4 (MIL.) only i OCCASIONAL REGULAR ONLY SMOKERS

ESTIMATED FROM CENSUS SURVEY DATA *SMOKF SOME FORM REGULARLY AND MAY SMOKE OTHER FORMS OCCASIONALLY

U. S. DEPARTMENT F ^ GR I C ULT U R E h'EG. 3829-57{]) AGRICULTURAL MARKETING SERVICE

Figure l6. —The February 1955 population of the United States (including Armed Forces overseas) aged 15 and over was ll6 million — 57 million males and 59 million females- Based on estimates mainly from survey data, the number of reguleir and occasional smokers totaled about 56 million — 39 million males and 17 million females. Comparisons with other data suggest that the total number of smokers may have been closer to 60 million—about ^k million of whom smoked regularly (every day) and the rest, occasionally (not every day).

On an annual basis, the total for tax-paid cigarettes, as reported by IRS, is widely accepted as being an accurate measure of domestic consumption. It is less reliable for individual months or quarters within a particular year, as shipments can vary owing to the introduction of new brands, impending price changes, inventory adjustment, seasonal influences, and other reasons. After .

- 9^ -

examining the monthly data for the months adjacent to February 1955 and com- paring the monthly fluctuations with those of other years, it appears that the tax-paid shipments in February 1955 exceeded actual consumption and the excess probably represented adjustment of inventories in the marketing channels. Al- though the tax-paid shipments of cigarettes, as reported, totaled 28.7 Million, actual consumption was probably closer to 27.5 billion. Assuming the 27*5 billion figure represents a more nearly accurate total, the calculated con- sumption of 24.2 billion cigarettes (based on the civilian, noninstitutional smokers and the estimates for the other nonsampled groups) fails to account for about 12 percent of the cigarettes that were smoked.

An explanation of the 12 percent gap between calculated consumption and the adjusted IRS figure can be little more than conjecture. First, it should be noted that other consumption surveys involving such commodities as alco- holic beverages and tobacco usually have produced aggregates that were under- statements of actual quantities, known from other sources of data, to have been consumed. The deficiency of the calculated cigarette consumption could be due to (l) underestimating the percentage of smokers in the various popu- lation groups or (2) underestimating average rates of consumption. Likely some combination of these factors may be accountable.

Survey data for self-respondents indicated 5^*5 percent of the male civilians and 25.5 percent of the female civilians as smoking cigarettes regularly. Various nongovernment siirveys —of newspapers, magazines, a Gallup poll, and others —have indicated somewhat higher proportions than these, par- ticularly for females. Most of these private surveys cover specific cities or urban areas. They indicate that the proportion of women smokers in these areas are often 35 to kO percent. Nationwide siorveys in the United ICingdom (8) and Denmark (3) both indicate the proportion of women smoking to be 39 percent. In Canada, surveys indicate that the average percentage of women

smokers in 60 cities is 39 percent—two-thirds of whom are regular smokers (2) . A survey in Sweden (ll) found that 33 percent of the women above 15 years of age are smokers.

Our study indicates that daily rates of cigarette smoking, based on the midvalues selected for each consxamption range, averages 21.5 for males and li+.2 for females, and I9.I for males and females combined. There are few references to other survey data on average rates of consumption. In a few instances average consumption of cigarette smokers is said to amount to "about" a pack a day, i.e., 20. According to a British survey for 195^4- (l), British males averaged 14.7 cigarettes per smoker and British females averaged 7'3 per smoker

The number of cigarette smokers in the popxilation 15-17 years old could be considerable larger than the estimate shown on p. 92. The estimate of 1.5 million is based on data from the Census survey giving the specific year of age when those who were in the 18-24 year bracket started smoking cigarettes regularly. This implies that those aged 15-17 in February 1955 would have had about the same proportion of regular cigarette smokers as those 18-24 year old when they were 15-17 years of age. Based on this estimating procedure, about - 95 -

30 percent of the males and I3 percent of the females in the 15-1? age bracket may have been regular cigarette smokers in early 1955* Some observers, and also a poll on youthful smoking (^ indicate the percentages of smokers may be considerably higher than these estimates.

If the cigarette consumption calculated from the Census survey data is to be reconciled with the aggregate indicated by IBS data, the available evi- dence suggests that adjustments might be about as follows:

1. For civilian males, I8 and over, 56.5 percent smoke cigarettes regularly at an average rate of 22 daily (instead of 5^.5 per- cent and 21.5 daily).

2. For civilian females, 18 and over, 30 percent smoke cigarettes regularly at an average rate of I6.5 daily (instead of 25.5 percent and lU.2 daily).

3. For males, 15-1? years old, 40 percent (instead of 30 ) smoke cigarettes regularly.

h. For females, 15-17 years old, 25 percent (instead of I3) smoke cigarettes regularly.

If such adjustments are made, the estimated cigarette smokers and the cigarettes smoked in February 1955 would be as follows:

Cigarette smokers Cigarettes smoked Millions Billions

Civilians I8 years and over:

Regular smokers: Males 28.0 17.3 Females 16.5 7.6

Occasional smokers: Males 2.1 .1 Females 2.3 .1

Armed forces in United States, Hawaii, and Alaska 1.6 1.0 Population 15-1? 2.2 1.0 Institutional population .5 .3 Hawaii and Alaska civilians .2 .1 Total 53^^ 27.5 .

- 96 -

These adjustments are designed to eliminate the 12 percent deficiency in the aggregate consumption as originally calculated from the survey data. They effect a reconciliation of the calculated consumption with the IRS aggre- gate, but the adjustments have been made on a judgment basis. The adjustments applied have the following effect:

1. The estimated number of civilian male smokers, l8 and over, is raised from 27 to 28 million. The average daily smoking rate for this group is increased by one-half cigarette.

2. The estimated number of civilian female smokers, l8 and over, is raised from 1^+ to l6^ million. The average daily smoking rate for this group is increased by 2 I/3 cigarettes

3. The estimated number of 15-1? year old regular smokers of cigarettes is raised from I.5 to 2.2 million. This adjustment if correct, means that 1 out of 3 of the 15-1? year olds smoke cigarettes regularly instead of the originally calciilated 1 out of ^.

The total number of cigarette smokers in the continental United States, Hawaii, and Alaska is increased by these adjustments from k-<^.2 to 53-^ mill inn. The average daily smoking rate of all regular smokers is increased about h percent. The adjustments closing the 3*3 billion gap between the original calculation of 24.2 billion and the 27.5 billion indicated by IRS data may be sumarized as follows:

Adjustment, billion Percentage cigarettes distribution

Civilian females, I8 and over 2.0 61 Civilian males, I8 and over 1.0 30 Males and females, 15-17 years 3 9 Gap =27.5 minus 2^.2 3.3 100

Much of the underest imate may result from some inaccurate responses from female groups

A major reason for adjusting the calculated proportions of cigarette smokers in the various populat-on gro'^s is to assist in estimating changes in number of smokers since early 1955- For example, estimates of the nijmber of - 97 -

cigarette smokers as of Jiay 1, I956 can be made on the basis of the February 1, I955 percentages as adjusted, and would be as follows:

[ Smokers GrouT) of ciffarette Total ; smokers l/ population ' Percentage ; of [ * Number population [

! Millions Percent Millions

Regular: l/ !

Civilians, I8 years and !

over : i

Males : 5i.it : 56i 29.0 Females ; 56.5 30 17.0

Armed forces in United States ; 1.9 73 l,k ^ Males and females, 15-17 years ; 7.0 33 2.3

Total ; 116.8 — 49.7

Occasional ! — h,^

""~ •* All ! — ™ 5^.2

1/ Smokers in institutions included in civilian groups.

Thus estimated, the number of cigarette smokers (including those smoking occasionally) shows an increase of about 1 million from February 1955 to mid-1956.

In addition to the 5!+. 2 million cigarette smokers in the United States that were smoking tax -paid cigarettes, probably another 0.7 million of over- seas personnel drew upon the ta:x-free supplies shipped abroad. Thus the total number of cigarette smokers in this country, and among its overseas personnel in mid-1956 was probably close to 55 million. This figure would not include additional smokers in Puerto Rico and other possessions of the United States, who smoke cigarettes largely supplied from United States factories. '

These estimates, of course, represent only approximations of the num- bers of smokers, and any knowledge of factors that may have increased or decreased the early 1955 proportions should also be weighed. .

- 98 -

Current population estimates and long-term projections by age groups are released at regiilar intervals by the Bureau of the Census. This makes possible an additional refinement Ln the estimating procedure, by basing esti- mated numbers of smokers on adjusted percentages by individual age groups. In this manner, changing age composition of the popiiLation is taken into consider- ation. Again, any other factors affecting proportions of smokers or average rates of smoking shoiild be evaluated.

Cigars and Pipe Tobacco

The reconciliation of aggregates computed from svocvey data with IRS data was less feasible for cigars emd pipe tobacco than for cigarettes. The greater relative importance of occasional smokers of cigars and pipes, and the lack of information on rates of consumption of such smokers, presented the major difficulty. Adjustments in IRS monthly data on cigars and smoking tobacco to achieve comparability with survey data cannot be made as readily as on cigarettes. Interpretation of factory removals data as indicating a partic\ilar month's consumption is more questionable; monthly data are more erratic for these products than for cigarettes.

Factory removals of smoking tobacco are reported as a single total, and some unknown proportion of it Is used by smokers of "roll-yoinr-own" cigarettes. No information is available from survey data on the average quantity of tobacco contained in a pipeful —the meas\are of consumption reported by pipe smokers. About k percent of the cigars supplied to United States smokers come from bonded manufacturing warehouses and no monthly data for such removals are available

Another consideration is the smaller numbers of cigar and pipe smokers than of cigarette smokers, which results in considerably larger standard errors of estimated niombers for various subgroups than for cigarette smokers. Also, data are not available for adjustments of any bias due to non-self- response in cigar and pipe smoking; such data were used in analysis of ciga- rette smoking.

Attempts to reconcile cigar and pipe tobacco volimie computed from sur- vey data with IRS figvires lead mainly to the conclusion that occasional cigar and pipe smokers account for considerably greater proportions of total con- sumption 'than is true of occasional cigarette smokers. - 99 -

LITERATURE CITED

(1) British Market Research Bureau Ltd. for Hiilton Research 195^. The Hulton Readership Survey. London.

(2) Canadian Daily Newspapers Association

1947. Canadian Consumer Survey of I947. Western Tohacco Joior. 7^4-: 9.

(3) Danish National Health Service 1956. National Survey of Smoking Habits. Tobacco. 911:59. London.

(h) Ferber, Robert 1949. Statistical Techniques in Market Research. ^k2 pp., illus. New York.

(5) Gilbert Youth Research Company 1956. Should Teeners Staioke? The Sunday Star, December 16, I956. Washington, D. C.

(6) Goldsmith, Selma F. 1956. Income Distribution in the United States, 1952-55. Sxjrvey of Current Business. 36:9-16, illus.

(7) Haenszel, William, Shimkin, Michael B., and Miller, Herman P. 1956. Tobacco Smoking Patterns in the United States. Public Health Monogr. k^. Ill pp., illus. Washington, D. C.

(8) Hobson, J. W. and Henry, H., editors 19^8. Pattern of Smoking Habits. Hiolton Research Studies of the British Social Pattern. London.

(9) Liebenberg, Maiarice, and Kaitz, Hyman 1951. An Income Size Distribution From Income Tax and Survey Data, 19^4, In National Biareau of Economic Research, Studies in Income and Wealth, Vol. 13, PP- 379-^62, illus. New York. - 100 -

(10) Sackrin, S. M. 1957* Income Elasticity of Demand for Cigarettes: A Cross-Section Analysis. Agr. Econ. Researcti. 9il-9^ iUiis.

(11) Swedish Gallup Institute and Swedish Tobacco Monopoly Co., Ltd.

1955 • Survey of Smoking Habits. Agriculture Summary, Report 3^^ Stockholm, February 15, 1956. Foreign Agrioiltural Service, U. S. Dept. of Agr.

(12) United States Bureau of the Census 1950. 1950 Census of Population: Classified Index of Occupations and Industries. 228 pp. Washington, D. C.

(13)

195^ • Current Population Reports. Concepts and Methods Used in the Ciirrent Labor Force Statistics Prepared by the Bureau of the Censxis. Series P-23, No. 2. Washington, D. C.

(1^) 1955* Ciirrent Population Reports, Consumer Income. Income of Persons in the United States: 195^. Series P-60, No. I9. Washington, D. C.

(15) 1955* Current Population Reports, Population Estimates. Estimates of the Population of the United States, by Age, Color, and Sex: July 1, 1950 to 1955. Series P-25, No. 121. Washington, D.C.

(16) 1953. Seventeenth Decennial Census of the United States: 1950. Vol. II, Pt. 1, United States Sximmary. 486 pp., illus. Washington, D. C.

(17) Wold, Herman, and Jureen, Lars 1953. Demand Analysis: A Study in Econometrics. 358 pp., illus. New York. - 101 -

LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES Table No. Page Appendix A

61. Cigarettes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current euaount of smoking, by age and income, February 1955 IO8

62. Cigarettes: Distribution of females, I8 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by &ge and income, Februeury 1955 110

63. Cigars: Distribution of meiles, I8 years and over, by c\irrent amount of smoking, by age and inccme, February 1955 113

64. Pipes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount

of smoking, by age and income, February 1955 • 115

65. Cigarettes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by region and inccane, February 1955 II8

66. Cigarettes: Distribution of females, I8 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by region and income, February 1955 119

67. Cigars: Distribution of males, I8 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by region and income, February 1955 121

68. Pipes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by region and income, Februaxy 1955 122

69. Cigarettes: Distribution of males, I8 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by residence and income, Februaxy 1955 12^4-

70. Cigarettes: Distribution of females, I8 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955 128

71. Cigars: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955 132

72. Pipes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955 136

73. Cigarettes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by major occupation group and income, -^^^ February 1955 • over, by current "Jk, Cigarettes: Distribution of females, 18 years and amount of smoking, by major occupation group and income, -^^^ February 1955 "

current 75. Cigars: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by amount of smoking, by major occupation group and income, February 1955 ^^5 - 102 -

LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES - Continued

Table No. Petge Appendix A

76. Pipes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by major occupation group and income, February 1955 1^

77* Cigarettes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amoimt of smoking, by major industry group and income, February 1955 151

78. Cigarettes: Distribution of females, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by major industry group and income, February 1955 15^

79- Cigars: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by major industry group and income, February 1955 155

80. Pipes: Distribution of males, 18 years and over, by current amount of smoking, by major industry group and income, February 1955 15^

Appendix B

81. Percentage distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by region and income, February 1955 l62

82. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette

smokers, I8 years and over, by region and income, February 1955 • l62

83. Percentage distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by region and income, February 1955 I63

84. Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional, cigsirette

smokers, I8 years and over, by region and income, February 1955 • I63

85. Percentage distribution of male regular cigar smokers, 18 years and

over, by rate of smoking, by region and income, February 1955 • • • I6U

86. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigar

smokers, I8 years eind over, by region and income, February 1955 • l64

87. Percentage distribution of male regular pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by region and inccane, February 1955 I65 - 103 -

LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES - Continued

Table No. page Appendix B

88. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional pipe smokers, l8 years and over, by region ajtid income, February 1955 . 165

89. Percentage distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February I955 155

90. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955 166

91. Percentage distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955 I67

92. Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional cigaxette smokers, I8 years and over, by residence ajid income, February 1955 I67

93 • Percentage distribution of male regular cigar smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955 I68

9^. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasioneil cigar smokers, I8 years and over, by residence and income, Febr«aary 1955 I68

95. Percentage distribution of male regular pipe smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955 I69

96. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional pipe smokers, I8 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955 I69

97. Percentage distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by major occupation group and income, February 1955 170

98. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by major occupation group and. income 171

99. Percentage distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking and major occupation group, February 1955 172

100. Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by major occupation group, February 1955 1T2 - 104 -

LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES - Continued

Table No. Page Appendix B

101. Percentage distribution of male regular cigar smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by major occupation group, February 1955 173

102. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigax smokers, l8 years and over, by major occupation group, February 1955 173

103. Percentage distribution of male regular pipe smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by major occupation group, February 1955 17i|.

104. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional pipe smokers, I8 years and over, by major occupation group, February 1955 ijk

105. Percentage distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking and major industry group, February 1955 I75

106. Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by major industry group, Februaiy 1955 I75

107. Percentage distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking and major industry group, February 1955 I76

108. Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by major industry group, February 1955 I76

Appendix C

109. Males, 18 years and over: Average annual inccane, by age and income class I79

110. Males, 18 years and over: Statistical results from regression analyses of the relation between proportions of regular cigarette smokers by income, by a^e 179

111. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who regularly smoke cigarettes, by region and income I83 - 105 -

LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES - Continued

Table No. page Appendix C

112. Analysis of variance of percentage of females vho regularly smoke cigarettes, by region and income I83

113. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who regularly smoke cigars, by region and income I83

114. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who regularly smoke pipes, by region and income I8U

115. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke cigarettes, by region and income iQk

116. Analysis of variance of percentage of females who occasionally smoke cigarettes, by region and income iQk

3J.7. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke cigars, by region and income I85

118. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke pipes, by region and income I85

119. Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally

smoke pipes , by residence and income I85

120. Statistical results from regression analyses of the relation between cigarette consiomption and incane of male regular

smokers , by age 18?

121. Females, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regularly: Average daily consumption of cigarettes and average annual inccme, by age and income class, February 1955 189

Appendix D

122. Standard error of estimated percentages when shown by income class 19k

123. Distribution of male smokers and nonsmokers of cigarettes: Com- parison of percentages computed from income sample and full sample, by age groups 196 - 106 - LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES - Continued Table No. Psige Appendix D

12i<-. Distribution of female smokers and nonsmokers of cigarettes: Com- parison of percentages computed from income sample and full sample, by age groups 197

125. Distribution of smokers and nonsmokers of cigars: Comparison of percentages computed from income sample and full sample by age groups 198

126. Distribution of smokers and nonsmokers of pipes: Comparison of percentages conrputed from income sample and full sample by age groups I99

127. Males, 18 years and over: Comparison of percentage distribution by income class as computed from the income sample and Bureau of the Census data, by age 200

128. Females, I8 years and over: Coniparison of percentage distribution by income class as conrputed from the income sample and Bureau of the Census data, by age 200

129. Percentage distribution of total sample by identity of respondent, by sex and age 206

130. Percentage of self-respondents and total sample who smoke ciga- rettes regularly 207

131. Self-respondents as a percentage of regular cigarette smokers, by sex and age 208

132. Male regular smokers of cigarettes: Percentage of self-respondents and non-self-respondents who smoke at specified rates 209 - 107 -

APPENDIX A. TABLES OF SURVEY DATA

Basic tables of survey data are shown in this appendix. As indicated on p. 11 , all percentage distributions shown in the cigar and pipe tables are derived from the income sample. In the case of the cigarette tables, percentage distributions by income class are derived from the income sample, and those relating to subtotals or total (where income detail is not involved) are from Tobacco Smoking Patterns in the United States (7) . Percentage dis- tributions of subtotals and totals have been adjusted to~allow for persons not reporting their smoking habits, who have been distributed proportionately to reported categories. Persons not furnishing tobacco smoking information comprise somewhat less than 5 percent of the full sample.

Since percentages for subtotaJLs and totals in the cigarette tables are derived from the full sample, they vary slightly from the weighted av- erages of data shown for individual income classes. Differences in virtually all cases are so small that they do not affect conclusions drawn from the data. Illustrative of the size of the difference is the comparison made in tables 123 and 12^ in Appendix D, which show the percentage distributions for cigarettes based on the income sample and fvill sample^ respectively.

Where income detail is not shown in all tables in this appendix popu- lation numbers are identical with those shown in the United States Public

Health Service monograph (?) . The distribution of the surveyed population by income class was made mostly on the basis of inccane sample data, because these related to persons l8 years and over, whereas income data published regularly by the Bureau of the Census relate to persons 1^+ years and over. The only instance where published data of the Bureau of the Census were used to compute numbers of persons by income class was in the case of age-income cross -classification. In this case, we used the percentage distribution of 195^+ income shown in Current Population Reports, "Consumer Income" (lU) for persons 25 years and over. These age groups are directly comparable to those of the tobacco smoking sample. The generally close correspondence be- tween the percentage distribution by income as computed from the income sample and that from the larger sample used by the Bureau of the Census may be seen from tables 127 and 128 in Appendix D. 108 -

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APPENDIX B. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF SMOKERS, BY RATE OF SMOKING AND KIND OF SMOKER

The tables in this appendix are of two types: (l) Percentage distribution of regular smokers only , by rate of smoking intervals and income, and (2; percentage distribution of all smokers, by kind of smoker (that is, regular or occasional) and income. Similar tables are shown in the body of this report in the section on "Rates of Smoking, " but data in those tables are cross-classified with in- come by age . Data in tables in this appendix are cross-classified with income by region , residence , and, for male cigarette smokers, occupation . Other tables shown do not include income detail because of thinness of sanple. 162 -

Table 8l . —Percentage distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by region ani income, February 1955

Income class All Region and daily • • ' : $7,000 incomes smoking rate Under $1,000- $2,000- $3,000- $ii-,000- $5,000- ; 1/

$1,000 1,999 2,999 : 3,999 ^^,999 : 6,999 ; ; : over Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Northeast: 1- 9 cigarettes 2lf 23 Ih 16 18 13 13 16 10-20 k6 54 58 53 h9 53 ^9 ^53 Over 20 30 23 28 31 33 3^^ 38 32 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

North central: 1- 9 cigarettes 29 25 13 12 12 10 13 17 10-20 6k 56 69 67 62 61 58 60 Over 20 7 19 18 21 26 29 29 23 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

South: 1- 9 cigarettes 31 16 16 15 10 9 15 18 6l^ 10-20 • 56 6? 63 59 57 59 58 Over 20 13 17 21 26 33 27 26 24 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

West: 1- 9 cigarettes 30 26 13 27 16 lU 15 18 lf8 10-20 : 55 59 48 65 57 59 59 Over 20 22 19 28 25 19 29 26 23

Total : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately, Based on full sample.

Table 82 . --Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by region and income, February 1955

Income class All Region and kind $7,000 incomes of smoker Under $1,000- $2,000- $3,000- $4,000- $5,000- and 1/ $1,000 1,999 2,999 3,999 4,999 6,999 over Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Northeast: Occasional 12 13 7 8 5 7 10 8 Regular 88 87 93 92 95 93 90 92 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

North central: Occasional 11 8 7 6 6 4 4 7 Regular 89 92 93 94 94 96 96 93 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

South: Occasional 12 5 5 6 6 13 8 8 Regular 88 95 95 94 94 87 92 92 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

West: Occasional 14 5 13 12 4 8 2 8 Regular 86 95 87 88 9^ 92 98 92 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately, Based on full sanrple. :

- 163 -

Table 83. —Percentage distribution of female regular cigarettfe smokers, 18 years and over, ty rate of smoking, by region and income, February 1955

Income class

Region and With money income All daily smoking No incomes rate $3,000 nioney Under $1,000- $2,000- y and inccme $1,000 1,999 2,999 over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Northeast: 1-9 cigarettes k6 38 38 35 32 36 10-20 hi h6 52 53 55 50 21 or more 7 16 10 12 13 14 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

North C entral 1-9 cigarettes 3k k6 k2 30 37 37 10-20 53 50 53 58 56 56 21 or more 13 h 5 12 7 7 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

South: 1-9 cigarettes h3 h5 40 22 40 37 10-20 51 hi 52 60 51 5h 21 or more 6 8 8 18 9 9 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

West: 1-9 cigarettes 35 35 38 36 36 32 10-20 58 53 60 56 56 60 21 or more 7 12 2 8 8 8 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Based on fxill sample.

Table 84. —Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by region and income, February 1955

Income class

Region and With money income All kind of No Incomes smoker $3,000 money Under $1,000- $2,000- 1/ and income $1,000 1,999 2,999 more Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Northeast: Occasional 12 10 27 15 14 15 Regular 88 90 73 85 86 85 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

North Central: OccasionaU. 15 9 12 15 n 12 Regular 85 91 88 85 89 88 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

South: Occasional 20 10 27 23 19 15 Regiilar 80 90 73 77 81 85 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

West: Occasional 17 n 11 8 13 11 Regular 83 89 89 92 87 89 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

1/ Based on full saoiple. : :

- 16U - Table 85, —Percentage distribution of male regular cigar smokers, 18 years and over, "by rate of smoking, by region and income, February 1955

Income class Income class

Region and An [ Region and AM : \ daily smoking $4,000 Incon^s ' daily smoking $4,000 incomes Under \ Under rate and rate and 1/ \ i/ ] $4,000 ; $4,000 over over

Pet. Pet. Pet. : Pet. Pet. Pet.

Hortheast: : South:

'. 1-2 cigars \ 48 43 45 : 1-2 cigars 55 43 50

3-4 ' 34 33 34 : : 3-4 28 42 35

: 5 or more 18 2k 21 : 5 or more : 17 15 15

• Total . 100 100 100 : : Total 100 100 100

North Central : West: 2/

': '' ''. 1-2 cigars 56 51 52 : 1-2 cigars 75 56 65

3-4 : 33 37 35 : : 3-4 : ?1 15 20

5 or more : 11 12 13 i : 5 or more : 4 29 15

Total : 100 100 100 : : Total . 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. 2/ The relatively sman nimiber of regular cigar smokers in the West, as indicated by the siirvey, may account for the sharp difference in percentages by income.

Table 86. —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigar smokers, 18 years and over, by region and inccme, February 1955

Income class Income class Region and All Region and All kind of $4,000 incomes kind of $4,000 incomes Under Under smoker and 1/ smoker and $4,000 $4,000 1/ over over

Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

Northeast South: Occasional 71 71 71 Occasional 76 61 73 Regular 29 29 29 Regular 24 33 27 Total 100 100 100 Total 100 100 100

North Central: West: Occasional 76 78 77 Occasional 69 83 76 Regular 24 22 23 Regular 31 17 24 Total 100 100 100 Total 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample ceises of whom are too few to show separately. :

- 165 -

Table 87. —Percentage distribution of male regular pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking, by region and income, February 1955

Region and Income class An

daily smoking Under • : $3,000- $5,000 incomes rate $3,000 ^^,999 and over ; ; i/ Percent Percent Percent Percent Northeast: 1-h pipefiils 1^0 66 60 55 5-9 3h 18 30 27 10 or more 26 16 10 18 Total 100 100 100 100

North Central: 3i^ 1-4 pipefuls : k8 58 ^7 5-9 35 22 kh 33 10 or more 17 20 22 20

Total : 100 100 100 100

South: 1-4 pipefuls 51 39 31 kh

5-9 : 36 38 40 39

10 or more : 13 23 29 17 Total 100 100 100 100

West: 1-h pipefuls 27 50 43 •39 5-9 26 38 33 31

10 or more : hi 12 24 30 Total 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no money income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately

Table 88 . ~Percent£ige distribution of male regtilar and occasional pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by region and income, February 1955

Income class Region and All kind of Under • $3,000- • $5,000 incomes

• smoker $3,000 ^,999 ; and over 1/ Percent Percent Percent Percent Northeast:

Occasional ! 50 58 75 58 Regular 50 42 25 42 Total 100 100 100 100

North Central: Occasional 42 64 67 55 Regular 58 36 33 45 Total 100 100 100 100

South Occasional 56 64 74 61 Regular 44 36 26 39 Total 100 100 100 100

West: Occasional 42 62 i^5 49 Regular 58 38 55 51 Total 100 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no money income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. :

- 166 -

Table 89. —Percentage distribution of nale regular cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking by residence and income, February 1955

Income class Residence and All

daily • : $7,000 incomes ' • $2,000r • Under $1,000- ; $3,000- $4,000- $5,000- smoking rate : and 1/ $1,000 : ^,999 6,999 ; 1,999 2,999 ; 3,999 ; ; : over Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Urban: 1- 9 cigarettes 33 23 16 15 15 11 14 16 10-20 49 57 60 58 56 58 52 ' 57 Over 20 18 20 24 27 29 31 34 27 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm: 1- 9 cigarettes 25 19 12 17 10 11 14 17 10-20 62 61 65 58 61 65 72 59 Over 20 13 20 23 25 29 24 14 24 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural farm: 1- 9 cigarettes 27 19 11 20 2/13 23 10-20 59 65 6? 63 2/60 58 Over 20 14 16 22 17 2/27 1 1 19 Total 100 100 100 100 2/100 3/ 3/ 100

l/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately, Based on full sample. 2/ Income class includes those with incomes of $4,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $4,000-4,999 class because of too few cases.

Table 90. —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class Residence and All kind of $7,000 incomes Under $1,000- $2,000- $3,000- $4,000- $5,000- smoker and 1/ $1,000 1,999 2,999 3,999 4,999 6,999 over Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Urban Occasional 12 7 8 8 5 6 6 7 Regular 88 93 92 92 95 94 94 93 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm: Occasional 8 9 5 3 7 14 6 7 Regular 92 91 95 97 93 86 94 93 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural farm: Occasional 14 9 5 9 2/3 3/ 3/ 10 Regvilar 86 91 95 91 2/97 3/ 3/ 90 Total 100 100 100 100 2/100 3/ 3/ 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately, Based on full sample. 2/ $4,000 and over 3/ Combined with $4,000-4,999 class because of too few cases. - 167 -

Table 91. —Percentage distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class

Residence and With money income All daily smoking No Incomes rate $3,000 money Under $1,000- $2,000- 1/ and income $1,000 1,999 2,999 over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Urban: 1-9 cigarettes kl 39 kl 28 35 36 10-20 51 52 53 60 56 ^h Over 20 8 9 6 12 9 10 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm: 1-9 cigarettes hh 50 30 kk 37 36 10-20 hi 33 67 h9 53 55 Over 20 9 17 3 7 10 9 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural farm: 1-9 cigarettes 25 2/ 2/ 2/ 39 1+1 10-20 67 2/ 2/ 2/ ^k 53 Over 20 8 2/ 2/ 2/ 7 6 Total 100 2/ 2/ 2/ 100 100

1/ Based on full sample. 2/ Too few cases in sample. Farm women smokers in these classes com- prise only about one-fifth of all farm women smokers with income.

Table 92. —Percentage distribution of female regular and occasional cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class

Residence and With money income All kind of No incomes smoker $3,000 money 1/ Under $1,000- $2,000- and income $1,000 1,999 2,999 over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Urban: Occasional 17 10 21 16 12 li+ Regular 83 90 79 Qk 88 86 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm: Occasional 13 9 15 10 15 13 Regular 87 91 85 90 85 87 Total 100 100 100 ].00 100 100

Rural, farm: Occasional Ik 21 17 Regxaar 86 2/ 2/ 2/ 79 83 Total 100 2/ 2/ 2/ 100 100

l/ Based on full sample. 2/ Too few cases in sample. .

- 168 -

Table 93, -Percentage distrilDution of male regular cigar smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class Residence and An daily smoking incomes Under $4,000 rate \ ^ ; and over $4,000 : Percent Percent Percent

Urban: ;

1-2 cigars : 50 43 46 3k 36 35 5 or more 16 21 19 Total 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm:

1-2 cigars i 68 55 64

3-h : 20 30 25 5 or more 12 15 11 Total 100 100 100

R\aral fsirm: 1-2 cigars ': 37 46 3-h ^3

5 or more : 16 2/ 11

Total : 100 2/ 100

1/ Includes those with no money income, sample cases of vhom are too few to shov separately. 2/ Too few cases.

Table 94. —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigar smokers, 18 years and over, by residence and income, Febr\iary 1955

Income class Residence and All kind of inccmes Under $4,000 smoker 1/ $4,000 and over Percent Percent Percent Urban: Occasioneil 71 73 72 Regular 29 27 28 Total 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm: Occasional 73 75 75 Regular 27 25- 25 Total 100 100 100

RToral farm: Occasional 83 92 84 Regular 17 8 16 Total 100 100 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sajnple cases of whom are too few to show separately - 169 -

Table 95. —Percentage distribution of male regular pipe smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class Residence and : All daily smoking incomes Under • [ $3,000- $5,000 rate 1/ $3,000 : ^,999 and over ; Percent Percent Percent Percent Urban: 1-4 pipefuls 47 59 41 50

5-9 : 32 27 38 32

10 or more : 21 14 21 18

Total : 100 100 100 100

Ptural nonfarm: 1-4 pipefvas 43 57 41 47

5-9 : 33 17 41 28

10 or more : 24 26 18 25 Total 100 100 100 100

Rural farm: 1-4 pipefxils : 43 2/34 42

5-9 : 39 2/41 39 10 or more 1 18 2/25 1 19 Total 100 2/100 3/ 100

1/ Includes those with no money income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. 2/ $3,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $3,000-$4,999 class.

Table 96. —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional pipe smokers, 18 years and over, by residence and income, February 1955

Income class Residence and All kind of incomes Under • $3,000- * $5,000 smoker 1/ $3,000 : ^,999 ; and over Percent Percent Percent Percent Urban: Occasional 50 63 65 .. 58 Regular 50 37 35 42 Total 100 100 100 100

Rural nonfarm:

Occasional : 49 63 77 59 Regular 51 37 23 41 Total 100 100 100 100

Rural farm: Occasional 42 2/60 46 Regular 58 2/40 1^ 54 Total 100 2/100 3/ 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. 2/ $3,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $3,000-$4,999 class. :: :

- 170 -

Table 97. —Percentage dlstritutlon of male regular cigarette smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by major occupation group euad income, February 1955

Income class Major occupation All group and daily Incomes Under $3,000- $5,000- $7,000 smoking rate : : 1/ $3,000 : 4,999 6,999 \ and over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Professional and kindred workers 1- 9 cigarettes 17 20 18 31 18

10-20 : 58 63 60 h9 55

Over 20 : 25 17 22 20 27 Total 100 100 100 100 100

Managers, officials, and proprietors, except farm; 1- 9 cigarettes 13 12 9 11 13

10-20 : 57 57 55 56 5^^

Over 20 : 30 31 36 33 33 Total 100 100 100 100 100

Clerical and kindred: 1- 9 cigarettes 16 11 2/14 3/ 15 10-20 63 65 2/50 3/ 60 Over 20 21 24 2/36 3/ 25 Total 100 100 2/100 3/ 100

Salesworkers 1- 9 cigarettes 26 9 2/6 3/ 14 10-20 50 55 2/60 3/ 54 Over 20 24 36 2/34 3/ 32 Total 100 100 2/100 3/ 100

Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers: 1- 9 cigarettes 22 16 10 6 14 10-20 54 52 62 57 56 Over 20 24 32 28 37 30 Total 100 100 100 100 100

Operativesand kindred workers 1- 9 cigarettes 12 15 11 21 14

10-20 : 66 60 58 69 60 Over 20 22 25 31 10 26 Total 100 100 100 100 100

Service workers, except private household: 1- 9 cigarettes 24 4/17 5/ 1/ 20 10-20 56 5/52 5/ 5/ 53 Over 20 20 4/31 5/ 5/ 27 Total 100 100 5/ 5/ 100

Laborers, except farm and mine: 1- 9 cigarettes 21 4/20 5/ 5/ 20 10-20 59 5/54 5/ 1/ 60 Over 20 — 20 V26 5/ 5/ 20 Total 100 100 5/ 5/ 100

Farmers, farm managers. foremen and laborers: 1- 9 cigarettes 21 V19 5/ 5/ 24 10-20 64 5/69 1/ 5/ 60 Over 20 15 4/12 5/ 5/ 16 Total 100 100 y 5/ 100

1/ Includes those with no income, sample cases of whom are too few to show separately. Based on full sample. 2/ $5,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $5,000-6,999 class. 4/ $3,000 and over. ^ Combined with $3,000-4,999 class. :: :

- 171 -

Tatle 98. —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by major occupation group and income

Income class Major occupation All group and kind incomes Under $3,000- $5,000- $7,000 of smoker 1/ $3,000 i^,999 6,999 and over Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers Occasional 10 9 13 10 10 Regular 90 91 87 90 90 Total 100 100 100 100 100

Managers, officials, and proprietors, except farm: Occasional 8 7 9 5 7 Regular 92 93 91 95 93 Total 100 100 100 100 100

Clerical and kindred: Occasional 6 7 2/2 6 Regular 9\ 93 2/98 9"^ Total 100 100 100 ^3/ 100

Salesworkers Occasional 9 7 2/5 7 Regular 91 93 2/95 H, 93 Total 100 100 100 3/ 100

Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers: Occasional 3 6 7 2 6 Regular 97 93 98 9\ Total 100 100 100 100 100

Operatives and kindred workers Occasional r 6 3 9 6 Regular 9»f 9^ 97 91 9if Total 100 100 100 100 100

Service workers, except private household: Occasional 9 y3 6 Regular 91 r Hi 9i^ Total 100 4/100 5/ 5/ 100

Laborers, except farm and mine: Occasioneil 9 4/6 9 4/94 91 Regular 91 %, Total 100 4/100 ?/ %?/ 100

Farmers, farm managers, foremen, and laborers: Occasional 10 /8 5/ 9 Regular 90 it792 1 91 Total 100 ij/100 jz: 1 100

1/ Includes those with no income. Based on full sample. 2/ $5,000 and over. 3/ Combined with $5,000-6,999 class because of insufficient cases. \l $3,000 and over. 5/ Combined with $3,000-4,999 class because of insufficient cases. ..

- 172 -

Table 99. —Distribution of female regxHar cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking and major occupation group, Febr\aary 1955

Percentage distribution

Daily smoking rate (cigarettes) Major occupation group : Total

1-9 10-20 ; ^^^ • i Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers . Uh 46 10 100 Managers, officials, and

uroDrietors . excent farm 21 62 17 100

Clerical and ki ndred workers : 35 57 ' 8 100

Salesworkers : 34 58 8 100

Operatives and kindred workers . . : 39 50 n 100

Private household workers : 52 38 10 100 Service workers, except

TDrivate household : 31 56 13 100

All occuTDations l/ : 36 54 10 100

1/ Includes following occupations, data for which are not shown separately because of small number of persons involved: farmers and farm managers; craftsmen, foremen, etc.; farm laborers; laborers, except farm and mine. Based on full sample.

Table 100. --Distribution of female regular and occasional cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by major occupation group, Febrviary 1955

Percentage distribution

Major occupation group Kind. of smoker Total ;

Occasional \ Regular • Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers . 16 8k 100 Marxagers, officials, and proprietors, except farm 13 87 100 Clerical and kindred workers Ik 86 100

Salesworkers : 16 84 100

Operatives and kindred workers . . n 89 100 Private household workers 20 80 100 Service workers, except private household n 89 100

All occupations l/ '• 13 87 100

1/ Includes following occupations, data for which are not shown separately because of small number of persons involved: farmers and farm managers; craftsmen, foremen, etc.; farm laborers; laborers, except farm and mine. Based on full sample. . . .

- 173 - Table 101.--Percentage distribution of male regular cigar smokers, l8 years and over, by rate of smoking, by major occupation group, February 1955

Percentage distribution

Daily smoking rate, Major occupation group cigars Total or 1-2 3-h 5 more Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers 52 26 22 100

Farmers and farm managers l/ . . kl kh 15 100 Managers, officials, and proprietors, except farm k2 28 30 100 Clerical and kindred vxjrkers . 53 33 100 Salesvorkers 55 45 100 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 56 31 13 100 Operatives and kindred workers 51 31 18 100 Service workers, except private household 56 kk 100 Laborers, except farm and mine h3 31 26 100

1/ No regular cigar smokers among fana laborers and foremen were reported in the Income sample.

Table 102. —Percentaige distribution of meLLe regular and occasional cigar smokers, l8 years and over, by major occupation group, Febiniary 1955

Percentage distribution

. Kind. of smoker Major occupation group ; Total

Occasional : Regular

Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers . 71 29 100 Farmers, farm managers, laborers and foremen 8k 16 100

Managers, officials, and ' proprietors, except farm 67 33 100

Clerical and kindred workers : 75 25 100 S6G.esworkers ...... : 78 22 100 Craftsmen, foremen and kindred workers 73 27 100

Operatives and ki ndred workers . . 84 16 100 Service workers, except private household 57 43 100 Laborers, except farm emd mine . . 73 27 100 .

• - 17^ -

Table 103 . —Percentage distribution of Hiale regular pipe smokers, l8 yMurs and over, by rate of smoking, by major occupation group, February 1955

\ Percentage distribution

Daily smoking rate, pipefuls Major occupation group Total , : 10 or 1-i^ 5-9 . : more

Percent Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers . 36 35 29 100 Farmers, farm managers, laborers i^ and foremen ••••• •..•••••••• : 43 13 100 Itenagers, officials, and

Drocrietors . except farm ...... 50 28 22 100 Clerical and kindred vorkers 56 21 23 100

Salesworkers • ••..••••• 60 31 9 100 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers •••• k3 36 19 100

Operatives and kindred workers . . : 3h 31 15 100 Service workers, except private

bousehold •.... *•••••• : 68 iQ 1^ TOO

Laborers, except farm and mine ... : 43 39 18 100

Table 104 . —Percentage distribution of male regular and occasional pipe smokei^, 18 years and over, by major occupation group, February 1955

Percentage distribution

Kind of smoker Major occupation group Total ; Occasional Regular

: Percent Percent Percent

Professional and kindred workers '. 68 32 100 Farmers, farm managers, laborers and foremen k3 57 100 Managers, officials, and proprietors, except farm 6k 36 100 Clerical and kindred workers Ik 26 100

Salesworkers : 71 29 100 Craftsmen, foremen, and kindred workers 63 37 100 Operatives and kindred workers . . : 61 39 100 Service workers, except private household : 53 kl 100 Laborers, except farm and mine ... : 67 33 100 - 175 -

Table IO5. —Distribution of male regular cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by rate of smoking and major industry group, February 1955

Percentage distribution

Daily smoking rate (cigarettes) Major industry group Total

Percent Percent Percent Percent

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 2k 60 16 100 Mining 17 55 28 100 Construction 12 57 31 100 Manufacturing 15 59 26 100 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 13 58 29 100 Wholesale and retail trade Ik 56 30 100 Finance, insurance, and

real estate , 16 51 33 100 Business and repair services Ik 62 2k 100 Personal services 17 58 25 100 Professional and related services 23 51 26 100 Public administration 16 58 26 100

Based on full ssunple.

Table 106. —Distribution of male regular and occasional cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by major industry group, February 1955

Percentage distribution

Kind of smoker Major industry group Total Occasional

Percent Percent Percent

Agriculture, forestry and. fisheries 10 96 100 Mining 5 95 100

Construction 7 93 . 100 Maniifacturing ^ 100 Transportation, commxml cation, and other public utilities 6 9k 100 Wholesale and retail trade 6 9k 100 Finance, insurance, and real estate 8 92 100 Business and repair services 9 91 100 Personal services 9 91 100 Professional ajid related services n 89 100 Public administration 8 92 100

Based on full sample. .

• - 176 -

Table IO7. —Distribution of female regular cigarette smokers, I8 years and over, by rate of smoking and major industry group, February 1955

Percentage distribution

Daily smoking rate (cigarettes) Major indxistry group Total

Percent Percent Percent Percent

Manufacturing 39 52- 9 100 Wholesale and retail trade . . 30 59 11 100 Personal services kk k6 10 100 Professional and related services k2 51 7 100 Public administration 31 59 10 100 Transportation, coram\ani cation,

and other public utilities . 25 59 16 100 Finance, insurance, and real estate 41 52 7 100

Based on full sample.

Table IO8. —Distribution of female regular and occasional cigarette smokers, 18 years and over, by major industry group, February 1955

Percentage distribution

Major industry group Kind of smoker Total Occasional Regular Percent Percent Percent

Manufacturing 12 88 100

Wholesale and retail trade . . 12 88 100 Personal services 16 Qk 100 Professional and related services 16 84 100 Piiblic administration 13 87 100 Transportation, communication,

and other public utilities . 15 85 100 Finance, insurance, and real estate 13 87 100

Based on full sample. . ) —

- 177 -

APPENDIX C. STATISTICAL ANALYSES

This appendix presents the details of the statistical analyses which imderlie findings presented in the text. These analyses fall into three broad categories: (l) Correlation analyses dealing with the relationship between proportions of males who smoke each of the three products ;, and income and age; (2) analysis of variance, mostly to substantiate whether the percentages of smokers, classified by income and regional location, differ statistically; and (3) correlation analyses dealing with the relationship of cigarette consumption to income and age, the results of which were summarized in the section on "Income Elasticity of Demand For Cigarettes."

Percentage of Males Who Smoke Regularly or Occasionally in Relation to Income and Age

In all of the analyses described in this subsection, data for income (adjusted for Federal income tsjc) and average age appear in table IO9, p. 179. Income and age variables are used in each analysis, although, as indicated, in some instances a parabolic formulation is used for one or both, i.e., a squared term is used in addition to the variable itself. Data for the dependent variable--the percentage of males who smoke either regularly or occasionally are shown in text tables, and reference is made to the pages on which they appear. Only data for those with income were considered.

Cigarettes ; Relationship of Proportions of Males Who Smoke Regularly and Proportions

Who Smoke Occasionally , to Income and Age

The analysis of proportions of males who smoke cigarettes regularly used the following variables: > .

Xi - percentage of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes regiolarly

Xp - 195^ personal money income, adjusted for estimated Federal income tax (1,000 dollars)

X3 - the square of the deviation of the individual income from $U,200, (income data coded in 1,000 dollars)

Xu - average (weighted mean) age of those in an individual age- income cell (years)

X5 - the square of the deviation of the individual mean age from 30 (divided by 100 —

- 178 -

Data for Xi are shown in table 3^ P* 25 . Proportions smoking are those computed directly from sxjrvey data^ and are not adjusted for non-self -response hias. Use of the squared terms results in a parabolic formulation for the income and age variables. Survey data show that regardless of income the proportion smoking regularly tends to rise with increasing age to 25-3^^ and then to decline among older- age groups. Similarly, there is some tendency particularly in the younger and older age groups —for the proportion who smoke cigarettes regularly to increase with income up to a point, and then to decline. Actual values of all variables were used.

The following regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained. Numbers in parentheses beneath the regression coefficients are their respective standard errors.

X'l = 55.70 + 0.3^ X2 - 0.28 X3 + 0.26 Xk - 2.78 X5 (0.30) (0.08) (0.11) (0.30)

R^l. 23^+5 = 0-91 r2ii+.235 = 0-15

^212.345 = 0-0^ ^^15. 23^ = 0.7^

r2i3.2i^5 - 0.28 SI. 231+5 = >.10

Note: The coefficients bi2.3ii5 and T^12.3k'^ do not differ from zero by a statistically significant amount.

Separate analyses were made for each age group, in which Xi and X2 represented the same variables as in the foregoing analysis, and X3 a similar squared term, but with the deviations measured from the following income levels: 18-24, $2,800; 25-3^, $2,ii00; 35-64, $4,200; and 65 and over, $3,300. Results from the analyses are shown in table 110.

The analysis of proportions of males who smoke cigarettes occasionally used the following variables:

X]_ - Percentage of males, I8 years and over, who smoke cigarettes occasionally X2 - 1954 personal money income, adjusted for estimated Federal income tax (lOO dollars) X3 - Average (weighted mean) age of those in an individual age- income cell.

Data for Xi are shown in table I9, p. 46 . X2 was expressed in loga- rithms; actual values oftthe other variables were used.

The following regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained: X'l =6.19 - 1.68 log X2 + 0.01 X3 (0.82) (0.02) R2i.23 = 0-11. r2i2.3 = 0.11, r2i3.2 = O.OO3, si.23 = 1-84

Note: The coefficients bi3.2 and r2i3.2 do not differ from zero by a statis- tically significant amount. 1

- 179 -

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. - i8o -

Cigeirs; Relationship of Proportions of Males V[ho Smoke P.egiilarly and Proportions Wfao Smoke Occasionally, to I no one and Age

The analysis of proportions of males who smoke cigars regularly used the follovrLng variahles:

X2_ - percentage of males. l3 years and over, who smoke cigars regularly

Xg - 195^ personal money income, adjusted for estimated Federal income tax (100 dollars)

X^ - average (weighted mean) age of those in an individual age inccane cell (years)

Data for X]_ are shown in table 11, p. 35 • X2 was expressed in logarithms; actual values of the other variables were used.

The follo-vring regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained:

X' = - 6.07 + 2.87 log Xp + 0.18 Xo ^ (0.80) (0.02) 2 ^ _ 2 ^ ^o 2 R "1.23 = ^'^^' ^ 12.3 = 0-28. r 13^2 = 0-T3, S1.23 - 1-80

Analyses were also made for individual age groups . Although the signs obtained were correct for all age groups except 35-^ years, i.e., the co- efficients on income were positive, most of the r^'s were not statistically significant. In the one or two instances where they were, the ostensibly favorable result etrose because of some unusual individual percenteige , The separate analyses tend to confirm the finding of the analysis of pooled observations: that, based on these survey data, income level does not have a great effect on the proportions of regular cigar smokers

The analysis of proportions of males who smoke cigars occasionally used the same X2 ^^'^ Xo variables as in the preceding analysis, but X-^ represented the percentage of males who smoke cigars occasionally.

Data for Xj_ are shown in table 27^ ?• 52 . X2 vas expressed in loga- rithms; actual values of the other variables were used.

The follovring regression eqiiation and statistical coefficients were obtained: X' = 0.32 + 5.73 - 0.01 ^ (1.42) (0.03)

A.23 - °-33, r\2.3 = 0.33. r\3^2 = 0.004, s^^^^ - 3-2 - l8i -

Note: The coefficients "b and r^ do not differ from zero by a ^' statistically significant amoiint.

As survey data seemed to show that percentages within income classes tended to increase to age 45-5^ and then to decline, another approach was tried using a parabolic formulation for the a^e variable. The results obtained did not differ materially from those described above. Coefficients for the age variable (both for average age and for the squared term) did not differ significantly from zero; the relative importance of the income factor remained almost unchanged.

Pipes; Relationship of Proportions of Males VJho Smoke Regularly and Proportions VJho

Smoke Occasionally , to Income and Age

The analysis of proportions of males who smoke pipes regularly used the follomng variables:

X-, - percentage of males, l8 years and over, who smoke pipes regularly

Xp - 195^ personal money income, adjusted for estimated Federal income tax (100 dollars)

Xo - average (weighted mean) age of those in an individual a^e- income cell (years)

Data for X, are shown in table 15, p. Ul . Xg was expressed in logarithms; actual values of the other variables were used.

The follotd.ng regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained:

X't - - 1.191 - 1.58 log Xp + 0.2U Xo (1.23) (0.03) 2 .2 ^ .Q 2 ^ r.a ^'^^ r\^23 = 0-^^ A2.3 = 0.05, r 13.2 = 0-67, si,23 =

Note: The coefficients b2^2.3 ^^'^ ^ d.o differ from zero by a -""""•12.3 not statistically significant amount.

Individual analyses (simple regressions) were made for each age group, but none showed a statistically significant r^. This tends to confirm the finding of the foregoing analysis with regard to the relative unimportance of the the income factor. But of some interest is the fact that the sign of l8-l+)+, and nega- coefficient on income is positive for the three age groups suggests the tive for the thi-ee age groups U5 and over. The latter finding regular pipe presence of a negative relationship between income level and the proportion smoking for the older age groups. This may be reasonable, as in these age groups. of regular cigar smokers tends to go up with income ,

- 182 -

In other words, there tends to be an inverse relationship between proportions of regular pipe smokers and regular cigar smokers among men k'^ years and over.

In the analysis of proportions of males who smoke pipes occasionally, the same X2 and X3 variables as in the preceding analysis of pooled obser- vations vrere used, but X-]_ represented the percentage of males, 18 years and over, who smoke pipes occasionally.

Data for X^ are shown in table 31, p. 56 • X2 was expressed in loga- rithms; actviaJ. values of the other variables were used.

The following regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained:

X'l^ = 9.83 + ^.85 log Xp - 0.14 X-, (1.17) ^ (0.03) ^

^^'^ A.23 = °-55, r\2,3 = 0.3U, r\3^2 = ^'^^' ^1.23

Analysis of variance ; Proportion of Males and Females , 18 Years and Over, V/ho Are Regular or Occasional Smokers by Region and Income 12/

To provide an overall test of statistical significance of regional and income effects on the percentage of smokers, analysis of variance was used. An important assvimption tanderlying this technique is not present, namely, that the survey sample be a simple randcm sample. (The survey sample is a multi-stage, stratified clustered sample.) The lack of this requirement results in a "remainder" (used as the denominator to obtain the F -ratio in the standard analysis of variance) which is too low. Analysis of variance was used here, however, to supplement the more rigorous test of significance of differences between pairs of percentages; it was used more as a means of confirmation than as a basis for initial conclusions. As most of the F-ratios obtained were either large or close to 1, substantiating judgments as to the significance or nonsignificance of each factor could be made, despite an underestimate of the sampling variance as reflected in the "remainder,"

In these analyses, the percentages of males or females who are regular or occasional smokers were transformed into a form in which they

are independent of the variances . The transformation is made by means of the follot^ng conversion formula: X = arc sine \/p®^*^®^'^^SS The analysis of variance \7as then performed on the values of X. Tables are available for effecting the transformation. [See Ferber (k, pp. 286-290, 516-519)-]

This procedure assumes that there is no interaction effect between income and the other variable considered. Interaction effects cannot be measured in analyses where there is only one observation in each cell.

In all of the analyses which follow, the transformed values of the percentages were coded in order to simplify the computations.

12/ One analysis is included which relates to the effects of residence and income. .

- 183 -

Table 111 . -Analysis of variance of percentage of males who regularly smoke cigarettes, by region and income

Source of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom squares variance

Total 27 666.85

Between regions , 3 i^3.53 lif.51 Between income classes 6 419.65 69.914- Remainder 18 203.67 11.31

Table 112. —^Analysis of variance of percentage of females who regularly smoke cigarettes, by region and income

Source of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom sqimres variance

Total , 19 389.31 Between regions 3 li+2.15 47.38 Between income classes k 200.60 50.15 Remainder 12 46.56 3.88

Table II3 . —^Analysis of variance of percentage of males who regularly smoke cigars, by region and income

Source of S\m. of Mean square variation squares variance

Total , 27 196.34

Between regions , 3 58.79 19.60 Between income classes 6 54.44 9.07

Remainder , . 18 83.11 4.62 - iQk -

— variance of percentage of males who regiilarly Table llif • •Analysis of smoke pipes, "by region and income

Source of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom squares variance

Total 27 253.25 Between regions 3 70.55 23.52 Between income classes 6 64.56 10.76 Remainder 18 118.14 6.56

Table 115 . —^Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke cigarettes, by region and income

Source of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom squares variance

Total , 27 156.10 Between regions 3 20.47 6.82 Between income classes 6 37.04 6.17 Remainder 18 98.65 5.48

Table II6. —^Analysis of variance of percentage of females who occasionally smoke cigarettes, by region and income

Source of Degrees of of square ; Sum Mean variation freedom squares variance \ \

Total 19 115.01 Between regions 3 17.57 5.86

Between income classes . 4 57.76 14.44 Remainder 12 39.68 3.31 . ,

- 185 -

Table II7 . —^Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke cigars, by region and income

Source of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom squares variance

Total , 27 32^4-. 99

Between regions , 3 82.35 27.^5 Between income classes 6 191.06 31. 8i^ Remainder 18 51.58 2.87

Table II8. —Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke pipes, by region and income

Soxorce of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom squares variance

Total , 27 3^8.17 Between regions 3 120.85 40.28 Between income classes 6 13^.28 22.38 93.0J+ Remainder , 18 5-17

Table II9. —^Analysis of variance of percentage of males who occasionally smoke pipes, by residence and income

Source of Degrees of Sum of Mean square variation freedom sqioares variance

Total , 17 19b. -JO

Between residences . . . 2 3.53 1.76 Between income classes 1/5 168.01 33.60 Remainder 10 25.16 2.52

1/ Income classes of $4,000 and over were consolidated in urban and rural nonfarm residences to make the number of rows equal to those of the farm resi- dence. This reduced the total nimiber of income classes from 8 to 6. : :

- - 186 -

Consumption of Cigarettes by Regular Smokers in Relation to Income and Age

The analysis of cigarette consimption by male regular smokers used the following variables

- Xji^ average dally consumption (cigarettes)

X2 - average income, after Federal income taxes (lOO dollars)

Xo - the square of the deviation of the weighted mean age (of an individual age-income cell) frcan i^-0, divided by 100 (years).

Data for X^ are shown in table 37> P» 61+; data for average age and in- come are shown in table IO9, p. 179. A parabolic formulation was used for the age variable, since the survey data show that regardless of income the ciga- rette smoking rate among males tends to increase with age up to 35-^^^ and then to decline steadily among older age groups. The use of average age as an independent variable in addition to the squared term relating to age yielded a regression coefficient that did not differ significantly from zero, and thus was emitted from the analysis. Since six different age groups usually were included in each income class, intercorrelation between income and age was nearly zero. X^ and X2 were expressed in logarithms; actual values of Xo were used.

The analysis of pooled observations yielded the following regression equation and statisticaJ. I coefficients Log X'l = 1.250i+ + 0.067^ log X2 - 0.0117 X3 (0.0073) (0.0009) I r2^2.3 =0.71 ^^.23 V°-^9

Analyses by individual age groups, in \^ich simple regressions of cigarette consiamption were computed on income, gave the results shown in table 120. Both variables were expressed in logarithms.

Though the coefficients of determination shown in table 120 do not differ from each other by a statistically significant amount for the small number of observations involved, other survey data tend to confirm the rela- tive magnitudes. Differences in income do not account for as high a propor- tion of variation in cigarette consumption among male smokers 25-5^^ especially those 35-^> as they do for other age groups. Among men 25 to 5^ are found both the largest proportions of regular cigarette smokers and the heaviest smokers, \rLth relatively little variation in smoking rates from income cla.-S to income class. .

- i8t -

Table 120. —Statistical results from regression analyses of the relation be- tween cigarette consimption and income of male regular smokers, by age 1/

Standard error Coefficient Regression Age group of regression of coefficient coefficient determination

Years lQ-2h 0.052 0.012 0.85 25-3^ .056 .014 .76 35-^^ .ok6 .019 .54 45-5^ .056 .016 .70 55-64 .096 .020 .83

65 and over . .095 .022 .86

1/ Coefficients differ from zero by a statistically significant amount at the 5-percent probability level for all age groups except 35-44; the latter differ significantly from zero at the 6-7 percent probability level.

Another explanation is possible for the pattern of variation observed in the r^'s. Survey income data for the youngest and two oldest age groups may be more reliably indicative of income available for personal consumption expenditures than those for the middle groups. Undoubtedly, family demands on income of men 25-54 are greater than those in other age brackets. 13/

The analysis of cigarette consumption by female regulax smokers used the following variables:

X-. - average daily consumption (cigarettes)

X^ - average income, after Federal income taxes (lOO dollars)

X^ - average (weighted mean) age of an individual age-income cell •^ (years)

Xji, - the square of the deviation of average age from 49, divided by 100 (years)

13/ This explanation for the pattern of variation was suggested by Holbrook Working, Associate Director, Food Research Institute, Stanford University. - . - 188

Data for average consumption, average age, and average income are shown in table 121. Consumption data are shown in greater detail than in text table 45, p. 71 , in order to provide sufficient observations for statis- tical analysis. All variables were expressed in actual data.

The following regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained:

x'i= 17.82 + 0.02X2 -0.08X0 -0.50x2^ (0.02) (0.02) (0.10)

r2 r2^.34 = r2^^^23 = O.6O, I.23U = 0-^9, 0.04,

1-2^ ^^3.24 = °-58. ^l.23U =

Note: The coefficients '^Yl.'\h ^^*^ ^12.34 '^^ '^'^^ differ from zero by a statistically significant amount.

The analysis of cigarette consumption by all reg^alar smokers (male and female) used the following variables:

X - average daily consumption, adjusted for the effect of age (cigarettes)

Xo - average income, after Federal income taxes (lOO dollars)

A weighted simple regression of consumption was computed on income, with number of smokers in each cell used as weights. Both variables were expressed in logarithms. The following regression equation and statistical coefficients were obtained:

Log x\ = 1.12 + 0.12 log Xp 1 (0.01) ^

r^ = 0.78, S-L2 = 0.022

The slope of the consumption-income curve is steeper than in the case of male smokers only. This arises from the fact that women smokers, char- acterized by smoking rates averaging about a third less than those among males, are concentrated in income classes of $3^000 and less, whereas males predominate in the higher income classes. - 189 -

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- . - 190

APPENDIX D. METHODOLOGY

Evaluation of Survey Data

The smoking survey was not originally designed to ascertain the effect of income on smoking habits. The present study is an outgrowth of the survey planned and conducted "by the United States Public Health Service in arrange- ment with the Bureau of the Census. ^-Hien it appeared feasible to make a cross- classification of data obtained in the smoking survey of February 1955 with data obtained in the income survey of April 1955 > such a project was under- taken. Cost considerations were important in determining what type of data could be made available.

For these reasons, survey data based on the subsample have limitations insofar as their use in determining effects of income on smoking characteris- tics is concerned. These limitations are as follows:

(1) The income data with which the smoking information was cross- classified represents personal income—rather than family income—and hence may be an inadequate measure of an individual's true purchasing power. This limitation is particularly significant in the case of women. A housewife may report no income of her own and yet enjoy a high purchasing power through her husband's or other family income. Similarly, the personal income reported by an employed married woman may not reflect her true purchasing power as in most cases her husband's income exceeds her own.

Individual income data may understate piirchasing also among older persons in the lower- income brackets. Some of these may have their income supplemented by withdrawals of savings, gifts, lump-sura insurance payments, or net proceeds from sale of property, which are not included as income under Census definitions.

As survey income data represent income before taxes and other deductions, they are not a measure of disposable income. To arrive at the latter, estimated Federal income taxes were deduct- ed from midvalues computed for the income interval, as discussed

on p . 211

(2) Survey data that were classified give no information on family size and composition, which indicate the extent of an individual's family obligations and hence the adequacy of his income.

(3) Consumption data were given in terms of units smoked, and not in terms of expenditures. Consequently, no consideration could be given to variation in quality, which in the case of cigars is wide. Also, there is an unknown variation in the quantity of tobacco in the "pipefuls" reported by pipe smokers and here, too, quality may be a factor. The difficulties resulting from the - 191 -

use of quantity data for cigars are discussed in the body of this report. Some writers in the field of demand analysis maintain that, as expenditures directly measure demand as influenced by purchasing power, expenditure elasticities are more relevant from an economic viewpoint than are quantity elasticities. The latter are more closely related to physical satisfaction of demand, ih/

(h) Smoking rates were tabulated in terms of class intervals, which necessitated the selection of mid-values within the intervals before average rates could be computed. The procedure for selecting such mid-values and computing average consumption is discussed on p. 210.

(5) In the riiral and lorban comparison, there is no means of adjust-

ing to include farmers ' nonmoney income ( value of home-produced food, rent-free quarters, etc.) to make urban and rural income more comparable.

(6) Although adjustments were made for the non-self-response bias in the percentages of men smoking cigarettes and their rates of smoking (see p.206 ), data were not available to ascertain the extent of similar bias in the case of cigars and pipes. It is true that the percentage of men who personally supplied answers to the smoking questionnaire were highest among those ^5 and over, the ages at which cigar and pipe smoking are most prev- alent. However, the percentages of other than self-respondents for these age groups still were sufficiently high to make possible some undetermined bias in total sample data for the two forms of smoking.

The comparisons of data by occupation and industry are limited by the broad classifications of the groupings. More detailed breakdowns would have been desirable, as smoking characteristics often are influenced by the nature of the specific occupation or industry. For example, smoking may be hazardous or inconvenient in certain occupations or industries, whereas in others it may be engaged in without restraint.

Percentages of regular or ocasional cigarette smokers as shown in text and appendix tables were computed directly from siirvey data, without adjust- ment for bias. Adjustment could not be made, because no data are available on

iV See, for example. Wold and Jureen ( IJ, pp. 219-220). - 192 - the extent of bias by incoire class. However, adjustment for the non-self- response bias was made in estimated numbers of cigarette smokers, and in rates of cigarette smoking. Text tables on the latter phase are appropriately- footnoted. A discussion of the bias in siarvey data on cigarette smoking

appears in the section "Adjustments in Data," beginning on p. 206 .

Another possible source of bias in the survey data is described in Tobacco Smoking Patterns in the United States (X, p. 9) as follows:

It should be stressed that the questions were designed to classify people and not to estimate the amovint of tobacco consumed. For the latter purpose the proper approach would have been to include questions on recent purchases or on the niimber of units consumes in a given day. Couching smoking questions in terms of "on the average" probably exerts a downward bias. The respondent may be encouraged to think of some smoking pattern which he rarely falls below and to neglect amounts in excess of this figure in his response. Since the primary objective of this survey was to classify groups of people for purposes of comparisons, such biases would not be important so long as they were not large nor selective in character.

Reliability of Data Shown 15/

Data in this report are based on samples of the population, therefore they are subject to sampling variability. Small figures and small differences between figiires should be used with particular caution, because they are subject to larger relative error arising from sampling variability and enumer- ation errors.

In presenting survey data, information may be maximized by showing data for all cells regardless of sample size, or reliability may be maximized by combining cells to obtain an adequate sample, with consequent loss of some information. This study leaned toward the second approach. Most of the data shown in the report are based on at least 100 sample cases. In some instances, where considerations such as vmiforraity of tabular presentation were important, data based on less than 100 sample cases were used, but only in relatively

few instances are data shown based on less than 50 sample cases . This applies not only to data on proportions smoking but also to data on rates of smoking. Consequently, in preparing many of the text tables, it was necessary to com- bine classes to secure the desirable size of sample. Readers who are interested in more detailed breakdowns than those appearing in the body of this report can prepare such data from the appendix tables and the information supplied on methodology. If this is done, however, there should be awareness of the resulting increased sampling error.

15/ Part of this section is adapted from discussions of sampling errors published in various Bureau of the Census releases. - 193 -

A measure of sampling variabi3.ity is the standard error. Chances are about 2 out of 3 the difference due to sampling variability betveen an esti- mate and the figure that would have been obtained from a complete count of the population is less than the standard error. The chances are about 19 out of 20 that the difference is less than twice the standard error, and 99 out of 100 that it is less than 2-^ times the standard error.

The sampling variability of the smoking data classified by income can

be estimated from the standard errors shown in the tabulation on p . 19U and table 122. The tabulation shows the approximate standsurd errors of sample estimates of selected size, when shown in absolute numbers by income. Table 122 shows the approximate standard error of percentages computed from the survey data, when these data are given in income detail. The reliability of an estimated percentage depends upon the size both of the percentage and the total on which it is based. As much of the discussion of the smoking-income relationship is in terms of percentages, in the paragraph that follows we cite an example of how the standard error of a percentage is determined from the table.

Table 3^ page 25, shows that 45.9 percent of surveyed men aged l8-24, with income of less than $1,000 smoke cigarettes regularly. The base of the percentage is determined from appendix table 6I, where it is found that the total number in this age-income cell is 1,^9^,000. By linear interpolation, the standard error of 45«9 percent computed on a base of 1,49^,000 males is found from table 122 to be 3.9. Thus the chances are approximately 2 out of 3 (68 out of 100) that a complete census of all men in this particular age- income cell vrould have shown a percentage of regular cigarette smokers dif- fering from the sample estimate by no more than 3 '9 percentage points.

The standard errors shown on P.I9U do not include the possible effects of errors of response and nonreporting. Also, the standard errors are not directly applicable to differences between two estimates. The standard error of a difference is approximately the square root of the sum of the squares of the standard error of each estimate considered separately. For purposes of this study, it is a fairly quick and convenient method to deter- mine whether two percentages differ from each other by a statistically sig- nificant amount.

The standard error tables published in Tobacco Smoking Patterns in the approximate stand- the United States (7, p . 9) may be used to determine ard error of estimated numbers or percentages respectively, when these are Hence based on the full sample (i.e., where income detail is not involved). } table 3 of the monograph is applicable to estimated numbers of smokers pre- sented in this report, and table k of the monograph is applicable to the percentages sho\m for all subtotals and totals in the cigarette tables for both sexes. As pointed out on p. 10? of this report, such percentages are talcen directly from the Public Health Ser-vice monograph, but have been ad- Justed to allow for those not reporting by distributing such cases propor- tionately to reported categories. :

- 19^ -

The following tabvilation shows the standard error of estimated n\mibers when shown by income class for males:

Estimated Standard Estimated Standard

number \ error \ number [ error

Thousands Thousands : : Thousands Thousands

50 21 : : 2,000 130

100 30 : : 3,000 160

200 40 : : 5,000 200

500 65 : 7,000 230

750 80 : : 10,000 265

1,000 100 : : 15,000 300

The following tabulation shows the standard error of estimated numbers when shown by income class for females:

Estimated Standard Estimated Standard number error number * error 1 \ \

Thousands Thousands : : Thousands Tho\;isands

': 10 7 i 750 65

25 11 : : 1,000 70

50 16 : : 2,000 95

100 22 : 3,000 125

200 35 : : 5,000 150

500 50 : : 10,000 210

Table 122, —Stemdard error of estimated percentages when shown by income class

Basei of percentage. thousands Estimated percentage 400 500 '. 750 ! 1,000 : 2,000 : 3,000 : 5,000 : 7,000 : 10,000

Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet. Pet.

Males : : 2 or 98 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 5 or 95 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.1 1.4 1.2 .9 .7 .7 10 or 90 i^.3 k.O 3.2 2.8 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.0 .8 25 or 75 e.k 5.7 4.7 4.0 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.5 1.2 50 7.4 6.7 3.h 4.7 3.3 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.5

Females 2 or 98 1.6 l.k 1.1 .9 •7 .5 .4 .3 .2

5 or 95 : 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.1 .9 .7 .5 .5

10 or 90 : 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.2 .9 .8 .7

25 or 75 : 4.9 h.k 3.6 3.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.1 .9

50 : 5.8 5.1 4.2 3.6 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.1 . .

- 195 -

Comparison of Income Sample and Full Sample

Although the income sample numerically is equal to half of the fvill sample, a comparison of results obtained from the two indicates that the in- come sample is equally representative of the surveyed population with regard to smoking characteristics. This comparison is afforded in tables 123-126, which show the percentage distribution of smokers and nonsmokers, by age, as canputed from income sample data and full sample data. In most instances, the difference between comparable percentages is well within 1 percentage point, and frequently amounts to only one- or two-tenths of 1 percentage point

A similar comparison with regard to income distribution was also made. The percentage distribution of 195U income by income class, as computed from the income sample (the subsample) , was compared with the percentage distri- bution published by the Bureau of the Census (ih) , which was derived from its larger sample. This comparison showed a generally close correspondence in percentages for comparable age groups (table 127 and 128)

Definitions

"Regular smoker" of a product is one who smokes that product each day. He also may be an occasional smoker of one or two other products.

"Occasional smoker" of a product is one who smokes that product once in a while —not each day. He also may be a smoker, either regular or occasional, of one or two other products.

"Combination smoker" is a regular smoker of more than one product. Such a smoker who smokes two products regularly may smoke a third product oc- casionally. Where regular smoking of one product is involved the terms "cigarette -only," "cigar-only," or "pipe-only" are used.

"Full sample" refers to the sample of the civilian, noninstitutional population, 18 years and over, used by the Bureau of the Census in March 1955 to obtain information on smoking habits. This sample of more than 4o,000 persons is used for the monthly Current Population Survey. A full descrip- tion of the sample as of the time of the smoking survey appears inthe Bureau of Census publication, "Concepts and Methods Used in the Current Labor Force

Statistics Prepared by the Bureau of the Census" (13) .

"Income sample" refers to that segment of the full sample which provid- ed 195^ income data in April 1955 > enabling a cross -classification of smoking habits with income. On a gross basis, this subsample consisted of half of the full sample, or more than 20,000 persons. Discarded cases because of non- matching smoking and income information or nonreporting of income reduced the usable cases in the subsample to k2 percent of the usable cases of the full sample, or to approximately l8,000 persons. - 196 -

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• • ft 13 0) u s 0) • • c Q) (U 0) o

- 197 -

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CO I o U • p 1 1 fo m OJ OJ COOJ 1 1 OJ H • • • • |S y 1 1 • • ft ft to

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o - 199 -

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to B 8 a "iH o o CO O u u o O Ch

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- 201 -

"Income" represents money income received in 195^+, and consists of the following: Money wages or salary, net money income from nonfarm self -employ- ment, net money income from farm self -employment, and "other income", such as interest, divideMs, veterans' allowances, pensions, or rents. The amounts received represent income before deductions for personal taxes, social securi- ty, "bonds, etc. (For definitions of the major income components, see Current Population Reports , "Consumer Inccme" (14, pp. l|-5)

"Persons without income" or "persons with no income" refer to those who did not receive personal money income in 195^^. These include chiefly house- wives, students, and aged dependents. As these persons usually have purchas- ing power through family inccme, a more accurate designation would "be "persons with no money income of their own."

The folloT'dng definitions taken from the United States Public Health Service mongraph. Tobacco Smoking Patterns in the United States (7 , pp. h- 6) , are applicable to this study, and in most cases are repeated here in the same form as they appear in that publication.

"Region." The States included in each region of the United States are shown in figure 17 "Urban and rural residence." The definition of urban and rural areas used in this survey was the same as that used in the 1950 census . According to this definition, the urban population comprises all person living in (a) places of 2,500 inhabitants or more incorporated as cities, boroughs, and vil- lages; (b) incorporated towns of 2,500 inhabitants or more except in New England, New York, and Wisconsin, where "towns" are simply minor civil di- visions of counties; (c) the densely settled urban fringe, including both in- corporated and unincorporated areas, around cities of 50,000 or more; and (d)' unincorporated places of 2,500 inhabitants or more outside of any urban fringe. The remaining population is classified as rural.

"Size of place." l6/ The urban population is clasified as living in urbanized areas or in urban places outside urbanized areas. According to the definition used in this survey and in the 1950 census, the population in urbanized areas comprises all persons living in (a) cities of 50,000 inhabit- ants or more in 1950 or according to a special census tai^en between 19^0 and 1950, and (b) the densely settled urban fringe, including both incorpo- rated and unincorporated areas, surrounding these cities. Residents of urbanized areas were classified according to the size of the entire area rather than by the size of the place in which they lived. The remaining urban population is classified as living in the smaller urban places not in the urbanized areas.

"Farm and nonfarm residence." The rural population is subdivided into the rural farm population, which comprises all rural residents currently

16/ Applicable to size of place breakdo^ms in appendix tables 69-72 - 202 -

REGIONS OF THE UNITED STATES

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE BUREAU OF THE CENSUS

Figure 17. —This chart shows the States included in the regions referred to in this report.

living on farms, and the rural nonfarm population, vhich comprises the remain- ing rural population. The method of determining farm and nonfarm residence in this survey is the same as that used in the 1950 census. Persons on "farms" who were paying cash rent for their house and yard only were classi- fied as nonfsLrm; furthermore, persons in institutions, summer camps, "motels," and tourist camps were classified as nonfarm. - 203 -

"Age." The age classification is based on the age of the person at his last birthday.

"Discontinued smoker." 17/ A discontinued smoker is defined as a person who once was a regular or occasional smoker as defined above, but who was a nonsmoker at the time of the survey.

"Occupation" and "industry." The data on occupation and industry refer to the job held during the survey week. Persons employed at two or more jobs were reported in the job at which they worked the greatest number of hours during the week.

The occupation and industry groupings used are largely the same a^ the major groups in the classification systems used in the I95O Census of Popula- tion. The distinction between occupation and industry classifications should be noted. Occupation information is derived from answers to the question, "What kind of work is he doing?" Industry information is obtained from answers to the question, "What kind of business or industry is he working in?" The occupation classification system is organized into 13 major groups, comprising nearly 15O categories. The composition of each of the detailed categories in the occupation and industry classification is shown in the Bureau of the Census publication, 19^0 Census of Population , Classified Index of Occupations and Industries (12).

In order to furnish the reader with some idea of the individual occupa- tions and industries included in the major groups shown in this report, the listing which follows is provided. It should be emphasized that the listing is provided for iJJLustrative purposes only, and that the reader should refer to the cited publication of the Bureau of Census for the con^jlete composition of the major occupation and industry groups.

Composition of Major Occupation Groups ( Illustrative Only )

Professional. , technical , and kindred workers ;

Accountants and auditors; actors and actresses; airplane pilots and navigators; architects; axtists and art teachers; athletes; authors; chemists; chiropractors; clergymen; college presidents, professors, and instructors; dancers and dancing teachers; dentists; draftsmen; engineers (chemical, civil, electrical, etc.); entertainers; foresters and conservationists; lawyers and judges, etc.

Farmers axid farm managers :

Farmers (owners and tenants); farm managers.

17/ Applicable to category shown in Appendix A tables. .

- 201*- -

Managers, officials, and proprietors , except fsirm ;

Store buyers and department heads; farm products buyers and shippers; railroad conductors; credit men; store floormen and floor managers; public ad- ministration inspectors; building managers and superintendents; ship officers, pilots and pursers, and engineers; officials, lodge, society, union, etc.; postmasters; purchasing agents and buyers; managers, officials, and proprietors not elsewhere classified.

Clerical and kindred workers ;

Agents; library attendants and assistants; physician's and dentist's office attendants; transportation baggagemen; bank tellers; bookkeepers; cashiers; bill and account collectors; vehicle dispatchers and starters; mail carriers; messengers and office boys; office machine operators; shipping and receiving clerks; stenographers, typists and secretaries; etc.

Sales workers ;

Advertising agents ajad salesmen; auctioneers; demonstrators; hucksters and peddlers; insurance agents and brokers; newsboys; real estate agents and brokers; stock and bond salesmen; salesmen and sales clerks, not elsewhere classified.

Craftsmen, foremen , and kindred workers ;

Bakers; blacksmiths, bookbinders; brickmasons, stonemasons, and tile setters; cabinetmakers; carpenters; compositors and typesetters; electricians; furriers; glaziers; Jewelers; watchmakers, goldsmiths, and silversmiths; machinists; mechanics; millwrights; construction and maintenance painters; plumbers and pipefitters, etc.

Operatives and kindred workers ;

Apprentices; asbestos and insulation v/orkers; auto service and parking attendants; blasters and powderraen; railroad brakemen; bus drivers; bus and street railway conductors; deliverymen and routemen; metal filers, grinders, and polishers; laundry and dry cleaning operatives; taxicab drivers and chauffeurs; truck and tractor drivers; textile weavers; welders and flame-

cutters ; etc

Private household workers :

Private household housekeepers; private household laundresses; private household workers, not elsewhere classified. .

- 205 -

Service workers, except private household ;

Hospital and other Institution attendants; barbers, beauticians, and manicurists; bartenders; bosirding and lodging housekeepers; charwomen and cleaners; counter and foiintain workers; elevator operators; janitors and sextons; marshals and constables; porters; waiters and waitresses; etc.

Fann laborers and foremen ;

Farm foremen; farm laborers (weige workers and unpaid family workers); self-eanployed farm service laborers.

Laborers , except farm and mine ;

Fishermen and oystermen; garage laborers and car washers and greasers; gardeners, except farm, and groundskeepers; longshoremen and stevedores; lumbermen, raftsmen, and woodchoppers ; teamsters; laborers, not elsewhere classified.

Composition of Major Industry Groups ( DAustrative Only )

Industries included in the following major groups are readily apparent; Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; mining; construction; manufacturing (durable goods and nondurable goods); transportation, communication, and other public utilities; wholesale and retail trade; finance, insurance, and real estate; entertainment and recreation services; and public administration, which includes the postal service and Federal, State and loceuL public administration. The composition of the following industry groups may not be as evident, and is listed in some detail.

Business and repair services ;

Advertising; accoxmting, auditing, and bookkeeping services; miscella- neous business services (such eis addressing service, employment and theatrical agencies, eurmored car service and blueprinting service, ccmimercial sign shop, etc.); automobile repair services and garages; miscellaneous repair services (such as awning repair, bicycle repair, coppersmlthing repair work, electric appliance repair, jewelry repair, radio television repair, etc.).

Personal services ;

Private households; hotels and lodging places; laundering, cleaning and dyeing services; dressmaking shops; shoe repair shops; miscellaneous personal services (such as clothing rental, commercial photography studio, hairdresser, mortuary, etc . ) ' '

-.206 -

Professional and related services:

Medical and other health services; hospitals; legal and education services; welfare and religious services; nonprofit membership organizations; engineering and architectural services; miscellaneous professional and related services (such as actuarial bureau and art studio; free lance artist or writer; music arranging or cairposing; research organizations, etc.)

Adjustments in Data

Correction for Non-self- Response Bias in Proportions of Cigeirette Smokers

Although every effort wa^ made in the survey to obtain smoking infor- mation directly from the person concerned, in practice this wa^ not always possible. Particularly among the males covered by the survey, there was a large proportion for whom responses were famished by another member of the family. The proportion increased from 26 percent for males 65 and over to 57 percent for those 18-24, averaging k2 percent for all men. In contrast, only 17 percent of females did not furnish responses themselves^ although the proportiou reached 29 percent among those 18-24 (table 129).

Table 129. —Percentage distribution of total sainple by identity of respondent, by sex and age

Male Female

'• Age Self- = Non-self- Self- Non-self- respondent respondent Total respondent respondent : Total

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

18-24 • 43.3 56.7 100.0 71.4 28.6 100.0

25-34 : 53.5 46.5 100.0 86.8 13.2 100.0 35-44 56.4 43.6 100.0 85.8 14.2 100.0

45-54 : 58.0 42.0 100.0 85.4 14.6 100.0

55-64 : 64.0 36.0 100.0 84.8 15.2 100.0 65 and

over : 73.6 26.4 100.0 79.2 20.8 100.0

Total : 57.9 42.1 100.0 83.0 17.0 100.0

The lack of self-response among a considerable proportion of those covered by the survey undoubtedly resulted in two biases —one in the propor- tions smoking cigarettes, and the other in the proportions of regular smokers smoking at the various rates. The latter bias is discussed in the next section. - 207 -

If we assimie that responses of those who answered for themselves are more accurate than responses given by another member of the family, use of the total sample results in a downward bias in the proportions smoking cigarettes, as illustrated in table I30. This bias is present in all age classes among males and females, although it is larger among males than females, and largest among those 18-24 in both groups. Those furnishing responses apparently either had no knowledge or were reluctant to admit that the young individuals concerned smoked. Table I30. —Percentage of self-respondents and total sample who smoke cigarettes regularly

Male Female Age Self- Self- • Total sanrple " •Total sample respondents 1/ respondents 1/ Percent Percent Percent Percent

18-24 59.2 51.4 33.1 29.7 25-34 64.6 63.7 36.2 35.8 35-44 63.5 62.3 33.8 32.4 45-54 58.6 56.9 23.1 22.7 55-64 44.7 43.5 11.2 10.8 65 and over 22.5 22.2 3.6 3.5 Total 2/54.5 52.6 2/25.5 24.5 1/ Includes those in "not reporting" category, who were distributed propor- tionately among smokers and nonsmoking categories. 2/ Adjusted to age dis- tribution of population surveyed.

From the experience of self-respondents, it would appear that among the civilian, noninstitutional population, 54.5 percent of males and 25.5 per- cent of females I8 and over smoke cigarettes regularly, rather than 52.6 per- cent and 24.5 percent, respectively, as shown by the full sample. The higher percentages were used in computing the first estimates of total number of cigarette smokers in the United States, as well as in preparing the first estiriates of aggregate consumption of cigarettes from survey data.

There is little or no difference in the proportions of occasional cigarette smokers, among both males and females, as reported by self- respondents and in the full sample. This is seen from the following:

Occasional smokers as a percentage of total Sex Self-respondents Total sample Percent Percent

Males 4.2 4.2 Females 4.1 3.9 By age, the differences are generally also minor. For these reasons, no adjustments were made in the proportions of occasional smokers as derived directly from the full sample. —

. - 208 -

Correction for Non-self- response Bias in Cigarette Smoking Rates

Of all male regular cigarette smokers covered by the sample, 58 percent responded for themselves, whereas information ahout the other k2 percent was obtained from another member of the family. The proportion of self -respond- ents among regiolar cigarette smokers increases steadily with age, rising from slightly under 50 percent among those lQ-2h years of age to 7^ percent among those 65 and over. Most of the women regular smokers queried in the survey 87 percent--responded for themselves, the proportions ranging frcm 80 percent among those 18-2^+ to 89 percent among those 35-^ (table I31).

Table 13I. --Self -respondents as a percentage of regular cigarette smokers, by sex and age

• Age ' Male Female • • Percent Percent

I8-2U : k9.6 79.7

25-3^ I 5^.0 88.2 89. 35 -hh '. 57.7 i^ h5-5h 1: 59.8 87.3 55-61^ 87.1 ! 65.8 65 and over 7^.3 82.6

Total ! 58.1 86.8

The large proportions of women smokers in all age groups answering for themselves could be regarded as evidence that their reported smoking rates are free of serious bias. A comparison of average smoking rates of self -respond- ents and the total sample showed that within the age groups the difference was nearly always less than 1 percent, and that for all ages combined, there was virtually no difference. But the fact that information about a substantial part of male cigarette smokers was furnished by another member of the family introduced a bias in the proportions smoking at the various rates. Where information was supplied by a fierson other than the individual concerned, the tendency was to classify the individual as smoking less than 10 cigarettes or 10-20 cigarettes daily, rather than as smoking more than 20 cigarettes daily. In each age group, the proportion among non-self -respondents reported as smok- ing less than 10 cigarettes daily is higher than the comparable proportion among self -respondents, with the largest difference among those 18-2^4-.

With the exception of the very youngest and oldest age groups, the proportion reported as smoking 10-20 cigarettes daily is higher among non-self- respondents than among similarly aged self -respondents. With one exception, proportions reported as smoking more than 20 cigarettes a day are lower among non-self -respondents than among self -respondents (table 132). 5 - —

- 209 -

Table 132.--Male regular smokers of cigarettes: Percentage of self- respondents and non-self -respondents who smoke at specified rates l/

Less than 10 - ! 10 20 More than

[ cigarettes \ cigarettes 20 cigarettes [ Age ' * Self- Non-self-, ' [ : Self- Non-self- Self- Non-self- respond-^ [ [ respond- respond- [ respond respond- respond- ents * [ ents ents ents ents ents

: Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

l8-2lf 28.1+ 1 21.3 61.2 57.2 17.5 lk,k 25-3i^ : 11.7 I5A 60.3 63.3 28.0 21.3

35-^^ ! 12.3 15.2 55.3 57.4 32.it 27.4

h^'5h : 15.0 16.0 54.1 57.9 30.9 26.1 55 -6U ! 20.4 22.0 54.6 55.2 25.0 22.8 i^9.8 65 and over : 35.6 36.9 h3.1 IU.6 18.0

All ; 16.2 lb. 56.3 58.6 27.5 22.9

1/ Non -self -respondents are those for whom information on smoking habits was obtained from another member of the family.

Correction for this bias was made by computing the ratio between the weighted average consumption for each age group in the total sample and that of the comparable self -respondent segment. The factors thus obtained were used to adjust the derived weighted average consumption in each income class within age groups. The correction factors are as follows:

Average daily consumption 1 Correction

Age group ; factor Total sample * Self -respondents ! (2) * (1)

(1) (2) ; ; ;

: Cigarettes Cigarettes

18-24 : 18.4 19.1 1,04

. 25-34 : 21.0 21.8 1.03

35-44 22.5 23.0 1.02 .

45-54 ; 22.0 22.4 1.02

55-64 1 20.4 20.5 — — 65 and over ; 17.6 17.4

Total 21.1 21.6 1.02

The indicated downward bias in smoking rates among male regiilar smokers in the full sample is equal to about 2 percent. For characteristics other than age, a uniform factor of 1.02 was used. •- 210 -

Computational Notes

Mean Smoking Rates

The consiamption data obtained in the smoking -income cross -tabulation showed daily smoking rates in the form of frequency tables containing four class intervals for each product. These intervals were as follows:

Cigarettes Cigars Plpefuls Niomber N^imber Number

1-9 1-2 1 - k 10-20 3-^ 5-9 21 - Uo 5-8 10-19 4l or more 9 or more 20 or more

To obtain a mean rate for each of these class intervals which would be more accxirate than adopting the respective midpoints, use was made of a special Census tabulation prepared for the Public Health Service siorvey. This tabulation showed, by individual count, the maximum units of each of the three products smoked in the past by ciirrent smokers of each, who had in the past smoked more sometime than they do currently. These data showed the maximum smoked in the past, rather than the individual nvimbers smoked currently, and clustered around a few values in each of the intervals, indicating that some approximation may have been involved in the responses. But weighted averages cOTnputed frcan these data appeared to be satisfactory for several reasons. Though data referred to maximum rates of smoking, the overwhelming majority of current smokers are now smoking at their maximimi rates, so the special tabulation data appeared applicable. The data clustered aroiond those numbers that seen^d typical of the particular class inter vslI involved. For example, 10 and 20 (one -half pack and 1 pack, respectively) were frequently designated in the case of cigarettes. Finally, the derived weighted averages for ciga- rettes appeared reasonably in line with the averages necessary to reconcile survey cons\miption data with consvimption as indicated by IRS data on tax-paid removals.

For each product, the midvalues computed for an interval generally were similar for all age grouj®. Thus, no differentiation by age was made in the midvalue used for a specific rate interval, and a single midvalue was used as representing that interval for each age group. The midvalue of the 1-9 interval for cigarettes for men and for women, as computed from the special tabiolation, were fxn-ther adjxisted because of insufficient sample cases. '

- 211 -

The class interval midvalues that were used in computing rates of con- sumption are as follows:

Cigarettes : Cigars : : Pipefuls

«

' Class Midvalue : Class \ Class • Midvalue : * i ntpwfl.1 * i "n i" ^ T*v?^ 1 Midvalue • •

Male ' Female • • • •

No. No. No. : : No. No. : : No. No.

': i^ 1 - 9 8 6 \ 1-2 1.6 ; 1 - 2.7

': ': 10 - 20 18 16 3 -h 3.5 \ 5-9 6.k

': ': ': 21 - kO 35 3h 5-8 6.1 : 10-19 12.1

12. kl or more 56 50 ! : 9 or more if : 20 or more 23.^

Because of the small size of the class intervals for cigars and pipe- fuls, the respective means used included one decimal, rather than the nearest whole unit, as \ms the case with cigarettes. The average consumption in each income class \ra.s obtained by weighting each of the rate interval midvalues by the respective percentages of regular smokers, and adjusting for bias in the case of cigarette smoking by males as discussed on p.208.

Mean Age

As in the case of income, survey tabulations showed age in terms of class inter'mls, as follows (years): l8-2U, 25-3^, 35-^^, ^5-5^, 55-6U, and 65 and over. A mean (weighted average) age for each interval was computed separately for males and females, using data from the 1950 Census of Population, showing population by single years of age (l6_, p. I65) . These data were ad- justed to the age distribution of the population as of July 1, 195^> using data from the Bureau of the Census (1^) • For the age group 65 and over, only those up to age 85 were included.

Mean Income

Survey data showed 195^ money income in terms of class intervals. The intervals represented some consolidation of those shown by the Bureau of the

Census (lijj . The former consisted of $1,000 intervals up to $5,000; one $2,000 interval ($5,000 to $7,000); one $3,000 interval (from $7,000 to $10,000), and an open -end class $10,000 and over. To obtain the mean in each of these intervals to develop consumption functions, use was made of formulas to approximate averages in the intervals of a distribution. [See Liebenberg and Kaitz (^, pp. kk2-kk'^) .] Separate formulas were used to approximate - 212 - the average in the first interval of a distribution, in the middle intervals, and in the "tail" and the final open-end intervals, where the Pareto curve, widely used for fitting the upper ends of inccme distributions, was employed. The formulas vere applied to the income distribution shown in the above- mentioned Bureau of the Census release; the smaller intervals provided more information on frequencies, hence were considered as yielding more reliable estimates. The appropriate means for each interval were then combined to obtain a weighted mean for the wider income intervals of the income sample, ^th number of persons in the respective intervals used as weights.

In order to obtain estimated disposable income, allowance was made for Federal income taxes by applying average rates based on Department of Commerce data. [See Gtoldsmith {6, p. 15) •] While adjustment could not be made for local taxes and occupational deductions, these are small compared with the Federal income tax.

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